Stock Analysis
Rio Tinto Group (RIO) Stock Analysis
Rio Tinto Group (RIO) stock analysis covering valuation, fundamentals, technical indicators, risk, AIQ Momentum, analyst catalysts, dividends, and the current AIQ Score.
Rio Tinto Group (RIO) currently has an AIQ Score of 50/100, indicating a neutral setup. Risk is the strongest factor at 61/100. Momentum is the weakest current factor at 24/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.
RIO at a Glance
Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close stock snapshot.
| Metric | Current |
|---|---|
| Price | $81.89 |
| AIQ Score | 50/100 |
| Overall View | Neutral |
| Technical Analysis Consensus | Strong Sell |
| Market Cap | $165.52B |
| P/E Ratio (TTM) | 13.78 |
| Forward P/E | — |
| EPS (quarter ended 2026-06-30) | $4.10 |
| Revenue (quarter ended 2026-06-30) | $31.02B |
| Dividend Yield (TTM) | 3.49% |
| Beta | 0.66 |
| Volume | 5.26M |
| 52-week range | $67.74-$112.58 |
| RSI 14 | 15.63 |
| 50-Day SMA | $95.79 |
| 200-Day SMA | $96.42 |
| Analyst Price Target | $97.50 |
| Next Earnings | Feb 24, 2027 |
RIORio Tinto Group
Basic Materials / Industrial Materials
Low Priority
In Line With Peers
Latest quote
- Momentum24
- Value59
- Quality56
- Risk resilience61
- Sentiment—
RIO Stock Analysis Summary
Rio Tinto Group (RIO) currently has an AIQ Score of 50/100, indicating a neutral setup. Risk resilience is the strongest factor at 61/100. Momentum is the weakest current factor at 24/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.
In a neutral regime, RIO has AIQ Score of 50/100 with Risk resilience base of 61/100 and fading Momentum at 24/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.
Risk resilience (61/100) leads while Momentum (24/100) lags. This cross-factor spread creates entry timing uncertainty.
Basic Materials · -1.63% stock move · RIO classified in Industrial Materials.
Current Evidence
AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary
Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.
Is RIO Bullish or Bearish Right Now?
RIO currently has a neutral overall setup. Risk Resilience is the strongest factor at 61/100, while Momentum is weakest at 24/100. The current evidence suggests a mixed rather than strongly bullish or bearish setup.
- - Risk Resilience is supportive at 61/100.
- - Analyst target implies +19.06% upside from the latest quote.
- - Momentum is weak at 24/100.
- - Price is -13.66% below its 200-day SMA.
- - Technical consensus has more sell votes than buy votes (36 vs 6).
Current Consensus
RIO's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Strong Sell, with 6 buy, 3 neutral, and 36 sell votes. RIO's 14-day RSI is 15.63, which places the stock in an oversold momentum range. RIO's beta is 0.66, indicating lower market sensitivity than the broad market.
What Changed in RIO?
The largest recent change in RIO is Risk Resilience moving down by 2.0 points over the available 7-day comparison window. Risk Resilience remains the strongest visible factor.
What Would Change the RIO Outlook?
The current neutral outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, earnings revisions strengthen, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, analyst expectations deteriorate, or risk evidence worsens.
AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive catalyst or estimate-revision evidence.
AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.
RIO Decision Framework
Public evidence layers, setup checks, and risk context for Rio Tinto Group.
Rio Tinto Group (RIO) Stock Analysis
Rio Tinto Group has an AIQ Score of 50/100 in a Neutral regime. Risk is strongest at 61/100. Beta is 0.66, below market sensitivity. Review the supporting stock factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.
| Evidence Layer | Public Evidence |
|---|---|
| Regime Context | RIO is in a Neutral AIQ regime with score 50/100. |
| Signal Conflict | The primary conflict is that risk leads at 61/100 while momentum lags at 24/100. |
| Factor Evidence | Momentum 24/100 · Value 59/100 · Quality 56/100 · Risk 61/100 |
| Persistence | Current snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro. |
Current Setup Checklist
Risk is the strongest factor at 61/100.
Momentum is 24/100 and RSI (14) is 15.6.
RIO is in a Neutral regime at 50/100.
Risk factor is 61/100 with beta 0.66 and annual volatility 30.84%.
