AAPL vs EXPD Stock Comparison
EXPD currently leads AAPL in this stock comparison, with AIQ scores of 71 vs 63. The clearest difference is value.
What is the main difference between AAPL and EXPD?
EXPD leads the current stock comparison as Expeditors International of Washington, Inc., with the clearest separation coming from value and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
Apple Inc. vs Expeditors International of Washington, Inc.
EXPD leads
EXPD leads by 8 AIQ points, primarily on Value and Momentum, and the lead has widened from 2 points over 30 sessions. Wall Street currently favors AAPL on target upside.
Competitive: 4 of 6 evidence groups support EXPD, its lead is widening, and its current signal state is conflicted.
Apple Inc.
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc.
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors EXPD over AAPL, 71 versus 63 as of Oct 21, 2026. EXPD's advantage is driven primarily by stronger value and momentum. EXPD also shows the weaker technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average, though analyst target upside currently favors AAPL. 4 of 6 covered evidence groups favor EXPD today, and the comparison is rated Competitive on stability: the leader is throwing conflicting signals. EXPD lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 2 to 8 points over 30 sessions.
Compare Apple Inc. and Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Total return with distributions reinvested, from daily closes.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000, distributions reinvested
Split-adjusted closes; each distribution is reinvested at the close on its ex-dividend date. Taxes and trading costs are not modeled.
Compare AAPL and EXPD against another ticker
Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Value38 vs 55EXPD +17
- Momentum70 vs 80EXPD +10
- Risk Resilience68 vs 73EXPD +5
- Quality80 vs 77Even
4 of 6 evidence groups favor EXPD. EXPD’s edge is concentrated in value and momentum.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-10-20, compared against the prior scored session 2026-10-19.
Largest factor move: Momentum -9
New signals
- MACD Bearish Crossover — bearish, momentum, short horizon
Largest factor move: Momentum +4
New signals
- RSI Overbought — bearish, momentum, short horizon
EXPD's lead widened by 4 AIQ points in the latest session.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — AAPL and EXPD both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
EXPD (Expeditors International of Washington, Inc.): the stronger current systematic profile, led by value and momentum.
AAPL (Apple Inc.): the counter-case, on fundamentals, analyst expectations.
The AIQ Score and Wall Street therefore point in different directions on this pair.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
EXPDEXPD on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
EXPDEXPD on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
EXPDEXPD on the peer-relative Value factor, by 17 points.
Momentum
EXPDEXPD on the Momentum factor, by 10 points.
Lower downside
EXPDEXPD on Risk Resilience, by 5 points.
Analyst upside
AAPLAAPL on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
The model and the Street disagree here: AIQ favors EXPD, analyst targets favor AAPL. That disagreement is the most useful thing on this page.
| Measure | AAPL | EXPD | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | -3.3% | -9.7% | AAPL has more room |
| Target dispersion | +46.6% | +42.2% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Buy | Hold | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 19 | 7 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
The two are measuring different things. The AIQ Score reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; analyst targets price forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something already priced in — it is worth resolving before acting on either.
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Dividend growth
| Dividend metric | AAPL | EXPD |
|---|---|---|
| 5Y dividend CAGR | 4.99% | 8.17% |
| 2020 regular DPS | $0.808 | $1.040 |
| 2025 regular DPS | $1.030 | $1.540 |
| Years increased | 5 | 5 |
| No cut in window | Yes | Yes |
| Cohort rank | #254 | #141 |
EXPD grew its split-adjusted regular dividend faster over 2020–2025 — 8.17% a year against AAPL's 4.99%. Neither company reduced its regular dividend in any year of the window.
Yield and payout ratio shown elsewhere on this page are current values, not part of the study window.
Split-adjusted regular dividends per share, 2020–2025, excluding special dividends. Research as of Sep 19, 2026.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
4 of 6 covered evidence groups favor EXPD. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | EXPD | 63 vs 71 |
| Fundamentals | AAPLon balance | revenue growth -1.6% vs 25.8%; TTM ROE 137.2% vs 40.7%; gross margin 48.7% vs 23.9%; operating margin 33.2% vs 9.8% — AAPL takes 3 of 4 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | EXPD | Value 38 vs 55 |
| Technicals | EXPD | Price vs 50-day 5.2% vs 3.8%; vs 200-day 15.8% vs 20% |
| Risk Resilience | EXPD | Risk Resilience 68 vs 73 |
| Analyst expectations | AAPL | Target upside -3.3% vs -9.7% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of AAPL and EXPD and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The two are close enough that your objective, not the score, should decide.
- The AIQ gap is moderate at 8 points.
- The leader's advantage has been widening. (supports the conclusion holding)
- The lead has been steady session to session. (supports the conclusion holding)
- The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on EXPD.
