DBC vs GLD: Performance, Holdings, Fees & Risk
DBC and GLD are ETFs, but they can differ materially in exposure, yield, fees and risk. DBC is Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund, while GLD is SPDR Gold Shares. GLD has the lower expense ratio. Current AlgovestIQ evidence has DBC ahead on AIQ Score, 73 versus 58.
| Metric | DBC | GLD |
|---|---|---|
| Fund | ||
| Expense ratio | 0.89% | 0.4% |
| Holdings | 53 | 1 |
| Average volume | 906,495 | 8,808,210 |
| Performance | ||
| 1Y return | +51.6% | -3.2% |
| YTD return | +50.1% | -4.7% |
| 5Y annualized returnTotal return, distributions reinvested | +12.2% | +17.5% |
| Risk | ||
| Annualized volatility | 20.8% | 29.4% |
| Max drawdown (1Y) | -16.5% | -26.4% |
| Max drawdown (5Y)Total return, distributions reinvested | -27.4% | -26.4% |
| Beta | -0.39 | 0.81 |
| Sharpe ratio | 1.93 | -0.09 |
| Sortino ratio | 2.96 | -0.11 |
| AlgovestIQ | ||
| AIQ Score | 73/100 | 58/100 |
| AIQ Edge Score | 10/10 | 7/10 |
| Momentum | 78/100 | 40/100 |
| Risk Resilience | 87/100 | 58/100 |
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund vs SPDR Gold Shares
DBC leads
DBC leads by 15 AIQ points, primarily on Momentum and Risk Resilience.
Stable: 3 of 3 evidence groups support DBC, and its current signal state is conflicted.
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
SPDR Gold Shares
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors DBC over GLD, 73 versus 58 as of Oct 21, 2026. DBC's advantage is driven primarily by stronger momentum and risk resilience, while GLD holds the stronger quality profile. DBC also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average. 3 of 3 covered evidence groups favor DBC today, and the comparison is rated Stable on stability: the leader is throwing conflicting signals. DBC lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 15 points over 30 sessions.
Compare Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund and SPDR Gold Shares across performance, expense ratio, dividend yield, drawdown, volatility and the Algovestiq AIQ Score.
DBC vs GLD: which fits what
Each row is settled by a single measure. Where the gap is too small to matter it reads Similar, and no row decides the comparison as a whole.
| If you want | DBC | GLD | Fits |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lower costExpense ratio | 0.89% | 0.4% | GLD |
| Smaller drawdownsMax drawdown, 5 years | -27.4% | -26.4% | Similar |
| Lower volatilityAnnualized volatility, 1 year | 20.8% | 29.4% | DBC |
Similar means the gap is within 0.01 percentage points of expense ratio, 25% more holdings, 3 points of top-10 weight, 0.2 points of yield, 2 points of drawdown or 1 point of volatility. Past drawdowns and volatility describe the funds’ history, not their future.
Performance over time
Total return with distributions reinvested, from daily closes for both ETFs.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000, distributions reinvested
Split-adjusted closes; each distribution is reinvested at the close on its ex-dividend date. Taxes and trading costs are not modeled.
Compare DBC and GLD against another ticker
Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Momentum78 vs 40DBC +38
- Risk Resilience87 vs 58DBC +29
- Quality63 vs 72GLD +9
3 of 3 evidence groups favor DBC. DBC’s edge is concentrated in momentum and risk resilience; GLD keeps a meaningful quality edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-10-20, compared against the prior scored session 2026-10-19.
No factor moved materially.
No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 8 active signals are unchanged.
Largest factor move: Risk Resilience +1
No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 3 active signals are unchanged.
DBC's lead narrowed by 1 AIQ point in the latest session.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — DBC and GLD both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
DBC (Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund): the stronger current systematic profile, led by momentum and risk resilience.
GLD (SPDR Gold Shares): the counter-case, on quality — but at materially higher volatility, 20.9% against 15%.
