TSLA vs RIVN Stock Comparison
Compare TSLA and RIVN across AIQ Score, fundamentals, valuation, momentum, risk, analyst expectations and current market evidence.
What is the main difference between TSLA and RIVN?
TSLA leads the current stock comparison as Tesla, Inc., with the clearest separation coming from quality and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
Tesla, Inc. vs Rivian Automotive, Inc.
TSLA leads
TSLA leads by 6 AIQ points, primarily on Quality and Momentum, but the lead has narrowed from 15 points over 30 sessions.
Fragile: 3 of 6 evidence groups support TSLA, its lead is narrowing, and its current signal state is conflicted.
Tesla, Inc.
Rivian Automotive, Inc.
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors TSLA over RIVN, 40 versus 34 as of Sep 9, 2026. TSLA's advantage is driven primarily by stronger quality and momentum, while RIVN holds the stronger value profile. TSLA also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average. 3 of 6 covered evidence groups favor TSLA today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: only 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. TSLA lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 15 to 6 points over 30 sessions.
Compare Tesla, Inc. and Rivian Automotive, Inc. across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Price-return comparison using available daily close history.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000
Based on available close-price history. Distribution reinvestment is not added unless already reflected in the source series.
Compare TSLA and RIVN against another ticker
Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Quality41 vs 18TSLA +23
- Value24 vs 34RIVN +10
- Momentum56 vs 48TSLA +8
- Risk Resilience40 vs 41Even
3 of 6 evidence groups favor TSLA. TSLA’s edge is concentrated in quality and momentum; RIVN keeps a meaningful value edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-09-07, compared against the prior scored session 2026-09-06.
No factor moved materially.
No new signals fired.
No factor moved materially.
No new signals fired.
TSLA's lead was unchanged in the latest snapshot.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — TSLA and RIVN both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
TSLA (Tesla, Inc.): the stronger current systematic profile, led by quality and momentum.
RIVN (Rivian Automotive, Inc.): the counter-case, on value, valuation, technicals.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
TSLATSLA on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
TSLATSLA on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
RIVNRIVN on the peer-relative Value factor, by 10 points.
Momentum
TSLATSLA on the Momentum factor, by 8 points.
Lower downside
RIVNRIVN carries the lower 1-month annualized volatility.
Analyst upside
TSLATSLA on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.
| Measure | TSLA | RIVN | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +19% | +4.5% | TSLA has more room |
| Target dispersion | +31% | +53.3% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Hold | Hold | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 12 | 9 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
3 of 6 covered evidence groups favor TSLA. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | TSLA | 40 vs 34 |
| Fundamentals | TSLA | revenue growth 26.1% vs 20.1%; EPS growth 126.7% vs -90.9%; TTM ROE 4.6% vs -67.5%; gross margin 18.9% vs 7.5%; operating margin 4.2% vs -60.1% |
| Valuation | RIVN | Value 24 vs 34 |
| Technicals | RIVN | Price vs 50-day 2.9% vs -2%; vs 200-day -11.4% vs -3.4% |
| Risk Resilience | Even | Risk Resilience 40 vs 41 |
| Analyst expectations | TSLA | Target upside 19% vs 4.5% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of TSLA and RIVN and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is moderate at 6 points.
- Only 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader's advantage has been narrowing. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on TSLA.
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Apr 28 – Sep 7TSLA lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 15 to 6 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- TSLA +6
- 40 vs 34
- 7 sessions ago
- TSLA +10
- 41 vs 31
- 30 sessions ago
- TSLA +15
- 45 vs 30
- 90 sessions ago
- RIVN +4
- 37 vs 41
The lead changed hands 6 times in this window, most recently on Jul 6 when TSLA moved ahead of RIVN.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
1 bullish / 2 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
- Death Cross Active — bearish, trend, long horizon (11.62%)
- Downtrend Structure Active — bearish, trend, long horizon
- ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode — neutral, volatility, short horizon (4.31%)
1 bullish / 1 bearish / 2 neutral, conflicted
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (1.33%)
- Bollinger Band Squeeze — neutral, volatility, short horizon
- ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode — neutral, volatility, short horizon (4.46%)
TSLA leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price +3.98%, AIQ 0 points).
