ETF Analysis
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund (DBC) ETF Analysis
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund (DBC) ETF analysis covering performance, holdings context, risk, drawdowns, volatility, momentum, dividends, valuation exposure, and the current AlgovestIQ assessment.
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund (DBC) currently has an AIQ Score of 72/100, indicating a bullish setup. Risk is the strongest factor at 88/100. Quality is the weakest current factor at 63/100. Performance, momentum, risk, distribution, and exposure evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.
DBC at a Glance
Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close ETF snapshot.
| Metric | Current |
|---|---|
| Price | $33.50 |
| AIQ Score | 72/100 |
| Overall View | Bullish |
| Technical Analysis Consensus | Strong Buy |
| Fund Size | $2.37B |
| Expense Ratio | 0.89% |
| Holdings Count | 53 |
| NAV | $33.62 |
| Asset Class | Alternatives |
| Primary Exposure | Financial Services (98.55%) |
| Issuer | Invesco |
| Domicile | US |
| Inception Date | Feb 3, 2006 |
| Distribution Yield | 2.33% |
| Beta | 1.05 |
| Average Volume | 906.5K |
| 52-week range | $21.98-$33.83 |
| RSI 14 | 64.04 |
| 50-Day SMA | $32.24 |
| 200-Day SMA | $28.86 |
| Risk Score | 88/100 |
| Momentum Score | 73/100 |
| Value Exposure Score | — |
DBC Long-Horizon ETF Performance
Trailing returns, growth of $10,000, drawdown history, and calendar-year returns from available daily closes.
| Period | Total return | Annualized | Max drawdown | Start date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | 50.27% | 50.31% | -16.54% | Oct 20, 2025 |
| 3Y | 33.59% | 10.13% | -19.78% | Oct 20, 2023 |
| 5Y | 54.56% | 9.13% | -33.97% | Oct 25, 2021 |
| 10Y | 54.56% | 9.13% | -33.97% | Oct 25, 2021 |
Growth of $10,000
Indexed to the first available close in this history window.
Drawdown History
Peak-to-trough decline from each prior high over the available window.
Calendar-Year Returns
Full-year returns where available, with the current calendar year shown as YTD.
DBCInvesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Financial Services / Asset Management
Leader
Sector Leader
Latest quote
- Momentum73
- Value—
- Quality63
- Risk resilience88
- Sentiment—
DBC ETF Analysis Summary
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund (DBC) currently has an AIQ Score of 72/100, indicating a bullish setup. Risk resilience is the strongest factor at 88/100. Quality is the weakest current factor at 63/100. Performance, exposure, distribution, momentum, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.
In a bullish regime, DBC has AIQ Score of 72/100 with Risk resilience base of 88/100 and fading Quality at 63/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.
Risk resilience (88/100) leads while Quality (63/100) lags. This cross-factor spread creates entry timing uncertainty.
Financial Services · -0.21% ETF move · DBC classified in Asset Management.
Current Evidence
AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary
Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.
Is DBC Bullish or Bearish Right Now?
DBC currently has a bullish overall setup. Risk Resilience is the strongest factor at 88/100, while Quality is weakest at 63/100. The current evidence suggests a constructive setup.
- - Quality is supportive at 63/100.
- - Momentum is constructive at 73/100.
- - Risk Resilience is supportive at 88/100.
- - Price is +3.92% above its 50-day SMA.
- - Technical consensus has more buy votes than sell votes (35 vs 5).
- - No strong bearish evidence is available in the current snapshot.
Current Consensus
DBC's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Strong Buy, with 35 buy, 5 neutral, and 5 sell votes. DBC's 14-day RSI is 64.04, which places the ETF in a constructive momentum range. DBC's beta is 1.05, indicating market sensitivity broadly in line with the market.
What Changed in DBC?
The largest recent change in DBC is Momentum moving up by 10.0 points over the available 7-day comparison window. Risk Resilience remains the strongest visible factor.
What Would Change the DBC Outlook?
The current bullish outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, risk resilience improves, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, distribution or liquidity context deteriorates, or risk evidence worsens.
AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive market-context evidence.
AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.
DBC Decision Framework
Public evidence layers, setup checks, and risk context for Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund.
