TQQQ vs XLK ETF Comparison
Compare TQQQ and XLK across fund costs, diversification, holdings, performance, income, risk and current AlgovestIQ evidence.
What is the main difference between TQQQ and XLK?
TQQQ is ProShares UltraPro QQQ, while XLK is State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF. TQQQ is tied to Equity; XLK is tied to Equity. TQQQ is broader by holdings count, with 103 positions versus 74 for XLK. XLK is more concentrated at the top, based on top-10 holdings weight.
| Metric | TQQQ | XLK | Type |
|---|---|---|---|
| Expense ratio | 0.97% | 0.08% | Fund |
| Holdings | 103 | 74 | Fund |
| Top-10 concentration | 47.2% | 100.5% | Fund |
| Underlying exposure | Equity | Equity | Fund |
| Annualized volatility | 58.6% | 26.4% | Risk |
| Max drawdown | -37.2% | -16.1% | Risk |
| Beta | 4.26 | 1.75 | Risk |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.98 | 1.26 | Risk |
| Sortino ratio | 1.46 | 1.96 | Risk |
| AIQ Score | 43/100 | 56/100 | AlgovestIQ |
| AIQ Edge Score | 2/10 | 7/10 | AlgovestIQ |
| Momentum | 37/100 | 54/100 | AlgovestIQ |
| Risk Resilience | 11/100 | 60/100 | AlgovestIQ |
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
ProShares UltraPro QQQ vs State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF
XLK leads
XLK leads by 13 AIQ points, primarily on Risk Resilience and Momentum.
Stable: 4 of 4 evidence groups support XLK, and its current signal state is conflicted.
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors XLK over TQQQ, 56 versus 43 as of Sep 3, 2026. XLK's advantage is driven primarily by stronger risk resilience and momentum. XLK also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average. 4 of 4 covered evidence groups favor XLK today, and the comparison is rated Stable on stability: the leader is throwing conflicting signals. XLK lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 13 points over 30 sessions.
Compare ProShares UltraPro QQQ and State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF across performance, expense ratio, dividend yield, drawdown, volatility and the Algovestiq AIQ Score.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Risk Resilience15%11 vs 60XLK +49
- Momentum25%37 vs 54XLK +17
- Value30%29 vs 37XLK +8
- Quality30%77 vs 74Even
4 of 4 evidence groups favor XLK. XLK’s edge is concentrated in risk resilience and momentum.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-09-02, compared against the prior scored session 2026-09-01.
Largest factor move: Value +1
No new signals fired.
Largest factor move: Value +1
No new signals fired.
XLK's lead narrowed by 1 AIQ points in the latest snapshot.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — TQQQ and XLK both carry a full feed there.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
XLKXLK on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value at 30% each.
Growth
EvenGrowth figures are not covered for both names.
Value
XLKXLK on the peer-relative Value factor, by 8 points.
Momentum
XLKXLK on the Momentum factor, by 17 points.
Lower downside
XLKXLK on Risk Resilience, by 49 points.
Analyst upside
EvenAnalyst targets are level or not covered for both names.
Fund facts, side by side
Two funds tracking overlapping universes are separated by cost and risk far more than by holdings. Those lead here.
| Measure | TQQQ | XLK | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|
| Expense ratio | 0.97% | 0.08% | Lower is better — it compounds against you every year you hold. |
| Assets under management | $34.7B | $119.7B | Larger funds generally carry tighter spreads. |
| Holdings | 123 | 73 | More holdings means broader diversification, not better returns. |
| Average volume | 49,280,605 | 6,005,380 | Liquidity — matters most if you trade size. |
| Annualized volatility | 58.6% | 26.4% | Lower is a steadier ride for the same exposure. |
| Max drawdown | -37.2% | -16.1% | The worst peak-to-trough loss on record for the fund. |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.98 | 1.26 | Return per unit of risk. Higher is better. |
| Beta | 4.26 | 1.75 | Sensitivity to the broad market. Neither direction is better — it depends on the role in your portfolio. |
Where the exposure actually sits
TQQQ and XLK share 36% of their weighted exposure across 35 common holdings.
XLK is the more concentrated of the two: its ten largest positions are 100.5% of the fund, against 47.24% for TQQQ (74 holdings vs 103). Concentration cuts both ways — it is what drives outperformance when the top names work, and what makes the drawdown deeper when they do not.
68 holdings are unique to TQQQ and 39 to XLK. Owning both is genuinely additive — most of the capital sits in different securities.
Largest shared positions
| Holding | TQQQ | XLK | Shared |
|---|---|---|---|
| AAPLAPPLE INC | 6.05% | 26.06% | 6.05% |
| MSFTMICROSOFT CORP | 4.72% | 20.31% | 4.72% |
| MUMICRON TECHNOLOGY INC | 3.68% | 7.91% | 3.68% |
| NVDANVIDIA CORP | 3.33% | 14.37% | 3.33% |
| AMDADVANCED MICRO DEVICES | 2.62% | 7.79% | 2.62% |
| INTCINTEL CORP | 1.56% | 5.86% | 1.56% |
| LRCXLAM RESEARCH CORP | 1.27% | 4.84% | 1.27% |
| AMATAPPLIED MATERIALS INC | 1.23% | 4.67% | 1.23% |
Shared weight is the lower of the two positions — the portion of capital both funds genuinely have in the same security.
