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Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) Stock Analysis

Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) stock analysis covering valuation, fundamentals, technical indicators, risk, AIQ Momentum, analyst catalysts, dividends, and the current AIQ Score.

MSFT Stock Analysis Summary

Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) currently has an AIQ Score of 67/100, indicating a neutral setup. Quality is the strongest factor at 89/100. Value is the weakest current factor at 44/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Oct 21, 2026 · Market-close data

MSFT at a Glance

Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close stock snapshot.

MetricCurrent
Price$532.95
AIQ Score67/100
Overall ViewNeutral
Technical Analysis ConsensusStrong Buy
Market Cap$3.72T
P/E Ratio (TTM)27.83
Forward P/E—
EPS (quarter ended 2026-06-30)$4.81
Revenue (quarter ended 2026-06-30)$90.01B
Dividend Yield (TTM)0.73%
Beta1.1
Volume13.9M
52-week range$349.20-$553.72
RSI 1462.91
50-Day SMA$507.30
200-Day SMA$436.10
Analyst Price Target$565.18
Next EarningsOct 28, 2026
As of Oct 21, 2026 · Market close

MSFTMicrosoft Corporation

Technology / Software - Infrastructure

Leader

Strong Relative Position

NeutralEdge 9/10
$532.95+$1.08 (+0.20%)

Latest quote

  • Momentum
    69
  • Value
    44
  • Quality
    89
  • Risk resilience
    67
  • Sentiment
    70
algovestiq.comScore data as of Oct 21, 2026

MSFT Stock Analysis Summary

Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) currently has an AIQ Score of 67/100, indicating a neutral setup. Quality is the strongest factor at 89/100. Value is the weakest current factor at 44/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Oct 21, 2026 · Market-close data
AIQ Composite Posture: Mixed

In a neutral regime, MSFT has AIQ Score of 67/100 with Quality base of 89/100 and fading Value at 44/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.

Signal Conflict Detected

Quality (89/100) leads while Value (44/100) lags. This cross-factor spread creates entry timing uncertainty.

Technology · 0.20% stock move · MSFT classified in Software - Infrastructure.

Current Evidence

NeutralMSFT is in a neutral AIQ regime; Quality is the strongest visible factor at 89/100.
Core coverage reflects visible evidence only

AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary

Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.

Is MSFT Bullish or Bearish Right Now?

MSFT currently has a neutral overall setup. Quality is the strongest factor at 89/100, while Value is weakest at 44/100. The current evidence suggests a mixed rather than strongly bullish or bearish setup.

Bull Case
  • - Quality is supportive at 89/100.
  • - Momentum is constructive at 69/100.
  • - Risk Resilience is supportive at 67/100.
  • - Price is +5.06% above its 50-day SMA.
  • - Analyst target implies +6.05% upside from the latest quote.
Bear Case
  • - Value is the current constraint at 44/100.

Current Consensus

MSFT's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Strong Buy, with 31 buy, 9 neutral, and 5 sell votes. MSFT's 14-day RSI is 62.91, which places the stock in a constructive momentum range. MSFT's beta is 1.1, indicating market sensitivity broadly in line with the market.

Signal Confidence
High agreement

What Changed in MSFT?

The largest recent change in MSFT is Momentum moving down by 14.0 points over the available 7-day comparison window. Quality remains the strongest visible factor.

AIQ Score
-4.0
Momentum
-14.0
Quality
+0.0
Risk
+0.0

What Would Change the MSFT Outlook?

The current neutral outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, earnings revisions strengthen, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, analyst expectations deteriorate, or risk evidence worsens.

Bullish confirmation

AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive catalyst or estimate-revision evidence.

Bearish deterioration

AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.

MSFT Decision Framework

Public evidence layers, setup checks, and risk context for Microsoft Corporation.

Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) Stock Analysis

Microsoft Corporation has an AIQ Score of 67/100 in a Neutral regime. Quality is strongest at 89/100. Beta is 1.1, close to market sensitivity. Review the supporting stock factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.

Evidence LayerPublic Evidence
Regime ContextMSFT is in a Neutral AIQ regime with score 67/100.
Signal ConflictThe primary conflict is that quality leads at 89/100 while value lags at 44/100.
Factor EvidenceMomentum 69/100 · Value 44/100 · Quality 89/100 · Risk 67/100 · Sentiment 70/100
PersistenceCurrent snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro.

Current Setup Checklist

Factor strengthPass

Quality is the strongest factor at 89/100.

TimingPass

Momentum is 69/100 and RSI (14) is 62.9.

Regime fitPass

MSFT is in a Neutral regime at 67/100.

Risk controlPass

Risk factor is 67/100 with beta 1.1 and annual volatility 33.01%.

ConflictWait

Current conflict: quality leads at 89/100 while value lags at 44/100.

AIQ Score
67/100
Price
$532.95
Beta
1.1
RSI (14)
62.9

MSFT Research Cluster

Ticker-specific paths for valuation, technical analysis, catalysts, dividends, financials, risk, and news.

MSFT Fundamentals

MSFT valuation, profitability, growth, margins, balance-sheet strength, and free cash flow.

