Stock Analysis
Smurfit Westrock plc (SW) Stock Analysis
Smurfit Westrock plc (SW) stock analysis covering valuation, fundamentals, technical indicators, risk, AIQ Momentum, analyst catalysts, dividends, and the current AIQ Score.
Smurfit Westrock plc (SW) currently has an AIQ Score of 39/100, indicating a bearish setup. Risk is the strongest factor at 65/100. Momentum is the weakest current factor at 28/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.
SW at a Glance
Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close stock snapshot.
| Metric | Current |
|---|---|
| Price | $41.46 |
| AIQ Score | 39/100 |
| Overall View | Bearish |
| Technical Analysis Consensus | Sell |
| Market Cap | $23.83B |
| P/E Ratio (TTM) | 48.26 |
| Forward P/E | — |
| EPS (quarter ended 2026-06-30) | $0.16 |
| Revenue (quarter ended 2026-06-30) | $8.03B |
| Dividend Yield (TTM) | 3.89% |
| Beta | 0.98 |
| Volume | 4.38M |
| 52-week range | $32.73-$52.65 |
| RSI 14 | 33.81 |
| 50-Day SMA | $44.90 |
| 200-Day SMA | $43.45 |
| Analyst Price Target | $68.40 |
| Next Earnings | Nov 4, 2026 |
SWSmurfit Westrock plc
Consumer Cyclical / Packaging & Containers
Low Priority
Relative Laggard
Latest quote
- Momentum28
- Value44
- Quality29
- Risk resilience65
- Sentiment—
SW Stock Analysis Summary
Smurfit Westrock plc (SW) currently has an AIQ Score of 39/100, indicating a bearish setup. Risk resilience is the strongest factor at 65/100. Momentum is the weakest current factor at 28/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.
In a bearish regime, SW has AIQ Score of 39/100 with Risk resilience base of 65/100 and fading Momentum at 28/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.
Risk resilience (65/100) leads while Momentum (28/100) lags. This cross-factor spread creates entry timing uncertainty.
Consumer Cyclical · 0.66% stock move · SW classified in Packaging & Containers.
Current Evidence
AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary
Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.
Is SW Bullish or Bearish Right Now?
SW currently has a bearish overall setup. Risk Resilience is the strongest factor at 65/100, while Momentum is weakest at 28/100. The current evidence suggests a defensive setup.
- - Risk Resilience is supportive at 65/100.
- - Analyst target implies +64.98% upside from the latest quote.
- - Value is the current constraint at 44/100.
- - Momentum is weak at 28/100.
- - Price is -4.57% below its 200-day SMA.
- - Technical consensus has more sell votes than buy votes (28 vs 10).
Current Consensus
SW's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Sell, with 10 buy, 7 neutral, and 28 sell votes. SW's 14-day RSI is 33.81, which places the stock in a weaker momentum range. SW's beta is 0.98, indicating market sensitivity broadly in line with the market.
What Changed in SW?
The largest recent change in SW is Momentum moving up by 4.0 points over the available 7-day comparison window. Risk Resilience remains the strongest visible factor.
What Would Change the SW Outlook?
The current bearish outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, earnings revisions strengthen, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, analyst expectations deteriorate, or risk evidence worsens.
AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive catalyst or estimate-revision evidence.
AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.
SW Decision Framework
Public evidence layers, setup checks, and risk context for Smurfit Westrock plc.
Smurfit Westrock plc (SW) Stock Analysis
Smurfit Westrock plc has an AIQ Score of 39/100 in a Defensive regime. Risk is strongest at 65/100. Beta is 0.91, close to market sensitivity. Review the supporting stock factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.
| Evidence Layer | Public Evidence |
|---|---|
| Regime Context | SW is in a Defensive AIQ regime with score 39/100. |
| Signal Conflict | The primary conflict is that risk leads at 65/100 while momentum lags at 28/100. |
| Factor Evidence | Momentum 28/100 · Value 44/100 · Quality 29/100 · Risk 65/100 |
| Persistence | Current snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro. |
Current Setup Checklist
Risk is the strongest factor at 65/100.
Momentum is 28/100 and RSI (14) is 33.8.
SW is in a Defensive regime at 39/100.
