ARM vs DDOG Stock Comparison

Arm Holdings plc American Depositary Shares vs Datadog, Inc.

Data as of Sep 2, 2026· market close· Technology· Coverage 54/66 fields· Moderate confidence
AIQ VerdictFragileAIQ Comparison Conviction 2/10

ARM leads

ARM leads by 1 AIQ points, primarily on Quality.

Fragile: 2 of 6 evidence groups support ARM, and its current signal state is conflicted.

Evidence agreement: 2 of 6Comparison trend: Stable
ARM

Arm Holdings plc American Depositary Shares

Leads
AIQ Score
43/100
AIQ Edge Score
3/10
DDOG

Datadog, Inc.

AIQ Score
42/100
AIQ Edge Score
3/10

The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors ARM over DDOG, 43 versus 42 as of Sep 2, 2026. ARM's advantage is driven primarily by stronger quality, while DDOG holds the stronger risk resilience profile. ARM also shows the weaker technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average. 2 of 6 covered evidence groups favor ARM today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: the AIQ gap is narrow at 1 points. ARM lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 1 points over 30 sessions.

Compare Arm Holdings plc American Depositary Shares and Datadog, Inc. across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.

AIQ Factor Divergence

Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.

ARM advantage
0
DDOG advantage
  • Quality30%72 vs 60
    ARM +12
  • Risk Resilience15%39 vs 46
    DDOG +7
  • Momentum25%35 vs 41
    DDOG +6
  • Value30%24 vs 24
    Even

2 of 6 evidence groups favor ARM. ARM’s edge is concentrated in quality; DDOG keeps a meaningful risk resilience edge.

What changed since the last close

Latest scored session 2026-09-01, compared against the prior scored session 2026-08-31.

ARM0 AIQ

No factor moved materially.

No new signals fired.

DDOG0 AIQ

No factor moved materially.

No new signals fired.

ARM's lead was unchanged in the latest snapshot.

Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — ARM and DDOG both carry a full feed there.

The central trade-off

ARM (Arm Holdings plc American Depositary Shares): the stronger current systematic profile, led by quality.

DDOG (Datadog, Inc.): the counter-case, on risk resilience, momentum, technicals — but at materially higher volatility, 96% against 80.6%.

Which one fits your objective

The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.

Balanced

ARM

ARM on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value at 30% each.

Growth

DDOG

DDOG on combined revenue and EPS growth.

Value

Even

The two are level on Value.

Momentum

DDOG

DDOG on the Momentum factor, by 6 points.

Lower downside

DDOG

DDOG on Risk Resilience, by 7 points.

Analyst upside

ARM

ARM on implied upside to the consensus price target.

AIQ vs Wall Street

Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.

MeasureARMDDOGNote
Implied upside to target+54.7%+18.6%ARM has more room
Target dispersion+119.4%+72.4%Lower is tighter analyst agreement
ConsensusBuyBuyContext, not a primary driver
Analysts covering1230Higher coverage generally improves confidence

Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.

AIQ Agreement Matrix

2 of 6 covered evidence groups favor ARM. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.

Evidence groupFavorsReading
AIQ ScoreEven43 vs 42
FundamentalsARMon balancerevenue growth -13.5% vs 11.4%; EPS growth -13.8% vs -20%; ROE 13% vs 4.6%; gross margin 95.3% vs 79.5% — ARM takes 3 of 4 decided legs, not all of them
ValuationEvenValue 24 vs 24
TechnicalsDDOGPrice vs 50-day -17.8% vs -15.6%; vs 200-day 21.1% vs 34.9%
Risk ResilienceDDOGRisk Resilience 39 vs 46
Analyst expectationsARMTarget upside 54.7% vs 18.6%

✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of ARM and DDOG and are excluded from the count.

AIQ Decision Stability

Fragile

The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.

  • The AIQ gap is narrow at 1 points. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
  • Only 2 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
  • The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
  • Analyst targets on the leader are widely dispersed. (argues the conclusion is provisional)

Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on ARM.

How the comparison changed

120 daily snapshots · Apr 20 Sep 1

ARM lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 1 points over 30 sessions.

Apr 20ARM leads above the line · DDOG leads belowSep 1
Today
ARM +1
43 vs 42
7 sessions ago
ARM +1
44 vs 43
30 sessions ago
ARM +3
49 vs 46
90 sessions ago
Level
46 vs 46

The lead changed hands 3 times in this window, most recently on Aug 6 when ARM moved ahead of DDOG.

AIQ Signal Divergence

Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.

