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NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) Stock Analysis

NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) stock analysis covering valuation, fundamentals, technical indicators, risk, AIQ Momentum, analyst catalysts, dividends, and the current AIQ Score.

NVDA Stock Analysis Summary

NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) currently has an AIQ Score of 57/100, indicating a neutral setup. Quality is the strongest factor at 97/100. Momentum is the weakest current factor at 34/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Oct 21, 2026 · Market-close data

NVDA at a Glance

Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close stock snapshot.

MetricCurrent
Price$221.97
AIQ Score57/100
Overall ViewNeutral
Technical Analysis ConsensusSell
Market Cap$5.27T
P/E Ratio (TTM)27.35
Forward P/E—
EPS (quarter ended 2026-07-26)$2.47
Revenue (quarter ended 2026-07-26)$96.22B
Dividend Yield (TTM)0.13%
Beta2.22
Volume86.43M
52-week range$164.27-$243.37
RSI 1440.54
50-Day SMA$223.01
200-Day SMA$203.43
Analyst Price Target$324.87
Next EarningsNov 18, 2026
As of Oct 21, 2026 · Market close

NVDANVIDIA Corporation

Technology / Semiconductors

Low Priority

Above Peers

NeutralEdge 7/10
$221.97+$5.50 (+2.54%)

Latest quote

  • Momentum
    34
  • Value
    35
  • Quality
    97
  • Risk resilience
    57
  • Sentiment
    64
algovestiq.comScore data as of Oct 21, 2026

NVDA Stock Analysis Summary

NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) currently has an AIQ Score of 57/100, indicating a neutral setup. Quality is the strongest factor at 97/100. Momentum is the weakest current factor at 34/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Oct 21, 2026 · Market-close data
AIQ Composite Posture: Mixed

In a neutral regime, NVDA has AIQ Score of 57/100 with Quality base of 97/100 and fading Momentum at 34/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.

Signal Conflict Detected

Quality (97/100) leads while Momentum (34/100) lags. This cross-factor spread creates entry timing uncertainty.

Technology · 2.54% stock move · NVDA classified in Semiconductors.

Current Evidence

NeutralNVDA is in a neutral AIQ regime; Quality is the strongest visible factor at 97/100.
Core coverage reflects visible evidence only
Latest analysis / NVDA / September 18, 2026

Which Semiconductor Stocks Saw the Biggest Estimate Revisions This Quarter?

AlgovestIQ data shows which semiconductor and memory stocks recorded the largest 90-day EPS estimate revisions in Q3 2026, and what drove the changes.

Read article

AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary

Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.

Is NVDA Bullish or Bearish Right Now?

NVDA currently has a neutral overall setup. Quality is the strongest factor at 97/100, while Momentum is weakest at 34/100. The current evidence suggests a mixed rather than strongly bullish or bearish setup.

Bull Case
  • - Quality is supportive at 97/100.
  • - Analyst target implies +46.36% upside from the latest quote.
Bear Case
  • - Value is the current constraint at 35/100.
  • - Momentum is weak at 34/100.
  • - Technical consensus has more sell votes than buy votes (24 vs 12).

Current Consensus

NVDA's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Sell, with 12 buy, 9 neutral, and 24 sell votes. NVDA's 14-day RSI is 40.54, which places the stock in a weaker momentum range. NVDA's beta is 2.22, indicating greater market sensitivity than the broad market.

Signal Confidence
Moderate agreement

What Changed in NVDA?

The largest recent change in NVDA is Momentum moving down by 7.0 points over the available 7-day comparison window. Quality remains the strongest visible factor.

AIQ Score
-1.0
Momentum
-7.0
Quality
+0.0
Risk
+0.0

What Would Change the NVDA Outlook?

The current neutral outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, earnings revisions strengthen, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, analyst expectations deteriorate, or risk evidence worsens.

Bullish confirmation

AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive catalyst or estimate-revision evidence.

Bearish deterioration

AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.

NVDA Decision Framework

Public evidence layers, setup checks, and risk context for NVIDIA Corporation.

NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) Stock Analysis

NVIDIA Corporation has an AIQ Score of 57/100 in a Neutral regime. Quality is strongest at 97/100. Beta is 2.22, above market sensitivity. Review the supporting stock factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.

Evidence LayerPublic Evidence
Regime ContextNVDA is in a Neutral AIQ regime with score 57/100.
Signal ConflictThe primary conflict is that quality leads at 97/100 while momentum lags at 34/100.
Factor EvidenceMomentum 34/100 · Value 35/100 · Quality 97/100 · Risk 57/100 · Sentiment 64/100
PersistenceCurrent snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro.

Current Setup Checklist

Factor strengthPass

Quality is the strongest factor at 97/100.

TimingFail

Momentum is 34/100 and RSI (14) is 40.5.

Regime fitWait

NVDA is in a Neutral regime at 57/100.

Risk controlWait

Risk factor is 57/100 with beta 2.22 and annual volatility 37.83%.

ConflictWait

Current conflict: quality leads at 97/100 while momentum lags at 34/100.

AIQ Score
57/100
Price
$221.97
Beta
2.22
RSI (14)
40.5

NVDA Research Cluster

Ticker-specific paths for valuation, technical analysis, catalysts, dividends, financials, risk, and news.

