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Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) Stock Analysis

Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) stock analysis covering valuation, fundamentals, technical indicators, risk, AIQ Momentum, analyst catalysts, dividends, and the current AIQ Score.

CAT Stock Analysis Summary

Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) currently has an AIQ Score of 40/100, indicating a neutral setup. Sentiment is the strongest factor at 92/100. Momentum is the weakest current factor at 23/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Sep 1, 2026 · Market-close data

CAT at a Glance

Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close stock snapshot.

MetricCurrent
Price$779.16
AIQ Score40/100
Overall ViewNeutral
Technical Analysis ConsensusStrong Sell
Market Cap$388.49B
P/E Ratio35.41
Forward P/E
EPS$7.80
Revenue TTM$20.54B
Dividend Yield6.16%
Beta1.61
Volume2.95M
52-week range$410.52-$1,073.46
RSI 1428.45
50-Day SMA$885.28
200-Day SMA$769.48
Analyst Price Target$952.48
Next EarningsNov 4, 2026
As of Sep 1, 2026 · Market close

CAT

Overview
Caterpillar Inc.
Industrials· Agricultural - Machinery
AIQ Score
NeutralAIQ Edge 3/10
Low Priority
Relative Laggard
Score data as of Sep 1, 2026
Last price
$779.16
-$18.31 (-2.30%)
Latest market quote
Momentum23
Value37
Quality55
Risk Resilience44
Sentiment92
View financial data

CAT Stock Analysis Summary

Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) currently has an AIQ Score of 40/100/100, indicating a neutral setup. Sentiment is the strongest factor at 92/100/100. Momentum is the weakest current factor at 23/100/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Sep 1, 2026 · Market-close data
AIQ Composite Posture: Mixed

In a neutral regime, CAT has AIQ Score of 40/100 with Sentiment base of 92/100 and fading Momentum at 23/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.

Signal Conflict Detected

Sentiment (92/100) leads while Momentum (23/100) lags. This cross-factor spread creates entry timing uncertainty.

Industrials · -2.30% stock move · CAT classified in Agricultural - Machinery.

Current Evidence

NeutralCAT is in a neutral AIQ regime; Sentiment is the strongest visible factor at 92/100.
Core coverage reflects visible evidence only

AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary

Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.

Is CAT Bullish or Bearish Right Now?

CAT currently has a neutral overall setup. Sentiment is the strongest factor at 92/100, while Momentum is weakest at 23/100. The current evidence suggests a mixed rather than strongly bullish or bearish setup.

Bull Case
  • - Analyst target implies +22.24% upside from the latest quote.
Bear Case
  • - Value is the current constraint at 37/100.
  • - Momentum is weak at 23/100.
  • - Risk Resilience is weak at 44/100.
  • - Technical consensus has more sell votes than buy votes (36 vs 8).

Current Consensus

CAT's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Strong Sell, with 8 buy, 1 neutral, and 36 sell votes. CAT's 14-day RSI is 28.45, which places the stock in an oversold momentum range. CAT's beta is 1.61, indicating greater market sensitivity than the broad market.

Signal Confidence
High agreement

What Changed in CAT?

Recent score-change history is not available in the current snapshot. The page still shows the latest market-close evidence and timestamps.

AIQ Score
Momentum
Quality
Risk

What Would Change the CAT Outlook?

The current neutral outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, earnings revisions strengthen, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, analyst expectations deteriorate, or risk evidence worsens.

Bullish confirmation

AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive catalyst or estimate-revision evidence.

Bearish deterioration

AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.

CAT Research Cluster

Ticker-specific paths for valuation, technical analysis, catalysts, dividends, financials, risk, and news.

CAT Fundamentals

CAT valuation, profitability, growth, margins, balance-sheet strength, and free cash flow.

Revenue
$20.54B
Net income
$3.59B
Free cash flow
$3.15B
View full CAT fundamental analysis

CAT Technical Analysis

CAT technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.

Technical Analysis Consensus
Strong Sell
RSI 14
28.45
Price vs SMA-50
-11.99%
View full CAT technical analysis

CAT Stock Catalysts

Track CAT earnings, analyst ratings, price targets, estimate revisions, stock news, and upcoming events.

Next earnings
Nov 4, 2026
Analyst target
$952.48
News items
4
View CAT earnings and stock catalysts

CAT Dividend Analysis

CAT dividend yield, annual dividend, payout ratio, payment history, and income reliability context.

Dividend yield
6.16%
Annual dividend
$6.04
Payout ratio
View CAT dividend history and analysis

CAT Financial Data

CAT revenue, earnings, income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, valuation ratios, and stock metrics.