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Jun 21 – Oct 20EXPD lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 2 to 8 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- EXPD +8
- 63 vs 71
- 7 sessions ago
- EXPD +10
- 61 vs 71
- 30 sessions ago
- EXPD +2
- 63 vs 65
- 90 sessions ago
- EXPD +20
- 51 vs 71
The lead changed hands 4 times in this window, most recently on Sep 24 when AAPL moved ahead of EXPD.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
4 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted
Only AAPL
- MACD Bearish Crossover — bearish, momentum, short horizon
5 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted
Only EXPD
- RSI Overbought — bearish, momentum, short horizon
- MACD Bullish Crossover — bullish, momentum, short horizon
Both carry 4 more signals that do not separate them: Golden Cross Active, EMA Ribbon Expansion Bullish, 52-Week High Proximity, Uptrend Structure Active.
EXPD leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Price is up while the AIQ Score moved down 2 points over the same session — price and model disagree (price +1.32%, AIQ -2 points).
Price is down while the AIQ Score moved up 2 points over the same session — price and model disagree (price -0.71%, AIQ +2 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1AAPL closes the Value gap — currently 17 points behind, the largest single contributor to EXPD's edge.
- 2AAPL generates a confirmed bullish trend signal it does not currently carry, such as MACD Bullish Crossover.
- 3EXPD's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 5 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
AAPL leads on balance| Metric | AAPL | EXPD |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | -1.6% | 25.8% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 1% | 18% |
| Gross margin | 48.7% | 23.9% |
| Operating margin | 33.2% | 9.8% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 137.2% | 40.7% |
| Debt to equity | 0.78 | 0.27 |
Performance
EXPD leads 6 of 6 windows| Metric | AAPL | EXPD |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | -0.5% | 1.7% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | -0.1% | 5.8% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | 4.2% | 11.8% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | 27.6% | 31.4% |
| Year to date | 24.9% | 32.6% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | 37.2% | 67.8% |
Technicals
EXPD has the stronger structure| Metric | AAPL | EXPD |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 60.5 | 75.8 |
| ADX (14) | 17.9 | 24.6 |
| Price vs 50-day | 5.2% | 3.8% |
| Price vs 200-day | 15.8% | 20% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 16.4% | 20.3% |
Risk
EXPD is the more resilient| Metric | AAPL | EXPD |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.62 | 0.5 |
| Sharpe ratio | 1.18 | 1.67 |
| Sortino ratio | 1.6 | 2.03 |
| Max drawdown | -13.8% | -15.9% |
| Current drawdown | -1.1% | -0.1% |
| Annualized volatility | 24.4% | 30.7% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -2% | -2.2% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, AAPL or EXPD?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, EXPD is the stronger of the two as of Oct 21, 2026, scoring 71 against AAPL's 63. The edge comes from value and momentum. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is AAPL or EXPD the better buy right now?
EXPD carries the stronger systematic profile as of Oct 21, 2026, and the comparison is rated Competitive — 4 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Competitive rating means the two are close enough that your objective, not the score, should decide.
Why does the AIQ Score favor EXPD over AAPL?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. EXPD leads Value by 17 points; EXPD leads Momentum by 10 points; EXPD leads Risk Resilience by 5 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, AAPL or EXPD?
Analyst price targets imply -3.3% upside for AAPL and -9.7% for EXPD, so the Street currently favors AAPL. That points the opposite way to the AIQ Score, which favors EXPD. The two are measuring different things: the model reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; the Street is pricing forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something the analysts have already priced — it is the single most useful row on this page to investigate. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, AAPL or EXPD?
EXPD is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. EXPD on the peer-relative Value factor, by 17 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, AAPL or EXPD?
EXPD on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, AAPL or EXPD?
EXPD on the Momentum factor, by 10 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, AAPL or EXPD?
EXPD is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. EXPD on Risk Resilience, by 5 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is AAPL more profitable than EXPD?
AAPL leads on the comparable margin measures — gross margin 48.7% vs 23.9%; operating margin 33.2% vs 9.8%; ttm roe 137.2% vs 40.7%.
Is EXPD's lead over AAPL getting stronger or weaker?
EXPD lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 2 to 8 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-06-21 and 2026-10-20. The lead has changed hands 4 times in that window, most recently on 2026-09-24, when AAPL moved ahead of EXPD.
What would change the AAPL vs EXPD verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: AAPL closes the Value gap — currently 17 points behind, the largest single contributor to EXPD's edge; AAPL generates a confirmed bullish trend signal it does not currently carry, such as MACD Bullish Crossover; EXPD's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 5 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once; a regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
What do the current signals say about AAPL and EXPD?
AAPL: 4 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted. EXPD: 5 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on AAPL is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On EXPD it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).
Compare AAPL and EXPD with others
Continue your research
This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.