TSCO vs TSM Stock Comparison
TSM currently leads TSCO in this stock comparison, with AIQ scores of 58 vs 52. The clearest difference is quality, while TSCO has the stronger momentum profile.
What is the main difference between TSCO and TSM?
TSM leads the current stock comparison as Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited, with the clearest separation coming from quality and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
Tractor Supply Company vs Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited
TSM leads
TSM leads by 6 AIQ points, primarily on Quality and Risk Resilience, but the lead has narrowed from 27 points over 30 sessions.
Fragile: 5 of 6 evidence groups support TSM, its lead is narrowing, and its current signal state is conflicted.
Tractor Supply Company
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors TSM over TSCO, 58 versus 52 as of Oct 21, 2026. TSM's advantage is driven primarily by stronger quality and risk resilience, while TSCO holds the stronger momentum profile. TSM also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average. 5 of 6 covered evidence groups favor TSM today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: the leader's advantage has been narrowing. TSM lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 27 to 6 points over 30 sessions.
Compare Tractor Supply Company and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Total return with distributions reinvested, from daily closes.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000, distributions reinvested
Split-adjusted closes; each distribution is reinvested at the close on its ex-dividend date. Taxes and trading costs are not modeled.
Compare TSCO and TSM against another ticker
Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Quality54 vs 98TSM +44
- Momentum53 vs 21TSCO +32
- Risk Resilience46 vs 67TSM +21
- Value52 vs 45TSCO +7
5 of 6 evidence groups favor TSM. TSM’s edge is concentrated in quality and risk resilience; TSCO keeps a meaningful momentum edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-10-20, compared against the prior scored session 2026-10-19.
Largest factor move: Momentum +3
No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 5 active signals are unchanged.
Largest factor move: Momentum +3
No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 2 active signals are unchanged.
TSM's lead was unchanged in the latest session.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — TSCO and TSM both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
TSM (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited): the stronger current systematic profile, led by quality and risk resilience.
TSCO (Tractor Supply Company): the counter-case, on momentum, value, valuation.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
TSMTSM on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
TSCOTSCO on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
TSCOTSCO on the peer-relative Value factor, by 7 points.
Momentum
TSCOTSCO on the Momentum factor, by 32 points.
Lower downside
TSMTSM on Risk Resilience, by 21 points.
Analyst upside
TSMTSM on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.
| Measure | TSCO | TSM | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +11.8% | +36.4% | TSM has more room |
| Target dispersion | +60.2% | +34% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Buy | Buy | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 16 | 7 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Dividend growth
| Dividend metric | TSCO | TSM |
|---|---|---|
| 5Y dividend CAGR | 25.12% | 15.29% |
| 2020 regular DPS | $0.300 | $1.360 |
| 2025 regular DPS | $0.920 | $2.769 |
| Years increased | 5 | 4 |
| No cut in window | Yes | No (1) |
| Cohort rank | #4 | not ranked |
TSCO grew its split-adjusted regular dividend faster over 2020–2025 — 25.12% a year against TSM's 15.29%. TSCO never reduced its regular dividend in the window; TSM did in 1 year.
Yield and payout ratio shown elsewhere on this page are current values, not part of the study window.
Split-adjusted regular dividends per share, 2020–2025, excluding special dividends. Research as of Sep 19, 2026.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
5 of 6 covered evidence groups favor TSM. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | TSM | 52 vs 58 |
| Fundamentals | TSMon balance | revenue growth 26.4% vs 17.6%; EPS growth 122.6% vs 8%; TTM ROE 39.3% vs 41.2%; gross margin 32.5% vs 65.8%; operating margin 8.9% vs 57.9% — TSM takes 3 of 5 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | TSCO | Value 52 vs 45 |
| Technicals | TSM | Price vs 50-day -2.9% vs -0.6%; vs 200-day -15.2% vs 7.3% |
| Risk Resilience | TSM | Risk Resilience 46 vs 67 |
| Analyst expectations | TSM | Target upside 11.8% vs 36.4% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of TSCO and TSM and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is moderate at 6 points.
- 5 of 6 covered evidence groups point the same way. (supports the conclusion holding)
- The leader's advantage has been narrowing. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The lead has swung materially session to session. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on TSM.
