NVDA vs ON Stock Comparison
NVIDIA Corporation vs ON Semiconductor Corporation
NVDA leads
NVDA leads by 20 AIQ points, primarily on Quality and Momentum, but the lead has narrowed from 23 points over 30 sessions. Wall Street currently favors ON on target upside.
Competitive: 4 of 6 evidence groups support NVDA, its lead is narrowing, and its current signal state is conflicted.
NVIDIA Corporation
ON Semiconductor Corporation
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors NVDA over ON, 63 versus 43 as of Sep 2, 2026. NVDA's advantage is driven primarily by stronger quality and momentum, while ON holds the stronger value profile. NVDA also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average, though analyst target upside currently favors ON. 4 of 6 covered evidence groups favor NVDA today, and the comparison is rated Competitive on stability: the leader's advantage has been narrowing. NVDA lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 23 to 20 points over 30 sessions.
Compare NVIDIA Corporation and ON Semiconductor Corporation across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Quality30%99 vs 46NVDA +53
- Momentum25%63 vs 30NVDA +33
- Value30%36 vs 55ON +19
- Risk Resilience15%47 vs 37NVDA +10
4 of 6 evidence groups favor NVDA. NVDA’s edge is concentrated in quality and momentum; ON keeps a meaningful value edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-09-01, compared against the prior scored session 2026-08-31.
No factor moved materially.
No new signals fired.
No factor moved materially.
No new signals fired.
NVDA's lead was unchanged in the latest snapshot.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — NVDA and ON both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
NVDA (NVIDIA Corporation): the stronger current systematic profile, led by quality and momentum.
ON (ON Semiconductor Corporation): the counter-case, on value, valuation, analyst expectations.
The AIQ Score and Wall Street therefore point in different directions on this pair.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
NVDANVDA on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value at 30% each.
Growth
NVDANVDA on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
ONON on the peer-relative Value factor, by 19 points.
Momentum
NVDANVDA on the Momentum factor, by 33 points.
Lower downside
NVDANVDA on Risk Resilience, by 10 points.
Analyst upside
ONON on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
The model and the Street disagree here: AIQ favors NVDA, analyst targets favor ON. That disagreement is the most useful thing on this page.
| Measure | NVDA | ON | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +45.5% | +51.2% | ON has more room |
| Target dispersion | +76.1% | +99.8% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Buy | Hold | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 28 | 9 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
The two are measuring different things. The AIQ Score reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; analyst targets price forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something already priced in — it is worth resolving before acting on either.
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
4 of 6 covered evidence groups favor NVDA. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | NVDA | 63 vs 43 |
| Fundamentals | NVDA | revenue growth 19.8% vs 6%; EPS growth 35.6% vs 8.2%; ROE 111.7% vs 8.4%; gross margin 74.1% vs 37.4%; operating margin 64% vs 11.7% |
| Valuation | ON | Value 36 vs 55 |
| Technicals | NVDA | Price vs 50-day 8.3% vs -16.6%; vs 200-day 12.7% vs -4.8% |
| Risk Resilience | NVDA | Risk Resilience 47 vs 37 |
| Analyst expectations | ON | Target upside 45.5% vs 51.2% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of NVDA and ON and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The two are close enough that your objective, not the score, should decide.
- The AIQ gap is wide at 20 points. (supports the conclusion holding)
- The leader's advantage has been narrowing. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The lead has been steady session to session. (supports the conclusion holding)
- The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- Analyst targets on the leader are widely dispersed. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on NVDA.
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Apr 20 – Sep 1NVDA lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 23 to 20 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- NVDA +20
- 63 vs 43
- 7 sessions ago
- NVDA +21
- 64 vs 43
- 30 sessions ago
- NVDA +23
- 67 vs 44
- 90 sessions ago
- NVDA +14
- 56 vs 42
The lead has not changed hands in this window.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
3 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (6.46%)
- EMA Ribbon Expansion Bullish — bullish, trend, medium horizon
- Uptrend Structure Active — bullish, trend, long horizon
2 bullish / 0 bearish / 1 neutral
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (12.19%)
- ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode — neutral, volatility, short horizon (4.90%)
- MACD Bullish Crossover — bullish, momentum, short horizon
NVDA leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price +3.88%, AIQ 0 points).
