AAPL vs ETSY Stock Comparison

AAPL currently leads ETSY in this stock comparison, with AIQ scores of 62 vs 50. The clearest difference is risk resilience, while ETSY has the stronger momentum profile.

Market data as of Oct 31, 2026 market close· AIQ score gap 12 points
AAPL
Technology
vs
ETSY
Consumer Cyclical
AAPL
Apple Inc.
Leads
Price
$345
Day move
-1.23%
AIQ Score
62/100
Best edge
Risk Resilience
Sector
Technology
ETSY
Etsy, Inc.
Price
$88.96
Day move
-2.87%
AIQ Score
50/100
Best edge
Momentum
Sector
Consumer Cyclical

What is the main difference between AAPL and ETSY?

AAPL leads the current stock comparison as Apple Inc., with the clearest separation coming from risk resilience and the broader AIQ evidence mix.

AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison

Apple Inc. vs Etsy, Inc.

Data as of Oct 31, 2026· market close· Cross-sector · Technology vs Consumer Cyclical· Coverage 66/66 fields· High confidence
AIQ VerdictFragileAIQ Comparison Conviction 5/10

AAPL leads

AAPL leads by 12 AIQ points, primarily on Risk Resilience and Quality, but the lead has narrowed from 17 points over 30 sessions.

Fragile: 3 of 6 evidence groups support AAPL, its lead is narrowing, and its current signal state is conflicted.

Evidence agreement: 3 of 6Comparison trend: Weakening
AAPL

Apple Inc.

Leads
AIQ Score
62/100
AIQ Edge Score
8/10
ETSY

Etsy, Inc.

AIQ Score
50/100
AIQ Edge Score
5/10

The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors AAPL over ETSY, 62 versus 50 as of Oct 31, 2026. AAPL's advantage is driven primarily by stronger risk resilience and quality, while ETSY holds the stronger momentum profile. AAPL also shows the weaker technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average. 3 of 6 covered evidence groups favor AAPL today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: only 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. AAPL lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 17 to 12 points over 30 sessions.

Compare Apple Inc. and Etsy, Inc. across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.

Currently unavailable

Performance over time

Total return with distributions reinvested, from daily closes.

AAPL
+136.6%
ETSY
-62.1%

Total return comparison

Growth of $10,000, distributions reinvested

AAPL $23,663 · ETSY $3,791

Split-adjusted closes; each distribution is reinvested at the close on its ex-dividend date. Taxes and trading costs are not modeled.

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AIQ Factor Divergence

Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.

AAPL advantage
0
ETSY advantage
  • Risk Resilience69 vs 24
    AAPL +45
  • Quality80 vs 60
    AAPL +20
  • Momentum65 vs 81
    ETSY +16
  • Value38 vs 27
    AAPL +11

3 of 6 evidence groups favor AAPL. AAPL’s edge is concentrated in risk resilience and quality; ETSY keeps a meaningful momentum edge.

What changed since the last close

Latest scored session 2026-10-28, compared against the prior scored session 2026-10-27.

AAPL-2 AIQ

Largest factor move: Momentum -9

New signals

  • MACD Bearish Crossover — bearish, momentum, short horizon
ETSY0 AIQ

Largest factor move: Risk Resilience -1, not enough on its own to move the overall score.

New signals

  • 52-Week High Proximity — bullish, risk, long horizon (0.0%)

AAPL's lead narrowed by 2 AIQ points in the latest session.

Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — AAPL and ETSY both carry a full feed there.

The central trade-off

AAPL (Apple Inc.): the stronger current systematic profile, led by risk resilience and quality.

ETSY (Etsy, Inc.): the counter-case, on momentum, technicals — but at materially higher volatility, 50.7% against 13.6%.

Which one fits your objective

The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.

Balanced

AAPL

AAPL on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.

Growth

AAPL

AAPL on combined revenue and EPS growth.

Value

AAPL

AAPL on the peer-relative Value factor, by 11 points.

Momentum

ETSY

ETSY on the Momentum factor, by 16 points.

Lower downside

AAPL

AAPL on Risk Resilience, by 45 points.

Analyst upside

Even

Analyst targets are level or not covered for both names.

AIQ vs Wall Street

Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.

MeasureAAPLETSYNote
Implied upside to target-1.7%-1.9%Level
Target dispersion+45.7%+43.6%Lower is tighter analyst agreement
ConsensusHoldHoldContext, not a primary driver
Analysts covering1916Higher coverage generally improves confidence

Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.

AIQ Agreement Matrix

3 of 6 covered evidence groups favor AAPL. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.

Evidence groupFavorsReading
AIQ ScoreAAPL62 vs 50
FundamentalsEvenrevenue growth -1.6% vs 5.9%; TTM ROE 137.2% vs -17.7%; gross margin 48.7% vs 72.3%; operating margin 33.2% vs 16%
ValuationAAPLValue 38 vs 27
TechnicalsETSYPrice vs 50-day 3.9% vs 13.5%; vs 200-day 16.3% vs 35.9%
Risk ResilienceAAPLRisk Resilience 69 vs 24
Analyst expectationsEvenTarget upside -1.7% vs -1.9%

✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of AAPL and ETSY and are excluded from the count.

AIQ Decision Stability

Fragile

The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.

  • The AIQ gap is wide at 12 points. (supports the conclusion holding)
  • Only 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
  • The leader's advantage has been narrowing. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
  • The lead has been steady session to session. (supports the conclusion holding)
  • The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)

Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on AAPL.

