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Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) Stock Analysis

Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) stock analysis covering valuation, fundamentals, technical indicators, risk, AIQ Momentum, analyst catalysts, dividends, and the current AIQ Score.

PKG Stock Analysis Summary

Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) currently has an AIQ Score of 39/100, indicating a bearish setup. Risk is the strongest factor at 70/100. Momentum is the weakest current factor at 26/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Sep 4, 2026 · Market-close data

PKG at a Glance

Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close stock snapshot.

MetricCurrent
Price$237.25
AIQ Score39/100
Overall ViewBearish
Technical Analysis ConsensusSell
Market Cap$20.41B
P/E Ratio23.07
Forward P/E
EPS$2.16
Revenue TTM$2.49B
Dividend Yield0.01%
Beta0.81
Volume530.38K
52-week range$191.50-$259.98
RSI 1432.11
50-Day SMA$242.30
200-Day SMA$223.19
Analyst Price Target$263.14
Next EarningsOct 28, 2026
As of Sep 4, 2026 · Market close

PKG

Overview
Packaging Corporation of America
Consumer Cyclical· Packaging & Containers
AIQ Score
BearishAIQ Edge 2/10
Low Priority
Relative Laggard
Score data as of Sep 4, 2026
Last price
$237.25
+$2.68 (+1.14%)
Latest market quote
Momentum26
Value34
Quality40
Risk Resilience70
Sentiment
View financial data

PKG Stock Analysis Summary

Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) currently has an AIQ Score of 39/100, indicating a bearish setup. Risk resilience is the strongest factor at 70/100. Momentum is the weakest current factor at 26/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Sep 4, 2026 · Market-close data
AIQ Composite Posture: Weak

In a bearish regime, PKG has AIQ Score of 39/100 with Risk resilience base of 70/100 and fading Momentum at 26/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.

Signal Conflict Detected

Risk resilience (70/100) leads while Momentum (26/100) lags. This cross-factor spread creates entry timing uncertainty.

Consumer Cyclical · 1.14% stock move · PKG classified in Packaging & Containers.

Current Evidence

BearishPKG is in a bearish AIQ regime; Risk resilience is the strongest visible factor at 70/100.
Core coverage reflects visible evidence only

AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary

Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.

Is PKG Bullish or Bearish Right Now?

PKG currently has a bearish overall setup. Risk Resilience is the strongest factor at 70/100, while Momentum is weakest at 26/100. The current evidence suggests a defensive setup.

Bull Case
  • - Risk Resilience is supportive at 70/100.
  • - Analyst target implies +10.91% upside from the latest quote.
Bear Case
  • - Value is the current constraint at 34/100.
  • - Momentum is weak at 26/100.
  • - Technical consensus has more sell votes than buy votes (30 vs 8).

Current Consensus

PKG's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Sell, with 8 buy, 7 neutral, and 30 sell votes. PKG's 14-day RSI is 32.11, which places the stock in a weaker momentum range. PKG's beta is 0.81, indicating market sensitivity broadly in line with the market.

Signal Confidence
High agreement

What Changed in PKG?

Recent score-change history is not available in the current snapshot. These are the latest market-close scores instead.

AIQ Score
39/100
Momentum
26/100
Quality
40/100
Risk
70/100

What Would Change the PKG Outlook?

The current bearish outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, earnings revisions strengthen, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, analyst expectations deteriorate, or risk evidence worsens.

Bullish confirmation

AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive catalyst or estimate-revision evidence.

Bearish deterioration

AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.

PKG Decision Framework

Public evidence layers, setup checks, and risk context for Packaging Corporation of America.

Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) Stock Analysis

Packaging Corporation of America has an AIQ Score of 39/100 in a Defensive regime. Risk is strongest at 70/100. Beta is 0.81, below market sensitivity. Review the supporting stock factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.

Evidence LayerPublic Evidence
Regime ContextPKG is in a Defensive AIQ regime with score 39/100.
Signal ConflictThe primary conflict is that risk leads at 70/100 while momentum lags at 26/100.
Factor EvidenceMomentum 26/100 · Value 34/100 · Quality 40/100 · Risk 70/100
PersistenceCurrent snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro.

Current Setup Checklist

Factor strengthPass

Risk is the strongest factor at 70/100.

TimingFail

Momentum is 26/100 and RSI (14) is 32.1.

Regime fitFail

PKG is in a Defensive regime at 39/100.

Risk controlPass

Risk factor is 70/100 with beta 0.81 and annual volatility 27.96%.

ConflictWait

Current conflict: risk leads at 70/100 while momentum lags at 26/100.

AIQ Score
39/100
Price
$237.25
Beta
0.81
RSI (14)
32.1

PKG Research Cluster

Ticker-specific paths for valuation, technical analysis, catalysts, dividends, financials, risk, and news.

PKG Fundamentals

PKG valuation, profitability, growth, margins, balance-sheet strength, and free cash flow.

Revenue
$2.49B
Net income
$192.1M
Free cash flow
$170.1M
View full PKG fundamental analysis

PKG Technical Analysis

PKG technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.

