CMG vs JPM Stock Comparison
JPM currently leads CMG in this stock comparison, with AIQ scores of 53 vs 35. The clearest difference is momentum, while CMG has the stronger quality profile.
What is the main difference between CMG and JPM?
JPM leads the current stock comparison as JPMorgan Chase & Co., with the clearest separation coming from momentum and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. vs JPMorgan Chase & Co.
JPM leads
JPM leads by 18 AIQ points, primarily on Momentum and Risk Resilience, and the lead has widened from 7 points over 30 sessions. Wall Street currently favors CMG on target upside.
Competitive: 4 of 6 evidence groups support JPM, its lead is widening, and its current signal state is conflicted.
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.
JPMorgan Chase & Co.
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors JPM over CMG, 53 versus 35 as of Oct 31, 2026. JPM's advantage is driven primarily by stronger momentum and risk resilience, while CMG holds the stronger quality profile. JPM also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average, though analyst target upside currently favors CMG. 4 of 6 covered evidence groups favor JPM today, and the comparison is rated Competitive on stability: the leader is throwing conflicting signals. JPM lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 7 to 18 points over 30 sessions.
Compare Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. and JPMorgan Chase & Co. across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Total return with distributions reinvested, from daily closes.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000, distributions reinvested
Split-adjusted closes; each distribution is reinvested at the close on its ex-dividend date. Taxes and trading costs are not modeled.
Compare CMG and JPM against another ticker
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AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Momentum25 vs 61JPM +36
- Risk Resilience40 vs 69JPM +29
- Value25 vs 44JPM +19
- Quality51 vs 46CMG +5
4 of 6 evidence groups favor JPM. JPM’s edge is concentrated in momentum and risk resilience; CMG keeps a meaningful quality edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-10-30, compared against the prior scored session 2026-10-29.
No factor moved materially.
No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 7 active signals are unchanged.
No factor moved materially.
No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 3 active signals are unchanged.
JPM's lead was unchanged in the latest session.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — CMG and JPM both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
JPM (JPMorgan Chase & Co.): the stronger current systematic profile, led by momentum and risk resilience.
CMG (Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.): the counter-case, on quality, fundamentals, analyst expectations — but at materially higher volatility, 43% against 13%.
The AIQ Score and Wall Street therefore point in different directions on this pair.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
JPMJPM on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
CMGCMG on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
JPMJPM on the peer-relative Value factor, by 19 points.
Momentum
JPMJPM on the Momentum factor, by 36 points.
Lower downside
JPMJPM on Risk Resilience, by 29 points.
Analyst upside
CMGCMG on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
The model and the Street disagree here: AIQ favors JPM, analyst targets favor CMG. That disagreement is the most useful thing on this page.
| Measure | CMG | JPM | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +30.1% | +10.7% | CMG has more room |
| Target dispersion | +33.7% | +32.2% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Buy | Buy | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 11 | 11 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
The two are measuring different things. The AIQ Score reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; analyst targets price forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something already priced in — it is worth resolving before acting on either.
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
4 of 6 covered evidence groups favor JPM. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | JPM | 35 vs 53 |
| Fundamentals | CMGon balance | revenue growth 8.4% vs -7.6%; EPS growth 39.1% vs -27.6%; TTM ROE 53.3% vs 17.9%; gross margin 24.1% vs 63.2%; operating margin 15.2% vs 28.2% — CMG takes 3 of 5 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | JPM | Value 25 vs 44 |
| Technicals | JPM | Price vs 50-day -4% vs -2%; vs 200-day -15.8% vs 5.2% |
| Risk Resilience | JPM | Risk Resilience 40 vs 69 |
| Analyst expectations | CMG | Target upside 30.1% vs 10.7% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of CMG and JPM and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The two are close enough that your objective, not the score, should decide.
- The AIQ gap is wide at 18 points. (supports the conclusion holding)
- The leader's advantage has been widening. (supports the conclusion holding)
- The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on JPM.
