JPM vs MTDR Stock Comparison
MTDR currently leads JPM in this stock comparison, with AIQ scores of 56 vs 53. The clearest difference is momentum, while JPM has the stronger risk resilience profile.
What is the main difference between JPM and MTDR?
MTDR leads the current stock comparison as Matador Resources Company, with the clearest separation coming from momentum and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
JPMorgan Chase & Co. vs Matador Resources Company
MTDR leads
MTDR leads by 3 AIQ points, primarily on Momentum and Value, having only recently taken the lead back from JPM.
Fragile: 4 of 6 evidence groups support MTDR, the lead recently changed hands, and its signal state is cleanly positive.
JPMorgan Chase & Co.
Matador Resources Company
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors MTDR over JPM, 56 versus 53 as of Oct 31, 2026. MTDR's advantage is driven primarily by stronger momentum and value, while JPM holds the stronger risk resilience profile. MTDR also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average. 4 of 6 covered evidence groups favor MTDR today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: the AIQ gap is narrow at 3 points. MTDR lead: Reversed — JPM led by 2 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; MTDR now leads by 3.
Compare JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Matador Resources Company across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Total return with distributions reinvested, from daily closes.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000, distributions reinvested
Split-adjusted closes; each distribution is reinvested at the close on its ex-dividend date. Taxes and trading costs are not modeled.
Compare JPM and MTDR against another ticker
Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Risk Resilience69 vs 48JPM +21
- Momentum61 vs 80MTDR +19
- Value44 vs 61MTDR +17
- Quality46 vs 35JPM +11
4 of 6 evidence groups favor MTDR. MTDR’s edge is concentrated in momentum and value; JPM keeps a meaningful risk resilience edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-10-28, compared against the prior scored session 2026-10-27.
Largest factor move: Momentum +2
New signals
- BB Upper Band Breach — bearish, volatility, short horizon
Largest factor move: Risk Resilience +1, not enough on its own to move the overall score.
No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 4 active signals are unchanged.
MTDR's lead narrowed by 1 AIQ point in the latest session.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — JPM and MTDR both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
MTDR (Matador Resources Company): the stronger current systematic profile, led by momentum and value.
JPM (JPMorgan Chase & Co.): the counter-case, on risk resilience, quality.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
MTDRMTDR on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
MTDRMTDR on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
MTDRMTDR on the peer-relative Value factor, by 17 points.
Momentum
MTDRMTDR on the Momentum factor, by 19 points.
Lower downside
JPMJPM on Risk Resilience, by 21 points.
Analyst upside
MTDRMTDR on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.
| Measure | JPM | MTDR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +10.7% | +12.1% | MTDR has more room |
| Target dispersion | +32.2% | +57.1% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Buy | Buy | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 11 | 10 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
4 of 6 covered evidence groups favor MTDR. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | Even | 53 vs 56 |
| Fundamentals | MTDRon balance | revenue growth -7.6% vs 26%; EPS growth -27.6% vs 11.9%; TTM ROE 17.9% vs 12.8%; gross margin 63.2% vs 102.7%; operating margin 28.2% vs 36.3% — MTDR takes 4 of 5 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | MTDR | Value 44 vs 61 |
| Technicals | MTDR | Price vs 50-day -2% vs 7.6%; vs 200-day 5.2% vs 10.2% |
| Risk Resilience | JPM | Risk Resilience 69 vs 48 |
| Analyst expectations | MTDR | Target upside 10.7% vs 12.1% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of JPM and MTDR and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is narrow at 3 points. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The lead has already changed hands inside the comparison window. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The lead has been steady session to session. (supports the conclusion holding)
- The leader's signal state is cleanly positive. (supports the conclusion holding)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on MTDR.
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Jun 29 – Oct 28MTDR lead: Reversed — JPM led by 2 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; MTDR now leads by 3.
- Today
- MTDR +3
- 53 vs 56
- 7 sessions ago
- MTDR +6
- 50 vs 56
- 30 sessions ago
- JPM +2
- 44 vs 42
- 90 sessions ago
- MTDR +4
- 52 vs 56
The lead changed hands 7 times in this window, most recently on Oct 8 when MTDR moved ahead of JPM.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
2 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted
Only JPM
- BB Upper Band Breach — bearish, volatility, short horizon
4 bullish / 0 bearish
Only MTDR
- EMA Ribbon Expansion Bullish — bullish, trend, medium horizon
- Uptrend Structure Active — bullish, trend, long horizon
Both carry 2 more signals that do not separate them: Golden Cross Active, MACD Bullish Crossover.