Quarter revenue
$20.54B
EPS
$7.80
Periods
8
View CAT financials

CAT Risk Analysis

CAT volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.

Beta
1.61
Risk score
44/100
AIQ Score
40/100
View CAT risk analysis

CAT Stock News

CAT stock news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.

News items
4
Updated
Sep 2, 2026
Sentiment
92/100
Read CAT stock news

Popular CAT Comparisons

How CAT scores against the names it is most often compared with.

About the AIQ Score

Methodology for the current stock evidence.

As of Sep 1, 2026 · Market close

The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of stock evidence, including momentum, valuation, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.

View AIQ methodology

Factor Diagnostics

A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.

AIQ Component Profile

Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.

Catalyst preview

Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.

Open catalysts
Quarterly evidence

8 recent quarterly periods are available for review.

Checked Sep 2, 2026

AIQ Pro

Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.

Fundamentals Verdict

Value and quality should explain the score, not sit behind it.

P/E
36.13
As of Sep 1, 2026
Revenue growth
17.96%
Gross margin
33.87%
Debt / equity
2.33
Latest quarterly evidence

Latest period Jun 30, 2026.

Review fundamentals
Quarter revenue
$20.54B
Quarter net income
$3.59B
Quarter free cash flow
$3.15B

Market Confirmation

Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.

Trend
Mixed
Momentum
Bearish
RSI 14
28.45
MACD
-21.71

Risk Alignment

Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.

Resilience
44/100
Beta
1.61
Annual volatility
39.69%
Max drawdown
-26.83%
Recent News
See all news
Sentiment —
No recent news found for CAT

Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) Stock Analysis

Snapshot summary of AIQ score, trend, and risk context.

Caterpillar Inc. has an AIQ Score of 40/100 in a Neutral regime. Sentiment is strongest at 92/100.

The main conflict is that sentiment leads at 92/100 while momentum lags at 23/100. Review the supporting factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.

Beta is 1.61, above market sensitivity. Current price is $779.16 and RSI (14) is 28.5.

Regime Context
CAT is in a Neutral AIQ regime with score 40/100.
Signal Conflict
The primary conflict is that sentiment leads at 92/100 while momentum lags at 23/100.
Factor Evidence
Momentum 23/100 · Value 37/100 · Quality 55/100 · Risk 44/100 · Sentiment 92/100
Persistence
Current snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro.
Factor strength
Pass
Sentiment is the strongest factor at 92/100.
Timing
Fail
Momentum is 23/100 and RSI (14) is 28.5.
Regime fit
Wait
CAT is in a Neutral regime at 40/100.
Risk control
Wait
Risk factor is 44/100 with beta 1.60 and annual volatility 39.69%.
Conflict
Wait
Current conflict: sentiment leads at 92/100 while momentum lags at 23/100.
AIQ Score40/100/100
Price$779.16
Beta1.61
RSI (14)28.5

Compare with Similar Stocks

See how CAT stacks up against its peers
Compare Stocks

Portfolio Implication

CAT currently shows balanced but still concentration-sensitive risk. Beta is 1.61, above market sensitivity.

CAT Stock FAQ

What is CAT stock price today?

Caterpillar Inc.'s current stock price is $779.16. Use the live quote with AIQ Score, news, and risk context rather than treating price alone as a decision signal.

Is CAT bullish or bearish right now?

CAT's bullish or bearish read depends on the current AIQ Score, factor alignment, technical analysis consensus, valuation, risk, and catalyst evidence. A mixed setup should be treated differently from a broad confirmation across those signals.

What is CAT's market cap?

CAT's market cap is $388.49B based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 1, 2026. Use it with P/E ratio, revenue, and growth metrics to frame company size, valuation, and peer comparisons.

What is CAT's current P/E ratio?

CAT's current P/E ratio is 35.41 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 1, 2026. Read it with revenue growth, margins, EPS, cash flow, and peer valuation rather than using P/E alone.

What is CAT's RSI?

CAT's 14-day RSI is 28.45 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 1, 2026. RSI should be interpreted with MACD, moving averages, volume, volatility, and price trend.

Is CAT above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?

CAT is -11.99% from its 50-day SMA and 1.26% from its 200-day SMA based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 1, 2026. Moving-average position should be read with momentum and broader AIQ evidence.

When is CAT's next earnings date?

CAT's next earnings date is currently listed as Nov 4, 2026. Earnings can reset revenue, EPS, price target, analyst rating, and catalyst expectations.

Does CAT pay a dividend?

CAT's dividend yield is 6.16% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 1, 2026. Dividend yield should be read with payout ratio, free cash flow, growth, and balance-sheet strength.