ORCL vs PANW Stock Comparison
ORCL currently leads PANW in this stock comparison, with AIQ scores of 51 vs 36. The clearest difference is value, while PANW has the stronger risk resilience profile.
What is the main difference between ORCL and PANW?
ORCL leads the current stock comparison as Oracle Corporation, with the clearest separation coming from value and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
Oracle Corporation vs Palo Alto Networks, Inc.
ORCL leads
ORCL leads by 15 AIQ points, primarily on Value and Momentum, having only recently taken the lead back from PANW.
Fragile: 4 of 6 evidence groups support ORCL, and the lead recently changed hands.
Oracle Corporation
Palo Alto Networks, Inc.
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors ORCL over PANW, 51 versus 36 as of Oct 21, 2026. ORCL's advantage is driven primarily by stronger value and momentum, while PANW holds the stronger risk resilience profile. ORCL also shows the weaker technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average. 4 of 6 covered evidence groups favor ORCL today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: the lead has already changed hands inside the comparison window. ORCL lead: Reversed — PANW led by 6 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; ORCL now leads by 15.
Compare Oracle Corporation and Palo Alto Networks, Inc. across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Total return with distributions reinvested, from daily closes.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000, distributions reinvested
Split-adjusted closes; each distribution is reinvested at the close on its ex-dividend date. Taxes and trading costs are not modeled.
Compare ORCL and PANW against another ticker
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AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Value61 vs 24ORCL +37
- Risk Resilience23 vs 44PANW +21
- Momentum34 vs 16ORCL +18
- Quality70 vs 60ORCL +10
4 of 6 evidence groups favor ORCL. ORCL’s edge is concentrated in value and momentum; PANW keeps a meaningful risk resilience edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-10-20, compared against the prior scored session 2026-10-19.
Largest factor move: Momentum +2, not enough on its own to move the overall score.
No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 4 active signals are unchanged.
Largest factor move: Momentum -5
No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 5 active signals are unchanged.
ORCL's lead widened by 1 AIQ point in the latest session.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — ORCL and PANW both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
ORCL (Oracle Corporation): the stronger current systematic profile, led by value and momentum.
PANW (Palo Alto Networks, Inc.): the counter-case, on risk resilience, technicals.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
ORCLORCL on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
ORCLORCL on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
ORCLORCL on the peer-relative Value factor, by 37 points.
Momentum
ORCLORCL on the Momentum factor, by 18 points.
Lower downside
PANWPANW on Risk Resilience, by 21 points.
Analyst upside
ORCLORCL on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.
| Measure | ORCL | PANW | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +88.8% | +4% | ORCL has more room |
| Target dispersion | +94.3% | +85.6% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Buy | Buy | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 21 | 37 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
4 of 6 covered evidence groups favor ORCL. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | ORCL | 51 vs 36 |
| Fundamentals | ORCLon balance | revenue growth 11.6% vs 15.7%; EPS growth 14.8% vs -147.5%; TTM ROE 50.6% vs 1.7%; gross margin 65.8% vs 70.4%; operating margin 30.8% vs 6% — ORCL takes 3 of 5 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | ORCL | Value 61 vs 24 |
| Technicals | PANW | Price vs 50-day -10.6% vs -6.7%; vs 200-day -17.8% vs 29.7% |
| Risk Resilience | PANW | Risk Resilience 23 vs 44 |
| Analyst expectations | ORCL | Target upside 88.8% vs 4% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of ORCL and PANW and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is wide at 15 points. (supports the conclusion holding)
- The lead has already changed hands inside the comparison window. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The lead has swung materially session to session. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- Analyst targets on the leader are widely dispersed. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on ORCL.
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Jun 21 – Oct 20ORCL lead: Reversed — PANW led by 6 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; ORCL now leads by 15.
- Today
- ORCL +15
- 51 vs 36
- 7 sessions ago
- ORCL +12
- 52 vs 40
- 30 sessions ago
- PANW +6
- 48 vs 54
- 90 sessions ago
- ORCL +5
- 60 vs 55
The lead changed hands 2 times in this window, most recently on Oct 5 when ORCL moved ahead of PANW.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
0 bullish / 3 bearish / 1 neutral
Only ORCL
- Death Cross Active — bearish, trend, long horizon (10.51%)
- Downtrend Structure Active — bearish, trend, long horizon
2 bullish / 2 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
Only PANW
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (41.84%)
- BB Lower Band Breach — bullish, volatility, short horizon
- Keltner Channel Breakdown — bearish, volatility, short horizon
Both carry 2 more signals that do not separate them: ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode, MACD Bearish Crossover.
