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Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) Stock Analysis

Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) stock analysis covering valuation, fundamentals, technical indicators, risk, AIQ Momentum, analyst catalysts, dividends, and the current AIQ Score.

PKG Stock Analysis Summary

Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) currently has an AIQ Score of 54/100, indicating a neutral setup. Momentum is the strongest factor at 82/100. Value is the weakest current factor at 34/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Oct 21, 2026 · Market-close data

PKG at a Glance

Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close stock snapshot.

MetricCurrent
Price$239.00
AIQ Score54/100
Overall ViewNeutral
Technical Analysis ConsensusStrong Buy
Market Cap$20.41B
P/E Ratio (TTM)29.64
Forward P/E—
EPS (quarter ended 2026-06-30)$2.16
Revenue (quarter ended 2026-06-30)$2.49B
Dividend Yield (TTM)2.29%
Beta0.81
Volume810.15K
52-week range$191.50-$259.98
RSI 1468.31
50-Day SMA$237.59
200-Day SMA$228.13
Analyst Price Target$265.08
Next Earnings—
As of Oct 21, 2026 · Market close

PKGPackaging Corporation of America

Consumer Cyclical / Packaging & Containers

Low Priority

Above Peers

NeutralEdge 7/10
$239.00+$0.08 (+0.03%)

Latest quote

  • Momentum
    82
  • Value
    34
  • Quality
    40
  • Risk resilience
    74
  • Sentiment
    —
algovestiq.comScore data as of Oct 21, 2026

PKG Stock Analysis Summary

Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) currently has an AIQ Score of 54/100, indicating a neutral setup. Momentum is the strongest factor at 82/100. Value is the weakest current factor at 34/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Oct 21, 2026 · Market-close data
AIQ Composite Posture: Mixed

In a neutral regime, PKG has AIQ Score of 54/100 with Momentum base of 82/100 and fading Value at 34/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.

Signal Conflict Detected

Momentum (82/100) leads while Value (34/100) lags. This cross-factor spread creates entry timing uncertainty.

Consumer Cyclical · 0.03% stock move · PKG classified in Packaging & Containers.

Current Evidence

NeutralPKG is in a neutral AIQ regime; Momentum is the strongest visible factor at 82/100.
Core coverage reflects visible evidence only

AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary

Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.

Is PKG Bullish or Bearish Right Now?

PKG currently has a neutral overall setup. Momentum is the strongest factor at 82/100, while Value is weakest at 34/100. The current evidence suggests a mixed rather than strongly bullish or bearish setup.

Bull Case
  • - Momentum is constructive at 82/100.
  • - Risk Resilience is supportive at 74/100.
  • - Price is +0.59% above its 50-day SMA.
  • - Analyst target implies +10.91% upside from the latest quote.
  • - Technical consensus has more buy votes than sell votes (34 vs 9).
Bear Case
  • - Value is the current constraint at 34/100.

Current Consensus

PKG's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Strong Buy, with 34 buy, 2 neutral, and 9 sell votes. PKG's 14-day RSI is 68.31, which places the stock in a constructive momentum range. PKG's beta is 0.81, indicating market sensitivity broadly in line with the market.

Signal Confidence
High agreement

What Changed in PKG?

The largest recent change in PKG is Momentum moving up by 46.0 points over the available 7-day comparison window. Momentum remains the strongest visible factor.

AIQ Score
+12.0
Momentum
+46.0
Quality
+0.0
Risk
+1.0

What Would Change the PKG Outlook?

The current neutral outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, earnings revisions strengthen, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, analyst expectations deteriorate, or risk evidence worsens.

Bullish confirmation

AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive catalyst or estimate-revision evidence.

Bearish deterioration

AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.

PKG Decision Framework

Public evidence layers, setup checks, and risk context for Packaging Corporation of America.

Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) Stock Analysis

Packaging Corporation of America has an AIQ Score of 54/100 in a Neutral regime. Momentum is strongest at 82/100. Beta is 0.77, below market sensitivity. Review the supporting stock factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.

Evidence LayerPublic Evidence
Regime ContextPKG is in a Neutral AIQ regime with score 54/100.
Signal ConflictThe primary conflict is that momentum leads at 82/100 while value lags at 34/100.
Factor EvidenceMomentum 82/100 · Value 34/100 · Quality 40/100 · Risk 74/100
PersistenceCurrent snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro.

Current Setup Checklist

Factor strengthPass

Momentum is the strongest factor at 82/100.

TimingPass

Momentum is 82/100 and RSI (14) is 68.3.

Regime fitWait

PKG is in a Neutral regime at 54/100.

Risk controlPass

Risk factor is 74/100 with beta 0.77 and annual volatility 28.02%.

ConflictWait

Current conflict: momentum leads at 82/100 while value lags at 34/100.

AIQ Score
54/100
Price
$239.00
Beta
0.77
RSI (14)
68.3

PKG Research Cluster

Ticker-specific paths for valuation, technical analysis, catalysts, dividends, financials, risk, and news.