ARMConflicted

1 bullish / 2 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted

  • Golden Cross Active bullish, trend, long horizon (42.10%)
  • Beta Spike Warning bearish, risk, long horizon
  • ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode neutral, volatility, short horizon (7.37%)
DDOGConflicted

1 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted

  • Golden Cross Active bullish, trend, long horizon (42.07%)
  • ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode neutral, volatility, short horizon (5.92%)
  • MACD Bearish Crossover bearish, momentum, short horizon

ARM leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.

Price vs model alignment

Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.

ARMNo material change

Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price -0.62%, AIQ 0 points).

DDOGNo material change

Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price -5.86%, AIQ 0 points).

What would flip this result

A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.

  1. 1DDOG closes the Quality gap — currently 12 points behind, the largest single contributor to ARM's edge.
  2. 2DDOG's MACD Bearish Crossover resolves — a bearish momentum rule currently active against it.
  3. 3ARM's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 1 bullish and 2 bearish rules at once.
  4. 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — the composite weights Quality and Value at 30% each, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.

The full evidence

Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.

Fundamentals

ARM leads on balance
MetricARMDDOG
Revenue growth (YoY)-13.5%11.4%
EPS growth (YoY)-13.8%-20%
Gross margin95.3%79.5%
Operating margin17.3%0.4%
Return on equity13%4.6%
Debt to equity0.050.29

Technicals

DDOG has the stronger structure
MetricARMDDOG
RSI (14)34.944.3
ADX (14)10.715.3
Price vs 50-day-17.8%-15.6%
Price vs 200-day21.1%34.9%
Volatility (1M, annualized)80.6%96%

Risk

DDOG is the more resilient
MetricARMDDOG
Beta3.31.17
Sharpe ratio1.021.03
Sortino ratio1.871.76
Max drawdown-48.8%-48.6%
Current drawdown-45%-17.7%
Annualized volatility76.2%68.9%
Value at risk (95%)-6.8%-5.1%

Straight answers

Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.

Which is better, ARM or DDOG?

On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, ARM is the stronger of the two as of Sep 2, 2026, scoring 43 against DDOG's 42. The edge comes from quality. DDOG is not without a case — it holds the better risk resilience profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.

Is ARM or DDOG the better buy right now?

ARM carries the stronger systematic profile as of Sep 2, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 2 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: the AIQ gap is narrow at 1 points. Treat the lead as provisional.

Why does the AIQ Score favor ARM over DDOG?

The composite weights Quality at 30%, Value at 30%, Momentum at 25% and Risk Resilience at 15%. ARM leads Quality by 12 points; DDOG leads Risk Resilience by 7 points; DDOG leads Momentum by 6 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.

Which has more analyst upside, ARM or DDOG?

Analyst price targets imply +54.7% upside for ARM and +18.6% for DDOG, so the Street currently favors ARM. The model and the Street agree here, which is a broader base of evidence than either alone. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.

Which is better value, ARM or DDOG?

Neither name separates on the peer-relative Value factor. The two are level on Value. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.

Which has stronger growth, ARM or DDOG?

DDOG on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.

Which has stronger momentum, ARM or DDOG?

DDOG on the Momentum factor, by 6 points. Momentum carries 25% of the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.

Which is riskier, ARM or DDOG?

DDOG is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. DDOG on Risk Resilience, by 7 points. The Risk Resilience factor weights 15% of the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.

Is ARM more profitable than DDOG?

ARM leads on the comparable margin measures — gross margin 95.3% vs 79.5%; operating margin 17.3% vs 0.4%; roe 13% vs 4.6%.

Is ARM's lead over DDOG getting stronger or weaker?

ARM lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 1 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-04-20 and 2026-09-01. The lead has changed hands 3 times in that window, most recently on 2026-08-06, when ARM moved ahead of DDOG.

What would change the ARM vs DDOG verdict?

The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: DDOG closes the Quality gap — currently 12 points behind, the largest single contributor to ARM's edge; DDOG's MACD Bearish Crossover resolves — a bearish momentum rule currently active against it; ARM's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 1 bullish and 2 bearish rules at once; a regime shift changes factor weighting — the composite weights Quality and Value at 30% each, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.

What do the current signals say about ARM and DDOG?

ARM: 1 bullish / 2 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. DDOG: 1 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on ARM is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On DDOG it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).

Compare ARM and DDOG with others

How this comparison is scored

The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality (30%), Value (30%), Momentum (25%) and Risk (15%). Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.

The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.

How to use side-by-side comparison →

This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.