PANW is conflicted, so the timing case there is weaker than the score alone suggests.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price -1.53%, AIQ 0 points).
Price is up while the AIQ Score moved down 1 points over the same session — price and model disagree (price +2.05%, AIQ -1 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1PANW closes the Value gap — currently 37 points behind, the largest single contributor to ORCL's edge.
- 2PANW's Keltner Channel Breakdown resolves — a bearish volatility rule currently active against it.
- 3ORCL starts generating bearish momentum or trend signals.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
ORCL leads on balance| Metric | ORCL | PANW |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 11.6% | 15.7% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 14.8% | -147.5% |
| Gross margin | 65.8% | 70.4% |
| Operating margin | 30.8% | 6% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 50.6% | 1.7% |
| Debt to equity | 3.67 | 0.09 |
Performance
PANW leads 4 of 6 windows| Metric | ORCL | PANW |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | -8.4% | -14.1% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | -12.1% | -9.2% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | -27.6% | 94.5% |
| Year to date | -32.7% | 84.7% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | -57.7% | 65.6% |
Technicals
PANW has the stronger structure| Metric | ORCL | PANW |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 44.7 | 31.6 |
| ADX (14) | 11.3 | 19.8 |
| Price vs 50-day | -10.6% | -6.7% |
| Price vs 200-day | -17.8% | 29.7% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 56.7% | 55.5% |
Risk
PANW is the more resilient| Metric | ORCL | PANW |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 2.2 | 1.29 |
| Sharpe ratio | -1.18 | 1.17 |
| Sortino ratio | -2.08 | 1.91 |
| Max drawdown | -60.5% | -36% |
| Current drawdown | -55% | -19% |
| Annualized volatility | 57.2% | 49.1% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -5.7% | -4.7% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, ORCL or PANW?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, ORCL is the stronger of the two as of Oct 21, 2026, scoring 51 against PANW's 36. The edge comes from value and momentum. PANW is not without a case — it holds the better risk resilience profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is ORCL or PANW the better buy right now?
ORCL carries the stronger systematic profile as of Oct 21, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 4 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: the lead has already changed hands inside the comparison window. Treat the lead as provisional.
Why does the AIQ Score favor ORCL over PANW?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. ORCL leads Value by 37 points; PANW leads Risk Resilience by 21 points; ORCL leads Momentum by 18 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, ORCL or PANW?
Analyst price targets imply +88.8% upside for ORCL and +4% for PANW, so the Street currently favors ORCL. The model and the Street agree here, which is a broader base of evidence than either alone. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, ORCL or PANW?
ORCL is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. ORCL on the peer-relative Value factor, by 37 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, ORCL or PANW?
ORCL on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, ORCL or PANW?
ORCL on the Momentum factor, by 18 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, ORCL or PANW?
PANW is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. PANW on Risk Resilience, by 21 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is ORCL more profitable than PANW?
The profitability evidence is mixed: gross margin 65.8% vs 70.4%; operating margin 30.8% vs 6%; ttm roe 50.6% vs 1.7%. ORCL leads on two measures and PANW on one measure, and there is no single profitability composite that resolves the split — which of the two reads as "more profitable" depends on whether you weight pricing power or operating leverage.
Is ORCL's lead over PANW getting stronger or weaker?
ORCL lead: Reversed — PANW led by 6 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; ORCL now leads by 15. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-06-21 and 2026-10-20. The lead has changed hands 2 times in that window, most recently on 2026-10-05, when ORCL moved ahead of PANW.
What would change the ORCL vs PANW verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: PANW closes the Value gap — currently 37 points behind, the largest single contributor to ORCL's edge; PANW's Keltner Channel Breakdown resolves — a bearish volatility rule currently active against it; ORCL starts generating bearish momentum or trend signals; a regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
What do the current signals say about ORCL and PANW?
ORCL: 0 bullish / 3 bearish / 1 neutral. PANW: 2 bullish / 2 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on ORCL is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon). On PANW it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).
Compare ORCL and PANW with others
Continue your research
This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.