APLD vs XLK Stock Comparison

Applied Digital Corp. vs State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF

Data as of Sep 2, 2026· market close· APLD (stock) vs XLK (ETF)· Coverage 53/66 fields· 30/42 directly comparable· Moderate confidence
AIQ VerdictStableAIQ Comparison Conviction 9/10

XLK leads

XLK leads by 32 AIQ points, primarily on Quality and Momentum.

Stable: 3 of 4 evidence groups support XLK.

Evidence agreement: 3 of 4
APLD

Applied Digital Corp.

AIQ Score
24/100
AIQ Edge Score
1/10
XLK

State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF

Leads
AIQ Score
56/100
AIQ Edge Score
7/10

The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors XLK over APLD, 56 versus 24 as of Sep 2, 2026. XLK's advantage is driven primarily by stronger quality and momentum. XLK also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average. 3 of 4 covered evidence groups favor XLK today, and the comparison is rated Stable on stability.

Compare Applied Digital Corp. and State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.

AIQ Factor Divergence

Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.

APLD advantage
0
XLK advantage
  • Quality30%10 vs 74
    XLK +64
  • Momentum25%24 vs 54
    XLK +30
  • Risk Resilience15%30 vs 60
    XLK +30
  • Value30%35 vs 36
    Even

3 of 4 evidence groups favor XLK. XLK’s edge is concentrated in quality and momentum.

Which one fits your objective

The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.

Balanced

XLK

XLK on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value at 30% each.

Growth

Even

Growth figures are not covered for both names.

Value

Even

The two are level on Value.

Momentum

XLK

XLK on the Momentum factor, by 30 points.

Lower downside

XLK

XLK on Risk Resilience, by 30 points.

Analyst upside

Even

Analyst targets are level or not covered for both names.

AIQ vs Wall Street

Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.

MeasureAPLDXLKNote
Implied upside to target+166.4%Level
Target dispersion+80.6%Lower is tighter analyst agreement
ConsensusBuyContext, not a primary driver
Analysts covering7Higher coverage generally improves confidence

Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.

AIQ Agreement Matrix

3 of 4 covered evidence groups favor XLK. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.

Evidence groupFavorsReading
AIQ ScoreXLK24 vs 56
FundamentalsNot coveredNot covered
ValuationEvenValue 35 vs 36
TechnicalsXLKPrice vs 50-day -17.8% vs 0.6%; vs 200-day -24.2% vs 15%
Risk ResilienceXLKRisk Resilience 30 vs 60
Analyst expectationsNot coveredNot covered

✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of APLD and XLK and are excluded from the count.

AIQ Decision Stability

Stable

The conclusion rests on a wide gap and broad agreement. It is unlikely to turn on a single session.

  • The AIQ gap is wide at 32 points. (supports the conclusion holding)

Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on XLK.

What would flip this result

A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.

  1. 1APLD closes the Quality gap — currently 64 points behind, the largest single contributor to XLK's edge.
  2. 2APLD generates a confirmed bullish trend signal it does not currently carry, such as Golden Cross Active or MACD Bullish Crossover.
  3. 3XLK starts generating bearish momentum or trend signals.
  4. 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — the composite weights Quality and Value at 30% each, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.

The full evidence

Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.

Fundamentals

Split
MetricAPLDXLK
Revenue growth (YoY)104.3%
EPS growth (YoY)-8.3%
Gross margin22.4%
Operating margin-33.7%
Return on equity-16.7%
Debt to equity2.86

Technicals

XLK has the stronger structure
MetricAPLDXLK
RSI (14)25.640.9
ADX (14)22.412.3
Price vs 50-day-17.8%0.6%
Price vs 200-day-24.2%15%
Volatility (1M, annualized)65.9%21%

Straight answers

Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.

Which is better, APLD or XLK?

On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, XLK is the stronger of the two as of Sep 2, 2026, scoring 56 against APLD's 24. The edge comes from quality and momentum. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.

Is APLD or XLK the better buy right now?

XLK carries the stronger systematic profile as of Sep 2, 2026, and the comparison is rated Stable — 3 of 4 covered evidence groups agree. A Stable rating means the gap is wide and the evidence is broad, so the conclusion is unlikely to turn on a single session.

Why does the AIQ Score favor XLK over APLD?

The composite weights Quality at 30%, Value at 30%, Momentum at 25% and Risk Resilience at 15%. XLK leads Quality by 64 points; XLK leads Momentum by 30 points; XLK leads Risk Resilience by 30 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.

Which has more analyst upside, APLD or XLK?

Analyst price targets imply +166.4% upside for APLD and not covered for XLK. The model and the Street agree here, which is a broader base of evidence than either alone. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.

Which is better value, APLD or XLK?

Neither name separates on the peer-relative Value factor. The two are level on Value. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.

Which has stronger growth, APLD or XLK?

Growth figures are not covered for both names. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.

Which has stronger momentum, APLD or XLK?

XLK on the Momentum factor, by 30 points. Momentum carries 25% of the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.

Which is riskier, APLD or XLK?

XLK is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. XLK on Risk Resilience, by 30 points. The Risk Resilience factor weights 15% of the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.

Is APLD more profitable than XLK?

Margin data is not comparable for both names in the current snapshot.

What would change the APLD vs XLK verdict?

The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: APLD closes the Quality gap — currently 64 points behind, the largest single contributor to XLK's edge; APLD generates a confirmed bullish trend signal it does not currently carry, such as Golden Cross Active or MACD Bullish Crossover; XLK starts generating bearish momentum or trend signals; a regime shift changes factor weighting — the composite weights Quality and Value at 30% each, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.

Compare APLD and XLK with others

How this comparison is scored

The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality (30%), Value (30%), Momentum (25%) and Risk (15%). Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.

The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.

How to use side-by-side comparison →

This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.