ACGL vs QQQ Stock Comparison
Compare ACGL and QQQ across AIQ Score, fundamentals, valuation, momentum, risk, analyst expectations and current market evidence.
What is the main difference between ACGL and QQQ?
ACGL leads the current stock comparison as Arch Capital Group Ltd., with the clearest separation coming from value and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
Arch Capital Group Ltd. vs Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
ACGL leads
ACGL leads by 1 AIQ points, primarily on Value, having only recently taken the lead back from QQQ.
Fragile: 1 of 4 evidence groups support ACGL, the lead recently changed hands, and its current signal state is conflicted.
Arch Capital Group Ltd.
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors ACGL over QQQ, 57 versus 56 as of Sep 11, 2026. ACGL's advantage is driven primarily by stronger value, while QQQ holds the stronger risk resilience profile. ACGL also shows the weaker technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average. 1 of 4 covered evidence groups favor ACGL today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: the AIQ gap is narrow at 1 points. ACGL lead: Reversed — QQQ led by 5 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; ACGL now leads by 1.
Compare Arch Capital Group Ltd. and Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1 across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Price-return comparison using available daily close history.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000
Based on available close-price history. Distribution reinvestment is not added unless already reflected in the source series.
Compare ACGL and QQQ against another ticker
Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Value63 vs 30ACGL +33
- Risk Resilience55 vs 75QQQ +20
- Quality68 vs 83QQQ +15
- Momentum37 vs 45QQQ +8
1 of 4 evidence groups favor ACGL. ACGL’s edge is concentrated in value; QQQ keeps a meaningful risk resilience edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-09-10, compared against the prior scored session 2026-09-09.
Largest factor move: Momentum +4
No new signals fired.
Largest factor move: Momentum -17
No new signals fired.
The lead changed hands: ACGL moved ahead of QQQ in the latest snapshot.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — ACGL and QQQ both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
ACGL (Arch Capital Group Ltd.): the stronger current systematic profile, led by value.
QQQ (Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1): the counter-case, on risk resilience, quality, momentum.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
ACGLACGL on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
EvenGrowth figures are not covered for both names.
Value
ACGLACGL on the peer-relative Value factor, by 33 points.
Momentum
QQQQQQ on the Momentum factor, by 8 points.
Lower downside
QQQQQQ on Risk Resilience, by 20 points.
Analyst upside
EvenAnalyst targets are level or not covered for both names.
AIQ vs Wall Street
Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.
| Measure | ACGL | QQQ | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +17% | — | Level |
| Target dispersion | +21.3% | — | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Buy | — | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 6 | — | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
1 of 4 covered evidence groups favor ACGL. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | Even | 57 vs 56 |
| Fundamentals | Not covered | Not covered |
| Valuation | ACGL | Value 63 vs 30 |
| Technicals | QQQ | Price vs 50-day -3.9% vs 0.6%; vs 200-day 0% vs 7.5% |
| Risk Resilience | QQQ | Risk Resilience 55 vs 75 |
| Analyst expectations | Not covered | Not covered |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of ACGL and QQQ and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is narrow at 1 points. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- Only 1 of 4 covered evidence groups agree. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The lead has already changed hands inside the comparison window. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on ACGL.
How the comparison changed
119 daily snapshots · May 4 – Sep 10ACGL lead: Reversed — QQQ led by 5 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; ACGL now leads by 1.
- Today
- ACGL +1
- 57 vs 56
- 7 sessions ago
- ACGL +1
- 60 vs 59
- 30 sessions ago
- QQQ +5
- 59 vs 64
- 90 sessions ago
- ACGL +18
- 68 vs 50
The lead changed hands 8 times in this window, most recently on Sep 10 when ACGL moved ahead of QQQ.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
1 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (3.96%)
- Bollinger Band Squeeze — neutral, volatility, short horizon
- MACD Bearish Crossover — bearish, momentum, short horizon
2 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (7.75%)
- EMA Ribbon Expansion Bullish — bullish, trend, medium horizon
- ATR Contraction - Coiling — neutral, volatility, short horizon (1.27%)
ACGL leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Price is down while the AIQ Score moved up 1 points over the same session — price and model disagree (price -0.11%, AIQ +1 points).
Price is up while the AIQ Score moved down 5 points over the same session — price and model disagree (price +0.87%, AIQ -5 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1QQQ closes the Value gap — currently 33 points behind, the largest single contributor to ACGL's edge.
- 2QQQ's ATR Contraction - Coiling turns directional — it is neutral today and would confirm a change in trend.
- 3ACGL's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 1 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
Split| Metric | ACGL | QQQ |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 2.5% | — |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 5.9% | — |
| Gross margin | 46.2% | — |
| Operating margin | 27.4% | — |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 19.5% | — |
| Debt to equity | 0.18 | — |
Performance
QQQ leads 4 of 6 windows| Metric | ACGL | QQQ |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | -2% | -0.1% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | -1.1% | -2.1% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | 5.4% | 2.2% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | 1.5% | 16.6% |
| Year to date | 0.3% | 15.4% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | 5.8% | 22.4% |
Technicals
QQQ has the stronger structure| Metric | ACGL | QQQ |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 37.6 | 48.1 |
| ADX (14) | 12.2 | 9.8 |
| Price vs 50-day | -3.9% | 0.6% |
| Price vs 200-day | 0% | 7.5% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 17.9% | 13% |
Risk
QQQ is the more resilient| Metric | ACGL | QQQ |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | -0.3 | 1.42 |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.26 | 0.92 |
| Sortino ratio | 0.35 | 1.38 |
| Max drawdown | -14.1% | -12.2% |
| Current drawdown | -9.7% | -5% |
| Annualized volatility | 21.3% | 19.7% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -2.3% | -1.9% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, ACGL or QQQ?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, ACGL is the stronger of the two as of Sep 11, 2026, scoring 57 against QQQ's 56. The edge comes from value. QQQ is not without a case — it holds the better risk resilience profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is ACGL or QQQ the better buy right now?
ACGL carries the stronger systematic profile as of Sep 11, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 1 of 4 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: the AIQ gap is narrow at 1 points. Treat the lead as provisional.
Why does the AIQ Score favor ACGL over QQQ?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. ACGL leads Value by 33 points; QQQ leads Risk Resilience by 20 points; QQQ leads Quality by 15 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, ACGL or QQQ?
Analyst price targets imply +17% upside for ACGL and not covered for QQQ. The model and the Street agree here, which is a broader base of evidence than either alone. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, ACGL or QQQ?
ACGL is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. ACGL on the peer-relative Value factor, by 33 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, ACGL or QQQ?
Growth figures are not covered for both names. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, ACGL or QQQ?
QQQ on the Momentum factor, by 8 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, ACGL or QQQ?
QQQ is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. QQQ on Risk Resilience, by 20 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is ACGL more profitable than QQQ?
Margin data is not comparable for both names in the current snapshot.
Is ACGL's lead over QQQ getting stronger or weaker?
ACGL lead: Reversed — QQQ led by 5 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; ACGL now leads by 1. This is measured from 119 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-05-04 and 2026-09-10. The lead has changed hands 8 times in that window, most recently on 2026-09-10, when ACGL moved ahead of QQQ.
What would change the ACGL vs QQQ verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: QQQ closes the Value gap — currently 33 points behind, the largest single contributor to ACGL's edge; QQQ's ATR Contraction - Coiling turns directional — it is neutral today and would confirm a change in trend; ACGL's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 1 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once; a regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
What do the current signals say about ACGL and QQQ?
ACGL: 1 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. QQQ: 2 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on ACGL is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On QQQ it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).
Continue your research
This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.