PKG Fundamentals

PKG valuation, profitability, growth, margins, balance-sheet strength, and free cash flow.

Revenue
$2.49B
Net income
$192.1M
Free cash flow
$170.1M
View full PKG fundamental analysis

PKG Technical Analysis

PKG technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.

Technical Analysis Consensus
Strong Buy
RSI 14
68.31
Price vs SMA-50
+0.59%
View full PKG technical analysis

PKG Stock Catalysts

Track PKG earnings, analyst ratings, price targets, estimate revisions, stock news, and upcoming events.

Next earnings
—
Analyst target
$265.08
News items
4
View PKG earnings and stock catalysts

PKG Dividend Analysis

PKG dividend yield, annual dividend, payout ratio, payment history, and income reliability context.

Dividend yield
2.30%
Annual dividend
$5.50
Payout ratio
64.85%
View PKG dividend history and analysis

PKG Financial Data

PKG revenue, earnings, income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, valuation ratios, and stock metrics.

Quarter revenue
$2.49B
EPS
$2.16
Periods
3
View PKG financials

PKG Risk Analysis

PKG volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.

Beta
0.81
Risk score
74/100
1Y volatility
28.02%
View PKG risk analysis

PKG Stock News

PKG stock news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.

News items
4
Updated
Oct 21, 2026
Sentiment
—
Read PKG stock news

PKG vs Packaging Peers

Current peer cohort: PKG · SEE · SW · AMCR · AVY. Compare AIQ, factor scores, Sharpe ratio and 1-year volatility in one indexable view.

PeerAIQValueMomentumRiskSharpe1Y VolatilityCompare
PKG
Current stock
54/10034/10082/10074/1000.5328.02%Current
SEE
Sealed Air
54/10057/100—49/1001.628.40%PKG vs SEE
SW
Smurfit WestRock
39/10044/10028/10065/1000.0943.91%PKG vs SW
AMCR
Amcor
56/10063/10080/10058/1000.3731.70%PKG vs AMCR
AVY
Avery Dennison
59/10048/10082/10063/1000.4125.65%PKG vs AVY
Pairwise Compare links: SEE · SW · AMCR · AVYPKG vs SEEPKG vs SWPKG vs AMCRPKG vs AVYCompare cohort

Peer cohort is resolved dynamically from the AlgovestIQ universe taxonomy and Compare relationship graph. Data as of Oct 21, 2026.

About the AIQ Score

Methodology for the current stock evidence.

As of Oct 21, 2026 · Market close

The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of stock evidence, including momentum, valuation exposure, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.

View AIQ methodology

Factor Diagnostics

A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.

Calculator
Calculate a PKG stock return scenario

Open the return calculator with stock context while purchase price, shares, dates and fees remain user inputs.

Calculate stock return

AIQ Component Profile

Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.

Catalyst preview

Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.

Open catalysts
Quarterly evidence

3 recent quarterly periods are available for review.

Checked Oct 22, 2026

AIQ Pro

Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.

Fundamentals Verdict

Current snapshot fields are separate from reported-quarter statement tables.

Current TTM P/E
29.64
As of Oct 21, 2026
Revenue growth
—
Gross margin
20.11%
Current debt / equity
0.94
Latest quarterly evidence

Latest period Jun 30, 2026.

Review fundamentals
Quarter revenue
$2.49B
Quarter net income
$192.1M
Quarter free cash flow
$170.1M

Market Confirmation

Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.

Trend
Bullish
Momentum
Bullish
RSI 14
68.31
MACD
0.13

Risk Alignment

Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.

Resilience
74/100
Beta
0.77
Annual volatility
28.02%
Max drawdown
-17.69%

PKG Stock FAQ

What is PKG stock price today?

Packaging Corporation of America's current stock price is $239.00. Use the live quote with AIQ Score, news, and risk context rather than treating price alone as a decision signal.

Is PKG bullish or bearish right now?

PKG's bullish or bearish read depends on the current AIQ Score, factor alignment, technical analysis consensus, valuation, risk, and catalyst evidence. A mixed setup should be treated differently from a broad confirmation across those signals.

What is PKG's market cap?

PKG's market cap is $20.41B based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Use it with P/E ratio, revenue, and growth metrics to frame company size, valuation, and peer comparisons.

What is PKG's current P/E ratio?

PKG's current P/E ratio is 29.64 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Read it with revenue growth, margins, EPS, cash flow, and peer valuation rather than using P/E alone.

What is PKG's RSI?

PKG's 14-day RSI is 68.31 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. RSI should be interpreted with MACD, moving averages, volume, volatility, and price trend.

Is PKG above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?

PKG is 0.59% from its 50-day SMA and 4.77% from its 200-day SMA based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Moving-average position should be read with momentum and broader AIQ evidence.

When is PKG's next earnings date?

PKG's next earnings date is a key event to check before making a decision. Earnings can reset revenue, EPS, price target, analyst rating, and catalyst expectations.

Does PKG pay a dividend?

PKG's dividend yield is 2.29% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Dividend yield should be read with payout ratio, free cash flow, growth, and balance-sheet strength.