Technical Analysis Consensus
Sell
RSI 14
32.11
Price vs SMA-50
-2.08%
View full PKG technical analysis

PKG Stock Catalysts

Track PKG earnings, analyst ratings, price targets, estimate revisions, stock news, and upcoming events.

Next earnings
Oct 28, 2026
Analyst target
$263.14
News items
4
View PKG earnings and stock catalysts

PKG Dividend Analysis

PKG dividend yield, annual dividend, payout ratio, payment history, and income reliability context.

Dividend yield
2.21%
Annual dividend
$5.25
Payout ratio
View PKG dividend history and analysis

PKG Financial Data

PKG revenue, earnings, income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, valuation ratios, and stock metrics.

Quarter revenue
$2.49B
EPS
$2.16
Periods
8
View PKG financials

PKG Risk Analysis

PKG volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.

Beta
0.81
Risk score
70/100
1Y volatility
27.96%
View PKG risk analysis

PKG Stock News

PKG stock news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.

News items
4
Updated
Sep 6, 2026
Sentiment
Read PKG stock news

PKG vs Packaging Peers

Current peer cohort: PKG · SEE · SW · AMCR · AVY. Compare AIQ, factor scores, Sharpe ratio and 1-year volatility in one indexable view.

PeerAIQValueMomentumRiskSharpe1Y VolatilityCompare
PKG
Current stock
39/10034/10026/10070/1000.3227.96%Current
SEE
Sealed Air
54/10057/10049/1002.0628.22%PKG vs SEE
SW
Smurfit WestRock
40/10044/10038/10058/1000.1144.26%PKG vs SW
AMCR
Amcor
47/10063/10045/10055/1000.2831.31%PKG vs AMCR
AVY
Avery Dennison
52/10048/10055/10058/1000.1625.49%PKG vs AVY
Pairwise Compare links: SEE · SW · AMCR · AVYPKG vs SEEPKG vs SWPKG vs AMCRPKG vs AVYCompare cohort

Peer cohort is resolved dynamically from the AlgovestIQ universe taxonomy and Compare relationship graph. Data as of Sep 5, 2026.

About the AIQ Score

Methodology for the current stock evidence.

As of Sep 4, 2026 · Market close

The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of stock evidence, including momentum, valuation exposure, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.

View AIQ methodology

Factor Diagnostics

A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.

Calculator
Calculate a PKG stock return scenario

Open the return calculator with stock context while purchase price, shares, dates and fees remain user inputs.

Calculate stock return

AIQ Component Profile

Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.

Catalyst preview

Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.

Open catalysts
Quarterly evidence

8 recent quarterly periods are available for review.

Checked Sep 6, 2026

AIQ Pro

Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.

Fundamentals Verdict

Current snapshot fields are separate from reported-quarter statement tables.

Current TTM P/E
29.64
As of Sep 4, 2026
Revenue growth
5.16%
Gross margin
20.11%
Current debt / equity
0.94
Latest quarterly evidence

Latest period Jun 30, 2026.

Review fundamentals
Quarter revenue
$2.49B
Quarter net income
$192.1M
Quarter free cash flow
$170.1M

Market Confirmation

Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.

Trend
Mixed
Momentum
Bearish
RSI 14
32.11
MACD
-2.97

Risk Alignment

Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.

Resilience
70/100
Beta
0.81
Annual volatility
27.96%
Max drawdown
-17.69%

PKG Stock FAQ

What is PKG stock price today?

Packaging Corporation of America's current stock price is $237.25. Use the live quote with AIQ Score, news, and risk context rather than treating price alone as a decision signal.

Is PKG bullish or bearish right now?

PKG's bullish or bearish read depends on the current AIQ Score, factor alignment, technical analysis consensus, valuation, risk, and catalyst evidence. A mixed setup should be treated differently from a broad confirmation across those signals.

What is PKG's market cap?

PKG's market cap is $20.41B based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 4, 2026. Use it with P/E ratio, revenue, and growth metrics to frame company size, valuation, and peer comparisons.

What is PKG's current P/E ratio?

PKG's current P/E ratio is 23.07 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 4, 2026. Read it with revenue growth, margins, EPS, cash flow, and peer valuation rather than using P/E alone.

What is PKG's RSI?

PKG's 14-day RSI is 32.11 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 4, 2026. RSI should be interpreted with MACD, moving averages, volume, volatility, and price trend.

Is PKG above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?

PKG is -2.08% from its 50-day SMA and 6.30% from its 200-day SMA based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 4, 2026. Moving-average position should be read with momentum and broader AIQ evidence.

When is PKG's next earnings date?

PKG's next earnings date is currently listed as Oct 28, 2026. Earnings can reset revenue, EPS, price target, analyst rating, and catalyst expectations.

Does PKG pay a dividend?

PKG's dividend yield is 0.01% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 4, 2026. Dividend yield should be read with payout ratio, free cash flow, growth, and balance-sheet strength.