MSFT vs QCOM Stock Comparison
Microsoft Corporation vs QUALCOMM Incorporated
QCOM leads
QCOM leads by 4 AIQ points, primarily on Value and Momentum, having only recently taken the lead back from MSFT.
Fragile: 3 of 6 evidence groups support QCOM, the lead recently changed hands, and its current signal state is conflicted.
Microsoft Corporation
QUALCOMM Incorporated
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors QCOM over MSFT, 69 versus 65 as of Sep 2, 2026. QCOM's advantage is driven primarily by stronger value and momentum, while MSFT holds the stronger risk resilience profile. QCOM also shows the weaker technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average. 3 of 6 covered evidence groups favor QCOM today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: the AIQ gap is narrow at 4 points. QCOM lead: Reversed — MSFT led by 11 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; QCOM now leads by 4.
Compare Microsoft Corporation and QUALCOMM Incorporated across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Value30%45 vs 69QCOM +24
- Risk Resilience15%67 vs 47MSFT +20
- Quality30%89 vs 83MSFT +6
- Momentum25%60 vs 66QCOM +6
3 of 6 evidence groups favor QCOM. QCOM’s edge is concentrated in value and momentum; MSFT keeps a meaningful risk resilience edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-09-01, compared against the prior scored session 2026-08-31.
No factor moved materially.
No new signals fired.
No factor moved materially.
No new signals fired.
QCOM's lead was unchanged in the latest snapshot.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — MSFT and QCOM both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
QCOM (QUALCOMM Incorporated): the stronger current systematic profile, led by value and momentum.
MSFT (Microsoft Corporation): the counter-case, on risk resilience, quality, fundamentals.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
QCOMQCOM on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value at 30% each.
Growth
MSFTMSFT on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
QCOMQCOM on the peer-relative Value factor, by 24 points.
Momentum
QCOMQCOM on the Momentum factor, by 6 points.
Lower downside
MSFTMSFT on Risk Resilience, by 20 points.
Analyst upside
QCOMQCOM on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.
| Measure | MSFT | QCOM | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +10% | +20.1% | QCOM has more room |
| Target dispersion | +53.2% | +137.9% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Buy | Hold | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 23 | 20 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
3 of 6 covered evidence groups favor QCOM. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | QCOM | 65 vs 69 |
| Fundamentals | MSFTon balance | revenue growth 8.6% vs -6.2%; EPS growth 12.4% vs -72.7%; ROE 33.2% vs 37.3%; gross margin 67.9% vs 54.2%; operating margin 46.8% vs 23.2% — MSFT takes 4 of 5 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | QCOM | Value 45 vs 69 |
| Technicals | MSFT | Price vs 50-day 14.5% vs -2%; vs 200-day 17.6% vs 1.5% |
| Risk Resilience | MSFT | Risk Resilience 67 vs 47 |
| Analyst expectations | QCOM | Target upside 10% vs 20.1% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of MSFT and QCOM and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is narrow at 4 points. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- Only 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The lead has already changed hands inside the comparison window. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- Analyst targets on the leader are widely dispersed. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on QCOM.
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Apr 20 – Sep 1QCOM lead: Reversed — MSFT led by 11 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; QCOM now leads by 4.
- Today
- QCOM +4
- 65 vs 69
- 7 sessions ago
- MSFT +1
- 64 vs 63
- 30 sessions ago
- MSFT +11
- 72 vs 61
- 90 sessions ago
- QCOM +7
- 51 vs 58
The lead changed hands 9 times in this window, most recently on Aug 27 when MSFT moved ahead of QCOM.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
3 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (0.47%)
- EMA Ribbon Expansion Bullish — bullish, trend, medium horizon
- Uptrend Structure Active — bullish, trend, long horizon
2 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (2.67%)
- BB Upper Band Breach — bearish, volatility, short horizon
- ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode — neutral, volatility, short horizon (3.62%)
QCOM leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price -0.99%, AIQ 0 points).
