Stock Analysis
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG) Stock Analysis
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG) stock analysis covering valuation, fundamentals, technical indicators, risk, AIQ Momentum, analyst catalysts, dividends, and the current AIQ Score.
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG) currently has an AIQ Score of 39/100, indicating a bearish setup. Sentiment is the strongest factor at 71/100. Value is the weakest current factor at 25/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.
CMG at a Glance
Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close stock snapshot.
| Metric | Current |
|---|---|
| Price | $31.89 |
| AIQ Score | 39/100 |
| Overall View | Bearish |
| Technical Analysis Consensus | Buy |
| Market Cap | $48.1B |
| P/E Ratio (TTM) | 34.4 |
| Forward P/E | — |
| EPS (quarter ended 2026-06-30) | $0.32 |
| Revenue (quarter ended 2026-06-30) | $3.35B |
| Dividend Yield (TTM) | 0.00% |
| Beta | 0.94 |
| Volume | 24.39M |
| 52-week range | $27.31-$41.42 |
| RSI 14 | 48.31 |
| 50-Day SMA | $33.14 |
| 200-Day SMA | $34.10 |
| Analyst Price Target | $41.50 |
| Next Earnings | Feb 2, 2027 |
CMGChipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.
Consumer Cyclical / Restaurants
Low Priority
Relative Laggard
Latest quote
- Momentum41
- Value25
- Quality51
- Risk resilience37
- Sentiment71
CMG Stock Analysis Summary
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG) currently has an AIQ Score of 39/100, indicating a bearish setup. Sentiment is the strongest factor at 71/100. Value is the weakest current factor at 25/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.
In a bearish regime, CMG has AIQ Score of 39/100 with Sentiment base of 71/100 and fading Value at 25/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.
Sentiment (71/100) leads while Value (25/100) lags. This cross-factor spread creates entry timing uncertainty.
Consumer Cyclical · 1.95% stock move · CMG classified in Restaurants.
Current Evidence
AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary
Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.
Is CMG Bullish or Bearish Right Now?
CMG currently has a bearish overall setup. Sentiment is the strongest factor at 71/100, while Value is weakest at 25/100. The current evidence suggests a defensive setup.
- - Analyst target implies +30.13% upside from the latest quote.
- - Technical consensus has more buy votes than sell votes (25 vs 16).
- - Value is the current constraint at 25/100.
- - Momentum is weak at 41/100.
- - Risk Resilience is weak at 37/100.
- - Price is -8.27% below its 200-day SMA.
Current Consensus
CMG's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Buy, with 25 buy, 4 neutral, and 16 sell votes. CMG's 14-day RSI is 48.31, which places the stock in a neutral momentum range. CMG's beta is 0.94, indicating market sensitivity broadly in line with the market.
What Changed in CMG?
The largest recent change in CMG is Momentum moving up by 17.0 points over the available 7-day comparison window. Sentiment remains the strongest visible factor.
What Would Change the CMG Outlook?
The current bearish outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, earnings revisions strengthen, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, analyst expectations deteriorate, or risk evidence worsens.
AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive catalyst or estimate-revision evidence.
AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.
CMG Decision Framework
Public evidence layers, setup checks, and risk context for Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc..
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG) Stock Analysis
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. has an AIQ Score of 39/100 in a Defensive regime. Sentiment is strongest at 71/100. Beta is 0.96, close to market sensitivity. Review the supporting stock factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.
| Evidence Layer | Public Evidence |
|---|---|
| Regime Context | CMG is in a Defensive AIQ regime with score 39/100. |
| Signal Conflict | The primary conflict is that sentiment leads at 71/100 while value lags at 25/100. |
| Factor Evidence | Momentum 41/100 · Value 25/100 · Quality 51/100 · Risk 37/100 · Sentiment 71/100 |
| Persistence | Current snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro. |
Current Setup Checklist
Sentiment is the strongest factor at 71/100.
Momentum is 41/100 and RSI (14) is 48.3.
CMG is in a Defensive regime at 39/100.
Risk factor is 37/100 with beta 0.96 and annual volatility 44.21%.
Current conflict: sentiment leads at 71/100 while value lags at 25/100.
