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Rivian Automotive, Inc. (RIVN) Stock Analysis

Rivian Automotive, Inc. (RIVN) stock analysis covering valuation, fundamentals, technical indicators, risk, AIQ Momentum, analyst catalysts, dividends, and the current AIQ Score.

RIVN Stock Analysis Summary

Rivian Automotive, Inc. (RIVN) currently has an AIQ Score of 29/100, indicating a bearish setup. Risk is the strongest factor at 47/100. Quality is the weakest current factor at 18/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Oct 21, 2026 · Market-close data

RIVN at a Glance

Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close stock snapshot.

MetricCurrent
Price$12.46
AIQ Score29/100
Overall ViewBearish
Technical Analysis ConsensusStrong Sell
Market Cap$18.86B
P/E Ratio (TTM)-6.02
Forward P/E—
EPS (quarter ended 2026-06-30)-$0.63
Revenue (quarter ended 2026-06-30)$1.66B
Dividend Yield (TTM)0.00%
Beta1.61
Volume20.45M
52-week range$12.16-$22.69
RSI 1414.94
50-Day SMA$15.05
200-Day SMA$15.72
Analyst Price Target$16.89
Next EarningsOct 29, 2026
As of Oct 21, 2026 · Market close

RIVNRivian Automotive, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical / Auto - Manufacturers

Low Priority

Relative Laggard

BearishEdge 1/10
$12.46+$0.03 (+0.24%)

Latest quote

  • Momentum
    25
  • Value
    34
  • Quality
    18
  • Risk resilience
    47
  • Sentiment
    —
algovestiq.comScore data as of Oct 21, 2026

RIVN Stock Analysis Summary

Rivian Automotive, Inc. (RIVN) currently has an AIQ Score of 29/100, indicating a bearish setup. Risk resilience is the strongest factor at 47/100. Quality is the weakest current factor at 18/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Oct 21, 2026 · Market-close data
AIQ Composite Posture: Weak

In a bearish regime, RIVN has AIQ Score of 29/100 with Risk resilience base of 47/100 and fading Quality at 18/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.

Signal Conflict Detected

Risk resilience (47/100) leads while Quality (18/100) lags. This cross-factor spread creates entry timing uncertainty.

Consumer Cyclical · 0.24% stock move · RIVN classified in Auto - Manufacturers.

Current Evidence

BearishRIVN is in a bearish AIQ regime; Risk resilience is the strongest visible factor at 47/100.
Core coverage reflects visible evidence only

AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary

Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.

Is RIVN Bullish or Bearish Right Now?

RIVN currently has a bearish overall setup. Risk Resilience is the strongest factor at 47/100, while Quality is weakest at 18/100. The current evidence suggests a defensive setup.

Bull Case
  • - Analyst target implies +35.55% upside from the latest quote.
Bear Case
  • - Value is the current constraint at 34/100.
  • - Momentum is weak at 25/100.
  • - Price is -20.74% below its 200-day SMA.
  • - Technical consensus has more sell votes than buy votes (36 vs 9).

Current Consensus

RIVN's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Strong Sell, with 9 buy, 0 neutral, and 36 sell votes. RIVN's 14-day RSI is 14.94, which places the stock in an oversold momentum range. RIVN's beta is 1.61, indicating greater market sensitivity than the broad market.

Signal Confidence
High agreement

What Changed in RIVN?

The largest recent change in RIVN is Momentum moving up by 1.0 points over the available 7-day comparison window. Risk Resilience remains the strongest visible factor.

AIQ Score
+0.0
Momentum
+1.0
Quality
+0.0
Risk
+0.0

What Would Change the RIVN Outlook?

The current bearish outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, earnings revisions strengthen, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, analyst expectations deteriorate, or risk evidence worsens.

Bullish confirmation

AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive catalyst or estimate-revision evidence.

Bearish deterioration

AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.

RIVN Decision Framework

Public evidence layers, setup checks, and risk context for Rivian Automotive, Inc..

Rivian Automotive, Inc. (RIVN) Stock Analysis

Rivian Automotive, Inc. has an AIQ Score of 29/100 in a Defensive regime. Risk is strongest at 47/100. Beta is 1.62, above market sensitivity. Review the supporting stock factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.

Evidence LayerPublic Evidence
Regime ContextRIVN is in a Defensive AIQ regime with score 29/100.
Signal ConflictThe primary conflict is that risk leads at 47/100 while quality lags at 18/100.
Factor EvidenceMomentum 25/100 · Value 34/100 · Quality 18/100 · Risk 47/100
PersistenceCurrent snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro.

Current Setup Checklist

Factor strengthWait

Risk is the strongest factor at 47/100.

TimingFail

Momentum is 25/100 and RSI (14) is 14.9.

Regime fitFail

RIVN is in a Defensive regime at 29/100.

Risk controlWait

Risk factor is 47/100 with beta 1.62 and annual volatility 70.43%.

ConflictWait

Current conflict: risk leads at 47/100 while quality lags at 18/100.

AIQ Score
29/100
Price
$12.46
Beta
1.62
RSI (14)
14.9

RIVN Research Cluster

Ticker-specific paths for valuation, technical analysis, catalysts, dividends, financials, risk, and news.

