XLK vs XP Stock Comparison
Compare XLK and XP across AIQ Score, fundamentals, valuation, momentum, risk, analyst expectations and current market evidence.
What is the main difference between XLK and XP?
XLK and XP are close on the current AIQ evidence, so the better fit depends more on objective, risk tolerance and valuation preference than on a single headline score.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF vs XP Inc.
XLK and XP are effectively level
XLK and XP are effectively level on the AIQ Score; the factor table below shows where each one holds its advantage.
State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF
XP Inc.
The Algovestiq AIQ Score does not currently separate XLK and XP as of Sep 11, 2026. Both names are scored on the same 0–100 scale across Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience, and the factor table below shows where each one holds its advantage.
Compare State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF and XP Inc. across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Price-return comparison using available daily close history.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000
Based on available close-price history. Distribution reinvestment is not added unless already reflected in the source series.
Compare XLK and XP against another ticker
Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Quality74 vs 52XLK +22
- Value36 vs 57XP +21
- Risk Resilience62 vs 43XLK +19
- Momentum65 vs 79XP +14
Neither name separates cleanly on the covered dimensions.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-09-10, compared against the prior scored session 2026-09-09.
Largest factor move: Momentum -5
No new signals fired.
Largest factor move: Risk Resilience -1
New signals
- Keltner Channel Breakout — bullish, volatility, short horizon
XLK's lead narrowed by 1 AIQ points in the latest snapshot.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — XLK and XP both carry a full feed there.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
EvenNeither separates on the overall score.
Growth
EvenGrowth figures are not covered for both names.
Value
XPXP on the peer-relative Value factor, by 21 points.
Momentum
XPXP on the Momentum factor, by 14 points.
Lower downside
XLKXLK on Risk Resilience, by 19 points.
Analyst upside
EvenAnalyst targets are level or not covered for both names.
AIQ vs Wall Street
Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.
| Measure | XLK | XP | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | — | +10.8% | Level |
| Target dispersion | — | 0% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | — | Buy | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | — | 1 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
How each independent group of evidence reads the pair.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | Even | 59 vs 59 |
| Fundamentals | Not covered | Not covered |
| Valuation | XP | Value 36 vs 57 |
| Technicals | XP | Price vs 50-day 2.7% vs 16.4%; vs 200-day 15% vs 10.6% |
| Risk Resilience | XLK | Risk Resilience 62 vs 43 |
| Analyst expectations | Not covered | Not covered |
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is narrow at 0 points. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader's advantage has been narrowing. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
How the comparison changed
119 daily snapshots · May 4 – Sep 10XLK lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 6 to 0 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- Level
- 59 vs 59
- 7 sessions ago
- XP +4
- 56 vs 60
- 30 sessions ago
- XLK +6
- 59 vs 53
- 90 sessions ago
- XP +10
- 43 vs 53
The lead changed hands 2 times in this window, most recently on Aug 24 when XP moved ahead of XLK.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
4 bullish / 0 bearish
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (13.41%)
- EMA Ribbon Expansion Bullish — bullish, trend, medium horizon
- Uptrend Structure Active — bullish, trend, long horizon
2 bullish / 2 bearish / 2 neutral, conflicted
- Death Cross Active — bearish, trend, long horizon (5.87%)
- Bollinger Band Squeeze — neutral, volatility, short horizon
- Keltner Channel Breakout — bullish, volatility, short horizon
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Price is up while the AIQ Score moved down 1 points over the same session — price and model disagree (price +1.32%, AIQ -1 points).
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price -0.55%, AIQ 0 points).
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
Split| Metric | XLK | XP |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | — | 8.2% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | — | 12.5% |
| Gross margin | — | 66.7% |
| Operating margin | — | 31.8% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | — | 22.1% |
| Debt to equity | — | 3.74 |
Performance
XLK leads 4 of 6 windows| Metric | XLK | XP |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | 0.9% | -0.1% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | -1.9% | 24.1% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | 4.9% | 30.3% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | 31.9% | 0.1% |
| Year to date | 28.7% | 22% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | 39.9% | 7.8% |
Technicals
XP has the stronger structure| Metric | XLK | XP |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 54.1 | 80.8 |
| ADX (14) | 10.4 | 30.7 |
| Price vs 50-day | 2.7% | 16.4% |
| Price vs 200-day | 15% | 10.6% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 20.6% | 46.2% |
Risk
XLK is the more resilient| Metric | XLK | XP |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.75 | 1.82 |
| Sharpe ratio | 1.25 | 0.35 |
| Sortino ratio | 1.94 | 0.54 |
| Max drawdown | -16.1% | -34.9% |
| Current drawdown | -6.5% | -13% |
| Annualized volatility | 26.4% | 46.5% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -2.6% | -4.7% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which has more analyst upside, XLK or XP?
Analyst price targets imply not covered upside for XLK and +10.8% for XP. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, XLK or XP?
XP is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. XP on the peer-relative Value factor, by 21 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, XLK or XP?
Growth figures are not covered for both names. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, XLK or XP?
XP on the Momentum factor, by 14 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, XLK or XP?
XLK is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. XLK on Risk Resilience, by 19 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is XLK more profitable than XP?
Margin data is not comparable for both names in the current snapshot.
What do the current signals say about XLK and XP?
XLK: 4 bullish / 0 bearish. XP: 2 bullish / 2 bearish / 2 neutral, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on XLK is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On XP it is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon).
Continue your research
This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.