ADSK vs MSFT Stock Comparison
ADSK currently leads MSFT in this stock comparison, with AIQ scores of 71 vs 67. The clearest difference is momentum, while MSFT has the stronger risk resilience profile.
What is the main difference between ADSK and MSFT?
ADSK leads the current stock comparison as Autodesk, Inc., with the clearest separation coming from momentum and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
Autodesk, Inc. vs Microsoft Corporation
ADSK leads
ADSK leads by 4 AIQ points, primarily on Momentum and Value, having only recently taken the lead back from MSFT.
Fragile: 3 of 6 evidence groups support ADSK, the lead recently changed hands, and its current signal state is conflicted.
Autodesk, Inc.
Microsoft Corporation
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors ADSK over MSFT, 71 versus 67 as of Oct 21, 2026. ADSK's advantage is driven primarily by stronger momentum and value, while MSFT holds the stronger risk resilience profile. ADSK also shows the weaker technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average. 3 of 6 covered evidence groups favor ADSK today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: the AIQ gap is narrow at 4 points. ADSK lead: Reversed — MSFT led by 10 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; ADSK now leads by 4.
Compare Autodesk, Inc. and Microsoft Corporation across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Total return with distributions reinvested, from daily closes.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000, distributions reinvested
Split-adjusted closes; each distribution is reinvested at the close on its ex-dividend date. Taxes and trading costs are not modeled.
Compare ADSK and MSFT against another ticker
Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Risk Resilience47 vs 67MSFT +20
- Momentum88 vs 70ADSK +18
- Value57 vs 44ADSK +13
- Quality84 vs 89MSFT +5
3 of 6 evidence groups favor ADSK. ADSK’s edge is concentrated in momentum and value; MSFT keeps a meaningful risk resilience edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-10-20, compared against the prior scored session 2026-10-19.
Largest factor move: Risk Resilience +1, not enough on its own to move the overall score.
No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 4 active signals are unchanged.
Largest factor move: Momentum -4
No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 4 active signals are unchanged.
ADSK's lead widened by 1 AIQ point in the latest session.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — ADSK and MSFT both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
ADSK (Autodesk, Inc.): the stronger current systematic profile, led by momentum and value.
MSFT (Microsoft Corporation): the counter-case, on risk resilience, quality, technicals.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
ADSKADSK on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
MSFTMSFT on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
ADSKADSK on the peer-relative Value factor, by 13 points.
Momentum
ADSKADSK on the Momentum factor, by 18 points.
Lower downside
MSFTMSFT on Risk Resilience, by 20 points.
Analyst upside
ADSKADSK on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.
| Measure | ADSK | MSFT | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +23% | +6% | ADSK has more room |
| Target dispersion | +51.1% | +57.5% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Buy | Buy | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 15 | 24 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
3 of 6 covered evidence groups favor ADSK. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | ADSK | 71 vs 67 |
| Fundamentals | Even | revenue growth 5.8% vs 8.6%; TTM ROE 52.5% vs 33.2%; gross margin 91.2% vs 67.9%; operating margin 27.5% vs 46.8% |
| Valuation | ADSK | Value 57 vs 44 |
| Technicals | MSFT | Price vs 50-day 5.1% vs 5.2%; vs 200-day 4.4% vs 22% |
| Risk Resilience | MSFT | Risk Resilience 47 vs 67 |
| Analyst expectations | ADSK | Target upside 23% vs 6% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of ADSK and MSFT and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is narrow at 4 points. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- Only 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The lead has already changed hands inside the comparison window. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on ADSK.
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Jun 21 – Oct 20ADSK lead: Reversed — MSFT led by 10 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; ADSK now leads by 4.
- Today
- ADSK +4
- 71 vs 67
- 7 sessions ago
- ADSK +2
- 72 vs 70
- 30 sessions ago
- MSFT +10
- 57 vs 67
- 90 sessions ago
- MSFT +6
- 64 vs 70
The lead changed hands 6 times in this window, most recently on Oct 15 when ADSK moved ahead of MSFT.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
2 bullish / 2 bearish, conflicted
Only ADSK
- Death Cross Active — bearish, trend, long horizon (0.99%)
- Keltner Channel Breakout — bullish, volatility, short horizon
- RSI Overbought — bearish, momentum, short horizon
- MACD Bullish Crossover — bullish, momentum, short horizon
3 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted
Only MSFT
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (16.27%)
- EMA Ribbon Expansion Bullish — bullish, trend, medium horizon
- Uptrend Structure Active — bullish, trend, long horizon
- MACD Bearish Crossover — bearish, momentum, short horizon
ADSK leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price -0.3%, AIQ 0 points).
