AAPL vs EXPE Stock Comparison
AAPL currently leads EXPE in this stock comparison, with AIQ scores of 62 vs 54. The clearest difference is risk resilience, while EXPE has the stronger value profile.
What is the main difference between AAPL and EXPE?
AAPL leads the current stock comparison as Apple Inc., with the clearest separation coming from risk resilience and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
Apple Inc. vs Expedia Group, Inc.
AAPL leads
AAPL leads by 8 AIQ points, primarily on Risk Resilience and Momentum. Wall Street currently favors EXPE on target upside.
Fragile: 3 of 6 evidence groups support AAPL, and its current signal state is conflicted.
Apple Inc.
Expedia Group, Inc.
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors AAPL over EXPE, 62 versus 54 as of Oct 31, 2026. AAPL's advantage is driven primarily by stronger risk resilience and momentum, while EXPE holds the stronger value profile. AAPL also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average, though analyst target upside currently favors EXPE. 3 of 6 covered evidence groups favor AAPL today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: only 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. AAPL lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 8 points over 30 sessions.
Compare Apple Inc. and Expedia Group, Inc. across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Total return with distributions reinvested, from daily closes.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000, distributions reinvested
Split-adjusted closes; each distribution is reinvested at the close on its ex-dividend date. Taxes and trading costs are not modeled.
Compare AAPL and EXPE against another ticker
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AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Risk Resilience69 vs 43AAPL +26
- Momentum65 vs 52AAPL +13
- Quality80 vs 70AAPL +10
- Value38 vs 44EXPE +6
3 of 6 evidence groups favor AAPL. AAPL’s edge is concentrated in risk resilience and momentum; EXPE keeps a meaningful value edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-10-30, compared against the prior scored session 2026-10-29.
No factor moved materially.
No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 5 active signals are unchanged.
No factor moved materially.
No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 4 active signals are unchanged.
AAPL's lead was unchanged in the latest session.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — AAPL and EXPE both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
AAPL (Apple Inc.): the stronger current systematic profile, led by risk resilience and momentum.
EXPE (Expedia Group, Inc.): the counter-case, on value, fundamentals, valuation — but at materially higher volatility, 44.1% against 13.6%.
The AIQ Score and Wall Street therefore point in different directions on this pair.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
AAPLAAPL on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
EXPEEXPE on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
EXPEEXPE on the peer-relative Value factor, by 6 points.
Momentum
AAPLAAPL on the Momentum factor, by 13 points.
Lower downside
AAPLAAPL on Risk Resilience, by 26 points.
Analyst upside
EXPEEXPE on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
The model and the Street disagree here: AIQ favors AAPL, analyst targets favor EXPE. That disagreement is the most useful thing on this page.
| Measure | AAPL | EXPE | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | -1.7% | +11.2% | EXPE has more room |
| Target dispersion | +45.7% | +61.3% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Hold | Hold | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 19 | 17 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
The two are measuring different things. The AIQ Score reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; analyst targets price forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something already priced in — it is worth resolving before acting on either.
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Dividend growth
| Dividend metric | AAPL | EXPE |
|---|---|---|
| 5Y dividend CAGR | 4.99% | 36.31% |
| 2020 regular DPS | $0.808 | $0.340 |
| 2025 regular DPS | $1.030 | $1.600 |
| Years increased | 5 | — |
| No cut in window | Yes | — |
| Cohort rank | #254 | not ranked |
EXPE grew its split-adjusted regular dividend faster over 2020–2025 — 36.31% a year against AAPL's 4.99%.
Yield and payout ratio shown elsewhere on this page are current values, not part of the study window.
Split-adjusted regular dividends per share, 2020–2025, excluding special dividends. Research as of Sep 19, 2026.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
3 of 6 covered evidence groups favor AAPL. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | AAPL | 62 vs 54 |
| Fundamentals | EXPEon balance | revenue growth -1.6% vs 25.9%; TTM ROE 137.2% vs 184.8%; gross margin 48.7% vs 90.4%; operating margin 33.2% vs 18.8% — EXPE takes 3 of 4 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | EXPE | Value 38 vs 44 |
| Technicals | AAPL | Price vs 50-day 3.9% vs -0.7%; vs 200-day 16.3% vs 6.3% |
| Risk Resilience | AAPL | Risk Resilience 69 vs 43 |
| Analyst expectations | EXPE | Target upside -1.7% vs 11.2% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of AAPL and EXPE and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is moderate at 8 points.
- Only 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on AAPL.