NVDA Fundamentals

NVDA valuation, profitability, growth, margins, balance-sheet strength, and free cash flow.

Revenue
$96.22B
Net income
$59.69B
Free cash flow
$21.4B
View full NVDA fundamental analysis

NVDA Technical Analysis

NVDA technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.

Technical Analysis Consensus
Sell
RSI 14
40.54
Price vs SMA-50
-0.47%
View full NVDA technical analysis

NVDA Stock Catalysts

Track NVDA earnings, analyst ratings, price targets, estimate revisions, stock news, and upcoming events.

Next earnings
Nov 18, 2026
Analyst target
$324.87
News items
1
View NVDA earnings and stock catalysts

NVDA Dividend Analysis

NVDA dividend yield, annual dividend, payout ratio, payment history, and income reliability context.

Dividend yield
0.23%
Annual dividend
$0.52
Payout ratio
3.51%
View NVDA dividend history and analysis

NVDA Financial Data

NVDA revenue, earnings, income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, valuation ratios, and stock metrics.

Quarter revenue
$96.22B
EPS
$2.47
Periods
4
View NVDA financials

NVDA Risk Analysis

NVDA volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.

Beta
2.22
Risk score
57/100
1Y volatility
37.83%
View NVDA risk analysis

NVDA Stock News

NVDA stock news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.

News items
1
Updated
Oct 21, 2026
Sentiment
64/100
Read NVDA stock news

NVDA vs Semiconductor Peers

Current peer cohort: NVDA · TSM · AVGO · AMD · MRVL. Compare AIQ, factor scores, Sharpe ratio and 1-year volatility in one indexable view.

PeerAIQValueMomentumRiskSharpe1Y VolatilityCompare
NVDA
Current stock
57/10035/10034/10057/1000.637.83%Current
TSM
Taiwan Semiconductor
58/10045/10022/10067/1001.0538.92%NVDA vs TSM
AVGO
Broadcom
51/10030/10032/10054/1000.0745.91%NVDA vs AVGO
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices
41/10024/10033/10042/1001.5167.90%NVDA vs AMD
MRVL
Marvell Technology
41/10025/10036/10036/1001.6679.77%NVDA vs MRVL
Pairwise Compare links: TSM · AVGO · AMD · MRVLNVDA vs TSMNVDA vs AVGONVDA vs AMDNVDA vs MRVLCompare cohort

Peer cohort is resolved dynamically from the AlgovestIQ universe taxonomy and Compare relationship graph. Data as of Oct 21, 2026.

How NVDA scores against the names it is most often compared with.

About the AIQ Score

Methodology for the current stock evidence.

As of Oct 21, 2026 · Market close

The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of stock evidence, including momentum, valuation exposure, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.

View AIQ methodology

Factor Diagnostics

A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.

Calculator
Calculate a NVDA stock return scenario

Open the return calculator with stock context while purchase price, shares, dates and fees remain user inputs.

Calculate stock return

AIQ Component Profile

Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.

Catalyst preview

Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.

Open catalysts
Quarterly evidence

4 recent quarterly periods are available for review.

Checked Oct 21, 2026

AIQ Pro

Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.

Fundamentals Verdict

Current snapshot fields are separate from reported-quarter statement tables.

Current TTM P/E
27.35
As of Oct 21, 2026
Revenue growth
—
Gross margin
74.67%
Current debt / equity
0.17
Latest quarterly evidence

Latest period Jul 26, 2026.

Review fundamentals
Quarter revenue
$96.22B
Quarter net income
$59.69B
Quarter free cash flow
$21.4B

Market Confirmation

Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.

Trend
Mixed
Momentum
Bearish
RSI 14
40.54
MACD
-1.27

Risk Alignment

Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.

Resilience
57/100
Beta
2.22
Annual volatility
37.83%
Max drawdown
-20.22%

NVDA Stock FAQ

What is NVDA stock price today?

NVIDIA Corporation's current stock price is $221.97. Use the live quote with AIQ Score, news, and risk context rather than treating price alone as a decision signal.

Is NVDA bullish or bearish right now?

NVDA's bullish or bearish read depends on the current AIQ Score, factor alignment, technical analysis consensus, valuation, risk, and catalyst evidence. A mixed setup should be treated differently from a broad confirmation across those signals.

What is NVDA's market cap?

NVDA's market cap is $5.27T based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Use it with P/E ratio, revenue, and growth metrics to frame company size, valuation, and peer comparisons.

What is NVDA's current P/E ratio?

NVDA's current P/E ratio is 27.35 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Read it with revenue growth, margins, EPS, cash flow, and peer valuation rather than using P/E alone.

What is NVDA's RSI?

NVDA's 14-day RSI is 40.54 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. RSI should be interpreted with MACD, moving averages, volume, volatility, and price trend.

Is NVDA above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?

NVDA is -0.47% from its 50-day SMA and 9.11% from its 200-day SMA based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Moving-average position should be read with momentum and broader AIQ evidence.

When is NVDA's next earnings date?

NVDA's next earnings date is currently listed as Nov 18, 2026. Earnings can reset revenue, EPS, price target, analyst rating, and catalyst expectations.

Does NVDA pay a dividend?

NVDA's dividend yield is 0.13% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Dividend yield should be read with payout ratio, free cash flow, growth, and balance-sheet strength.