AVGO vs SW Stock Comparison
AVGO currently leads SW in this stock comparison, with AIQ scores of 49 vs 38. The clearest difference is quality, while SW has the stronger value profile.
What is the main difference between AVGO and SW?
AVGO leads the current stock comparison as Broadcom Inc., with the clearest separation coming from quality and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
Broadcom Inc. vs Smurfit Westrock plc
AVGO leads
AVGO leads by 11 AIQ points, primarily on Quality, and the lead has widened from 8 points over 30 sessions. Wall Street currently favors SW on target upside.
Fragile: 2 of 6 evidence groups support AVGO, and its lead is widening.
Broadcom Inc.
Smurfit Westrock plc
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors AVGO over SW, 49 versus 38 as of Oct 21, 2026. AVGO's advantage is driven primarily by stronger quality, while SW holds the stronger value profile. AVGO also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average, though analyst target upside currently favors SW. 2 of 6 covered evidence groups favor AVGO today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: only 2 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. AVGO lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 8 to 11 points over 30 sessions.
Compare Broadcom Inc. and Smurfit Westrock plc across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Total return with distributions reinvested, from daily closes.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000, distributions reinvested
Split-adjusted closes; each distribution is reinvested at the close on its ex-dividend date. Taxes and trading costs are not modeled.
Compare AVGO and SW against another ticker
Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Quality85 vs 29AVGO +56
- Value30 vs 44SW +14
- Risk Resilience53 vs 64SW +11
- Momentum27 vs 25Even
2 of 6 evidence groups favor AVGO. AVGO’s edge is concentrated in quality; SW keeps a meaningful value edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-10-20, compared against the prior scored session 2026-10-19.
Largest factor move: Momentum +1, not enough on its own to move the overall score.
No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 3 active signals are unchanged.
No factor moved materially.
New signals
- Bollinger Band Squeeze — neutral, volatility, short horizon
AVGO's lead was unchanged in the latest session.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — AVGO and SW both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
AVGO (Broadcom Inc.): the stronger current systematic profile, led by quality.
SW (Smurfit Westrock plc): the counter-case, on value, risk resilience, valuation.
The AIQ Score and Wall Street therefore point in different directions on this pair.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
AVGOAVGO on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
EvenGrowth figures are not covered for both names.
Value
SWSW on the peer-relative Value factor, by 14 points.
Momentum
EvenThe two are level on Momentum.
Lower downside
SWSW on Risk Resilience, by 11 points.
Analyst upside
SWSW on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
The model and the Street disagree here: AIQ favors AVGO, analyst targets favor SW. That disagreement is the most useful thing on this page.
| Measure | AVGO | SW | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +48.9% | +65% | SW has more room |
| Target dispersion | +49.7% | +175.4% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Buy | Buy | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 18 | 8 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
The two are measuring different things. The AIQ Score reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; analyst targets price forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something already priced in — it is worth resolving before acting on either.
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Dividend growth
| Dividend metric | AVGO | SW |
|---|---|---|
| 5Y dividend CAGR | 12.63% | -4.53% |
| 2020 regular DPS | $1.335 | $2.173 |
| 2025 regular DPS | $2.420 | $1.723 |
| Years increased | 5 | 2 |
| No cut in window | Yes | No (3) |
| Cohort rank | #55 | not ranked |
AVGO grew its split-adjusted regular dividend faster over 2020–2025 — 12.63% a year against SW's -4.53%. AVGO never reduced its regular dividend in the window; SW did in 3 years.
Yield and payout ratio shown elsewhere on this page are current values, not part of the study window.
Split-adjusted regular dividends per share, 2020–2025, excluding special dividends. Research as of Sep 19, 2026.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
2 of 6 covered evidence groups favor AVGO. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | AVGO | 49 vs 38 |
| Fundamentals | AVGOon balance | revenue growth 14.9% vs 19.9%; EPS growth 26.5% vs 23.1%; TTM ROE 36.4% vs 2.7%; gross margin 67% vs 17.9%; operating margin 43.7% vs 5.4% — AVGO takes 4 of 5 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | SW | Value 30 vs 44 |
| Technicals | SW | Price vs 50-day -6.7% vs -8%; vs 200-day -9.1% vs -5.2% |
| Risk Resilience | SW | Risk Resilience 53 vs 64 |
| Analyst expectations | SW | Target upside 48.9% vs 65% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of AVGO and SW and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is moderate at 11 points.
- Only 2 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader's advantage has been widening. (supports the conclusion holding)
- Signal direction runs against the verdict: the leader is net-bearish while the laggard is net-bullish. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on AVGO.