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price +0.3%, AIQ 0 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1ON closes the Quality gap — currently 53 points behind, the largest single contributor to NVDA's edge.
- 2ON's ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode turns directional — it is neutral today and would confirm a change in trend.
- 3NVDA's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 3 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once.
- 4The narrowing continues — the lead has already given back 3 points over 30 sessions, and a further 20-point move would eliminate NVDA's advantage entirely.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
NVDA leads on balance| Metric | NVDA | ON |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 19.8% | 6% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 35.6% | 8.2% |
| Gross margin | 74.1% | 37.4% |
| Operating margin | 64% | 11.7% |
| Return on equity | 111.7% | 8.4% |
| Debt to equity | 0.07 | 0.62 |
Technicals
NVDA has the stronger structure| Metric | NVDA | ON |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 52.5 | 35.2 |
| ADX (14) | 16.3 | 30.6 |
| Price vs 50-day | 8.3% | -16.6% |
| Price vs 200-day | 12.7% | -4.8% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 46.2% | 41.1% |
Risk
NVDA is the more resilient| Metric | NVDA | ON |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.96 | 2.57 |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.62 | 0.87 |
| Sortino ratio | 1.05 | 1.2 |
| Max drawdown | -20.2% | -46.3% |
| Current drawdown | -6.3% | -44.7% |
| Annualized volatility | 38.6% | 61.5% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -3.9% | -4.9% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, NVDA or ON?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, NVDA is the stronger of the two as of Sep 2, 2026, scoring 63 against ON's 43. The edge comes from quality and momentum. ON is not without a case — it holds the better value profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is NVDA or ON the better buy right now?
NVDA carries the stronger systematic profile as of Sep 2, 2026, and the comparison is rated Competitive — 4 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Competitive rating means the two are close enough that your objective, not the score, should decide.
Why does the AIQ Score favor NVDA over ON?
The composite weights Quality at 30%, Value at 30%, Momentum at 25% and Risk Resilience at 15%. NVDA leads Quality by 53 points; NVDA leads Momentum by 33 points; ON leads Value by 19 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, NVDA or ON?
Analyst price targets imply +45.5% upside for NVDA and +51.2% for ON, so the Street currently favors ON. That points the opposite way to the AIQ Score, which favors NVDA. The two are measuring different things: the model reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; the Street is pricing forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something the analysts have already priced — it is the single most useful row on this page to investigate. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, NVDA or ON?
ON is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. ON on the peer-relative Value factor, by 19 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, NVDA or ON?
NVDA on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, NVDA or ON?
NVDA on the Momentum factor, by 33 points. Momentum carries 25% of the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, NVDA or ON?
NVDA is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. NVDA on Risk Resilience, by 10 points. The Risk Resilience factor weights 15% of the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is NVDA more profitable than ON?
NVDA leads on the comparable margin measures — gross margin 74.1% vs 37.4%; operating margin 64% vs 11.7%; roe 111.7% vs 8.4%.
Is NVDA's lead over ON getting stronger or weaker?
NVDA lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 23 to 20 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-04-20 and 2026-09-01. The lead has not changed hands in that window.
What would change the NVDA vs ON verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: ON closes the Quality gap — currently 53 points behind, the largest single contributor to NVDA's edge; ON's ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode turns directional — it is neutral today and would confirm a change in trend; NVDA's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 3 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once; the narrowing continues — the lead has already given back 3 points over 30 sessions, and a further 20-point move would eliminate NVDA's advantage entirely.
What do the current signals say about NVDA and ON?
NVDA: 3 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted. ON: 2 bullish / 0 bearish / 1 neutral. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on NVDA is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On ON it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).
Compare NVDA and ON with others
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality (30%), Value (30%), Momentum (25%) and Risk (15%). Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.