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Arch Capital Group Ltd. (ACGL) Stock Analysis

Arch Capital Group Ltd. (ACGL) stock analysis covering valuation, fundamentals, technical indicators, risk, AIQ Momentum, analyst catalysts, dividends, and the current AIQ Score.

ACGL Stock Analysis Summary

Arch Capital Group Ltd. (ACGL) currently has an AIQ Score of 67/100, indicating a neutral setup. Momentum is the strongest factor at 80/100. Risk is the weakest current factor at 54/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Oct 30, 2026 · Market-close data

ACGL at a Glance

Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close stock snapshot.

MetricCurrent
Price$106.36
AIQ Score67/100
Overall ViewNeutral
Technical Analysis ConsensusStrong Buy
Market Cap$34.45B
P/E Ratio (TTM)7.61
Forward P/E—
EPS (quarter ended 2026-06-30)$3.05
Revenue (quarter ended 2026-06-30)$4.47B
Dividend Yield (TTM)0.00%
Beta0.29
Volume2.48M
52-week range$84.00-$107.09
RSI 1472.51
50-Day SMA$97.80
200-Day SMA$96.72
Analyst Price Target$109.67
Next EarningsFeb 8, 2027
As of Oct 30, 2026 · Market close

ACGLArch Capital Group Ltd.

Financial Services / Insurance - Diversified

Leader

Strong Relative Position

NeutralEdge 9/10
$106.36+$2.42 (+2.33%)

Latest quote

  • Momentum
    80
  • Value
    63
  • Quality
    68
  • Risk resilience
    54
  • Sentiment
    —
algovestiq.comScore data as of Oct 30, 2026

ACGL Stock Analysis Summary

Arch Capital Group Ltd. (ACGL) currently has an AIQ Score of 67/100, indicating a neutral setup. Momentum is the strongest factor at 80/100. Risk resilience is the weakest current factor at 54/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Oct 30, 2026 · Market-close data
AIQ Composite Posture: Mixed

In a neutral regime, ACGL has AIQ Score of 67/100 with Momentum base of 80/100 and fading Risk resilience at 54/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.

Signal Conflict Detected

Momentum (80/100) leads while Risk resilience (54/100) lags. This cross-factor spread creates entry timing uncertainty.

Financial Services · 2.33% stock move · ACGL classified in Insurance - Diversified.

Current Evidence

NeutralACGL is in a neutral AIQ regime; Momentum is the strongest visible factor at 80/100.
Core coverage reflects visible evidence only

AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary

Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.

Is ACGL Bullish or Bearish Right Now?

ACGL currently has a neutral overall setup. Momentum is the strongest factor at 80/100, while Risk Resilience is weakest at 54/100. The current evidence suggests a mixed rather than strongly bullish or bearish setup.

Bull Case
  • - Quality is supportive at 68/100.
  • - Momentum is constructive at 80/100.
  • - Price is +6.28% above its 50-day SMA.
  • - Analyst target implies +3.11% upside from the latest quote.
  • - Technical consensus has more buy votes than sell votes (37 vs 6).
Bear Case
  • - No strong bearish evidence is available in the current snapshot.

Current Consensus

ACGL's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Strong Buy, with 37 buy, 2 neutral, and 6 sell votes. ACGL's 14-day RSI is 72.51, which places the stock in an overbought momentum range. ACGL's beta is 0.29, indicating lower market sensitivity than the broad market.

Signal Confidence
High agreement

What Changed in ACGL?

The largest recent change in ACGL is AIQ Score moving down by 1.0 points over the available 7-day comparison window. Momentum remains the strongest visible factor.

AIQ Score
-1.0
Momentum
-1.0
Quality
+0.0
Risk
+0.0

What Would Change the ACGL Outlook?

The current neutral outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, earnings revisions strengthen, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, analyst expectations deteriorate, or risk evidence worsens.

Bullish confirmation

AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive catalyst or estimate-revision evidence.

Bearish deterioration

AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.

ACGL Decision Framework

Public evidence layers, setup checks, and risk context for Arch Capital Group Ltd..

Arch Capital Group Ltd. (ACGL) Stock Analysis

Arch Capital Group Ltd. has an AIQ Score of 67/100 in a Neutral regime. Momentum is strongest at 80/100. Beta is 0.26, below market sensitivity. Review the supporting stock factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.

Evidence LayerPublic Evidence
Regime ContextACGL is in a Neutral AIQ regime with score 67/100.
Signal ConflictThe primary conflict is that momentum leads at 80/100 while risk lags at 54/100.
Factor EvidenceMomentum 80/100 · Value 63/100 · Quality 68/100 · Risk 54/100
PersistenceCurrent snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro.

Current Setup Checklist

Factor strengthPass

Momentum is the strongest factor at 80/100.

TimingPass

Momentum is 80/100 and RSI (14) is 72.5.

Regime fitPass

ACGL is in a Neutral regime at 67/100.

Risk controlWait

Risk factor is 54/100 with beta 0.26 and annual volatility 20.58%.

ConflictWait

Current conflict: momentum leads at 80/100 while risk lags at 54/100.

AIQ Score
67/100
Price
$106.36
Beta
0.26
RSI (14)
72.5

ACGL Research Cluster

Ticker-specific paths for valuation, technical analysis, catalysts, dividends, financials, risk, and news.