Current conflict: risk leads at 61/100 while momentum lags at 24/100.
RIO Research Cluster
Ticker-specific paths for valuation, technical analysis, catalysts, dividends, financials, risk, and news.
RIO Fundamentals
RIO valuation, profitability, growth, margins, balance-sheet strength, and free cash flow.
RIO Technical Analysis
RIO technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.
RIO Stock Catalysts
Track RIO earnings, analyst ratings, price targets, estimate revisions, stock news, and upcoming events.
RIO Dividend Analysis
RIO dividend yield, annual dividend, payout ratio, payment history, and income reliability context.
RIO Financial Data
RIO revenue, earnings, income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, valuation ratios, and stock metrics.
RIO Risk Analysis
RIO volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.
RIO Stock News
RIO stock news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.
RIO vs Metals & Mining Peers
Current peer cohort: RIO · SCCO · STLD · TECK · TMC. Compare AIQ, factor scores, Sharpe ratio and 1-year volatility in one indexable view.
| Peer | AIQ | Value | Momentum | Risk | Sharpe | 1Y Volatility | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RIO Current stock | 50/100 | 59/100 | 24/100 | 61/100 | 0.47 | 30.84% | Current |
| SCCO Southern Copper | 53/100 | 35/100 | 28/100 | 58/100 | 0.85 | 51.57% | RIO vs SCCO |
| STLD Steel Dynamics | 62/100 | 57/100 | 80/100 | 60/100 | 1.3 | 35.75% | RIO vs STLD |
| TECK Teck Resources | 47/100 | 48/100 | 38/100 | 53/100 | 0.95 | 46.32% | RIO vs TECK |
| TMC The Metals Company | 35/100 | — | 29/100 | 35/100 | -0.56 | 91.69% | RIO vs TMC |
Peer cohort is resolved dynamically from the AlgovestIQ universe taxonomy and Compare relationship graph. Data as of Oct 29, 2026.
About the AIQ Score
Methodology for the current stock evidence.
The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of stock evidence, including momentum, valuation exposure, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.
View AIQ methodologyFactor Diagnostics
A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.
Open the return calculator with stock context while purchase price, shares, dates and fees remain user inputs.
AIQ Component Profile
Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.
Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.
Open catalysts4 recent quarterly periods are available for review.
Checked Oct 31, 2026
Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.
Fundamentals Verdict
Current snapshot fields are separate from reported-quarter statement tables.
Latest period Jun 30, 2026.
Market Confirmation
Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.
Risk Alignment
Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.
Continue Researching RIO
Open the detailed evidence pages and workflows behind the stock overview read.
Premium Feature
Full AIQ Analysis
AIQ Intelligence
AIQ Pro for RIO
Scenario Analysis
AIQ Scenario Builder
Portfolio Implication
Related Links
RIO Stock FAQ
What is RIO stock price today?
Rio Tinto Group's current stock price is $81.89. Use the live quote with AIQ Score, news, and risk context rather than treating price alone as a decision signal.
Is RIO bullish or bearish right now?
RIO's bullish or bearish read depends on the current AIQ Score, factor alignment, technical analysis consensus, valuation, risk, and catalyst evidence. A mixed setup should be treated differently from a broad confirmation across those signals.
What is RIO's market cap?
RIO's market cap is $165.52B based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. Use it with P/E ratio, revenue, and growth metrics to frame company size, valuation, and peer comparisons.
What is RIO's current P/E ratio?
RIO's current P/E ratio is 13.78 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. Read it with revenue growth, margins, EPS, cash flow, and peer valuation rather than using P/E alone.
What is RIO's RSI?
RIO's 14-day RSI is 15.63 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. RSI should be interpreted with MACD, moving averages, volume, volatility, and price trend.
Is RIO above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?
RIO is -13.09% from its 50-day SMA and -13.66% from its 200-day SMA based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. Moving-average position should be read with momentum and broader AIQ evidence.
When is RIO's next earnings date?
RIO's next earnings date is currently listed as Feb 24, 2027. Earnings can reset revenue, EPS, price target, analyst rating, and catalyst expectations.
Does RIO pay a dividend?
RIO's dividend yield is 3.49% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. Dividend yield should be read with payout ratio, free cash flow, growth, and balance-sheet strength.