QQQ vs RIO Stock Comparison

Compare QQQ and RIO across AIQ Score, fundamentals, valuation, momentum, risk, analyst expectations and current market evidence.

Market data as of Sep 6, 2026 market close· AIQ score gap 4 points
QQQ
Equity
vs
RIO
Basic Materials
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Price
$719
Day move
+0.18%
AIQ Score
59/100
Best edge
Quality
Sector
Equity
RIO
Rio Tinto Group
Leads
Price
$103
Day move
+0.42%
AIQ Score
63/100
Best edge
Value
Sector
Basic Materials

What is the main difference between QQQ and RIO?

RIO leads the current stock comparison as Rio Tinto Group, with the clearest separation coming from value and the broader AIQ evidence mix.

AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison

Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1 vs Rio Tinto Group

Data as of Sep 6, 2026· market close· RIO (stock) vs QQQ (ETF)· Coverage 66/66 fields· 42/42 directly comparable· Moderate confidence
AIQ VerdictFragileAIQ Comparison Conviction 4/10

RIO leads

RIO leads by 4 AIQ points, primarily on Value and Momentum, having only recently taken the lead back from QQQ.

Fragile: 3 of 4 evidence groups support RIO, the lead recently changed hands, and its current signal state is conflicted.

Evidence agreement: 3 of 4Comparison trend: Reversed
QQQ

Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1

AIQ Score
59/100
AIQ Edge Score
7/10
RIO

Rio Tinto Group

Leads
AIQ Score
63/100
AIQ Edge Score
9/10

The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors RIO over QQQ, 63 versus 59 as of Sep 6, 2026. RIO's advantage is driven primarily by stronger value and momentum, while QQQ holds the stronger quality profile. RIO also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average. 3 of 4 covered evidence groups favor RIO today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: the AIQ gap is narrow at 4 points. RIO lead: Reversed — QQQ led by 10 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; RIO now leads by 4.

Compare Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1 and Rio Tinto Group across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.

Performance over time

Price-return comparison using available daily close history.

QQQ
+88.8%
RIO
+40.4%

Total return comparison

Growth of $10,000

QQQ $18,881 · RIO $14,041

Based on available close-price history. Distribution reinvestment is not added unless already reflected in the source series.

Compare QQQ and RIO against another ticker

Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.

Basic: 2 symbols·Explorer: 3 symbols·Pro and Premium: 5 symbols·Your limit: 2

AIQ Factor Divergence

Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.

QQQ advantage
0
RIO advantage
  • Value30%30 vs 59
    RIO +29
  • Quality30%83 vs 56
    QQQ +27
  • Momentum25%54 vs 75
    RIO +21
  • Risk Resilience15%75 vs 62
    QQQ +13

3 of 4 evidence groups favor RIO. RIO’s edge is concentrated in value and momentum; QQQ keeps a meaningful quality edge.

What changed since the last close

Latest scored session 2026-09-05, compared against the prior scored session 2026-09-04.

QQQ0 AIQ

No factor moved materially.

No new signals fired.

RIO0 AIQ

No factor moved materially.

No new signals fired.

RIO's lead was unchanged in the latest snapshot.

Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — QQQ and RIO both carry a full feed there.

The central trade-off

RIO (Rio Tinto Group): the stronger current systematic profile, led by value and momentum.

QQQ (Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1): the counter-case, on quality, risk resilience.

Which one fits your objective

The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.

Balanced

RIO

RIO on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value at 30% each.

Growth

Even

Growth figures are not covered for both names.

Value

RIO

RIO on the peer-relative Value factor, by 29 points.

Momentum

RIO

RIO on the Momentum factor, by 21 points.

Lower downside

QQQ

QQQ on Risk Resilience, by 13 points.

Analyst upside

Even

Analyst targets are level or not covered for both names.

AIQ vs Wall Street

Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.

MeasureQQQRIONote
Implied upside to target-1.6%Level
Target dispersion+35.9%Lower is tighter analyst agreement
ConsensusHoldContext, not a primary driver
Analysts covering4Higher coverage generally improves confidence

Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.

AIQ Agreement Matrix

3 of 4 covered evidence groups favor RIO. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.

Evidence groupFavorsReading
AIQ ScoreRIO59 vs 63
FundamentalsNot coveredNot covered
ValuationRIOValue 30 vs 59
TechnicalsRIOPrice vs 50-day 1.1% vs 6.6%; vs 200-day 9.3% vs 10.7%
Risk ResilienceQQQRisk Resilience 75 vs 62
Analyst expectationsNot coveredNot covered

✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of QQQ and RIO and are excluded from the count.

AIQ Decision Stability

Fragile

The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.

  • The AIQ gap is narrow at 4 points. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
  • The lead has already changed hands inside the comparison window. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
  • The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)

Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on RIO.

How the comparison changed

120 daily snapshots · Apr 24 Sep 5

RIO lead: Reversed — QQQ led by 10 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; RIO now leads by 4.

