MSFT vs OLED Stock Comparison
OLED currently leads MSFT in this stock comparison, with AIQ scores of 66 vs 64. The clearest difference is momentum, while MSFT has the stronger quality profile.
What is the main difference between MSFT and OLED?
OLED leads the current stock comparison as Universal Display Corporation, with the clearest separation coming from momentum and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
Microsoft Corporation vs Universal Display Corporation
OLED leads
OLED leads by 2 AIQ points, primarily on Momentum and Value, having only recently taken the lead back from MSFT.
Fragile: 2 of 6 evidence groups support OLED, the lead recently changed hands, and its current signal state is conflicted.
Microsoft Corporation
Universal Display Corporation
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors OLED over MSFT, 66 versus 64 as of Oct 24, 2026. OLED's advantage is driven primarily by stronger momentum and value, while MSFT holds the stronger quality profile. OLED also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average. 2 of 6 covered evidence groups favor OLED today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: the AIQ gap is narrow at 2 points. OLED lead: Reversed — MSFT led by 7 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; OLED now leads by 2.
Compare Microsoft Corporation and Universal Display Corporation across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Total return with distributions reinvested, from daily closes.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000, distributions reinvested
Split-adjusted closes; each distribution is reinvested at the close on its ex-dividend date. Taxes and trading costs are not modeled.
Compare MSFT and OLED against another ticker
Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Quality89 vs 71MSFT +18
- Momentum54 vs 72OLED +18
- Value44 vs 60OLED +16
- Risk Resilience68 vs 57MSFT +11
2 of 6 evidence groups favor OLED. OLED’s edge is concentrated in momentum and value; MSFT keeps a meaningful quality edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-10-23, compared against the prior scored session 2026-10-22.
Largest factor move: Momentum -3, not enough on its own to move the overall score.
No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 4 active signals are unchanged.
No factor moved materially.
No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 5 active signals are unchanged.
OLED's lead was unchanged in the latest session.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — MSFT and OLED both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
OLED (Universal Display Corporation): the stronger current systematic profile, led by momentum and value.
MSFT (Microsoft Corporation): the counter-case, on quality, risk resilience, fundamentals.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
OLEDOLED on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
OLEDOLED on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
OLEDOLED on the peer-relative Value factor, by 16 points.
Momentum
OLEDOLED on the Momentum factor, by 18 points.
Lower downside
MSFTMSFT on Risk Resilience, by 11 points.
Analyst upside
OLEDOLED on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.
| Measure | MSFT | OLED | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +7.8% | +37.5% | OLED has more room |
| Target dispersion | +57.5% | +65.2% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Buy | Buy | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 24 | 4 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Dividend growth
| Dividend metric | MSFT | OLED |
|---|---|---|
| 5Y dividend CAGR | 10.22% | 24.57% |
| 2020 regular DPS | $2.090 | $0.600 |
| 2025 regular DPS | $3.400 | $1.800 |
| Years increased | 5 | 5 |
| No cut in window | Yes | Yes |
| Cohort rank | #93 | #5 |
OLED grew its split-adjusted regular dividend faster over 2020–2025 — 24.57% a year against MSFT's 10.22%. Neither company reduced its regular dividend in any year of the window.
Yield and payout ratio shown elsewhere on this page are current values, not part of the study window.
Split-adjusted regular dividends per share, 2020–2025, excluding special dividends. Research as of Sep 19, 2026.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
2 of 6 covered evidence groups favor OLED. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | Even | 64 vs 66 |
| Fundamentals | MSFTon balance | revenue growth 8.6% vs 7%; EPS growth 12.4% vs 39.5%; TTM ROE 33.2% vs 11.4%; gross margin 67.9% vs 75.3%; operating margin 46.8% vs 34.1% — MSFT takes 3 of 5 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | OLED | Value 44 vs 60 |
| Technicals | MSFT | Price vs 50-day 3.2% vs 7.9%; vs 200-day 20.2% vs -6.7% |
| Risk Resilience | MSFT | Risk Resilience 68 vs 57 |
| Analyst expectations | OLED | Target upside 7.8% vs 37.5% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of MSFT and OLED and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is narrow at 2 points. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- Only 2 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The lead has already changed hands inside the comparison window. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- Analyst targets on the leader are widely dispersed. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on OLED.
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Jun 24 – Oct 23OLED lead: Reversed — MSFT led by 7 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; OLED now leads by 2.
