SCHW vs XLK Stock Comparison

The Charles Schwab Corporation vs State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF

Data as of Sep 5, 2026· market close· SCHW (stock) vs XLK (ETF)· Coverage 66/66 fields· 42/42 directly comparable· Moderate confidence
AIQ VerdictFragileAIQ Comparison Conviction 3/10

SCHW and XLK are effectively level

SCHW and XLK are effectively level on the AIQ Score; the factor table below shows where each one holds its advantage.

Evidence agreement: 3 of 4Comparison trend: Stable
SCHW

The Charles Schwab Corporation

AIQ Score
56/100
AIQ Edge Score
6/10
XLK

State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF

AIQ Score
56/100
AIQ Edge Score
6/10

The Algovestiq AIQ Score does not currently separate SCHW and XLK as of Sep 5, 2026. Both names are scored on the same 0–100 scale across Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience, and the factor table below shows where each one holds its advantage.

Compare The Charles Schwab Corporation and State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.

Compare SCHW and XLK against another ticker

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AIQ Factor Divergence

Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.

SCHW advantage
0
XLK advantage
  • Risk Resilience15%77 vs 61
    SCHW +16
  • Quality30%69 vs 74
    XLK +5
  • Value30%31 vs 36
    XLK +5
  • Momentum25%57 vs 57
    Even

Neither name separates cleanly on the covered dimensions.

What changed since the last close

Latest scored session 2026-09-04, compared against the prior scored session 2026-09-03.

SCHW0 AIQ

Largest factor move: Momentum -1

No new signals fired.

XLK0 AIQ

Largest factor move: Momentum +2

No new signals fired.

Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — SCHW and XLK both carry a full feed there.

Which one fits your objective

The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.

Balanced

Even

Neither separates on the overall score.

Growth

Even

Growth figures are not covered for both names.

Value

XLK

XLK on the peer-relative Value factor, by 5 points.

Momentum

Even

The two are level on Momentum.

Lower downside

SCHW

SCHW on Risk Resilience, by 16 points.

Analyst upside

Even

Analyst targets are level or not covered for both names.

AIQ vs Wall Street

Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.

MeasureSCHWXLKNote
Implied upside to target+15.2%Level
Target dispersion+31.8%Lower is tighter analyst agreement
ConsensusBuyContext, not a primary driver
Analysts covering10Higher coverage generally improves confidence

Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.

AIQ Agreement Matrix

How each independent group of evidence reads the pair.

Evidence groupFavorsReading
AIQ ScoreEven56 vs 56
FundamentalsNot coveredNot covered
ValuationXLKValue 31 vs 36
TechnicalsXLKPrice vs 50-day 4% vs 2.6%; vs 200-day 12.2% vs 16.8%
Risk ResilienceSCHWRisk Resilience 77 vs 61
Analyst expectationsNot coveredNot covered

AIQ Decision Stability

Fragile

The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.

  • The AIQ gap is narrow at 0 points. (argues the conclusion is provisional)

How the comparison changed

120 daily snapshots · Apr 23 Sep 4

SCHW lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 0 points over 30 sessions.

Apr 23SCHW leads above the line · XLK leads belowSep 4
Today
Level
56 vs 56
7 sessions ago
SCHW +2
58 vs 56
30 sessions ago
SCHW +1
62 vs 61
90 sessions ago
SCHW +9
60 vs 51

The lead changed hands once in this window, most recently on Jun 12 when SCHW moved ahead of XLK.

AIQ Signal Divergence

Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.

SCHWConflicted

3 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted

  • Golden Cross Active bullish, trend, long horizon (7.84%)
  • Bollinger Band Squeeze neutral, volatility, short horizon
  • EMA Ribbon Expansion Bullish bullish, trend, medium horizon
XLKConflicted

3 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted

  • Golden Cross Active bullish, trend, long horizon (13.88%)
  • EMA Ribbon Expansion Bullish bullish, trend, medium horizon
  • Uptrend Structure Active bullish, trend, long horizon

Price vs model alignment

Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.

SCHWNo material change

Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price -0.99%, AIQ 0 points).

XLKNo material change

Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price +0.7%, AIQ 0 points).

The full evidence

Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.

Fundamentals

Split
MetricSCHWXLK
Revenue growth (YoY)16.7%
EPS growth (YoY)13.1%
Gross margin86.7%
Operating margin43.5%
Return on equity (TTM)20.4%
Debt to equity0.74

Performance

XLK leads 4 of 6 windows
MetricSCHWXLK
1 week (5 sessions)-0.8%0.9%
1 month (20 sessions)1.6%-0.4%
3 months (63 sessions)23%3.9%
6 months (126 sessions)14.8%36.4%
Year to date9.4%30.1%
1 year (252 sessions)13.6%43.3%

Technicals

XLK has the stronger structure
MetricSCHWXLK
RSI (14)46.744.9
ADX (14)30.211.1
Price vs 50-day4%2.6%
Price vs 200-day12.2%16.8%
Volatility (1M, annualized)21%20.9%

Risk

SCHW is the more resilient
MetricSCHWXLK
Beta0.461.75
Sharpe ratio0.421.34
Sortino ratio0.522.06
Max drawdown-20.4%-16.1%
Current drawdown-3.8%-5.5%
Annualized volatility25.4%26.4%
Value at risk (95%)-2.5%-2.6%

Straight answers

Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.

Which has more analyst upside, SCHW or XLK?

Analyst price targets imply +15.2% upside for SCHW and not covered for XLK. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.

Which is better value, SCHW or XLK?

XLK is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. XLK on the peer-relative Value factor, by 5 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.

Which has stronger growth, SCHW or XLK?

Growth figures are not covered for both names. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.

Which has stronger momentum, SCHW or XLK?

The two are level on Momentum. Momentum carries 25% of the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.

Which is riskier, SCHW or XLK?

SCHW is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. SCHW on Risk Resilience, by 16 points. The Risk Resilience factor weights 15% of the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.

Is SCHW more profitable than XLK?

Margin data is not comparable for both names in the current snapshot.

What do the current signals say about SCHW and XLK?

SCHW: 3 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. XLK: 3 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on SCHW is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On XLK it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).

How this comparison is scored

The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality (30%), Value (30%), Momentum (25%) and Risk (15%). Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.

The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.

How to use side-by-side comparison →

This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.