CMG Research Cluster
Ticker-specific paths for valuation, technical analysis, catalysts, dividends, financials, risk, and news.
CMG Fundamentals
CMG valuation, profitability, growth, margins, balance-sheet strength, and free cash flow.
CMG Technical Analysis
CMG technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.
CMG Stock Catalysts
Track CMG earnings, analyst ratings, price targets, estimate revisions, stock news, and upcoming events.
CMG Dividend Analysis
CMG dividend yield, annual dividend, payout ratio, payment history, and income reliability context.
CMG Financial Data
CMG revenue, earnings, income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, valuation ratios, and stock metrics.
CMG Risk Analysis
CMG volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.
CMG Stock News
CMG stock news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.
CMG vs Restaurants & Food Service Peers
Current peer cohort: CMG · DNUT · DPZ · DRI · MCD. Compare AIQ, factor scores, Sharpe ratio and 1-year volatility in one indexable view.
| Peer | AIQ | Value | Momentum | Risk | Sharpe | 1Y Volatility | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CMG Current stock | 39/100 | 25/100 | 41/100 | 37/100 | -0.41 | 44.21% | Current |
| DNUT Krispy Kreme | 47/100 | 42/100 | 65/100 | 41/100 | -0.07 | 59.05% | CMG vs DNUT |
| DPZ Domino's Pizza | 45/100 | 42/100 | 48/100 | 42/100 | -0.81 | 31.25% | CMG vs DPZ |
| DRI Darden Restaurants | 61/100 | 40/100 | 82/100 | 47/100 | 0.68 | 27.62% | CMG vs DRI |
| MCD McDonald's | 54/100 | 35/100 | 79/100 | 44/100 | -0.92 | 19.75% | CMG vs MCD |
Peer cohort is resolved dynamically from the AlgovestIQ universe taxonomy and Compare relationship graph. Data as of Oct 29, 2026.
About the AIQ Score
Methodology for the current stock evidence.
The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of stock evidence, including momentum, valuation exposure, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.
View AIQ methodologyFactor Diagnostics
A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.
Open the return calculator with stock context while purchase price, shares, dates and fees remain user inputs.
AIQ Component Profile
Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.
Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.
Open catalysts3 recent quarterly periods are available for review.
Checked Oct 31, 2026
Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.
Fundamentals Verdict
Current snapshot fields are separate from reported-quarter statement tables.
Latest period Jun 30, 2026.
Market Confirmation
Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.
Risk Alignment
Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.
Continue Researching CMG
Open the detailed evidence pages and workflows behind the stock overview read.
Premium Feature
Full AIQ Analysis
AIQ Intelligence
AIQ Pro for CMG
Scenario Analysis
AIQ Scenario Builder
Portfolio Implication
Related Links
CMG Stock FAQ
What is CMG stock price today?
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.'s current stock price is $31.89. Use the live quote with AIQ Score, news, and risk context rather than treating price alone as a decision signal.
Is CMG bullish or bearish right now?
CMG's bullish or bearish read depends on the current AIQ Score, factor alignment, technical analysis consensus, valuation, risk, and catalyst evidence. A mixed setup should be treated differently from a broad confirmation across those signals.
What is CMG's market cap?
CMG's market cap is $48.1B based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. Use it with P/E ratio, revenue, and growth metrics to frame company size, valuation, and peer comparisons.
What is CMG's current P/E ratio?
CMG's current P/E ratio is 34.4 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. Read it with revenue growth, margins, EPS, cash flow, and peer valuation rather than using P/E alone.
What is CMG's RSI?
CMG's 14-day RSI is 48.31 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. RSI should be interpreted with MACD, moving averages, volume, volatility, and price trend.
Is CMG above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?
CMG is -5.61% from its 50-day SMA and -8.27% from its 200-day SMA based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. Moving-average position should be read with momentum and broader AIQ evidence.
When is CMG's next earnings date?
CMG's next earnings date is currently listed as Feb 2, 2027. Earnings can reset revenue, EPS, price target, analyst rating, and catalyst expectations.
Does CMG pay a dividend?
CMG's dividend yield is 0.00% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. Dividend yield should be read with payout ratio, free cash flow, growth, and balance-sheet strength.