- Today
- OLED +2
- 64 vs 66
- 7 sessions ago
- MSFT +11
- 70 vs 59
- 30 sessions ago
- MSFT +7
- 67 vs 60
- 90 sessions ago
- Level
- 63 vs 63
The lead changed hands 2 times in this window, most recently on Oct 22 when OLED moved ahead of MSFT.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
3 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted
Only MSFT
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (16.47%)
- EMA Ribbon Expansion Bullish — bullish, trend, medium horizon
- Uptrend Structure Active — bullish, trend, long horizon
- MACD Bearish Crossover — bearish, momentum, short horizon
2 bullish / 2 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
Only OLED
- Death Cross Active — bearish, trend, long horizon (15.14%)
- ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode — neutral, volatility, short horizon (3.73%)
- BB Upper Band Breach — bearish, volatility, short horizon
- Keltner Channel Breakout — bullish, volatility, short horizon
- MACD Bullish Crossover — bullish, momentum, short horizon
OLED leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price +0.66%, AIQ 0 points).
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price -0.54%, AIQ 0 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1MSFT closes the Momentum gap — currently 18 points behind, the largest single contributor to OLED's edge.
- 2MSFT generates a confirmed bullish trend signal it does not currently carry, such as MACD Bullish Crossover.
- 3OLED's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 2 bullish and 2 bearish rules at once.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
MSFT leads on balance| Metric | MSFT | OLED |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 8.6% | 7% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 12.4% | 39.5% |
| Gross margin | 67.9% | 75.3% |
| Operating margin | 46.8% | 34.1% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 33.2% | 11.4% |
| Debt to equity | 0.29 | 0.01 |
Performance
MSFT leads 4 of 6 windows| Metric | MSFT | OLED |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | -0.9% | 11.6% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | 1.6% | 12.4% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | 34.8% | 6.4% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | 23.5% | -12.2% |
| Year to date | 8.5% | -25.5% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | 1.3% | -41.9% |
Technicals
MSFT has the stronger structure| Metric | MSFT | OLED |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 49.6 | 64.8 |
| ADX (14) | 29 | 20.7 |
| Price vs 50-day | 3.2% | 7.9% |
| Price vs 200-day | 20.2% | -6.7% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 19.7% | 40.8% |
Risk
MSFT is the more resilient| Metric | MSFT | OLED |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.03 | 1.36 |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.07 | -1.1 |
| Sortino ratio | 0.11 | -1.59 |
| Max drawdown | -34.9% | -51.1% |
| Current drawdown | -3.5% | -41.7% |
| Annualized volatility | 33.1% | 42.4% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -2.8% | -4.3% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, MSFT or OLED?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, OLED is the stronger of the two as of Oct 24, 2026, scoring 66 against MSFT's 64. The edge comes from momentum and value. MSFT is not without a case — it holds the better quality profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is MSFT or OLED the better buy right now?
OLED carries the stronger systematic profile as of Oct 24, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 2 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: the AIQ gap is narrow at 2 points. Treat the lead as provisional.
Why does the AIQ Score favor OLED over MSFT?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. MSFT leads Quality by 18 points; OLED leads Momentum by 18 points; OLED leads Value by 16 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, MSFT or OLED?
Analyst price targets imply +7.8% upside for MSFT and +37.5% for OLED, so the Street currently favors OLED. The model and the Street agree here, which is a broader base of evidence than either alone. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, MSFT or OLED?
OLED is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. OLED on the peer-relative Value factor, by 16 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, MSFT or OLED?
OLED on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, MSFT or OLED?
OLED on the Momentum factor, by 18 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, MSFT or OLED?
MSFT is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. MSFT on Risk Resilience, by 11 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is MSFT more profitable than OLED?
The profitability evidence is mixed: gross margin 67.9% vs 75.3%; operating margin 46.8% vs 34.1%; ttm roe 33.2% vs 11.4%. MSFT leads on two measures and OLED on one measure, and there is no single profitability composite that resolves the split — which of the two reads as "more profitable" depends on whether you weight pricing power or operating leverage.
Is OLED's lead over MSFT getting stronger or weaker?
OLED lead: Reversed — MSFT led by 7 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; OLED now leads by 2. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-06-24 and 2026-10-23. The lead has changed hands 2 times in that window, most recently on 2026-10-22, when OLED moved ahead of MSFT.
What would change the MSFT vs OLED verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: MSFT closes the Momentum gap — currently 18 points behind, the largest single contributor to OLED's edge; MSFT generates a confirmed bullish trend signal it does not currently carry, such as MACD Bullish Crossover; OLED's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 2 bullish and 2 bearish rules at once; a regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
What do the current signals say about MSFT and OLED?
MSFT: 3 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted. OLED: 2 bullish / 2 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on MSFT is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On OLED it is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon).
Compare MSFT and OLED with others
Continue your research
This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.