JPM is conflicted, so the timing case there is weaker than the score alone suggests.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Price is down while the AIQ Score moved up 1 points over the same session — price and model disagree (price -1.9%, AIQ +1 points).
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price +1.75%, AIQ 0 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1JPM closes the Momentum gap — currently 19 points behind, the largest single contributor to MTDR's edge.
- 2JPM's BB Upper Band Breach resolves — a bearish volatility rule currently active against it.
- 3MTDR's Golden Cross Active breaks down — it is the strongest rule currently supporting the verdict.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
MTDR leads on balance| Metric | JPM | MTDR |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | -7.6% | 26% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | -27.6% | 11.9% |
| Gross margin | 63.2% | 102.7% |
| Operating margin | 28.2% | 36.3% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 17.9% | 12.8% |
| Debt to equity | 3.32 | 0.56 |
Performance
MTDR leads 5 of 6 windows| Metric | JPM | MTDR |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | 1.2% | 3.6% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | 2.6% | 16% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | -3.3% | 23.9% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | 9.7% | -4.9% |
| Year to date | 5.3% | 41% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | 12.9% | 51.8% |
Technicals
MTDR has the stronger structure| Metric | JPM | MTDR |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 60.9 | 69.4 |
| ADX (14) | 15 | 15.6 |
| Price vs 50-day | -2% | 7.6% |
| Price vs 200-day | 5.2% | 10.2% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 13% | 37.3% |
Risk
JPM is the more resilient| Metric | JPM | MTDR |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.73 | -0.76 |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.41 | 1.14 |
| Sortino ratio | 0.56 | 1.62 |
| Max drawdown | -15.5% | -29.5% |
| Current drawdown | -7.1% | -8.6% |
| Annualized volatility | 22% | 41.2% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -2.4% | -4.4% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, JPM or MTDR?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, MTDR is the stronger of the two as of Oct 31, 2026, scoring 56 against JPM's 53. The edge comes from momentum and value. JPM is not without a case — it holds the better risk resilience profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is JPM or MTDR the better buy right now?
MTDR carries the stronger systematic profile as of Oct 31, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 4 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: the AIQ gap is narrow at 3 points. Treat the lead as provisional.
Why does the AIQ Score favor MTDR over JPM?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. JPM leads Risk Resilience by 21 points; MTDR leads Momentum by 19 points; MTDR leads Value by 17 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, JPM or MTDR?
Analyst price targets imply +10.7% upside for JPM and +12.1% for MTDR, so the Street currently favors MTDR. The model and the Street agree here, which is a broader base of evidence than either alone. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, JPM or MTDR?
MTDR is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. MTDR on the peer-relative Value factor, by 17 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, JPM or MTDR?
MTDR on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, JPM or MTDR?
MTDR on the Momentum factor, by 19 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, JPM or MTDR?
JPM is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. JPM on Risk Resilience, by 21 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is JPM more profitable than MTDR?
The profitability evidence is mixed: gross margin 63.2% vs 102.7%; operating margin 28.2% vs 36.3%; ttm roe 17.9% vs 12.8%. JPM leads on one measure and MTDR on two measures, and there is no single profitability composite that resolves the split — which of the two reads as "more profitable" depends on whether you weight pricing power or operating leverage.
Is MTDR's lead over JPM getting stronger or weaker?
MTDR lead: Reversed — JPM led by 2 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; MTDR now leads by 3. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-06-29 and 2026-10-28. The lead has changed hands 7 times in that window, most recently on 2026-10-08, when MTDR moved ahead of JPM.
What would change the JPM vs MTDR verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: JPM closes the Momentum gap — currently 19 points behind, the largest single contributor to MTDR's edge; JPM's BB Upper Band Breach resolves — a bearish volatility rule currently active against it; MTDR's Golden Cross Active breaks down — it is the strongest rule currently supporting the verdict; a regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
What do the current signals say about JPM and MTDR?
JPM: 2 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted. MTDR: 4 bullish / 0 bearish. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on JPM is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On MTDR it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).
Compare JPM and MTDR with others
Continue your research
This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.