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Jun 21 – Oct 20AVGO lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 8 to 11 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- AVGO +11
- 49 vs 38
- 7 sessions ago
- AVGO +15
- 52 vs 37
- 30 sessions ago
- AVGO +8
- 53 vs 45
- 90 sessions ago
- AVGO +14
- 57 vs 43
The lead changed hands 4 times in this window, most recently on Aug 31 when AVGO moved ahead of SW.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
0 bullish / 3 bearish
Only AVGO
- Death Cross Active — bearish, trend, long horizon (1.65%)
- Downtrend Structure Active — bearish, trend, long horizon
2 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
Only SW
- Bollinger Band Squeeze — neutral, volatility, short horizon
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (3.74%)
- RSI Oversold - Potential Bounce — bullish, momentum, short horizon
Both carry 1 more signal that do not separate them: MACD Bearish Crossover.
SW is conflicted, so the timing case there is weaker than the score alone suggests.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price +1.03%, AIQ 0 points).
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price +0.66%, AIQ 0 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1SW closes the Quality gap — currently 56 points behind, the largest single contributor to AVGO's edge.
- 2SW's Bollinger Band Squeeze turns directional — it is neutral today and would confirm a change in trend.
- 3AVGO starts generating bearish momentum or trend signals.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
AVGO leads on balance| Metric | AVGO | SW |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 14.9% | 19.9% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 26.5% | 23.1% |
| Gross margin | 67% | 17.9% |
| Operating margin | 43.7% | 5.4% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 36.4% | 2.7% |
| Debt to equity | 0.74 | 0.79 |
Performance
SW leads 5 of 6 windows| Metric | AVGO | SW |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | -6.4% | -0.6% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | -8.3% | -11.3% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | -15.7% | -7.5% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | -16.4% | -0.1% |
| Year to date | -3.4% | 6.5% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | -5.6% | -0.3% |
Technicals
SW has the stronger structure| Metric | AVGO | SW |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 41.8 | 24.3 |
| ADX (14) | 21.4 | 30.6 |
| Price vs 50-day | -6.7% | -8% |
| Price vs 200-day | -9.1% | -5.2% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 36.5% | 19.4% |
Risk
SW is the more resilient| Metric | AVGO | SW |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 2.16 | 1.46 |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.05 | 0.12 |
| Sortino ratio | 0.07 | 0.19 |
| Max drawdown | -31.7% | -31.3% |
| Current drawdown | -30.6% | -20.5% |
| Annualized volatility | 45.9% | 44% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -4.4% | -3.9% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, AVGO or SW?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, AVGO is the stronger of the two as of Oct 21, 2026, scoring 49 against SW's 38. The edge comes from quality. SW is not without a case — it holds the better value profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is AVGO or SW the better buy right now?
AVGO carries the stronger systematic profile as of Oct 21, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 2 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: only 2 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. Treat the lead as provisional.
Why does the AIQ Score favor AVGO over SW?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. AVGO leads Quality by 56 points; SW leads Value by 14 points; SW leads Risk Resilience by 11 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, AVGO or SW?
Analyst price targets imply +48.9% upside for AVGO and +65% for SW, so the Street currently favors SW. That points the opposite way to the AIQ Score, which favors AVGO. The two are measuring different things: the model reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; the Street is pricing forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something the analysts have already priced — it is the single most useful row on this page to investigate. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, AVGO or SW?
SW is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. SW on the peer-relative Value factor, by 14 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, AVGO or SW?
Growth figures are not covered for both names. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, AVGO or SW?
The two are level on Momentum. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, AVGO or SW?
SW is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. SW on Risk Resilience, by 11 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is AVGO more profitable than SW?
AVGO leads on the comparable margin measures — gross margin 67% vs 17.9%; operating margin 43.7% vs 5.4%; ttm roe 36.4% vs 2.7%.
Is AVGO's lead over SW getting stronger or weaker?
AVGO lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 8 to 11 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-06-21 and 2026-10-20. The lead has changed hands 4 times in that window, most recently on 2026-08-31, when AVGO moved ahead of SW.
What would change the AVGO vs SW verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: SW closes the Quality gap — currently 56 points behind, the largest single contributor to AVGO's edge; SW's Bollinger Band Squeeze turns directional — it is neutral today and would confirm a change in trend; AVGO starts generating bearish momentum or trend signals; a regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
What do the current signals say about AVGO and SW?
AVGO: 0 bullish / 3 bearish. SW: 2 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on AVGO is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon). On SW it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).
Compare AVGO and SW with others
Continue your research
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How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.