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Matador Resources Company (MTDR) Stock Analysis

Matador Resources Company (MTDR) stock analysis covering valuation, fundamentals, technical indicators, risk, AIQ Momentum, analyst catalysts, dividends, and the current AIQ Score.

MTDR Stock Analysis Summary

Matador Resources Company (MTDR) currently has an AIQ Score of 55/100, indicating a neutral setup. Momentum is the strongest factor at 72/100. Quality is the weakest current factor at 35/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Sep 11, 2026 · Market-close data

MTDR at a Glance

Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close stock snapshot.

MetricCurrent
Price$61.05
AIQ Score55/100
Overall ViewNeutral
Technical Analysis ConsensusStrong Buy
Market Cap$7.35B
P/E Ratio9.3
Forward P/E
EPS$3.15
Revenue TTM$1.19B
Dividend Yield0.01%
Beta0.77
Volume1.53M
52-week range$37.14-$66.84
RSI 1461.21
50-Day SMA$53.83
200-Day SMA$52.17
Analyst Price Target$70.12
Next EarningsOct 27, 2026
As of Sep 11, 2026 · Market close

MTDR

Overview
Matador Resources Company
Energy· Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
AIQ Score
NeutralAIQ Edge 7/10
Low Priority
Above Peers
Score data as of Sep 11, 2026
Last price
$61.05
-$0.57 (-0.93%)
Latest market quote
Momentum72
Value61
Quality35
Risk Resilience52
Sentiment
View financial data

MTDR Stock Analysis Summary

Matador Resources Company (MTDR) currently has an AIQ Score of 55/100, indicating a neutral setup. Momentum is the strongest factor at 72/100. Quality is the weakest current factor at 35/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Sep 11, 2026 · Market-close data
AIQ Composite Posture: Mixed

In a neutral regime, MTDR has AIQ Score of 55/100 with Momentum base of 72/100 and fading Quality at 35/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.

Signal Conflict Detected

Momentum (72/100) leads while Quality (35/100) lags. This cross-factor spread creates entry timing uncertainty.

Energy · -0.93% stock move · MTDR classified in Oil & Gas Exploration & Production.

Current Evidence

NeutralMTDR is in a neutral AIQ regime; Momentum is the strongest visible factor at 72/100.
Core coverage reflects visible evidence only

AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary

Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.

Is MTDR Bullish or Bearish Right Now?

MTDR currently has a neutral overall setup. Momentum is the strongest factor at 72/100, while Quality is weakest at 35/100. The current evidence suggests a mixed rather than strongly bullish or bearish setup.

Bull Case
  • - Momentum is constructive at 72/100.
  • - Price is +13.42% above its 50-day SMA.
  • - Analyst target implies +14.86% upside from the latest quote.
  • - Technical consensus has more buy votes than sell votes (37 vs 5).
Bear Case
  • - No strong bearish evidence is available in the current snapshot.

Current Consensus

MTDR's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Strong Buy, with 37 buy, 3 neutral, and 5 sell votes. MTDR's 14-day RSI is 61.21, which places the stock in a constructive momentum range. MTDR's beta is 0.77, indicating lower market sensitivity than the broad market.

Signal Confidence
High agreement

What Changed in MTDR?

Recent score-change history is not available in the current snapshot. These are the latest market-close scores instead.

AIQ Score
55/100
Momentum
72/100
Quality
35/100
Risk
52/100

What Would Change the MTDR Outlook?

The current neutral outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, earnings revisions strengthen, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, analyst expectations deteriorate, or risk evidence worsens.

Bullish confirmation

AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive catalyst or estimate-revision evidence.

Bearish deterioration

AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.

MTDR Decision Framework

Public evidence layers, setup checks, and risk context for Matador Resources Company.

Matador Resources Company (MTDR) Stock Analysis

Matador Resources Company has an AIQ Score of 55/100 in a Neutral regime. Momentum is strongest at 72/100. Beta is 0.77, below market sensitivity. Review the supporting stock factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.

Evidence LayerPublic Evidence
Regime ContextMTDR is in a Neutral AIQ regime with score 55/100.
Signal ConflictThe primary conflict is that momentum leads at 72/100 while quality lags at 35/100.
Factor EvidenceMomentum 72/100 · Value 61/100 · Quality 35/100 · Risk 52/100
PersistenceCurrent snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro.

Current Setup Checklist

Factor strengthPass

Momentum is the strongest factor at 72/100.

TimingPass

Momentum is 72/100 and RSI (14) is 61.2.

Regime fitWait

MTDR is in a Neutral regime at 55/100.

Risk controlWait

Risk factor is 52/100 with beta 0.77 and annual volatility 41.79%.

ConflictWait

Current conflict: momentum leads at 72/100 while quality lags at 35/100.

AIQ Score
55/100
Price
$61.05
Beta
0.77
RSI (14)
61.2

MTDR Research Cluster

Ticker-specific paths for valuation, technical analysis, catalysts, dividends, financials, risk, and news.

MTDR Fundamentals

MTDR valuation, profitability, growth, margins, balance-sheet strength, and free cash flow.

