QQQ vs CAT Stock Comparison
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1 vs Caterpillar Inc.
QQQ leads
QQQ leads by 14 AIQ points, primarily on Risk Resilience and Quality, but the lead has narrowed from 19 points over 30 sessions.
Competitive: 3 of 4 evidence groups support QQQ, its lead is narrowing, and its current signal state is conflicted.
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Caterpillar Inc.
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors QQQ over CAT, 54 versus 40 as of Sep 2, 2026. QQQ's advantage is driven primarily by stronger risk resilience and quality, while CAT holds the stronger value profile. QQQ also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average. 3 of 4 covered evidence groups favor QQQ today, and the comparison is rated Competitive on stability: the leader's advantage has been narrowing. QQQ lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 19 to 14 points over 30 sessions.
Compare Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1 and Caterpillar Inc. across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Risk Resilience15%74 vs 44QQQ +30
- Quality30%83 vs 55QQQ +28
- Momentum25%35 vs 23QQQ +12
- Value30%30 vs 37CAT +7
3 of 4 evidence groups favor QQQ. QQQ’s edge is concentrated in risk resilience and quality; CAT keeps a meaningful value edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-09-01, compared against the prior scored session 2026-08-31.
Largest factor move: Momentum -24
No new signals fired.
Largest factor move: Momentum -10
New signals
- RSI Oversold - Potential Bounce — bullish, momentum, short horizon
- Beta Spike Warning — bearish, risk, long horizon
QQQ's lead narrowed by 4 AIQ points in the latest snapshot.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — QQQ and CAT both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
QQQ (Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1): the stronger current systematic profile, led by risk resilience and quality.
CAT (Caterpillar Inc.): the counter-case, on value, valuation — but at materially higher volatility, 28% against 13.2%.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
QQQQQQ on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value at 30% each.
Growth
EvenGrowth figures are not covered for both names.
Value
CATCAT on the peer-relative Value factor, by 7 points.
Momentum
QQQQQQ on the Momentum factor, by 12 points.
Lower downside
QQQQQQ on Risk Resilience, by 30 points.
Analyst upside
EvenAnalyst targets are level or not covered for both names.
AIQ vs Wall Street
Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.
| Measure | QQQ | CAT | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | — | +20.2% | Level |
| Target dispersion | — | +83.5% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | — | Hold | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | — | 13 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
3 of 4 covered evidence groups favor QQQ. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | QQQ | 54 vs 40 |
| Fundamentals | Not covered | Not covered |
| Valuation | CAT | Value 30 vs 37 |
| Technicals | QQQ | Price vs 50-day -0.2% vs -10.5%; vs 200-day 7.9% vs 3.8% |
| Risk Resilience | QQQ | Risk Resilience 74 vs 44 |
| Analyst expectations | Not covered | Not covered |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of QQQ and CAT and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The two are close enough that your objective, not the score, should decide.
- The AIQ gap is wide at 14 points. (supports the conclusion holding)
- The leader's advantage has been narrowing. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on QQQ.
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Apr 20 – Sep 1QQQ lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 19 to 14 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- QQQ +14
- 54 vs 40
- 7 sessions ago
- QQQ +15
- 59 vs 44
- 30 sessions ago
- QQQ +19
- 63 vs 44
- 90 sessions ago
- CAT +1
- 54 vs 55
The lead changed hands once in this window, most recently on Jun 29 when QQQ moved ahead of CAT.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
2 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (8.37%)
- EMA Ribbon Expansion Bullish — bullish, trend, medium horizon
- ATR Contraction - Coiling — neutral, volatility, short horizon (1.44%)
2 bullish / 2 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (15.05%)
- RSI Oversold - Potential Bounce — bullish, momentum, short horizon
- Beta Spike Warning — bearish, risk, long horizon
QQQ leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Price is up while the AIQ Score moved down 6 points over the same session — price and model disagree (price +0.23%, AIQ -6 points).
Price is up while the AIQ Score moved down 2 points over the same session — price and model disagree (price +1.68%, AIQ -2 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1CAT closes the Risk Resilience gap — currently 30 points behind, the largest single contributor to QQQ's edge.
- 2CAT's Beta Spike Warning resolves — a bearish risk rule currently active against it.
- 3QQQ's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 2 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once.
- 4The narrowing continues — the lead has already given back 5 points over 30 sessions, and a further 14-point move would eliminate QQQ's advantage entirely.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
Split| Metric | QQQ | CAT |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | — | 18% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | — | 41.8% |
| Gross margin | — | 33.9% |
| Operating margin | — | 17.5% |
| Return on equity | — | 54.1% |
| Debt to equity | — | 2.33 |
Technicals
QQQ has the stronger structure| Metric | QQQ | CAT |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 38.2 | 28.5 |
| ADX (14) | 11.9 | 12.2 |
| Price vs 50-day | -0.2% | -10.5% |
| Price vs 200-day | 7.9% | 3.8% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 13.2% | 28% |
Risk
QQQ is the more resilient| Metric | QQQ | CAT |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.43 | 1.75 |
| Sharpe ratio | 1 | 1.67 |
| Sortino ratio | 1.5 | 2.71 |
| Max drawdown | -12.2% | -26.8% |
| Current drawdown | -5.2% | -26.8% |
| Annualized volatility | 19.7% | 39.7% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -1.9% | -3.8% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, QQQ or CAT?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, QQQ is the stronger of the two as of Sep 2, 2026, scoring 54 against CAT's 40. The edge comes from risk resilience and quality. CAT is not without a case — it holds the better value profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is QQQ or CAT the better buy right now?
QQQ carries the stronger systematic profile as of Sep 2, 2026, and the comparison is rated Competitive — 3 of 4 covered evidence groups agree. A Competitive rating means the two are close enough that your objective, not the score, should decide.
Why does the AIQ Score favor QQQ over CAT?
The composite weights Quality at 30%, Value at 30%, Momentum at 25% and Risk Resilience at 15%. QQQ leads Risk Resilience by 30 points; QQQ leads Quality by 28 points; QQQ leads Momentum by 12 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, QQQ or CAT?
Analyst price targets imply not covered upside for QQQ and +20.2% for CAT. The model and the Street agree here, which is a broader base of evidence than either alone. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, QQQ or CAT?
CAT is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. CAT on the peer-relative Value factor, by 7 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, QQQ or CAT?
Growth figures are not covered for both names. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, QQQ or CAT?
QQQ on the Momentum factor, by 12 points. Momentum carries 25% of the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, QQQ or CAT?
QQQ is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. QQQ on Risk Resilience, by 30 points. The Risk Resilience factor weights 15% of the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is QQQ more profitable than CAT?
Margin data is not comparable for both names in the current snapshot.
Is QQQ's lead over CAT getting stronger or weaker?
QQQ lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 19 to 14 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-04-20 and 2026-09-01. The lead has changed hands once in that window, most recently on 2026-06-29, when QQQ moved ahead of CAT.
What would change the QQQ vs CAT verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: CAT closes the Risk Resilience gap — currently 30 points behind, the largest single contributor to QQQ's edge; CAT's Beta Spike Warning resolves — a bearish risk rule currently active against it; QQQ's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 2 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once; the narrowing continues — the lead has already given back 5 points over 30 sessions, and a further 14-point move would eliminate QQQ's advantage entirely.
What do the current signals say about QQQ and CAT?
QQQ: 2 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. CAT: 2 bullish / 2 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on QQQ is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On CAT it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).
Compare QQQ and CAT with others
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality (30%), Value (30%), Momentum (25%) and Risk (15%). Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.