AWK vs INTC Stock Comparison
AWK currently leads INTC in this stock comparison, with AIQ scores of 51 vs 33. The clearest difference is momentum.
What is the main difference between AWK and INTC?
AWK leads the current stock comparison as American Water Works Company, Inc., with the clearest separation coming from momentum and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
American Water Works Company, Inc. vs Intel Corp.
AWK leads
AWK leads by 18 AIQ points, primarily on Momentum and Risk Resilience, having only recently taken the lead back from INTC. Wall Street currently favors INTC on target upside.
Fragile: 5 of 6 evidence groups support AWK, the lead recently changed hands, and its current signal state is conflicted.
American Water Works Company, Inc.
Intel Corp.
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors AWK over INTC, 51 versus 33 as of Oct 31, 2026. AWK's advantage is driven primarily by stronger momentum and risk resilience. AWK also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average, though analyst target upside currently favors INTC. 5 of 6 covered evidence groups favor AWK today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: the lead has already changed hands inside the comparison window. AWK lead: Reversed — INTC led by 3 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; AWK now leads by 18.
Compare American Water Works Company, Inc. and Intel Corp. across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Total return with distributions reinvested, from daily closes.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000, distributions reinvested
Split-adjusted closes; each distribution is reinvested at the close on its ex-dividend date. Taxes and trading costs are not modeled.
Compare AWK and INTC against another ticker
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AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Momentum82 vs 34AWK +48
- Risk Resilience48 vs 28AWK +20
- Value36 vs 30AWK +6
- Quality41 vs 39Even
5 of 6 evidence groups favor AWK. AWK’s edge is concentrated in momentum and risk resilience.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-10-28, compared against the prior scored session 2026-10-27.
Largest factor move: Momentum -1, not enough on its own to move the overall score.
No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 7 active signals are unchanged.
Largest factor move: Momentum +7
No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 3 active signals are unchanged.
AWK's lead narrowed by 1 AIQ point in the latest session.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — AWK and INTC both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
AWK (American Water Works Company, Inc.): the stronger current systematic profile, led by momentum and risk resilience.
INTC (Intel Corp.): the counter-case, on analyst expectations — but at materially higher volatility, 52.8% against 27.5%.
The AIQ Score and Wall Street therefore point in different directions on this pair.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
AWKAWK on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
AWKAWK on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
AWKAWK on the peer-relative Value factor, by 6 points.
Momentum
AWKAWK on the Momentum factor, by 48 points.
Lower downside
AWKAWK on Risk Resilience, by 20 points.
Analyst upside
INTCINTC on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
The model and the Street disagree here: AIQ favors AWK, analyst targets favor INTC. That disagreement is the most useful thing on this page.
| Measure | AWK | INTC | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | -1.5% | +76.7% | INTC has more room |
| Target dispersion | +24.6% | +107.6% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Hold | Hold | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 3 | 25 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
The two are measuring different things. The AIQ Score reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; analyst targets price forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something already priced in — it is worth resolving before acting on either.
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
5 of 6 covered evidence groups favor AWK. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | AWK | 51 vs 33 |
| Fundamentals | AWKon balance | revenue growth 12.3% vs 18.8%; EPS growth 59.4% vs -195.9%; TTM ROE 10.2% vs -10.8%; gross margin 47.2% vs 38.9% — AWK takes 3 of 4 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | AWK | Value 36 vs 30 |
| Technicals | AWK | Price vs 50-day 6.7% vs -35.3%; vs 200-day 5.7% vs 10.4% |
| Risk Resilience | AWK | Risk Resilience 48 vs 28 |
| Analyst expectations | INTC | Target upside -1.5% vs 76.7% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of AWK and INTC and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is wide at 18 points. (supports the conclusion holding)
- 5 of 6 covered evidence groups point the same way. (supports the conclusion holding)
- The lead has already changed hands inside the comparison window. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The lead has swung materially session to session. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on AWK.
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Jun 29 – Oct 28AWK lead: Reversed — INTC led by 3 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; AWK now leads by 18.