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Jul 1 – Oct 30AAPL lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 8 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- AAPL +8
- 62 vs 54
- 7 sessions ago
- AAPL +6
- 65 vs 59
- 30 sessions ago
- AAPL +7
- 60 vs 53
- 90 sessions ago
- AAPL +8
- 65 vs 57
The lead changed hands 5 times in this window, most recently on Oct 21 when AAPL moved ahead of EXPE.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
4 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted
Only AAPL
- 52-Week High Proximity — bullish, risk, long horizon (1.3%)
- Uptrend Structure Active — bullish, trend, long horizon
- MACD Bearish Crossover — bearish, momentum, short horizon
3 bullish / 0 bearish / 1 neutral
Only EXPE
- ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode — neutral, volatility, short horizon (4.28%)
- MACD Bullish Crossover — bullish, momentum, short horizon
Both carry 2 more signals that do not separate them: Golden Cross Active, EMA Ribbon Expansion Bullish.
AAPL leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price -1.23%, AIQ 0 points).
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price +1.13%, AIQ 0 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1EXPE closes the Risk Resilience gap — currently 26 points behind, the largest single contributor to AAPL's edge.
- 2EXPE's ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode turns directional — it is neutral today and would confirm a change in trend.
- 3AAPL's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 4 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
EXPE leads on balance| Metric | AAPL | EXPE |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | -1.6% | 25.9% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 1% | 149.4% |
| Gross margin | 48.7% | 90.4% |
| Operating margin | 33.2% | 18.8% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 137.2% | 184.8% |
| Debt to equity | 0.78 | 4.7 |
Performance
AAPL leads 5 of 6 windows| Metric | AAPL | EXPE |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | 0% | -3.5% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | 3.2% | 4.6% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | 3.1% | -5.9% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | 27.3% | 10% |
| Year to date | 26.5% | -2.7% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | 30.8% | 25.9% |
Technicals
AAPL has the stronger structure| Metric | AAPL | EXPE |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 54.7 | 52.7 |
| ADX (14) | 19.9 | 21.7 |
| Price vs 50-day | 3.9% | -0.7% |
| Price vs 200-day | 16.3% | 6.3% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 13.6% | 44.1% |
Risk
AAPL is the more resilient| Metric | AAPL | EXPE |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.56 | 0.92 |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.98 | 0.57 |
| Sortino ratio | 1.32 | 0.84 |
| Max drawdown | -13.8% | -37.4% |
| Current drawdown | -1.3% | -18.8% |
| Annualized volatility | 24% | 51% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -2% | -4.3% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, AAPL or EXPE?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, AAPL is the stronger of the two as of Oct 31, 2026, scoring 62 against EXPE's 54. The edge comes from risk resilience and momentum. EXPE is not without a case — it holds the better value profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is AAPL or EXPE the better buy right now?
AAPL carries the stronger systematic profile as of Oct 31, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: only 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. Treat the lead as provisional.
Why does the AIQ Score favor AAPL over EXPE?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. AAPL leads Risk Resilience by 26 points; AAPL leads Momentum by 13 points; AAPL leads Quality by 10 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, AAPL or EXPE?
Analyst price targets imply -1.7% upside for AAPL and +11.2% for EXPE, so the Street currently favors EXPE. That points the opposite way to the AIQ Score, which favors AAPL. The two are measuring different things: the model reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; the Street is pricing forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something the analysts have already priced — it is the single most useful row on this page to investigate. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, AAPL or EXPE?
EXPE is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. EXPE on the peer-relative Value factor, by 6 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, AAPL or EXPE?
EXPE on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, AAPL or EXPE?
AAPL on the Momentum factor, by 13 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, AAPL or EXPE?
AAPL is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. AAPL on Risk Resilience, by 26 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is AAPL more profitable than EXPE?
The profitability evidence is mixed: gross margin 48.7% vs 90.4%; operating margin 33.2% vs 18.8%; ttm roe 137.2% vs 184.8%. AAPL leads on one measure and EXPE on two measures, and there is no single profitability composite that resolves the split — which of the two reads as "more profitable" depends on whether you weight pricing power or operating leverage.
Is AAPL's lead over EXPE getting stronger or weaker?
AAPL lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 8 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-07-01 and 2026-10-30. The lead has changed hands 5 times in that window, most recently on 2026-10-21, when AAPL moved ahead of EXPE.
What would change the AAPL vs EXPE verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: EXPE closes the Risk Resilience gap — currently 26 points behind, the largest single contributor to AAPL's edge; EXPE's ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode turns directional — it is neutral today and would confirm a change in trend; AAPL's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 4 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once; a regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
What do the current signals say about AAPL and EXPE?
AAPL: 4 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted. EXPE: 3 bullish / 0 bearish / 1 neutral. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on AAPL is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On EXPE it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).
Compare AAPL and EXPE with others
Continue your research
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How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.