Fund facts, side by side
Two funds tracking overlapping universes are separated by cost and risk far more than by holdings. Those lead here.
| Measure | DBC | GLD | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|
| Expense ratio | 0.89% | 0.4% | Lower is better — it compounds against you every year you hold. |
| Holdings | 53 | 1 | More holdings means broader diversification, not better returns. |
| Average volume | 906,495 | 8,808,210 | Liquidity — matters most if you trade size. |
| Annualized volatility | 20.8% | 29.4% | Lower is a steadier ride for the same exposure. |
| Max drawdown (1Y) | -16.5% | -26.4% | The worst peak-to-trough loss over the past year. |
| Sharpe ratio | 1.93 | -0.09 | Return per unit of risk. Higher is better. |
| Beta | -0.39 | 0.81 | Sensitivity to the broad market. Neither direction is better — it depends on the role in your portfolio. |
Where the exposure actually sits
Sector exposure for each fund, ordered by the size of the difference.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
3 of 3 covered evidence groups favor DBC. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | DBC | 73 vs 58 |
| Fundamentals | Not covered | Not covered |
| Valuation | Not covered | Not covered |
| Technicals | DBC | Price vs 50-day 4.2% vs -4.4%; vs 200-day 16.5% vs -9% |
| Risk Resilience | DBC | Risk Resilience 87 vs 58 |
| Analyst expectations | Not covered | Not covered |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of DBC and GLD and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion rests on a wide gap and broad agreement. It is unlikely to turn on a single session.
- The AIQ gap is wide at 15 points. (supports the conclusion holding)
- 3 of 3 covered evidence groups point the same way. (supports the conclusion holding)
- The lead has been steady session to session. (supports the conclusion holding)
- The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on DBC.
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Jun 21 – Oct 20DBC lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 15 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- DBC +15
- 73 vs 58
- 7 sessions ago
- DBC +16
- 71 vs 55
- 30 sessions ago
- DBC +15
- 64 vs 49
- 90 sessions ago
- GLD +2
- 70 vs 72
The lead changed hands 2 times in this window, most recently on Aug 28 when DBC moved ahead of GLD.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
5 bullish / 1 bearish / 2 neutral, conflicted
Only DBC
- Bollinger Band Squeeze — neutral, volatility, short horizon
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (11.67%)
- ATR Contraction - Coiling — neutral, volatility, short horizon (1.44%)
- RSI Overbought — bearish, momentum, short horizon
- EMA Ribbon Expansion Bullish — bullish, trend, medium horizon
- 52-Week High Proximity — bullish, risk, long horizon (0.1%)
- Uptrend Structure Active — bullish, trend, long horizon
1 bullish / 2 bearish, conflicted
Only GLD
- Death Cross Active — bearish, trend, long horizon (4.66%)
- Downtrend Structure Active — bearish, trend, long horizon
Both carry 1 more signal that do not separate them: MACD Bullish Crossover.
DBC leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price -0.21%, AIQ 0 points).
Price and the AIQ Score both moved up over the latest session (price +0.34%, AIQ +1 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1GLD closes the Momentum gap — currently 38 points behind, the largest single contributor to DBC's edge.
- 2GLD's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it.
- 3DBC's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 5 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
Split| Metric | DBC | GLD |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | -100% | — |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 174.6% | — |
| Gross margin | 100% | — |
| Operating margin | 78.5% | — |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 20.4% | — |
| Debt to equity | 0 | — |
Performance
DBC leads 6 of 6 windows| Metric | DBC | GLD |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | 0.3% | -1.1% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | 3.5% | -5.6% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | 12.4% | -0.4% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | 14.9% | -12.1% |
| Year to date | 50.1% | -4.7% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | 51.6% | -3.2% |
Technicals
DBC has the stronger structure| Metric | DBC | GLD |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 70.6 | 46.3 |
| ADX (14) | 24.2 | 16.5 |
| Price vs 50-day | 4.2% | -4.4% |
| Price vs 200-day | 16.5% | -9% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 15% | 20.9% |
Risk
DBC is the more resilient| Metric | DBC | GLD |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | -0.39 | 0.81 |
| Sharpe ratio | 1.93 | -0.09 |
| Sortino ratio | 2.96 | -0.11 |
| Max drawdown | -16.5% | -26.4% |
| Current drawdown | -0.5% | -23.9% |
| Annualized volatility | 20.8% | 29.4% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -1.9% | -3.2% |
Straight answers
Short answers to the questions fund investors ask about this pair, from the figures above.
Which has the lower expense ratio?
GLD has the lower expense ratio, 0.4% a year against 0.89% for DBC.
Which ETF has been more volatile?
GLD has been more volatile over the past year, at 29.4% annualized against 20.8% for DBC.
Which ETF has had the smaller drawdown?
Their worst peak-to-trough falls over the past five years are similar: -27.4% for DBC and -26.4% for GLD.
Compare DBC and GLD with others
Continue your research
This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.