RIVN Fundamentals

RIVN valuation, profitability, growth, margins, balance-sheet strength, and free cash flow.

Revenue
$1.66B
Net income
-$833M
Free cash flow
-$849M
View full RIVN fundamental analysis

RIVN Technical Analysis

RIVN technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.

Technical Analysis Consensus
Strong Sell
RSI 14
14.94
Price vs SMA-50
-17.20%
View full RIVN technical analysis

RIVN Stock Catalysts

Track RIVN earnings, analyst ratings, price targets, estimate revisions, stock news, and upcoming events.

Next earnings
Oct 29, 2026
Analyst target
$16.89
News items
0
View RIVN earnings and stock catalysts

RIVN Dividend Analysis

RIVN dividend yield, annual dividend, payout ratio, payment history, and income reliability context.

Dividend yield
0.00%
Annual dividend
—
Payout ratio
0.00%
View RIVN dividend history and analysis

RIVN Financial Data

RIVN revenue, earnings, income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, valuation ratios, and stock metrics.

Quarter revenue
$1.66B
EPS
-$0.63
Periods
4
View RIVN financials

RIVN Risk Analysis

RIVN volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.

Beta
1.61
Risk score
47/100
1Y volatility
70.43%
View RIVN risk analysis

RIVN Stock News

RIVN stock news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.

News items
0
Updated
—
Sentiment
—
Read RIVN stock news

RIVN vs Auto Peers

Current peer cohort: RIVN · TSLA · NIO · LCID · F. Compare AIQ, factor scores, Sharpe ratio and 1-year volatility in one indexable view.

PeerAIQValueMomentumRiskSharpe1Y VolatilityCompare
RIVN
Current stock
29/10034/10025/10047/1000.2170.43%Current
TSLA
Tesla
44/10024/10069/10051/100-0.1845.25%RIVN vs TSLA
NIO
NIO
38/10061/10040/10050/100-1.3249.99%RIVN vs NIO
LCID
Lucid Motors
30/10057/10025/10037/100-1.7884.93%RIVN vs LCID
F
Ford Motor
37/10071/10034/10040/1000.0738.43%RIVN vs F
Pairwise Compare links: TSLA · NIO · LCID · FRIVN vs TSLARIVN vs NIORIVN vs LCIDRIVN vs FCompare cohort

Peer cohort is resolved dynamically from the AlgovestIQ universe taxonomy and Compare relationship graph. Data as of Oct 21, 2026.

How RIVN scores against the names it is most often compared with.

About the AIQ Score

Methodology for the current stock evidence.

As of Oct 21, 2026 · Market close

The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of stock evidence, including momentum, valuation exposure, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.

View AIQ methodology

Factor Diagnostics

A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.

Calculator
Calculate a RIVN stock return scenario

Open the return calculator with stock context while purchase price, shares, dates and fees remain user inputs.

Calculate stock return

AIQ Component Profile

Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.

Catalyst preview

Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.

Open catalysts
Quarterly evidence

4 recent quarterly periods are available for review.

Checked Oct 21, 2026

AIQ Pro

Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.

Fundamentals Verdict

Current snapshot fields are separate from reported-quarter statement tables.

Current TTM P/E
-6.02
As of Oct 21, 2026
Revenue growth
—
Gross margin
7.51%
Current debt / equity
1.04
Latest quarterly evidence

Latest period Jun 30, 2026.

Review fundamentals
Quarter revenue
$1.66B
Quarter net income
-$833M
Quarter free cash flow
-$849M

Market Confirmation

Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.

Trend
Bearish
Momentum
Bearish
RSI 14
14.94
MACD
-0.8

Risk Alignment

Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.

Resilience
47/100
Beta
1.62
Annual volatility
70.43%
Max drawdown
-45.03%

RIVN Stock FAQ

What is RIVN stock price today?

Rivian Automotive, Inc.'s current stock price is $12.46. Use the live quote with AIQ Score, news, and risk context rather than treating price alone as a decision signal.

Is RIVN bullish or bearish right now?

RIVN's bullish or bearish read depends on the current AIQ Score, factor alignment, technical analysis consensus, valuation, risk, and catalyst evidence. A mixed setup should be treated differently from a broad confirmation across those signals.

What is RIVN's market cap?

RIVN's market cap is $18.86B based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Use it with P/E ratio, revenue, and growth metrics to frame company size, valuation, and peer comparisons.

What is RIVN's current P/E ratio?

RIVN's current P/E ratio is -6.02 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Read it with revenue growth, margins, EPS, cash flow, and peer valuation rather than using P/E alone.

What is RIVN's RSI?

RIVN's 14-day RSI is 14.94 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. RSI should be interpreted with MACD, moving averages, volume, volatility, and price trend.

Is RIVN above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?

RIVN is -17.20% from its 50-day SMA and -20.74% from its 200-day SMA based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Moving-average position should be read with momentum and broader AIQ evidence.

When is RIVN's next earnings date?

RIVN's next earnings date is currently listed as Oct 29, 2026. Earnings can reset revenue, EPS, price target, analyst rating, and catalyst expectations.

Does RIVN pay a dividend?

RIVN's dividend yield is 0.00% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Dividend yield should be read with payout ratio, free cash flow, growth, and balance-sheet strength.