ORCL vs QCOM Stock Comparison
Oracle Corporation vs QUALCOMM Incorporated
QCOM leads
QCOM leads by 10 AIQ points, primarily on Risk Resilience and Quality, having only recently taken the lead back from ORCL. Wall Street currently favors ORCL on target upside.
Fragile: 4 of 6 evidence groups support QCOM, the lead recently changed hands, and its current signal state is conflicted.
Oracle Corporation
QUALCOMM Incorporated
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors QCOM over ORCL, 69 versus 59 as of Sep 2, 2026. QCOM's advantage is driven primarily by stronger risk resilience and quality. QCOM also shows the weaker technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average, though analyst target upside currently favors ORCL. 4 of 6 covered evidence groups favor QCOM today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: the lead has already changed hands inside the comparison window. QCOM lead: Reversed — ORCL led by 1 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; QCOM now leads by 10. QCOM leads on all four AIQ factor dimensions. Value is itself one of those four, so a sweep is not explained by valuation alone — it deserves additional scrutiny for unmodeled catalysts, expectations or event risk.
Compare Oracle Corporation and QUALCOMM Incorporated across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Risk Resilience15%29 vs 47QCOM +18
- Quality30%70 vs 83QCOM +13
- Value30%61 vs 69QCOM +8
- Momentum25%60 vs 66QCOM +6
4 of 6 evidence groups favor QCOM. QCOM’s edge is concentrated in risk resilience and quality.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-09-01, compared against the prior scored session 2026-08-31.
No factor moved materially.
No new signals fired.
No factor moved materially.
No new signals fired.
QCOM's lead was unchanged in the latest snapshot.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — ORCL and QCOM both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
QCOM (QUALCOMM Incorporated): the stronger current systematic profile, led by risk resilience and quality.
ORCL (Oracle Corporation): the counter-case, on fundamentals, analyst expectations.
The AIQ Score and Wall Street therefore point in different directions on this pair.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
QCOMQCOM on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value at 30% each.
Growth
ORCLORCL on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
QCOMQCOM on the peer-relative Value factor, by 8 points.
Momentum
QCOMQCOM on the Momentum factor, by 6 points.
Lower downside
QCOMQCOM on Risk Resilience, by 18 points.
Analyst upside
ORCLORCL on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
The model and the Street disagree here: AIQ favors QCOM, analyst targets favor ORCL. That disagreement is the most useful thing on this page.
| Measure | ORCL | QCOM | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +65.7% | +20% | ORCL has more room |
| Target dispersion | +95.8% | +137.9% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Buy | Hold | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 20 | 20 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
The two are measuring different things. The AIQ Score reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; analyst targets price forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something already priced in — it is worth resolving before acting on either.
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
4 of 6 covered evidence groups favor QCOM. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | QCOM | 59 vs 69 |
| Fundamentals | ORCL | revenue growth 11.6% vs -6.2%; EPS growth 14.8% vs -72.7%; ROE 50.6% vs 37.3%; gross margin 65.8% vs 54.2%; operating margin 30.8% vs 23.2% |
| Valuation | QCOM | Value 61 vs 69 |
| Technicals | QCOM | Price vs 50-day 2.8% vs -1.8%; vs 200-day -12.4% vs 1.5% |
| Risk Resilience | QCOM | Risk Resilience 29 vs 47 |
| Analyst expectations | ORCL | Target upside 65.7% vs 20% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of ORCL and QCOM and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is moderate at 10 points.
- The lead has already changed hands inside the comparison window. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- Analyst targets on the leader are widely dispersed. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on QCOM.
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Apr 20 – Sep 1QCOM lead: Reversed — ORCL led by 1 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; QCOM now leads by 10.
- Today
- QCOM +10
- 59 vs 69
- 7 sessions ago
- QCOM +5
- 58 vs 63
- 30 sessions ago
- ORCL +1
- 62 vs 61
- 90 sessions ago
- QCOM +13
- 45 vs 58
The lead changed hands 4 times in this window, most recently on Aug 14 when QCOM moved ahead of ORCL.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
1 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
- Death Cross Active — bearish, trend, long horizon (20.86%)
- ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode — neutral, volatility, short horizon (4.22%)
- MACD Bullish Crossover — bullish, momentum, short horizon
2 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (2.67%)
- BB Upper Band Breach — bearish, volatility, short horizon
- ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode — neutral, volatility, short horizon (3.62%)
QCOM leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price +2.49%, AIQ 0 points).