Price is up while the AIQ Score moved down 1 points over the same session — price and model disagree (price +0.2%, AIQ -1 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1MSFT closes the Momentum gap — currently 18 points behind, the largest single contributor to ADSK's edge.
- 2MSFT generates a confirmed bullish trend signal it does not currently carry, such as MACD Bullish Crossover.
- 3ADSK's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 2 bullish and 2 bearish rules at once.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
Split| Metric | ADSK | MSFT |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 5.8% | 8.6% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 0% | 12.4% |
| Gross margin | 91.2% | 67.9% |
| Operating margin | 27.5% | 46.8% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 52.5% | 33.2% |
| Debt to equity | 1.1 | 0.29 |
Performance
MSFT leads 4 of 6 windows| Metric | ADSK | MSFT |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | 6.6% | -2.1% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | 11.8% | 6.8% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | 15.9% | 36.3% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | 0% | 25.4% |
| Year to date | -17% | 10% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | -18.1% | 4% |
Technicals
MSFT has the stronger structure| Metric | ADSK | MSFT |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 80.4 | 62.3 |
| ADX (14) | 23.2 | 34.6 |
| Price vs 50-day | 5.1% | 5.2% |
| Price vs 200-day | 4.4% | 22% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 37.8% | 21.7% |
Risk
MSFT is the more resilient| Metric | ADSK | MSFT |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.49 | 1.02 |
| Sharpe ratio | -0.45 | 0.15 |
| Sortino ratio | -0.65 | 0.24 |
| Max drawdown | -40% | -34.9% |
| Current drawdown | -21.5% | -2.1% |
| Annualized volatility | 39.1% | 33% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -4.2% | -2.8% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, ADSK or MSFT?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, ADSK is the stronger of the two as of Oct 21, 2026, scoring 71 against MSFT's 67. The edge comes from momentum and value. MSFT is not without a case — it holds the better risk resilience profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is ADSK or MSFT the better buy right now?
ADSK carries the stronger systematic profile as of Oct 21, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: the AIQ gap is narrow at 4 points. Treat the lead as provisional.
Why does the AIQ Score favor ADSK over MSFT?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. MSFT leads Risk Resilience by 20 points; ADSK leads Momentum by 18 points; ADSK leads Value by 13 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, ADSK or MSFT?
Analyst price targets imply +23% upside for ADSK and +6% for MSFT, so the Street currently favors ADSK. The model and the Street agree here, which is a broader base of evidence than either alone. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, ADSK or MSFT?
ADSK is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. ADSK on the peer-relative Value factor, by 13 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, ADSK or MSFT?
MSFT on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, ADSK or MSFT?
ADSK on the Momentum factor, by 18 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, ADSK or MSFT?
MSFT is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. MSFT on Risk Resilience, by 20 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is ADSK more profitable than MSFT?
The profitability evidence is mixed: gross margin 91.2% vs 67.9%; operating margin 27.5% vs 46.8%; ttm roe 52.5% vs 33.2%. ADSK leads on two measures and MSFT on one measure, and there is no single profitability composite that resolves the split — which of the two reads as "more profitable" depends on whether you weight pricing power or operating leverage.
Is ADSK's lead over MSFT getting stronger or weaker?
ADSK lead: Reversed — MSFT led by 10 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; ADSK now leads by 4. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-06-21 and 2026-10-20. The lead has changed hands 6 times in that window, most recently on 2026-10-15, when ADSK moved ahead of MSFT.
What would change the ADSK vs MSFT verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: MSFT closes the Momentum gap — currently 18 points behind, the largest single contributor to ADSK's edge; MSFT generates a confirmed bullish trend signal it does not currently carry, such as MACD Bullish Crossover; ADSK's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 2 bullish and 2 bearish rules at once; a regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
What do the current signals say about ADSK and MSFT?
ADSK: 2 bullish / 2 bearish, conflicted. MSFT: 3 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on ADSK is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon). On MSFT it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).
Compare ADSK and MSFT with others
Continue your research
This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.