Revenue
$1.19B
Net income
$390.65M
Free cash flow
$569.16M
View full MTDR fundamental analysis

MTDR Technical Analysis

MTDR technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.

Technical Analysis Consensus
Strong Buy
RSI 14
61.21
Price vs SMA-50
+13.42%
View full MTDR technical analysis

MTDR Stock Catalysts

Track MTDR earnings, analyst ratings, price targets, estimate revisions, stock news, and upcoming events.

Next earnings
Oct 27, 2026
Analyst target
$70.12
News items
5
View MTDR earnings and stock catalysts

MTDR Dividend Analysis

MTDR dividend yield, annual dividend, payout ratio, payment history, and income reliability context.

Dividend yield
2.46%
Annual dividend
$1.50
Payout ratio
View MTDR dividend history and analysis

MTDR Financial Data

MTDR revenue, earnings, income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, valuation ratios, and stock metrics.

Quarter revenue
$1.19B
EPS
$3.15
Periods
7
View MTDR financials

MTDR Risk Analysis

MTDR volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.

Beta
0.77
Risk score
52/100
1Y volatility
41.79%
View MTDR risk analysis

MTDR Stock News

MTDR stock news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.

News items
5
Updated
Sep 11, 2026
Sentiment
Read MTDR stock news

MTDR vs Oil Majors & E&P Peers

Current peer cohort: MTDR · OKE · OXY · PR · TPL. Compare AIQ, factor scores, Sharpe ratio and 1-year volatility in one indexable view.

PeerAIQValueMomentumRiskSharpe1Y VolatilityCompare
MTDR
Current stock
55/10061/10072/10052/1000.6241.79%Current
OKE
ONEOK
51/10050/10073/10051/1001.0226.93%MTDR vs OKE
OXY
Occidental Petroleum
57/10049/10062/10053/1000.8735.31%MTDR vs OXY
PR
Permian Resources
53/10040/10062/10049/1001.633.33%MTDR vs PR
TPL
Texas Pacific Land
46/10024/10038/10063/1000.5148.20%MTDR vs TPL
Pairwise Compare links: OKE · OXY · PR · TPLMTDR vs OKEMTDR vs OXYMTDR vs PRMTDR vs TPLCompare cohort

Peer cohort is resolved dynamically from the AlgovestIQ universe taxonomy and Compare relationship graph. Data as of Sep 11, 2026.

About the AIQ Score

Methodology for the current stock evidence.

As of Sep 11, 2026 · Market close

The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of stock evidence, including momentum, valuation exposure, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.

View AIQ methodology

Factor Diagnostics

A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.

Calculator
Calculate a MTDR stock return scenario

Open the return calculator with stock context while purchase price, shares, dates and fees remain user inputs.

Calculate stock return

AIQ Component Profile

Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.

Catalyst preview

Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.

Open catalysts
Quarterly evidence

7 recent quarterly periods are available for review.

Checked Sep 12, 2026

AIQ Pro

Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.

Fundamentals Verdict

Current snapshot fields are separate from reported-quarter statement tables.

Current TTM P/E
10.16
As of Sep 11, 2026
Revenue growth
26.00%
Gross margin
102.67%
Current debt / equity
0.56
Latest quarterly evidence

Latest period Jun 30, 2026.

Review fundamentals
Quarter revenue
$1.19B
Quarter net income
$390.65M
Quarter free cash flow
$569.16M

Market Confirmation

Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.

Trend
Bullish
Momentum
Bullish
RSI 14
61.21
MACD
2.14

Risk Alignment

Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.

Resilience
52/100
Beta
0.77
Annual volatility
41.79%
Max drawdown
-29.53%

MTDR Stock FAQ

What is MTDR stock price today?

Matador Resources Company's current stock price is $61.05. Use the live quote with AIQ Score, news, and risk context rather than treating price alone as a decision signal.

Is MTDR bullish or bearish right now?

MTDR's bullish or bearish read depends on the current AIQ Score, factor alignment, technical analysis consensus, valuation, risk, and catalyst evidence. A mixed setup should be treated differently from a broad confirmation across those signals.

What is MTDR's market cap?

MTDR's market cap is $7.35B based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. Use it with P/E ratio, revenue, and growth metrics to frame company size, valuation, and peer comparisons.

What is MTDR's current P/E ratio?

MTDR's current P/E ratio is 9.3 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. Read it with revenue growth, margins, EPS, cash flow, and peer valuation rather than using P/E alone.

What is MTDR's RSI?

MTDR's 14-day RSI is 61.21 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. RSI should be interpreted with MACD, moving averages, volume, volatility, and price trend.

Is MTDR above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?

MTDR is 13.42% from its 50-day SMA and 17.01% from its 200-day SMA based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. Moving-average position should be read with momentum and broader AIQ evidence.

When is MTDR's next earnings date?

MTDR's next earnings date is currently listed as Oct 27, 2026. Earnings can reset revenue, EPS, price target, analyst rating, and catalyst expectations.

Does MTDR pay a dividend?

MTDR's dividend yield is 0.01% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. Dividend yield should be read with payout ratio, free cash flow, growth, and balance-sheet strength.