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Tractor Supply Company (TSCO) Stock Analysis

Tractor Supply Company (TSCO) stock analysis covering valuation, fundamentals, technical indicators, risk, AIQ Momentum, analyst catalysts, dividends, and the current AIQ Score.

TSCO Stock Analysis Summary

Tractor Supply Company (TSCO) currently has an AIQ Score of 53/100, indicating a neutral setup. Momentum is the strongest factor at 57/100. Risk is the weakest current factor at 47/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Sep 4, 2026 · Market-close data

TSCO at a Glance

Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close stock snapshot.

MetricCurrent
Price$34.99
AIQ Score53/100
Overall ViewNeutral
Technical Analysis ConsensusNeutral
Market Cap$18.2B
P/E Ratio17.01
Forward P/E
EPS$0.69
Revenue TTM$4.54B
Dividend Yield0.95%
Beta0.45
Volume6.57M
52-week range$28.36-$60.87
RSI 1453.39
50-Day SMA$32.75
200-Day SMA$41.88
Analyst Price Target$39.92
Next EarningsOct 22, 2026
As of Sep 4, 2026 · Market close
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TSCO

Overview
Tractor Supply Company
Consumer Cyclical· Specialty Retail
AIQ Score
NeutralAIQ Edge 8/10
Relative Leader / Watch
Strong Relative Position
Score data as of Sep 4, 2026
Last price
$34.99
+$0.39 (+1.13%)
Latest market quote
Momentum57
Value52
Quality54
Risk Resilience47
Sentiment
View financial data

TSCO Stock Analysis Summary

Tractor Supply Company (TSCO) currently has an AIQ Score of 53/100, indicating a neutral setup. Momentum is the strongest factor at 57/100. Risk resilience is the weakest current factor at 47/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Sep 4, 2026 · Market-close data
AIQ Composite Posture: Mixed

In a neutral regime, TSCO has AIQ Score of 53/100 with Momentum base of 57/100 and fading Risk resilience at 47/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.

Consumer Cyclical · 1.13% stock move · TSCO classified in Specialty Retail.

Current Evidence

NeutralTSCO is in a neutral AIQ regime; Momentum is the strongest visible factor at 57/100.
Core coverage reflects visible evidence only

AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary

Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.

Is TSCO Bullish or Bearish Right Now?

TSCO currently has a neutral overall setup. Momentum is the strongest factor at 57/100, while Risk Resilience is weakest at 47/100. The current evidence suggests a mixed rather than strongly bullish or bearish setup.

Bull Case
  • - Price is +6.84% above its 50-day SMA.
  • - Analyst target implies +14.09% upside from the latest quote.
  • - Technical consensus has more buy votes than sell votes (21 vs 15).
Bear Case
  • - Price is -16.45% below its 200-day SMA.

Current Consensus

TSCO's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Neutral, with 21 buy, 9 neutral, and 15 sell votes. TSCO's 14-day RSI is 53.39, which places the stock in a neutral momentum range. TSCO's beta is 0.45, indicating lower market sensitivity than the broad market.

Signal Confidence
Moderate agreement

What Changed in TSCO?

Recent score-change history is not available in the current snapshot. These are the latest market-close scores instead.

AIQ Score
53/100
Momentum
57/100
Quality
54/100
Risk
47/100

What Would Change the TSCO Outlook?

The current neutral outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, earnings revisions strengthen, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, analyst expectations deteriorate, or risk evidence worsens.

Bullish confirmation

AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive catalyst or estimate-revision evidence.

Bearish deterioration

AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.

TSCO Decision Framework

Public evidence layers, setup checks, and risk context for Tractor Supply Company.

Tractor Supply Company (TSCO) Stock Analysis

Tractor Supply Company has an AIQ Score of 53/100 in a Neutral regime. Momentum is strongest at 57/100. Beta is 0.45, below market sensitivity. Review the supporting stock factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.

Evidence LayerPublic Evidence
Regime ContextTSCO is in a Neutral AIQ regime with score 53/100.
Signal ConflictThe primary conflict is that momentum leads at 57/100 while risk lags at 47/100.
Factor EvidenceMomentum 57/100 · Value 52/100 · Quality 54/100 · Risk 47/100
PersistenceCurrent snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro.

Current Setup Checklist

Factor strengthWait

Momentum is the strongest factor at 57/100.

TimingWait

Momentum is 57/100 and RSI (14) is 53.4.

Regime fitWait

TSCO is in a Neutral regime at 53/100.

Risk controlWait

Risk factor is 47/100 with beta 0.45 and annual volatility 32%.

ConflictPass

Current conflict: momentum leads at 57/100 while risk lags at 47/100.

AIQ Score
53/100
Price
$34.99
Beta
0.45
RSI (14)
53.4

TSCO Research Cluster

Ticker-specific paths for valuation, technical analysis, catalysts, dividends, financials, risk, and news.

TSCO Fundamentals

TSCO valuation, profitability, growth, margins, balance-sheet strength, and free cash flow.

Revenue
$4.54B
Net income
$360.72M
Free cash flow
$328.91M
View full TSCO fundamental analysis

TSCO Technical Analysis

TSCO technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.