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price +2.73%, AIQ 0 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1RIVN closes the Quality gap — currently 23 points behind, the largest single contributor to TSLA's edge.
- 2RIVN's Bollinger Band Squeeze turns directional — it is neutral today and would confirm a change in trend.
- 3TSLA's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 1 bullish and 2 bearish rules at once.
- 4The narrowing continues — the lead has already given back 9 points over 30 sessions, and a further 6-point move would eliminate TSLA's advantage entirely.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
TSLA leads on balance| Metric | TSLA | RIVN |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 26.1% | 20.1% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 126.7% | -90.9% |
| Gross margin | 18.9% | 7.5% |
| Operating margin | 4.2% | -60.1% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 4.6% | -67.5% |
| Debt to equity | 0.11 | 1.04 |
Performance
RIVN leads 4 of 6 windows| Metric | TSLA | RIVN |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | 1.5% | -2.1% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | 7.8% | -1.6% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | -9.4% | -3.7% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | -10.8% | 2.4% |
| Year to date | -21.3% | -20.1% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | 6% | 9% |
Technicals
RIVN has the stronger structure| Metric | TSLA | RIVN |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 55 | 57.9 |
| ADX (14) | 22.8 | 10.6 |
| Price vs 50-day | 2.9% | -2% |
| Price vs 200-day | -11.4% | -3.4% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 50.8% | 47.1% |
Risk
Split| Metric | TSLA | RIVN |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 2.3 | 2.05 |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.25 | 0.48 |
| Sortino ratio | 0.39 | 0.85 |
| Max drawdown | -39.1% | -42.5% |
| Current drawdown | -27.7% | -29.9% |
| Annualized volatility | 47.7% | 71.2% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -4.6% | -6.3% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, TSLA or RIVN?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, TSLA is the stronger of the two as of Sep 9, 2026, scoring 40 against RIVN's 34. The edge comes from quality and momentum. RIVN is not without a case — it holds the better value profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is TSLA or RIVN the better buy right now?
TSLA carries the stronger systematic profile as of Sep 9, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: only 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. Treat the lead as provisional.
Why does the AIQ Score favor TSLA over RIVN?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. TSLA leads Quality by 23 points; RIVN leads Value by 10 points; TSLA leads Momentum by 8 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, TSLA or RIVN?
Analyst price targets imply +19% upside for TSLA and +4.5% for RIVN, so the Street currently favors TSLA. The model and the Street agree here, which is a broader base of evidence than either alone. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, TSLA or RIVN?
RIVN is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. RIVN on the peer-relative Value factor, by 10 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, TSLA or RIVN?
TSLA on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, TSLA or RIVN?
TSLA on the Momentum factor, by 8 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, TSLA or RIVN?
RIVN is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. RIVN carries the lower 1-month annualized volatility. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is TSLA more profitable than RIVN?
TSLA leads on the comparable margin measures — gross margin 18.9% vs 7.5%; operating margin 4.2% vs -60.1%; ttm roe 4.6% vs -67.5%.
Is TSLA's lead over RIVN getting stronger or weaker?
TSLA lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 15 to 6 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-04-28 and 2026-09-07. The lead has changed hands 6 times in that window, most recently on 2026-07-06, when TSLA moved ahead of RIVN.
What would change the TSLA vs RIVN verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: RIVN closes the Quality gap — currently 23 points behind, the largest single contributor to TSLA's edge; RIVN's Bollinger Band Squeeze turns directional — it is neutral today and would confirm a change in trend; TSLA's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 1 bullish and 2 bearish rules at once; the narrowing continues — the lead has already given back 9 points over 30 sessions, and a further 6-point move would eliminate TSLA's advantage entirely.
What do the current signals say about TSLA and RIVN?
TSLA: 1 bullish / 2 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. RIVN: 1 bullish / 1 bearish / 2 neutral, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on TSLA is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon). On RIVN it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).
Compare TSLA and RIVN with others
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.