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Jul 1 – Oct 30JPM lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 7 to 18 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- JPM +18
- 35 vs 53
- 7 sessions ago
- JPM +15
- 35 vs 50
- 30 sessions ago
- JPM +7
- 37 vs 44
- 90 sessions ago
- JPM +1
- 50 vs 51
The lead changed hands once in this window, most recently on Sep 2 when JPM moved ahead of CMG.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
1 bullish / 4 bearish / 2 neutral, conflicted
Only CMG
- Bollinger Band Squeeze — neutral, volatility, short horizon
- Death Cross Active — bearish, trend, long horizon (2.81%)
- ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode — neutral, volatility, short horizon (3.84%)
- RSI Oversold - Potential Bounce — bullish, momentum, short horizon
- 52-Week Low Proximity — bearish, risk, long horizon (2.8%)
- Downtrend Structure Active — bearish, trend, long horizon
- MACD Bearish Crossover — bearish, momentum, short horizon
2 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted
Only JPM
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (6.57%)
- BB Upper Band Breach — bearish, volatility, short horizon
- MACD Bullish Crossover — bullish, momentum, short horizon
JPM leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price +1.95%, AIQ 0 points).
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price -1.9%, AIQ 0 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1CMG closes the Momentum gap — currently 36 points behind, the largest single contributor to JPM's edge.
- 2CMG's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it.
- 3JPM's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 2 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
CMG leads on balance| Metric | CMG | JPM |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 8.4% | -7.6% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 39.1% | -27.6% |
| Gross margin | 24.1% | 63.2% |
| Operating margin | 15.2% | 28.2% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 53.3% | 17.9% |
| Debt to equity | 2.46 | 3.32 |
Performance
JPM leads 5 of 6 windows| Metric | CMG | JPM |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | -10.1% | 2.6% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | -25.4% | -3.3% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | -12.9% | 9.7% |
| Year to date | -22.4% | 5.3% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | -30.3% | 12.9% |
Technicals
JPM has the stronger structure| Metric | CMG | JPM |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 24.5 | 60.9 |
| ADX (14) | 15.3 | 15 |
| Price vs 50-day | -4% | -2% |
| Price vs 200-day | -15.8% | 5.2% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 43% | 13% |
Risk
JPM is the more resilient| Metric | CMG | JPM |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.64 | 0.73 |
| Sharpe ratio | -0.65 | 0.41 |
| Sortino ratio | -0.83 | 0.56 |
| Max drawdown | -32.7% | -15.5% |
| Current drawdown | -29.7% | -7.1% |
| Annualized volatility | 43.3% | 22% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -4% | -2.4% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, CMG or JPM?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, JPM is the stronger of the two as of Oct 31, 2026, scoring 53 against CMG's 35. The edge comes from momentum and risk resilience. CMG is not without a case — it holds the better quality profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is CMG or JPM the better buy right now?
JPM carries the stronger systematic profile as of Oct 31, 2026, and the comparison is rated Competitive — 4 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Competitive rating means the two are close enough that your objective, not the score, should decide.
Why does the AIQ Score favor JPM over CMG?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. JPM leads Momentum by 36 points; JPM leads Risk Resilience by 29 points; JPM leads Value by 19 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, CMG or JPM?
Analyst price targets imply +30.1% upside for CMG and +10.7% for JPM, so the Street currently favors CMG. That points the opposite way to the AIQ Score, which favors JPM. The two are measuring different things: the model reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; the Street is pricing forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something the analysts have already priced — it is the single most useful row on this page to investigate. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, CMG or JPM?
JPM is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. JPM on the peer-relative Value factor, by 19 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, CMG or JPM?
CMG on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, CMG or JPM?
JPM on the Momentum factor, by 36 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, CMG or JPM?
JPM is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. JPM on Risk Resilience, by 29 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is CMG more profitable than JPM?
The profitability evidence is mixed: gross margin 24.1% vs 63.2%; operating margin 15.2% vs 28.2%; ttm roe 53.3% vs 17.9%. CMG leads on one measure and JPM on two measures, and there is no single profitability composite that resolves the split — which of the two reads as "more profitable" depends on whether you weight pricing power or operating leverage.
Is JPM's lead over CMG getting stronger or weaker?
JPM lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 7 to 18 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-07-01 and 2026-10-30. The lead has changed hands once in that window, most recently on 2026-09-02, when JPM moved ahead of CMG.
What would change the CMG vs JPM verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: CMG closes the Momentum gap — currently 36 points behind, the largest single contributor to JPM's edge; CMG's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it; JPM's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 2 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once; a regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
What do the current signals say about CMG and JPM?
CMG: 1 bullish / 4 bearish / 2 neutral, conflicted. JPM: 2 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on CMG is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon). On JPM it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).
Compare CMG and JPM with others
Continue your research
This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.