- Today
- AWK +18
- 51 vs 33
- 7 sessions ago
- AWK +20
- 51 vs 31
- 30 sessions ago
- INTC +3
- 37 vs 40
- 90 sessions ago
- AWK +16
- 48 vs 32
The lead changed hands 2 times in this window, most recently on Oct 9 when AWK moved ahead of INTC.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
6 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted
Only AWK
- Keltner Channel Breakout — bullish, volatility, short horizon
- RSI Overbought — bearish, momentum, short horizon
- EMA Ribbon Expansion Bullish — bullish, trend, medium horizon
- 52-Week High Proximity — bullish, risk, long horizon (1.6%)
- Uptrend Structure Active — bullish, trend, long horizon
- MACD Bullish Crossover — bullish, momentum, short horizon
1 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
Only INTC
- ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode — neutral, volatility, short horizon (5.58%)
- MACD Bearish Crossover — bearish, momentum, short horizon
Both carry 1 more signal that do not separate them: Golden Cross Active.
AWK leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price +1.52%, AIQ 0 points).
Price is down while the AIQ Score moved up 1 points over the same session — price and model disagree (price -28.58%, AIQ +1 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1INTC closes the Momentum gap — currently 48 points behind, the largest single contributor to AWK's edge.
- 2INTC's MACD Bearish Crossover resolves — a bearish momentum rule currently active against it.
- 3AWK's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 6 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
AWK leads on balance| Metric | AWK | INTC |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 12.3% | 18.8% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 59.4% | -195.9% |
| Gross margin | 47.2% | 38.9% |
| Operating margin | 36.9% | 0.1% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 10.2% | -10.8% |
| Debt to equity | 1.38 | 0.58 |
Performance
INTC leads 4 of 6 windows| Metric | AWK | INTC |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | 3.7% | 2.8% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | 8% | -20.5% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | 2.2% | 4.8% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | 5.9% | 6.3% |
| Year to date | 7.1% | 158.9% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | -1.3% | 149.6% |
Technicals
AWK has the stronger structure| Metric | AWK | INTC |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 74.9 | 36.1 |
| ADX (14) | 32.1 | 25.5 |
| Price vs 50-day | 6.7% | -35.3% |
| Price vs 200-day | 5.7% | 10.4% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 27.5% | 52.8% |
Risk
AWK is the more resilient| Metric | AWK | INTC |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | -0.45 | 3.08 |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.1 | 1.41 |
| Sortino ratio | 0.19 | 2.52 |
| Max drawdown | -13.3% | -41.9% |
| Current drawdown | -2.4% | -32.2% |
| Annualized volatility | 22.7% | 77.9% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -2.1% | -6.2% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, AWK or INTC?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, AWK is the stronger of the two as of Oct 31, 2026, scoring 51 against INTC's 33. The edge comes from momentum and risk resilience. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is AWK or INTC the better buy right now?
AWK carries the stronger systematic profile as of Oct 31, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 5 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: the lead has already changed hands inside the comparison window. Treat the lead as provisional.
Why does the AIQ Score favor AWK over INTC?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. AWK leads Momentum by 48 points; AWK leads Risk Resilience by 20 points; AWK leads Value by 6 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, AWK or INTC?
Analyst price targets imply -1.5% upside for AWK and +76.7% for INTC, so the Street currently favors INTC. That points the opposite way to the AIQ Score, which favors AWK. The two are measuring different things: the model reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; the Street is pricing forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something the analysts have already priced — it is the single most useful row on this page to investigate. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, AWK or INTC?
AWK is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. AWK on the peer-relative Value factor, by 6 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, AWK or INTC?
AWK on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, AWK or INTC?
AWK on the Momentum factor, by 48 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, AWK or INTC?
AWK is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. AWK on Risk Resilience, by 20 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is AWK more profitable than INTC?
AWK leads on the comparable margin measures — gross margin 47.2% vs 38.9%; operating margin 36.9% vs 0.1%; ttm roe 10.2% vs -10.8%.
Is AWK's lead over INTC getting stronger or weaker?
AWK lead: Reversed — INTC led by 3 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; AWK now leads by 18. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-06-29 and 2026-10-28. The lead has changed hands 2 times in that window, most recently on 2026-10-09, when AWK moved ahead of INTC.
What would change the AWK vs INTC verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: INTC closes the Momentum gap — currently 48 points behind, the largest single contributor to AWK's edge; INTC's MACD Bearish Crossover resolves — a bearish momentum rule currently active against it; AWK's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 6 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once; a regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
What do the current signals say about AWK and INTC?
AWK: 6 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted. INTC: 1 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on AWK is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On INTC it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).
Compare AWK and INTC with others
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This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.