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price +1.59%, AIQ 0 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1ORCL closes the Risk Resilience gap — currently 18 points behind, the largest single contributor to QCOM's edge.
- 2ORCL's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it.
- 3QCOM's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 2 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — the composite weights Quality and Value at 30% each, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
ORCL leads on balance| Metric | ORCL | QCOM |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 11.6% | -6.2% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 14.8% | -72.7% |
| Gross margin | 65.8% | 54.2% |
| Operating margin | 30.8% | 23.2% |
| Return on equity | 50.6% | 37.3% |
| Debt to equity | 3.67 | 0.55 |
Technicals
QCOM has the stronger structure| Metric | ORCL | QCOM |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 53.8 | 64.5 |
| ADX (14) | 15.4 | 12.1 |
| Price vs 50-day | 2.8% | -1.8% |
| Price vs 200-day | -12.4% | 1.5% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 41.5% | 40.7% |
Risk
QCOM is the more resilient| Metric | ORCL | QCOM |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 2.02 | 2.04 |
| Sharpe ratio | -0.45 | 0.29 |
| Sortino ratio | -0.93 | 0.43 |
| Max drawdown | -65% | -41.2% |
| Current drawdown | -54.6% | -32.1% |
| Annualized volatility | 67.5% | 51.6% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -5.8% | -4.6% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, ORCL or QCOM?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, QCOM is the stronger of the two as of Sep 2, 2026, scoring 69 against ORCL's 59. The edge comes from risk resilience and quality. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is ORCL or QCOM the better buy right now?
QCOM carries the stronger systematic profile as of Sep 2, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 4 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: the lead has already changed hands inside the comparison window. Treat the lead as provisional.
Why does the AIQ Score favor QCOM over ORCL?
The composite weights Quality at 30%, Value at 30%, Momentum at 25% and Risk Resilience at 15%. QCOM leads Risk Resilience by 18 points; QCOM leads Quality by 13 points; QCOM leads Value by 8 points. QCOM leads on all four AIQ factor dimensions. Value is itself one of those four, so the sweep is not explained by ORCL simply being cheaper — it warrants extra scrutiny for unmodeled catalysts, forward expectations or event risk the factors do not capture.
Which has more analyst upside, ORCL or QCOM?
Analyst price targets imply +65.7% upside for ORCL and +20% for QCOM, so the Street currently favors ORCL. That points the opposite way to the AIQ Score, which favors QCOM. The two are measuring different things: the model reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; the Street is pricing forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something the analysts have already priced — it is the single most useful row on this page to investigate. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, ORCL or QCOM?
QCOM is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. QCOM on the peer-relative Value factor, by 8 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, ORCL or QCOM?
ORCL on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, ORCL or QCOM?
QCOM on the Momentum factor, by 6 points. Momentum carries 25% of the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, ORCL or QCOM?
QCOM is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. QCOM on Risk Resilience, by 18 points. The Risk Resilience factor weights 15% of the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is ORCL more profitable than QCOM?
ORCL leads on the comparable margin measures — gross margin 65.8% vs 54.2%; operating margin 30.8% vs 23.2%; roe 50.6% vs 37.3%.
Is QCOM's lead over ORCL getting stronger or weaker?
QCOM lead: Reversed — ORCL led by 1 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; QCOM now leads by 10. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-04-20 and 2026-09-01. The lead has changed hands 4 times in that window, most recently on 2026-08-14, when QCOM moved ahead of ORCL.
What would change the ORCL vs QCOM verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: ORCL closes the Risk Resilience gap — currently 18 points behind, the largest single contributor to QCOM's edge; ORCL's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it; QCOM's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 2 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once; a regime shift changes factor weighting — the composite weights Quality and Value at 30% each, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
What do the current signals say about ORCL and QCOM?
ORCL: 1 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. QCOM: 2 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on ORCL is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon). On QCOM it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).
Compare ORCL and QCOM with others
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality (30%), Value (30%), Momentum (25%) and Risk (15%). Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.