JPM vs PKG Stock Comparison
PKG currently leads JPM in this stock comparison, with AIQ scores of 54 vs 52. The clearest difference is momentum, while JPM has the stronger value profile.
What is the main difference between JPM and PKG?
PKG leads the current stock comparison as Packaging Corporation of America, with the clearest separation coming from momentum and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
JPMorgan Chase & Co. vs Packaging Corporation of America
PKG leads
PKG leads by 2 AIQ points, primarily on Momentum and Risk Resilience.
Fragile: 2 of 6 evidence groups support PKG, and its signal state is cleanly positive.
JPMorgan Chase & Co.
Packaging Corporation of America
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors PKG over JPM, 54 versus 52 as of Oct 21, 2026. PKG's advantage is driven primarily by stronger momentum and risk resilience, while JPM holds the stronger value profile. PKG also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average. 2 of 6 covered evidence groups favor PKG today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: the AIQ gap is narrow at 2 points. PKG lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 2 points over 30 sessions.
Compare JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Packaging Corporation of America across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Total return with distributions reinvested, from daily closes.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000, distributions reinvested
Split-adjusted closes; each distribution is reinvested at the close on its ex-dividend date. Taxes and trading costs are not modeled.
Compare JPM and PKG against another ticker
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AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Momentum58 vs 82PKG +24
- Value44 vs 34JPM +10
- Quality46 vs 40JPM +6
- Risk Resilience68 vs 74PKG +6
2 of 6 evidence groups favor PKG. PKG’s edge is concentrated in momentum and risk resilience; JPM keeps a meaningful value edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-10-20, compared against the prior scored session 2026-10-19.
Largest factor move: Momentum +8
No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 2 active signals are unchanged.
Largest factor move: Momentum +26
New signals
- Uptrend Structure Active — bullish, trend, long horizon
The lead changed hands: PKG moved ahead of JPM in the latest session.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — JPM and PKG both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
PKG (Packaging Corporation of America): the stronger current systematic profile, led by momentum and risk resilience.
JPM (JPMorgan Chase & Co.): the counter-case, on value, quality, fundamentals.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
PKGPKG on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
PKGPKG on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
JPMJPM on the peer-relative Value factor, by 10 points.
Momentum
PKGPKG on the Momentum factor, by 24 points.
Lower downside
PKGPKG on Risk Resilience, by 6 points.
Analyst upside
EvenAnalyst targets are level or not covered for both names.
AIQ vs Wall Street
Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.
| Measure | JPM | PKG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +11.3% | +10.9% | Level |
| Target dispersion | +32.2% | +30.2% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Buy | Buy | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 11 | 7 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Dividend growth
| Dividend metric | JPM | PKG |
|---|---|---|
| 5Y dividend CAGR | 9.04% | 8.21% |
| 2020 regular DPS | $3.600 | $3.370 |
| 2025 regular DPS | $5.550 | $5.000 |
| Years increased | 5 | 3 |
| No cut in window | Yes | Yes |
| Cohort rank | #120 | #140 |
JPM grew its split-adjusted regular dividend faster over 2020–2025 — 9.04% a year against PKG's 8.21%. Neither company reduced its regular dividend in any year of the window.
Yield and payout ratio shown elsewhere on this page are current values, not part of the study window.
Split-adjusted regular dividends per share, 2020–2025, excluding special dividends. Research as of Sep 19, 2026.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
2 of 6 covered evidence groups favor PKG. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | Even | 52 vs 54 |
| Fundamentals | JPMon balance | revenue growth -7.6% vs 5.2%; EPS growth -27.6% vs 12.5%; TTM ROE 17.9% vs 14.9%; gross margin 63.2% vs 20.1%; operating margin 28.2% vs 12.7% — JPM takes 3 of 5 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | JPM | Value 44 vs 34 |
| Technicals | PKG | Price vs 50-day -3.4% vs 0.4%; vs 200-day 4% vs 4.8% |
| Risk Resilience | PKG | Risk Resilience 68 vs 74 |
| Analyst expectations | Even | Target upside 11.3% vs 10.9% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of JPM and PKG and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is narrow at 2 points. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- Only 2 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The lead has been steady session to session. (supports the conclusion holding)
- The leader's signal state is cleanly positive. (supports the conclusion holding)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on PKG.