Apr 24QQQ leads above the line · RIO leads belowSep 5
Today
RIO +4
59 vs 63
7 sessions ago
Level
60 vs 60
30 sessions ago
QQQ +10
67 vs 57
90 sessions ago
QQQ +6
56 vs 50

The lead changed hands 5 times in this window, most recently on Aug 20 when RIO moved ahead of QQQ.

AIQ Signal Divergence

Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.

QQQConflicted

3 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted

  • Golden Cross Active bullish, trend, long horizon (8.12%)
  • EMA Ribbon Expansion Bullish bullish, trend, medium horizon
  • Uptrend Structure Active bullish, trend, long horizon
RIOConflicted

3 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted

  • Golden Cross Active bullish, trend, long horizon (3.80%)
  • EMA Ribbon Expansion Bullish bullish, trend, medium horizon
  • Uptrend Structure Active bullish, trend, long horizon

RIO leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.

Price vs model alignment

Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.

QQQNo material change

Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price +0.18%, AIQ 0 points).

RIONo material change

Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price +0.42%, AIQ 0 points).

What would flip this result

A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.

  1. 1QQQ closes the Value gap — currently 29 points behind, the largest single contributor to RIO's edge.
  2. 2QQQ generates a confirmed bullish trend signal it does not currently carry, such as MACD Bullish Crossover.
  3. 3RIO's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 3 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once.
  4. 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — the composite weights Quality and Value at 30% each, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.

The full evidence

Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.

Fundamentals

Split
MetricQQQRIO
Revenue growth (YoY)1.2%
EPS growth (YoY)23.1%
Gross margin27.3%
Operating margin27.3%
Return on equity (TTM)18.9%
Debt to equity0.35

Performance

RIO leads 4 of 6 windows
MetricQQQRIO
1 week (5 sessions)0.4%0%
1 month (20 sessions)-0.6%2.1%
3 months (63 sessions)2%2.6%
6 months (126 sessions)19.9%14.5%
Year to date17%29%
1 year (252 sessions)26.1%65.3%

Technicals

RIO has the stronger structure
MetricQQQRIO
RSI (14)42.166.7
ADX (14)10.922
Price vs 50-day1.1%6.6%
Price vs 200-day9.3%10.7%
Volatility (1M, annualized)12.9%27.9%

Risk

QQQ is the more resilient
MetricQQQRIO
Beta1.431.25
Sharpe ratio1.041.68
Sortino ratio1.552.61
Max drawdown-12.2%-20.7%
Current drawdown-3.6%-7.8%
Annualized volatility19.7%30.5%
Value at risk (95%)-1.9%-3%

Straight answers

Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.

Which is better, QQQ or RIO?

On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, RIO is the stronger of the two as of Sep 6, 2026, scoring 63 against QQQ's 59. The edge comes from value and momentum. QQQ is not without a case — it holds the better quality profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.

Is QQQ or RIO the better buy right now?

RIO carries the stronger systematic profile as of Sep 6, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 3 of 4 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: the AIQ gap is narrow at 4 points. Treat the lead as provisional.

Why does the AIQ Score favor RIO over QQQ?

The composite weights Quality at 30%, Value at 30%, Momentum at 25% and Risk Resilience at 15%. RIO leads Value by 29 points; QQQ leads Quality by 27 points; RIO leads Momentum by 21 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.

Which has more analyst upside, QQQ or RIO?

Analyst price targets imply not covered upside for QQQ and -1.6% for RIO. The model and the Street agree here, which is a broader base of evidence than either alone. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.

Which is better value, QQQ or RIO?

RIO is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. RIO on the peer-relative Value factor, by 29 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.

Which has stronger growth, QQQ or RIO?

Growth figures are not covered for both names. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.

Which has stronger momentum, QQQ or RIO?

RIO on the Momentum factor, by 21 points. Momentum carries 25% of the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.

Which is riskier, QQQ or RIO?

QQQ is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. QQQ on Risk Resilience, by 13 points. The Risk Resilience factor weights 15% of the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.

Is QQQ more profitable than RIO?

Margin data is not comparable for both names in the current snapshot.

Is RIO's lead over QQQ getting stronger or weaker?

RIO lead: Reversed — QQQ led by 10 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; RIO now leads by 4. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-04-24 and 2026-09-05. The lead has changed hands 5 times in that window, most recently on 2026-08-20, when RIO moved ahead of QQQ.

What would change the QQQ vs RIO verdict?

The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: QQQ closes the Value gap — currently 29 points behind, the largest single contributor to RIO's edge; QQQ generates a confirmed bullish trend signal it does not currently carry, such as MACD Bullish Crossover; RIO's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 3 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once; a regime shift changes factor weighting — the composite weights Quality and Value at 30% each, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.

What do the current signals say about QQQ and RIO?

QQQ: 3 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. RIO: 3 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on QQQ is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On RIO it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).

How this comparison is scored

The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality (30%), Value (30%), Momentum (25%) and Risk (15%). Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.

The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.

How to use side-by-side comparison →

This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.