How the comparison changed

120 daily snapshots · Jun 29 – Oct 28

AAPL lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 17 to 12 points over 30 sessions.

Jun 29AAPL leads above the line · ETSY leads belowOct 28
Today
AAPL +12
62 vs 50
7 sessions ago
AAPL +14
65 vs 51
30 sessions ago
AAPL +17
60 vs 43
90 sessions ago
AAPL +15
61 vs 46

The lead changed hands once in this window, most recently on Jun 30 when AAPL moved ahead of ETSY.

AIQ Signal Divergence

Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.

AAPLConflicted

4 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted

Only AAPL

  • MACD Bearish Crossover — bearish, momentum, short horizon
ETSYConflicted

6 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted

Only ETSY

  • ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode — neutral, volatility, short horizon (4.06%)
  • Keltner Channel Breakout — bullish, volatility, short horizon
  • RSI Overbought — bearish, momentum, short horizon
  • MACD Bullish Crossover — bullish, momentum, short horizon

Both carry 4 more signals that do not separate them: Golden Cross Active, EMA Ribbon Expansion Bullish, 52-Week High Proximity, Uptrend Structure Active.

AAPL leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.

Price vs model alignment

Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.

AAPLConfirmed weakness

Price and the AIQ Score both moved down over the latest session (price -1.23%, AIQ -2 points).

ETSYNo material change

Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price -2.87%, AIQ 0 points).

What would flip this result

A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.

  1. 1ETSY closes the Risk Resilience gap — currently 45 points behind, the largest single contributor to AAPL's edge.
  2. 2ETSY's RSI Overbought resolves — a bearish momentum rule currently active against it.
  3. 3AAPL's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 4 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once.
  4. 4The narrowing continues — the lead has already given back 5 points over 30 sessions, and a further 12-point move would eliminate AAPL's advantage entirely.

The full evidence

Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.

Fundamentals

Split
MetricAAPLETSY
Revenue growth (YoY)-1.6%5.9%
EPS growth (YoY)1%-168.1%
Gross margin48.7%72.3%
Operating margin33.2%16%
Return on equity (TTM)137.2%-17.7%
Debt to equity0.78-2.2

Performance

ETSY leads 5 of 6 windows
MetricAAPLETSY
1 week (5 sessions)0%5.9%
1 month (20 sessions)3.2%29.2%
3 months (63 sessions)3.1%11.1%
6 months (126 sessions)27.3%32.7%
Year to date26.5%58.1%
1 year (252 sessions)30.8%25%

Technicals

ETSY has the stronger structure
MetricAAPLETSY
RSI (14)54.773.6
ADX (14)19.935.8
Price vs 50-day3.9%13.5%
Price vs 200-day16.3%35.9%
Volatility (1M, annualized)13.6%50.7%

Risk

AAPL is the more resilient
MetricAAPLETSY
Beta0.561.05
Sharpe ratio0.980.6
Sortino ratio1.320.84
Max drawdown-13.8%-41.1%
Current drawdown-1.3%0%
Annualized volatility24%50.8%
Value at risk (95%)-2%-4.8%

Straight answers

Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.

Which is better, AAPL or ETSY?

On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, AAPL is the stronger of the two as of Oct 31, 2026, scoring 62 against ETSY's 50. The edge comes from risk resilience and quality. ETSY is not without a case — it holds the better momentum profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.

Is AAPL or ETSY the better buy right now?

AAPL carries the stronger systematic profile as of Oct 31, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: only 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. Treat the lead as provisional.

Why does the AIQ Score favor AAPL over ETSY?

The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. AAPL leads Risk Resilience by 45 points; AAPL leads Quality by 20 points; ETSY leads Momentum by 16 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.

Which has more analyst upside, AAPL or ETSY?

Analyst price targets imply -1.7% upside for AAPL and -1.9% for ETSY. The model and the Street agree here, which is a broader base of evidence than either alone. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.

Which is better value, AAPL or ETSY?

AAPL is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. AAPL on the peer-relative Value factor, by 11 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.

Which has stronger growth, AAPL or ETSY?

AAPL on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.

Which has stronger momentum, AAPL or ETSY?

ETSY on the Momentum factor, by 16 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.

Which is riskier, AAPL or ETSY?

AAPL is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. AAPL on Risk Resilience, by 45 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.

Is AAPL more profitable than ETSY?

The profitability evidence is mixed: gross margin 48.7% vs 72.3%; operating margin 33.2% vs 16%; ttm roe 137.2% vs -17.7%. AAPL leads on two measures and ETSY on one measure, and there is no single profitability composite that resolves the split — which of the two reads as "more profitable" depends on whether you weight pricing power or operating leverage.

Is AAPL's lead over ETSY getting stronger or weaker?

AAPL lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 17 to 12 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-06-29 and 2026-10-28. The lead has changed hands once in that window, most recently on 2026-06-30, when AAPL moved ahead of ETSY.

What would change the AAPL vs ETSY verdict?

The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: ETSY closes the Risk Resilience gap — currently 45 points behind, the largest single contributor to AAPL's edge; ETSY's RSI Overbought resolves — a bearish momentum rule currently active against it; AAPL's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 4 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once; the narrowing continues — the lead has already given back 5 points over 30 sessions, and a further 12-point move would eliminate AAPL's advantage entirely.

What do the current signals say about AAPL and ETSY?

AAPL: 4 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted. ETSY: 6 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on AAPL is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On ETSY it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).

Compare AAPL and ETSY with others

Continue your research

This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.

How this comparison is scored

The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.

The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.

How to use side-by-side comparison →

This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.