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Jun 21 – Oct 20PKG lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 2 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- PKG +2
- 52 vs 54
- 7 sessions ago
- JPM +3
- 47 vs 44
- 30 sessions ago
- PKG +4
- 43 vs 47
- 90 sessions ago
- JPM +7
- 53 vs 46
The lead changed hands 2 times in this window, most recently on Oct 20 when PKG moved ahead of JPM.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
2 bullish / 0 bearish
No signal that the other name lacks.
3 bullish / 0 bearish
Only PKG
- Uptrend Structure Active — bullish, trend, long horizon
Both carry 2 more signals that do not separate them: Golden Cross Active, MACD Bullish Crossover.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price -0.02%, AIQ +3 points).
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price +0.03%, AIQ +7 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1JPM closes the Momentum gap — currently 24 points behind, the largest single contributor to PKG's edge.
- 2JPM generates a confirmed bullish trend signal it does not currently carry, such as EMA Ribbon Expansion Bullish or Uptrend Structure Active.
- 3PKG's Golden Cross Active breaks down — it is the strongest rule currently supporting the verdict.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
JPM leads on balance| Metric | JPM | PKG |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | -7.6% | 5.2% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | -27.6% | 12.5% |
| Gross margin | 63.2% | 20.1% |
| Operating margin | 28.2% | 12.7% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 17.9% | 14.9% |
| Debt to equity | 3.32 | 0.94 |
Performance
PKG leads 6 of 6 windows| Metric | JPM | PKG |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | 1.2% | 3.1% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | -1.4% | 0.3% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | -3.7% | 4.7% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | 7.1% | 13.5% |
| Year to date | 4% | 15.9% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | 12.3% | 16.4% |
Technicals
PKG has the stronger structure| Metric | JPM | PKG |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 57.4 | 68.8 |
| ADX (14) | 20.5 | 20.3 |
| Price vs 50-day | -3.4% | 0.4% |
| Price vs 200-day | 4% | 4.8% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 14.8% | 16.2% |
Risk
PKG is the more resilient| Metric | JPM | PKG |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.75 | 0.73 |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.47 | 0.58 |
| Sortino ratio | 0.66 | 0.9 |
| Max drawdown | -15.5% | -17.7% |
| Current drawdown | -8.2% | -7.2% |
| Annualized volatility | 22.2% | 28% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -2.4% | -2.7% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, JPM or PKG?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, PKG is the stronger of the two as of Oct 21, 2026, scoring 54 against JPM's 52. The edge comes from momentum and risk resilience. JPM is not without a case — it holds the better value profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is JPM or PKG the better buy right now?
PKG carries the stronger systematic profile as of Oct 21, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 2 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: the AIQ gap is narrow at 2 points. Treat the lead as provisional.
Why does the AIQ Score favor PKG over JPM?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. PKG leads Momentum by 24 points; JPM leads Value by 10 points; JPM leads Quality by 6 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, JPM or PKG?
Analyst price targets imply +11.3% upside for JPM and +10.9% for PKG. The model and the Street agree here, which is a broader base of evidence than either alone. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, JPM or PKG?
JPM is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. JPM on the peer-relative Value factor, by 10 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, JPM or PKG?
PKG on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, JPM or PKG?
PKG on the Momentum factor, by 24 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, JPM or PKG?
PKG is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. PKG on Risk Resilience, by 6 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is JPM more profitable than PKG?
JPM leads on the comparable margin measures — gross margin 63.2% vs 20.1%; operating margin 28.2% vs 12.7%; ttm roe 17.9% vs 14.9%.
Is PKG's lead over JPM getting stronger or weaker?
PKG lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 2 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-06-21 and 2026-10-20. The lead has changed hands 2 times in that window, most recently on 2026-10-20, when PKG moved ahead of JPM.
What would change the JPM vs PKG verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: JPM closes the Momentum gap — currently 24 points behind, the largest single contributor to PKG's edge; JPM generates a confirmed bullish trend signal it does not currently carry, such as EMA Ribbon Expansion Bullish or Uptrend Structure Active; PKG's Golden Cross Active breaks down — it is the strongest rule currently supporting the verdict; a regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
What do the current signals say about JPM and PKG?
JPM: 2 bullish / 0 bearish. PKG: 3 bullish / 0 bearish. The most decision-relevant rule on JPM is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On PKG it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).
Compare JPM and PKG with others
Continue your research
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How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.