Risk factor is 65/100 with beta 0.91 and annual volatility 43.91%.
Current conflict: risk leads at 65/100 while momentum lags at 28/100.
SW Research Cluster
Ticker-specific paths for valuation, technical analysis, catalysts, dividends, financials, risk, and news.
SW Fundamentals
SW valuation, profitability, growth, margins, balance-sheet strength, and free cash flow.
SW Technical Analysis
SW technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.
SW Stock Catalysts
Track SW earnings, analyst ratings, price targets, estimate revisions, stock news, and upcoming events.
SW Dividend Analysis
SW dividend yield, annual dividend, payout ratio, payment history, and income reliability context.
SW Financial Data
SW revenue, earnings, income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, valuation ratios, and stock metrics.
SW Risk Analysis
SW volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.
SW Stock News
SW stock news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.
SW vs Packaging Peers
Current peer cohort: SW · AMCR · AVY · BALL · CCK. Compare AIQ, factor scores, Sharpe ratio and 1-year volatility in one indexable view.
| Peer | AIQ | Value | Momentum | Risk | Sharpe | 1Y Volatility | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SW Current stock | 39/100 | 44/100 | 28/100 | 65/100 | 0.09 | 43.91% | Current |
| AMCR Amcor | 56/100 | 63/100 | 80/100 | 58/100 | 0.37 | 31.70% | SW vs AMCR |
| AVY Avery Dennison | 59/100 | 48/100 | 82/100 | 63/100 | 0.41 | 25.65% | SW vs AVY |
| BALL Ball Corporation | 57/100 | 54/100 | 81/100 | 63/100 | 1.04 | 26.10% | SW vs BALL |
| CCK Crown Holdings | 56/100 | 58/100 | 82/100 | 53/100 | 0.79 | 25.58% | SW vs CCK |
Peer cohort is resolved dynamically from the AlgovestIQ universe taxonomy and Compare relationship graph. Data as of Oct 21, 2026.
About the AIQ Score
Methodology for the current stock evidence.
The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of stock evidence, including momentum, valuation exposure, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.
View AIQ methodologyFactor Diagnostics
A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.
Open the return calculator with stock context while purchase price, shares, dates and fees remain user inputs.
AIQ Component Profile
Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.
Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.
Open catalysts3 recent quarterly periods are available for review.
Checked Oct 22, 2026
Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.
Fundamentals Verdict
Current snapshot fields are separate from reported-quarter statement tables.
Latest period Jun 30, 2026.
Market Confirmation
Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.
Risk Alignment
Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.
Continue Researching SW
Open the detailed evidence pages and workflows behind the stock overview read.
Premium Feature
Full AIQ Analysis
AIQ Intelligence
AIQ Pro for SW
Scenario Analysis
AIQ Scenario Builder
Portfolio Implication
Related Links
SW Stock FAQ
What is SW stock price today?
Smurfit Westrock plc's current stock price is $41.46. Use the live quote with AIQ Score, news, and risk context rather than treating price alone as a decision signal.
Is SW bullish or bearish right now?
SW's bullish or bearish read depends on the current AIQ Score, factor alignment, technical analysis consensus, valuation, risk, and catalyst evidence. A mixed setup should be treated differently from a broad confirmation across those signals.
What is SW's market cap?
SW's market cap is $23.83B based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Use it with P/E ratio, revenue, and growth metrics to frame company size, valuation, and peer comparisons.
What is SW's current P/E ratio?
SW's current P/E ratio is 48.26 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Read it with revenue growth, margins, EPS, cash flow, and peer valuation rather than using P/E alone.
What is SW's RSI?
SW's 14-day RSI is 33.81 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. RSI should be interpreted with MACD, moving averages, volume, volatility, and price trend.
Is SW above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?
SW is -7.66% from its 50-day SMA and -4.57% from its 200-day SMA based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Moving-average position should be read with momentum and broader AIQ evidence.
When is SW's next earnings date?
SW's next earnings date is currently listed as Nov 4, 2026. Earnings can reset revenue, EPS, price target, analyst rating, and catalyst expectations.
Does SW pay a dividend?
SW's dividend yield is 3.89% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Dividend yield should be read with payout ratio, free cash flow, growth, and balance-sheet strength.