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Tractor Supply Company (TSCO) Stock Analysis

Tractor Supply Company (TSCO) stock analysis covering valuation, fundamentals, technical indicators, risk, AIQ Momentum, analyst catalysts, dividends, and the current AIQ Score.

TSCO Stock Analysis Summary

Tractor Supply Company (TSCO) currently has an AIQ Score of 51/100, indicating a neutral setup. Quality is the strongest factor at 54/100. Risk is the weakest current factor at 46/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Oct 21, 2026 · Market-close data

TSCO at a Glance

Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close stock snapshot.

MetricCurrent
Price$32.69
AIQ Score51/100
Overall ViewNeutral
Technical Analysis ConsensusNeutral
Market Cap$18.2B
P/E Ratio (TTM)18.08
Forward P/E—
EPS (quarter ended 2026-06-27)$0.69
Revenue (quarter ended 2026-06-27)$4.54B
Dividend Yield (TTM)2.74%
Beta0.45
Volume17.86M
52-week range$28.36-$58.21
RSI 1457.73
50-Day SMA$33.61
200-Day SMA$38.71
Analyst Price Target$36.55
Next EarningsOct 22, 2026
As of Oct 21, 2026 · Market close

TSCOTractor Supply Company

Consumer Cyclical / Specialty Retail

Low Priority

In Line With Peers

NeutralEdge 5/10
$32.69−$0.22 (−0.67%)

Latest quote

  • Momentum
    48
  • Value
    52
  • Quality
    54
  • Risk resilience
    46
  • Sentiment
    —
algovestiq.comScore data as of Oct 21, 2026

TSCO Stock Analysis Summary

Tractor Supply Company (TSCO) currently has an AIQ Score of 51/100, indicating a neutral setup. Quality is the strongest factor at 54/100. Risk resilience is the weakest current factor at 46/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Oct 21, 2026 · Market-close data
AIQ Composite Posture: Mixed

In a neutral regime, TSCO has AIQ Score of 51/100 with Quality base of 54/100 and fading Risk resilience at 46/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.

Consumer Cyclical · -0.67% stock move · TSCO classified in Specialty Retail.

Current Evidence

NeutralTSCO is in a neutral AIQ regime; Quality is the strongest visible factor at 54/100.
Core coverage reflects visible evidence only
Latest analysis / TSCO / September 19, 2026

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AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary

Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.

Is TSCO Bullish or Bearish Right Now?

TSCO currently has a neutral overall setup. Quality is the strongest factor at 54/100, while Risk Resilience is weakest at 46/100. The current evidence suggests a mixed rather than strongly bullish or bearish setup.

Bull Case
  • - Analyst target implies +11.81% upside from the latest quote.
Bear Case
  • - Price is -15.56% below its 200-day SMA.
  • - Technical consensus has more sell votes than buy votes (21 vs 16).

Current Consensus

TSCO's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Neutral, with 16 buy, 8 neutral, and 21 sell votes. TSCO's 14-day RSI is 57.73, which places the stock in a constructive momentum range. TSCO's beta is 0.45, indicating lower market sensitivity than the broad market.

Signal Confidence
Moderate agreement

What Changed in TSCO?

The largest recent change in TSCO is Momentum moving down by 2.0 points over the available 7-day comparison window. Quality remains the strongest visible factor.

AIQ Score
+0.0
Momentum
-2.0
Quality
+0.0
Risk
+1.0

What Would Change the TSCO Outlook?

The current neutral outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, earnings revisions strengthen, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, analyst expectations deteriorate, or risk evidence worsens.

Bullish confirmation

AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive catalyst or estimate-revision evidence.

Bearish deterioration

AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.

TSCO Decision Framework

Public evidence layers, setup checks, and risk context for Tractor Supply Company.

Tractor Supply Company (TSCO) Stock Analysis

Tractor Supply Company has an AIQ Score of 51/100 in a Neutral regime. Quality is strongest at 54/100. Beta is 0.51, below market sensitivity. Review the supporting stock factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.

Evidence LayerPublic Evidence
Regime ContextTSCO is in a Neutral AIQ regime with score 51/100.
Signal ConflictThe primary conflict is that quality leads at 54/100 while risk lags at 46/100.
Factor EvidenceMomentum 48/100 · Value 52/100 · Quality 54/100 · Risk 46/100
PersistenceCurrent snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro.

Current Setup Checklist

Factor strengthWait

Quality is the strongest factor at 54/100.

TimingWait

Momentum is 48/100 and RSI (14) is 57.7.

Regime fitWait

TSCO is in a Neutral regime at 51/100.

Risk controlWait

Risk factor is 46/100 with beta 0.51 and annual volatility 32.77%.

ConflictPass

Current conflict: quality leads at 54/100 while risk lags at 46/100.

AIQ Score
51/100
Price
$32.69
Beta
0.51
RSI (14)
57.7

TSCO Research Cluster

Ticker-specific paths for valuation, technical analysis, catalysts, dividends, financials, risk, and news.

TSCO Fundamentals

TSCO valuation, profitability, growth, margins, balance-sheet strength, and free cash flow.