ETF comparison questions
Short answers to the fund-specific questions behind this comparison.
Which ETF is more diversified, TQQQ or XLK?
TQQQ currently has more reported holdings, with 103 positions versus 74.
Which has the lower expense ratio?
XLK has the lower reported expense ratio in the current fund profile.
Which ETF has the higher distribution yield?
The current dataset does not show a higher-yield winner.
Which ETF has been more volatile?
TQQQ has the higher annualized volatility in the current risk snapshot.
Which ETF has had the smaller drawdown?
XLK has the less severe max drawdown in the current risk snapshot.
Which ETF has the stronger current AlgovestIQ evidence?
XLK currently leads on supporting AlgovestIQ evidence, 56 to 43.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
4 of 4 covered evidence groups favor XLK. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | XLK | 43 vs 56 |
| Fundamentals | Not covered | Not covered |
| Valuation | XLK | Value 29 vs 37 |
| Technicals | XLK | Price vs 50-day -2.9% vs 1.8%; vs 200-day 13% vs 15% |
| Risk Resilience | XLK | Risk Resilience 11 vs 60 |
| Analyst expectations | Not covered | Not covered |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of TQQQ and XLK and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion rests on a wide gap and broad agreement. It is unlikely to turn on a single session.
- The AIQ gap is wide at 13 points. (supports the conclusion holding)
- 4 of 4 covered evidence groups point the same way. (supports the conclusion holding)
- The lead has been steady session to session. (supports the conclusion holding)
- The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on XLK.
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Apr 21 – Sep 2XLK lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 13 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- XLK +13
- 43 vs 56
- 7 sessions ago
- XLK +13
- 43 vs 56
- 30 sessions ago
- XLK +13
- 45 vs 58
- 90 sessions ago
- XLK +3
- 46 vs 49
The lead has not changed hands in this window.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
1 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (17.14%)
- ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode — neutral, volatility, short horizon (4.40%)
- MACD Bearish Crossover — bearish, momentum, short horizon
3 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (14.27%)
- EMA Ribbon Expansion Bullish — bullish, trend, medium horizon
- Uptrend Structure Active — bullish, trend, long horizon
XLK leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Price and the AIQ Score both moved up over the latest session (price +0.65%, AIQ +1 points).
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price +1.17%, AIQ 0 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1TQQQ closes the Risk Resilience gap — currently 49 points behind, the largest single contributor to XLK's edge.
- 2TQQQ's MACD Bearish Crossover resolves — a bearish momentum rule currently active against it.
- 3XLK's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 3 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — the composite weights Quality and Value at 30% each, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Technicals
XLK has the stronger structure| Metric | TQQQ | XLK |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 36.8 | 40.9 |
| ADX (14) | 13.2 | 12.3 |
| Price vs 50-day | -2.9% | 1.8% |
| Price vs 200-day | 13% | 15% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 39% | 21% |
Risk
XLK is the more resilient| Metric | TQQQ | XLK |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 4.26 | 1.75 |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.98 | 1.26 |
| Sortino ratio | 1.46 | 1.96 |
| Max drawdown | -37.2% | -16.1% |
| Current drawdown | -20.7% | -7.3% |
| Annualized volatility | 58.6% | 26.4% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -5.8% | -2.6% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, TQQQ or XLK?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, XLK is the stronger of the two as of Sep 3, 2026, scoring 56 against TQQQ's 43. The edge comes from risk resilience and momentum. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is TQQQ or XLK the better buy right now?
XLK carries the stronger systematic profile as of Sep 3, 2026, and the comparison is rated Stable — 4 of 4 covered evidence groups agree. A Stable rating means the gap is wide and the evidence is broad, so the conclusion is unlikely to turn on a single session.
Why does the AIQ Score favor XLK over TQQQ?
The composite weights Quality at 30%, Value at 30%, Momentum at 25% and Risk Resilience at 15%. XLK leads Risk Resilience by 49 points; XLK leads Momentum by 17 points; XLK leads Value by 8 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which is better value, TQQQ or XLK?
XLK is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. XLK on the peer-relative Value factor, by 8 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, TQQQ or XLK?
Growth figures are not covered for both names. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, TQQQ or XLK?
XLK on the Momentum factor, by 17 points. Momentum carries 25% of the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, TQQQ or XLK?
XLK is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. XLK on Risk Resilience, by 49 points. The Risk Resilience factor weights 15% of the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is TQQQ more profitable than XLK?
Margin data is not comparable for both names in the current snapshot.
Is XLK's lead over TQQQ getting stronger or weaker?
XLK lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 13 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-04-21 and 2026-09-02. The lead has not changed hands in that window.
What would change the TQQQ vs XLK verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: TQQQ closes the Risk Resilience gap — currently 49 points behind, the largest single contributor to XLK's edge; TQQQ's MACD Bearish Crossover resolves — a bearish momentum rule currently active against it; XLK's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 3 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once; a regime shift changes factor weighting — the composite weights Quality and Value at 30% each, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
What do the current signals say about TQQQ and XLK?
TQQQ: 1 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. XLK: 3 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on TQQQ is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On XLK it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).
Compare TQQQ and XLK with others
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality (30%), Value (30%), Momentum (25%) and Risk (15%). Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.