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Jun 21 – Oct 20TSM lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 27 to 6 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- TSM +6
- 52 vs 58
- 7 sessions ago
- TSM +5
- 51 vs 56
- 30 sessions ago
- TSM +27
- 45 vs 72
- 90 sessions ago
- TSM +14
- 57 vs 71
The lead changed hands 2 times in this window, most recently on Jul 30 when TSM moved ahead of TSCO.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
1 bullish / 2 bearish / 2 neutral, conflicted
Only TSCO
- Bollinger Band Squeeze — neutral, volatility, short horizon
- Death Cross Active — bearish, trend, long horizon (15.25%)
- EMA Ribbon Compression — neutral, trend, medium horizon
- Downtrend Structure Active — bearish, trend, long horizon
- MACD Bullish Crossover — bullish, momentum, short horizon
1 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted
Only TSM
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (9.68%)
- MACD Bearish Crossover — bearish, momentum, short horizon
TSM leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Price is down while the AIQ Score moved up 1 points over the same session — price and model disagree (price -0.67%, AIQ +1 points).
Price and the AIQ Score both moved up over the latest session (price +1.6%, AIQ +1 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1TSCO closes the Quality gap — currently 44 points behind, the largest single contributor to TSM's edge.
- 2TSCO's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it.
- 3TSM's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 1 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once.
- 4The narrowing continues — the lead has already given back 21 points over 30 sessions, and a further 6-point move would eliminate TSM's advantage entirely.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
TSM leads on balance| Metric | TSCO | TSM |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 26.4% | 17.6% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 122.6% | 8% |
| Gross margin | 32.5% | 65.8% |
| Operating margin | 8.9% | 57.9% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 39.3% | 41.2% |
| Debt to equity | 2.49 | 0.14 |
Performance
Split across windows| Metric | TSCO | TSM |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | -2.3% | -4.5% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | 0.2% | -6% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | 12.1% | 0.9% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | -16.8% | 15.5% |
| Year to date | -34.2% | 39.9% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | -40.3% | 41.8% |
Technicals
TSM has the stronger structure| Metric | TSCO | TSM |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 62.6 | 36.7 |
| ADX (14) | 18.6 | 21.6 |
| Price vs 50-day | -2.9% | -0.6% |
| Price vs 200-day | -15.2% | 7.3% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 28.1% | 28.8% |
Risk
TSM is the more resilient| Metric | TSCO | TSM |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.41 | 2.11 |
| Sharpe ratio | -1.54 | 1.04 |
| Sortino ratio | -2.05 | 1.66 |
| Max drawdown | -48.3% | -21.6% |
| Current drawdown | -41.6% | -12.5% |
| Annualized volatility | 32.8% | 38.9% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -3.3% | -3.8% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, TSCO or TSM?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, TSM is the stronger of the two as of Oct 21, 2026, scoring 58 against TSCO's 52. The edge comes from quality and risk resilience. TSCO is not without a case — it holds the better momentum profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is TSCO or TSM the better buy right now?
TSM carries the stronger systematic profile as of Oct 21, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 5 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: the leader's advantage has been narrowing. Treat the lead as provisional.
Why does the AIQ Score favor TSM over TSCO?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. TSM leads Quality by 44 points; TSCO leads Momentum by 32 points; TSM leads Risk Resilience by 21 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, TSCO or TSM?
Analyst price targets imply +11.8% upside for TSCO and +36.4% for TSM, so the Street currently favors TSM. The model and the Street agree here, which is a broader base of evidence than either alone. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, TSCO or TSM?
TSCO is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. TSCO on the peer-relative Value factor, by 7 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, TSCO or TSM?
TSCO on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, TSCO or TSM?
TSCO on the Momentum factor, by 32 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, TSCO or TSM?
TSM is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. TSM on Risk Resilience, by 21 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is TSCO more profitable than TSM?
TSM leads on the comparable margin measures — gross margin 32.5% vs 65.8%; operating margin 8.9% vs 57.9%; ttm roe 39.3% vs 41.2%.
Is TSM's lead over TSCO getting stronger or weaker?
TSM lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 27 to 6 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-06-21 and 2026-10-20. The lead has changed hands 2 times in that window, most recently on 2026-07-30, when TSM moved ahead of TSCO.
What would change the TSCO vs TSM verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: TSCO closes the Quality gap — currently 44 points behind, the largest single contributor to TSM's edge; TSCO's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it; TSM's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 1 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once; the narrowing continues — the lead has already given back 21 points over 30 sessions, and a further 6-point move would eliminate TSM's advantage entirely.
What do the current signals say about TSCO and TSM?
TSCO: 1 bullish / 2 bearish / 2 neutral, conflicted. TSM: 1 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on TSCO is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon). On TSM it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).
Compare TSCO and TSM with others
Continue your research
This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.