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Arch Capital Group Ltd. (ACGL) Stock Analysis

Arch Capital Group Ltd. (ACGL) stock analysis covering valuation, fundamentals, technical indicators, risk, AIQ Momentum, analyst catalysts, dividends, and the current AIQ Score.

ACGL Stock Analysis Summary

Arch Capital Group Ltd. (ACGL) currently has an AIQ Score of 57/100, indicating a neutral setup. Quality is the strongest factor at 68/100. Momentum is the weakest current factor at 30/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Sep 11, 2026 · Market-close data

ACGL at a Glance

Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close stock snapshot.

MetricCurrent
Price$96.09
AIQ Score57/100
Overall ViewNeutral
Technical Analysis ConsensusStrong Sell
Market Cap$34.45B
P/E Ratio9.11
Forward P/E
EPS$3.05
Revenue TTM$4.47B
Dividend Yield0.00%
Beta0.29
Volume2.33M
52-week range$82.45-$107.09
RSI 1437.61
50-Day SMA$99.92
200-Day SMA$96.18
Analyst Price Target$112.43
Next EarningsOct 26, 2026
As of Sep 11, 2026 · Market close

ACGL

Overview
Arch Capital Group Ltd.
Financial Services· Insurance - Diversified
AIQ Score
NeutralAIQ Edge 8/10
Relative Leader / Watch
Strong Relative Position
Score data as of Sep 11, 2026
Last price
$96.09
-$0.11 (-0.11%)
Latest market quote
Momentum30
Value63
Quality68
Risk Resilience55
Sentiment
View financial data

ACGL Stock Analysis Summary

Arch Capital Group Ltd. (ACGL) currently has an AIQ Score of 57/100, indicating a neutral setup. Quality is the strongest factor at 68/100. Momentum is the weakest current factor at 30/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Sep 11, 2026 · Market-close data
AIQ Composite Posture: Mixed

In a neutral regime, ACGL has AIQ Score of 57/100 with Quality base of 68/100 and fading Momentum at 30/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.

Signal Conflict Detected

Quality (68/100) leads while Momentum (30/100) lags. This cross-factor spread creates entry timing uncertainty.

Financial Services · -0.11% stock move · ACGL classified in Insurance - Diversified.

Current Evidence

NeutralACGL is in a neutral AIQ regime; Quality is the strongest visible factor at 68/100.
Core coverage reflects visible evidence only

AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary

Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.

Is ACGL Bullish or Bearish Right Now?

ACGL currently has a neutral overall setup. Quality is the strongest factor at 68/100, while Momentum is weakest at 30/100. The current evidence suggests a mixed rather than strongly bullish or bearish setup.

Bull Case
  • - Quality is supportive at 68/100.
  • - Analyst target implies +17.00% upside from the latest quote.
Bear Case
  • - Momentum is weak at 30/100.
  • - Price is -0.08% below its 200-day SMA.
  • - Technical consensus has more sell votes than buy votes (36 vs 3).

Current Consensus

ACGL's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Strong Sell, with 3 buy, 6 neutral, and 36 sell votes. ACGL's 14-day RSI is 37.61, which places the stock in a weaker momentum range. ACGL's beta is 0.29, indicating lower market sensitivity than the broad market.

Signal Confidence
High agreement

What Changed in ACGL?

Recent score-change history is not available in the current snapshot. These are the latest market-close scores instead.

AIQ Score
57/100
Momentum
30/100
Quality
68/100
Risk
55/100

What Would Change the ACGL Outlook?

The current neutral outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, earnings revisions strengthen, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, analyst expectations deteriorate, or risk evidence worsens.

Bullish confirmation

AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive catalyst or estimate-revision evidence.

Bearish deterioration

AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.

ACGL Decision Framework

Public evidence layers, setup checks, and risk context for Arch Capital Group Ltd..

Arch Capital Group Ltd. (ACGL) Stock Analysis

Arch Capital Group Ltd. has an AIQ Score of 57/100 in a Neutral regime. Quality is strongest at 68/100. Beta is 0.29, below market sensitivity. Review the supporting stock factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.

Evidence LayerPublic Evidence
Regime ContextACGL is in a Neutral AIQ regime with score 57/100.
Signal ConflictThe primary conflict is that quality leads at 68/100 while momentum lags at 30/100.
Factor EvidenceMomentum 30/100 · Value 63/100 · Quality 68/100 · Risk 55/100
PersistenceCurrent snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro.

Current Setup Checklist

Factor strengthPass

Quality is the strongest factor at 68/100.

TimingFail

Momentum is 30/100 and RSI (14) is 36.9.

Regime fitWait

ACGL is in a Neutral regime at 57/100.

Risk controlWait

Risk factor is 55/100 with beta 0.29 and annual volatility 21.3%.

ConflictWait

Current conflict: quality leads at 68/100 while momentum lags at 30/100.

AIQ Score
57/100
Price
$96.09
Beta
0.29
RSI (14)
36.9

ACGL Research Cluster

Ticker-specific paths for valuation, technical analysis, catalysts, dividends, financials, risk, and news.

ACGL Fundamentals

ACGL valuation, profitability, growth, margins, balance-sheet strength, and free cash flow.