Revenue
$90.01B
Net income
$35.77B
Free cash flow
$19.64B
View full MSFT fundamental analysis

MSFT Technical Analysis

MSFT technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.

Technical Analysis Consensus
Strong Buy
RSI 14
62.91
Price vs SMA-50
+5.06%
View full MSFT technical analysis

MSFT Stock Catalysts

Track MSFT earnings, analyst ratings, price targets, estimate revisions, stock news, and upcoming events.

Next earnings
Oct 28, 2026
Analyst target
$565.18
News items
2
View MSFT earnings and stock catalysts

MSFT Dividend Analysis

MSFT dividend yield, annual dividend, payout ratio, payment history, and income reliability context.

Dividend yield
0.68%
Annual dividend
$3.64
Payout ratio
19.77%
View MSFT dividend history and analysis

MSFT Financial Data

MSFT revenue, earnings, income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, valuation ratios, and stock metrics.

Quarter revenue
$90.01B
EPS
$4.81
Periods
3
View MSFT financials

MSFT Risk Analysis

MSFT volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.

Beta
1.1
Risk score
67/100
1Y volatility
33.01%
View MSFT risk analysis

MSFT Stock News

MSFT stock news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.

News items
2
Updated
Oct 21, 2026
Sentiment
70/100
Read MSFT stock news

MSFT vs Big Tech Peers

Current peer cohort: MSFT · ORCL · PLTR · CRM · ADBE. Compare AIQ, factor scores, Sharpe ratio and 1-year volatility in one indexable view.

PeerAIQValueMomentumRiskSharpe1Y VolatilityCompare
MSFT
Current stock
67/10044/10069/10067/1000.1433.01%Current
ORCL
Oracle
51/10061/10032/10023/100-1.1357.00%MSFT vs ORCL
PLTR
Palantir
61/10024/10066/10054/1000.460.94%MSFT vs PLTR
CRM
Salesforce
63/10064/10069/10049/1000.0447.37%MSFT vs CRM
ADBE
Adobe
72/10068/10067/10047/100-0.6141.38%MSFT vs ADBE
Pairwise Compare links: ORCL · PLTR · CRM · ADBEMSFT vs ORCLMSFT vs PLTRMSFT vs CRMMSFT vs ADBECompare cohort

Peer cohort is resolved dynamically from the AlgovestIQ universe taxonomy and Compare relationship graph. Data as of Oct 21, 2026.

How MSFT scores against the names it is most often compared with.

About the AIQ Score

Methodology for the current stock evidence.

As of Oct 21, 2026 · Market close

The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of stock evidence, including momentum, valuation exposure, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.

View AIQ methodology

Factor Diagnostics

A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.

Calculator
Calculate a MSFT stock return scenario

Open the return calculator with stock context while purchase price, shares, dates and fees remain user inputs.

Calculate stock return

AIQ Component Profile

Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.

Catalyst preview

Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.

Open catalysts
Quarterly evidence

3 recent quarterly periods are available for review.

Checked Oct 21, 2026

AIQ Pro

Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.

Fundamentals Verdict

Current snapshot fields are separate from reported-quarter statement tables.

Current TTM P/E
27.83
As of Oct 21, 2026
Revenue growth
—
Gross margin
67.94%
Current debt / equity
0.29
Latest quarterly evidence

Latest period Jun 30, 2026.

Review fundamentals
Quarter revenue
$90.01B
Quarter net income
$35.77B
Quarter free cash flow
$19.64B

Market Confirmation

Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.

Trend
Bullish
Momentum
Mixed
RSI 14
62.91
MACD
9.58

Risk Alignment

Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.

Resilience
67/100
Beta
1.1
Annual volatility
33.01%
Max drawdown
-34.91%

MSFT Stock FAQ

What is MSFT stock price today?

Microsoft Corporation's current stock price is $532.95. Use the live quote with AIQ Score, news, and risk context rather than treating price alone as a decision signal.

Is MSFT bullish or bearish right now?

MSFT's bullish or bearish read depends on the current AIQ Score, factor alignment, technical analysis consensus, valuation, risk, and catalyst evidence. A mixed setup should be treated differently from a broad confirmation across those signals.

What is MSFT's market cap?

MSFT's market cap is $3.72T based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Use it with P/E ratio, revenue, and growth metrics to frame company size, valuation, and peer comparisons.

What is MSFT's current P/E ratio?

MSFT's current P/E ratio is 27.83 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Read it with revenue growth, margins, EPS, cash flow, and peer valuation rather than using P/E alone.

What is MSFT's RSI?

MSFT's 14-day RSI is 62.91 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. RSI should be interpreted with MACD, moving averages, volume, volatility, and price trend.

Is MSFT above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?

MSFT is 5.06% from its 50-day SMA and 22.21% from its 200-day SMA based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Moving-average position should be read with momentum and broader AIQ evidence.

When is MSFT's next earnings date?

MSFT's next earnings date is currently listed as Oct 28, 2026. Earnings can reset revenue, EPS, price target, analyst rating, and catalyst expectations.

Does MSFT pay a dividend?

MSFT's dividend yield is 0.73% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Dividend yield should be read with payout ratio, free cash flow, growth, and balance-sheet strength.