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund (DBC) ETF Analysis
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund has an AIQ Score of 72/100 in a Bullish regime. Risk is strongest at 88/100. Beta is 1.05, close to market sensitivity. Review the supporting etf factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.
| Evidence Layer | Public Evidence |
|---|---|
| Regime Context | DBC is in a Bullish AIQ regime with score 72/100. |
| Signal Conflict | The primary conflict is that risk leads at 88/100 while quality lags at 63/100. |
| Factor Evidence | Momentum 73/100 · Quality 63/100 · Risk 88/100 |
| Persistence | Current snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro. |
Current Setup Checklist
Risk is the strongest factor at 88/100.
Momentum is 73/100 and RSI (14) is 64.0.
DBC is in a Bullish regime at 72/100.
Risk factor is 88/100 with beta 1.05 and annual volatility 20.74%.
Current conflict: risk leads at 88/100 while quality lags at 63/100.
DBC Research Cluster
ETF-specific paths for performance, risk, distributions, market context, data, comparisons, and news.
DBC ETF Analytics
DBC holdings context, yield, risk, valuation exposure, momentum, and AIQ evidence.
DBC Technical Analysis
DBC technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.
DBC ETF Market Context
Track DBC market context, news pressure, trend changes, income events, and current allocation evidence.
DBC Distribution Analysis
DBC distribution yield, annualized distributions, payment history, and income context.
DBC ETF Data
DBC available fund data, market metrics, technical readings, risk measures, and AIQ evidence.
DBC Risk Analysis
DBC volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.
DBC ETF News
DBC ETF news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.
DBC vs Commodities Peers
Current peer cohort: DBC · GDX · GDXJ · GLD · GLDM. Compare AIQ, factor scores, Sharpe ratio and 1-year volatility in one indexable view.
| Peer | AIQ | Value | Momentum | Risk | Sharpe | 1Y Volatility | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DBC Current ETF | 72/100 | — | 73/100 | 88/100 | 1.88 | 20.74% | Current |
| GDX VanEck Gold Miners ETF | 56/100 | — | 42/100 | 47/100 | 0.33 | 50.60% | DBC vs GDX |
| GDXJ VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF | 53/100 | — | 35/100 | 44/100 | 0.25 | 55.91% | DBC vs GDXJ |
| GLD SPDR Gold Shares | 57/100 | — | 39/100 | 58/100 | -0.2 | 29.17% | DBC vs GLD |
| GLDM SPDR Gold MiniShares | 57/100 | — | 38/100 | 57/100 | -0.19 | 29.00% | DBC vs GLDM |
Peer cohort is resolved dynamically from the AlgovestIQ universe taxonomy and Compare relationship graph. Data as of Oct 21, 2026.
About the AIQ Score
Methodology for the current ETF evidence.
The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of ETF evidence, including momentum, valuation exposure, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.
View AIQ methodologyFactor Diagnostics
A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.
Valuation exposure across the fund's holdings.
Quality context inferred from fund exposure and available evidence.
Trend, momentum, volume, and timing confirmation.
Resilience, volatility, beta, drawdown, and tail risk.
News and event pressure around the setup.
Open the return calculator with ETF context while purchase price, shares, dates and fees remain user inputs.
AIQ Component Profile
Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.
Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.
Open catalysts6 recent quarterly periods are available for review.
Checked Oct 22, 2026
Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.
ETF Analytics Snapshot
Current ETF evidence uses fund profile, cost, size, distribution, momentum, and risk fields.
ETF pages use fund-native profile fields for cost, size, liquidity, holdings breadth, NAV, issuer, and launch date.
Market Confirmation
Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.
Risk Alignment
Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.
Continue Researching DBC
Open the detailed evidence pages and workflows behind the stock overview read.
Premium Feature
Full AIQ Analysis
AIQ Intelligence
AIQ Pro for DBC
Scenario Analysis
AIQ Scenario Builder
Portfolio Implication
Related Links
DBC ETF FAQ
What is DBC ETF price today?
DBC is currently shown at $33.50. Use the live quote with the 52-week range and AIQ context before comparing funds.
What is DBC's 52-week high and low?
DBC's 52-week range is $21.98 to $33.83 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. A price near either extreme should be evaluated with volatility and trend evidence.
Does DBC pay a dividend?
DBC's current distribution yield is 2.33% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. For ETFs, dividend yield should be compared with expense ratio, holdings, and risk.
What should investors compare before buying DBC?
Compare DBC's price trend, expense profile, yield, holdings exposure, volatility, and AIQ signal. ETF decisions should focus on portfolio fit as much as current momentum.