Revenue
$4.54B
Net income
$360.72M
Free cash flow
$328.91M
View full TSCO fundamental analysis

TSCO Technical Analysis

TSCO technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.

Technical Analysis Consensus
Neutral
RSI 14
57.73
Price vs SMA-50
-2.75%
View full TSCO technical analysis

TSCO Stock Catalysts

Track TSCO earnings, analyst ratings, price targets, estimate revisions, stock news, and upcoming events.

Next earnings
Oct 22, 2026
Analyst target
$36.55
News items
0
View TSCO earnings and stock catalysts

TSCO Dividend Analysis

TSCO dividend yield, annual dividend, payout ratio, payment history, and income reliability context.

Dividend yield
2.91%
Annual dividend
$0.95
Payout ratio
48.95%
View TSCO dividend history and analysis

TSCO Financial Data

TSCO revenue, earnings, income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, valuation ratios, and stock metrics.

Quarter revenue
$4.54B
EPS
$0.69
Periods
4
View TSCO financials

TSCO Risk Analysis

TSCO volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.

Beta
0.45
Risk score
46/100
1Y volatility
32.77%
View TSCO risk analysis

TSCO Stock News

TSCO stock news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.

News items
0
Updated
—
Sentiment
—
Read TSCO stock news

TSCO vs Retail — Specialty & Discount Peers

Current peer cohort: TSCO · UA · UAA · ULTA · URBN. Compare AIQ, factor scores, Sharpe ratio and 1-year volatility in one indexable view.

PeerAIQValueMomentumRiskSharpe1Y VolatilityCompare
TSCO
Current stock
51/10052/10048/10046/100-1.5632.77%Current
UA
Under Armour Class C
41/10042/10043/10046/1000.1953.08%TSCO vs UA
UAA
Under Armour Class A
41/10042/10043/10042/1000.1753.40%TSCO vs UAA
ULTA
Ulta Beauty
66/10040/10092/10061/1000.4935.19%TSCO vs ULTA
URBN
Urban Outfitters
65/10058/10080/10062/1000.7442.73%TSCO vs URBN
Pairwise Compare links: UA · UAA · ULTA · URBNTSCO vs UATSCO vs UAATSCO vs ULTATSCO vs URBNCompare cohort

Peer cohort is resolved dynamically from the AlgovestIQ universe taxonomy and Compare relationship graph. Data as of Oct 21, 2026.

About the AIQ Score

Methodology for the current stock evidence.

As of Oct 21, 2026 · Market close

The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of stock evidence, including momentum, valuation exposure, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.

View AIQ methodology

Factor Diagnostics

A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.

Calculator
Calculate a TSCO stock return scenario

Open the return calculator with stock context while purchase price, shares, dates and fees remain user inputs.

Calculate stock return

AIQ Component Profile

Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.

Catalyst preview

Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.

Open catalysts
Quarterly evidence

4 recent quarterly periods are available for review.

Checked Oct 22, 2026

AIQ Pro

Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.

Fundamentals Verdict

Current snapshot fields are separate from reported-quarter statement tables.

Current TTM P/E
18.08
As of Oct 21, 2026
Revenue growth
—
Gross margin
32.47%
Current debt / equity
2.49
Latest quarterly evidence

Latest period Jun 27, 2026.

Review fundamentals
Quarter revenue
$4.54B
Quarter net income
$360.72M
Quarter free cash flow
$328.91M

Market Confirmation

Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.

Trend
Bearish
Momentum
Bullish
RSI 14
57.73
MACD
-0

Risk Alignment

Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.

Resilience
46/100
Beta
0.51
Annual volatility
32.77%
Max drawdown
-48.29%

TSCO Stock FAQ

What is TSCO stock price today?

Tractor Supply Company's current stock price is $32.69. Use the live quote with AIQ Score, news, and risk context rather than treating price alone as a decision signal.

Is TSCO bullish or bearish right now?

TSCO's bullish or bearish read depends on the current AIQ Score, factor alignment, technical analysis consensus, valuation, risk, and catalyst evidence. A mixed setup should be treated differently from a broad confirmation across those signals.

What is TSCO's market cap?

TSCO's market cap is $18.2B based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Use it with P/E ratio, revenue, and growth metrics to frame company size, valuation, and peer comparisons.

What is TSCO's current P/E ratio?

TSCO's current P/E ratio is 18.08 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Read it with revenue growth, margins, EPS, cash flow, and peer valuation rather than using P/E alone.

What is TSCO's RSI?

TSCO's 14-day RSI is 57.73 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. RSI should be interpreted with MACD, moving averages, volume, volatility, and price trend.

Is TSCO above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?

TSCO is -2.75% from its 50-day SMA and -15.56% from its 200-day SMA based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Moving-average position should be read with momentum and broader AIQ evidence.

When is TSCO's next earnings date?

TSCO's next earnings date is currently listed as Oct 22, 2026. Earnings can reset revenue, EPS, price target, analyst rating, and catalyst expectations.

Does TSCO pay a dividend?

TSCO's dividend yield is 2.74% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Dividend yield should be read with payout ratio, free cash flow, growth, and balance-sheet strength.