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price +1.45%, AIQ 0 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1MSFT closes the Value gap — currently 24 points behind, the largest single contributor to QCOM's edge.
- 2MSFT generates a confirmed bullish trend signal it does not currently carry, such as MACD Bullish Crossover.
- 3QCOM's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 2 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — the composite weights Quality and Value at 30% each, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
MSFT leads on balance| Metric | MSFT | QCOM |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 8.6% | -6.2% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 12.4% | -72.7% |
| Gross margin | 67.9% | 54.2% |
| Operating margin | 46.8% | 23.2% |
| Return on equity | 33.2% | 37.3% |
| Debt to equity | 0.29 | 0.55 |
Technicals
MSFT has the stronger structure| Metric | MSFT | QCOM |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 52.2 | 64.5 |
| ADX (14) | 37.9 | 12.1 |
| Price vs 50-day | 14.5% | -2% |
| Price vs 200-day | 17.6% | 1.5% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 21.7% | 40.7% |
Risk
MSFT is the more resilient| Metric | MSFT | QCOM |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.96 | 2.04 |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.02 | 0.29 |
| Sortino ratio | 0.04 | 0.43 |
| Max drawdown | -34.9% | -41.2% |
| Current drawdown | -6.4% | -32.1% |
| Annualized volatility | 32.5% | 51.6% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -2.8% | -4.6% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, MSFT or QCOM?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, QCOM is the stronger of the two as of Sep 2, 2026, scoring 69 against MSFT's 65. The edge comes from value and momentum. MSFT is not without a case — it holds the better risk resilience profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is MSFT or QCOM the better buy right now?
QCOM carries the stronger systematic profile as of Sep 2, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: the AIQ gap is narrow at 4 points. Treat the lead as provisional.
Why does the AIQ Score favor QCOM over MSFT?
The composite weights Quality at 30%, Value at 30%, Momentum at 25% and Risk Resilience at 15%. QCOM leads Value by 24 points; MSFT leads Risk Resilience by 20 points; MSFT leads Quality by 6 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, MSFT or QCOM?
Analyst price targets imply +10% upside for MSFT and +20.1% for QCOM, so the Street currently favors QCOM. The model and the Street agree here, which is a broader base of evidence than either alone. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, MSFT or QCOM?
QCOM is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. QCOM on the peer-relative Value factor, by 24 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, MSFT or QCOM?
MSFT on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, MSFT or QCOM?
QCOM on the Momentum factor, by 6 points. Momentum carries 25% of the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, MSFT or QCOM?
MSFT is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. MSFT on Risk Resilience, by 20 points. The Risk Resilience factor weights 15% of the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is MSFT more profitable than QCOM?
The profitability evidence is mixed: gross margin 67.9% vs 54.2%; operating margin 46.8% vs 23.2%; roe 33.2% vs 37.3%. MSFT leads on two measures and QCOM on one measure, and there is no single profitability composite that resolves the split — which of the two reads as "more profitable" depends on whether you weight pricing power or operating leverage.
Is QCOM's lead over MSFT getting stronger or weaker?
QCOM lead: Reversed — MSFT led by 11 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; QCOM now leads by 4. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-04-20 and 2026-09-01. The lead has changed hands 9 times in that window, most recently on 2026-08-27, when MSFT moved ahead of QCOM.
What would change the MSFT vs QCOM verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: MSFT closes the Value gap — currently 24 points behind, the largest single contributor to QCOM's edge; MSFT generates a confirmed bullish trend signal it does not currently carry, such as MACD Bullish Crossover; QCOM's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 2 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once; a regime shift changes factor weighting — the composite weights Quality and Value at 30% each, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
What do the current signals say about MSFT and QCOM?
MSFT: 3 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted. QCOM: 2 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on MSFT is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On QCOM it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).
Compare MSFT and QCOM with others
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality (30%), Value (30%), Momentum (25%) and Risk (15%). Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.