Technical Analysis Consensus
Neutral
RSI 14
53.39
Price vs SMA-50
+6.84%
View full TSCO technical analysis

TSCO Stock Catalysts

Track TSCO earnings, analyst ratings, price targets, estimate revisions, stock news, and upcoming events.

Next earnings
Oct 22, 2026
Analyst target
$39.92
News items
1
View TSCO earnings and stock catalysts

TSCO Dividend Analysis

TSCO dividend yield, annual dividend, payout ratio, payment history, and income reliability context.

Dividend yield
2.72%
Annual dividend
$0.95
Payout ratio
View TSCO dividend history and analysis

TSCO Financial Data

TSCO revenue, earnings, income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, valuation ratios, and stock metrics.

Quarter revenue
$4.54B
EPS
$0.69
Periods
8
View TSCO financials

TSCO Risk Analysis

TSCO volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.

Beta
0.45
Risk score
47/100
1Y volatility
32.00%
View TSCO risk analysis

TSCO Stock News

TSCO stock news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.

News items
1
Updated
Sep 6, 2026
Sentiment
Read TSCO stock news

TSCO vs Retail — Specialty & Discount Peers

Current peer cohort: TSCO · UA · UAA · ULTA · URBN. Compare AIQ, factor scores, Sharpe ratio and 1-year volatility in one indexable view.

PeerAIQValueMomentumRiskSharpe1Y VolatilityCompare
TSCO
Current stock
53/10052/10057/10047/100-1.6832.00%Current
UA
Under Armour Class C
40/10042/10040/10039/1000.1952.39%TSCO vs UA
UAA
Under Armour Class A
40/10042/10041/10038/1000.1852.54%TSCO vs UAA
ULTA
Ulta Beauty
63/10040/10085/10051/1000.2434.82%TSCO vs ULTA
URBN
Urban Outfitters
60/10058/10069/10048/1000.4243.56%TSCO vs URBN
Pairwise Compare links: UA · UAA · ULTA · URBNTSCO vs UATSCO vs UAATSCO vs ULTATSCO vs URBNCompare cohort

Peer cohort is resolved dynamically from the AlgovestIQ universe taxonomy and Compare relationship graph. Data as of Sep 5, 2026.

About the AIQ Score

Methodology for the current stock evidence.

As of Sep 4, 2026 · Market close

The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of stock evidence, including momentum, valuation exposure, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.

View AIQ methodology

Factor Diagnostics

A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.

Calculator
Calculate a TSCO stock return scenario

Open the return calculator with stock context while purchase price, shares, dates and fees remain user inputs.

Calculate stock return

AIQ Component Profile

Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.

Catalyst preview

Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.

Open catalysts
Quarterly evidence

8 recent quarterly periods are available for review.

Checked Sep 7, 2026

AIQ Pro

Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.

Fundamentals Verdict

Current snapshot fields are separate from reported-quarter statement tables.

Current TTM P/E
18.08
As of Sep 4, 2026
Revenue growth
26.43%
Gross margin
32.47%
Current debt / equity
2.49
Latest quarterly evidence

Latest period Jun 27, 2026.

Review fundamentals
Quarter revenue
$4.54B
Quarter net income
$360.72M
Quarter free cash flow
$328.91M

Market Confirmation

Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.

Trend
Mixed
Momentum
Mixed
RSI 14
53.39
MACD
0.54

Risk Alignment

Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.

Resilience
47/100
Beta
0.45
Annual volatility
32.00%
Max drawdown
-51.95%

TSCO Stock FAQ

What is TSCO stock price today?

Tractor Supply Company's current stock price is $34.99. Use the live quote with AIQ Score, news, and risk context rather than treating price alone as a decision signal.

Is TSCO bullish or bearish right now?

TSCO's bullish or bearish read depends on the current AIQ Score, factor alignment, technical analysis consensus, valuation, risk, and catalyst evidence. A mixed setup should be treated differently from a broad confirmation across those signals.

What is TSCO's market cap?

TSCO's market cap is $18.2B based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 4, 2026. Use it with P/E ratio, revenue, and growth metrics to frame company size, valuation, and peer comparisons.

What is TSCO's current P/E ratio?

TSCO's current P/E ratio is 17.01 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 4, 2026. Read it with revenue growth, margins, EPS, cash flow, and peer valuation rather than using P/E alone.

What is TSCO's RSI?

TSCO's 14-day RSI is 53.39 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 4, 2026. RSI should be interpreted with MACD, moving averages, volume, volatility, and price trend.

Is TSCO above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?

TSCO is 6.84% from its 50-day SMA and -16.45% from its 200-day SMA based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 4, 2026. Moving-average position should be read with momentum and broader AIQ evidence.

When is TSCO's next earnings date?

TSCO's next earnings date is currently listed as Oct 22, 2026. Earnings can reset revenue, EPS, price target, analyst rating, and catalyst expectations.

Does TSCO pay a dividend?

TSCO's dividend yield is 0.95% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 4, 2026. Dividend yield should be read with payout ratio, free cash flow, growth, and balance-sheet strength.