ACGL Fundamentals

ACGL valuation, profitability, growth, margins, balance-sheet strength, and free cash flow.

Revenue
$4.47B
Net income
$1.06B
Free cash flow
$1.31B
View full ACGL fundamental analysis

ACGL Technical Analysis

ACGL technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.

Technical Analysis Consensus
Strong Buy
RSI 14
72.51
Price vs SMA-50
+6.28%
View full ACGL technical analysis

ACGL Stock Catalysts

Track ACGL earnings, analyst ratings, price targets, estimate revisions, stock news, and upcoming events.

Next earnings
Feb 8, 2027
Analyst target
$109.67
News items
0
View ACGL earnings and stock catalysts

ACGL Dividend Analysis

ACGL dividend yield, annual dividend, payout ratio, payment history, and income reliability context.

Dividend yield
4.70%
Annual dividend
$5.00
Payout ratio
0.96%
View ACGL dividend history and analysis

ACGL Financial Data

ACGL revenue, earnings, income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, valuation ratios, and stock metrics.

Quarter revenue
$4.47B
EPS
$3.05
Periods
4
View ACGL financials

ACGL Risk Analysis

ACGL volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.

Beta
0.29
Risk score
54/100
1Y volatility
20.58%
View ACGL risk analysis

ACGL Stock News

ACGL stock news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.

News items
0
Updated
—
Sentiment
—
Read ACGL stock news

ACGL vs Insurance Peers

Current peer cohort: ACGL · AFG · AFL · AIG · AIZ. Compare AIQ, factor scores, Sharpe ratio and 1-year volatility in one indexable view.

PeerAIQValueMomentumRiskSharpe1Y VolatilityCompare
ACGL
Current stock
67/10063/10080/10054/1000.8520.58%Current
AFG
American Financial Group
63/10058/10080/10061/1000.7918.20%ACGL vs AFG
AFL
Aflac
63/10041/10080/10076/1000.7617.55%ACGL vs AFL
AIG
American International Group
63/10063/10077/10065/1000.1423.87%ACGL vs AIG
AIZ
Assurant
70/10060/10084/10064/1001.4722.29%ACGL vs AIZ
Pairwise Compare links: AFG · AFL · AIG · AIZACGL vs AFGACGL vs AFLACGL vs AIGACGL vs AIZCompare cohort

Peer cohort is resolved dynamically from the AlgovestIQ universe taxonomy and Compare relationship graph. Data as of Oct 29, 2026.

About the AIQ Score

Methodology for the current stock evidence.

As of Oct 30, 2026 · Market close

The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of stock evidence, including momentum, valuation exposure, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.

View AIQ methodology

Factor Diagnostics

A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.

Calculator
Calculate a ACGL stock return scenario

Open the return calculator with stock context while purchase price, shares, dates and fees remain user inputs.

Calculate stock return

AIQ Component Profile

Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.

Catalyst preview

Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.

Open catalysts
Quarterly evidence

4 recent quarterly periods are available for review.

Checked Oct 31, 2026

AIQ Pro

Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.

Fundamentals Verdict

Current snapshot fields are separate from reported-quarter statement tables.

Current TTM P/E
7.61
As of Oct 29, 2026
Revenue growth
—
Gross margin
46.19%
Current debt / equity
0.18
Latest quarterly evidence

Latest period Jun 30, 2026.

Review fundamentals
Quarter revenue
$4.47B
Quarter net income
$1.06B
Quarter free cash flow
$1.31B

Market Confirmation

Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.

Trend
Bullish
Momentum
Bullish
RSI 14
72.51
MACD
1.7

Risk Alignment

Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.

Resilience
54/100
Beta
0.26
Annual volatility
20.58%
Max drawdown
-14.08%

ACGL Stock FAQ

What is ACGL stock price today?

Arch Capital Group Ltd.'s current stock price is $106.36. Use the live quote with AIQ Score, news, and risk context rather than treating price alone as a decision signal.

Is ACGL bullish or bearish right now?

ACGL's bullish or bearish read depends on the current AIQ Score, factor alignment, technical analysis consensus, valuation, risk, and catalyst evidence. A mixed setup should be treated differently from a broad confirmation across those signals.

What is ACGL's market cap?

ACGL's market cap is $34.45B based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. Use it with P/E ratio, revenue, and growth metrics to frame company size, valuation, and peer comparisons.

What is ACGL's current P/E ratio?

ACGL's current P/E ratio is 7.61 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. Read it with revenue growth, margins, EPS, cash flow, and peer valuation rather than using P/E alone.

What is ACGL's RSI?

ACGL's 14-day RSI is 72.51 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. RSI should be interpreted with MACD, moving averages, volume, volatility, and price trend.

Is ACGL above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?

ACGL is 6.28% from its 50-day SMA and 7.46% from its 200-day SMA based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. Moving-average position should be read with momentum and broader AIQ evidence.

When is ACGL's next earnings date?

ACGL's next earnings date is currently listed as Feb 8, 2027. Earnings can reset revenue, EPS, price target, analyst rating, and catalyst expectations.

Does ACGL pay a dividend?

ACGL's dividend yield is 0.00% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. Dividend yield should be read with payout ratio, free cash flow, growth, and balance-sheet strength.