Revenue
$4.47B
Net income
$1.06B
Free cash flow
$1.31B
View full ACGL fundamental analysis

ACGL Technical Analysis

ACGL technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.

Technical Analysis Consensus
Strong Sell
RSI 14
37.61
Price vs SMA-50
-3.88%
View full ACGL technical analysis

ACGL Stock Catalysts

Track ACGL earnings, analyst ratings, price targets, estimate revisions, stock news, and upcoming events.

Next earnings
Oct 26, 2026
Analyst target
$112.43
News items
2
View ACGL earnings and stock catalysts

ACGL Dividend Analysis

ACGL dividend yield, annual dividend, payout ratio, payment history, and income reliability context.

Dividend yield
5.20%
Annual dividend
$5.00
Payout ratio
View ACGL dividend history and analysis

ACGL Financial Data

ACGL revenue, earnings, income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, valuation ratios, and stock metrics.

Quarter revenue
$4.47B
EPS
$3.05
Periods
8
View ACGL financials

ACGL Risk Analysis

ACGL volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.

Beta
0.29
Risk score
55/100
1Y volatility
21.30%
View ACGL risk analysis

ACGL Stock News

ACGL stock news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.

News items
2
Updated
Sep 11, 2026
Sentiment
Read ACGL stock news

ACGL vs Insurance Peers

Current peer cohort: ACGL · AFG · AFL · AIG · AIZ. Compare AIQ, factor scores, Sharpe ratio and 1-year volatility in one indexable view.

PeerAIQValueMomentumRiskSharpe1Y VolatilityCompare
ACGL
Current stock
55/10063/10030/10055/1000.2621.30%Current
AFG
American Financial Group
54/10059/10042/10063/1000.0719.12%ACGL vs AFG
AFL
Aflac
56/10043/10046/10076/1000.2817.34%ACGL vs AFL
AIG
American International Group
54/10064/10037/10067/100-0.1924.23%ACGL vs AIG
AIZ
Assurant
64/10061/10057/10066/1001.2922.27%ACGL vs AIZ
Pairwise Compare links: AFG · AFL · AIG · AIZACGL vs AFGACGL vs AFLACGL vs AIGACGL vs AIZCompare cohort

Peer cohort is resolved dynamically from the AlgovestIQ universe taxonomy and Compare relationship graph. Data as of Sep 11, 2026.

About the AIQ Score

Methodology for the current stock evidence.

As of Sep 11, 2026 · Market close

The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of stock evidence, including momentum, valuation exposure, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.

View AIQ methodology

Factor Diagnostics

A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.

Calculator
Calculate a ACGL stock return scenario

Open the return calculator with stock context while purchase price, shares, dates and fees remain user inputs.

Calculate stock return

AIQ Component Profile

Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.

Catalyst preview

Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.

Open catalysts
Quarterly evidence

8 recent quarterly periods are available for review.

Checked Sep 11, 2026

AIQ Pro

Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.

Fundamentals Verdict

Current snapshot fields are separate from reported-quarter statement tables.

Current TTM P/E
7.61
As of Sep 10, 2026
Revenue growth
2.55%
Gross margin
46.19%
Current debt / equity
0.18
Latest quarterly evidence

Latest period Jun 30, 2026.

Review fundamentals
Quarter revenue
$4.47B
Quarter net income
$1.06B
Quarter free cash flow
$1.31B

Market Confirmation

Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.

Trend
Mixed
Momentum
Bearish
RSI 14
36.88
MACD
-0.8

Risk Alignment

Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.

Resilience
55/100
Beta
0.29
Annual volatility
21.30%
Max drawdown
-14.08%

ACGL Stock FAQ

What is ACGL stock price today?

Arch Capital Group Ltd.'s current stock price is $96.09. Use the live quote with AIQ Score, news, and risk context rather than treating price alone as a decision signal.

Is ACGL bullish or bearish right now?

ACGL's bullish or bearish read depends on the current AIQ Score, factor alignment, technical analysis consensus, valuation, risk, and catalyst evidence. A mixed setup should be treated differently from a broad confirmation across those signals.

What is ACGL's market cap?

ACGL's market cap is $34.45B based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. Use it with P/E ratio, revenue, and growth metrics to frame company size, valuation, and peer comparisons.

What is ACGL's current P/E ratio?

ACGL's current P/E ratio is 9.11 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. Read it with revenue growth, margins, EPS, cash flow, and peer valuation rather than using P/E alone.

What is ACGL's RSI?

ACGL's 14-day RSI is 37.61 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. RSI should be interpreted with MACD, moving averages, volume, volatility, and price trend.

Is ACGL above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?

ACGL is -3.88% from its 50-day SMA and -0.08% from its 200-day SMA based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. Moving-average position should be read with momentum and broader AIQ evidence.

When is ACGL's next earnings date?

ACGL's next earnings date is currently listed as Oct 26, 2026. Earnings can reset revenue, EPS, price target, analyst rating, and catalyst expectations.

Does ACGL pay a dividend?

ACGL's dividend yield is 0.00% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. Dividend yield should be read with payout ratio, free cash flow, growth, and balance-sheet strength.