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XP Inc. (XP) Stock Analysis

XP Inc. (XP) stock analysis covering valuation, fundamentals, technical indicators, risk, AIQ Momentum, analyst catalysts, dividends, and the current AIQ Score.

XP Stock Analysis Summary

XP Inc. (XP) currently has an AIQ Score of 43/100, indicating a neutral setup. Value is the strongest factor at 56/100. Momentum is the weakest current factor at 19/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Oct 30, 2026 · Market-close data

XP at a Glance

Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close stock snapshot.

MetricCurrent
Price$14.29
AIQ Score43/100
Overall ViewNeutral
Technical Analysis ConsensusStrong Sell
Market Cap$9.79B
P/E Ratio (TTM)9.39
Forward P/E—
EPS (quarter ended 2026-06-30)$2.79
Revenue (quarter ended 2026-06-30)$4.99B
Dividend Yield (TTM)2.03%
Beta1.1
Volume20.54M
52-week range$13.78-$32.73
RSI 1415.71
50-Day SMA$22.44
200-Day SMA$19.23
Analyst Price Target$37.00
Next EarningsNov 16, 2026
As of Oct 30, 2026 · Market close

XPXP Inc.

Financial Services / Financial - Capital Markets

Low Priority

Relative Laggard

NeutralEdge 2/10
$14.29−$0.76 (−5.05%)

Latest quote

  • Momentum
    19
  • Value
    56
  • Quality
    52
  • Risk resilience
    38
  • Sentiment
    —
algovestiq.comScore data as of Oct 30, 2026

XP Stock Analysis Summary

XP Inc. (XP) currently has an AIQ Score of 43/100, indicating a neutral setup. Value is the strongest factor at 56/100. Momentum is the weakest current factor at 19/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Oct 30, 2026 · Market-close data
AIQ Composite Posture: Mixed

In a neutral regime, XP has AIQ Score of 43/100 with Value base of 56/100 and fading Momentum at 19/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.

Signal Conflict Detected

Value (56/100) leads while Momentum (19/100) lags. This cross-factor spread creates entry timing uncertainty.

Financial Services · -5.05% stock move · XP classified in Financial - Capital Markets.

Current Evidence

NeutralXP is in a neutral AIQ regime; Value is the strongest visible factor at 56/100.
Core coverage reflects visible evidence only

AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary

Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.

Is XP Bullish or Bearish Right Now?

XP currently has a neutral overall setup. Value is the strongest factor at 56/100, while Momentum is weakest at 19/100. The current evidence suggests a mixed rather than strongly bullish or bearish setup.

Bull Case
  • - Analyst target implies +158.92% upside from the latest quote.
Bear Case
  • - Momentum is weak at 19/100.
  • - Risk Resilience is weak at 38/100.
  • - Price is -21.75% below its 200-day SMA.
  • - Technical consensus has more sell votes than buy votes (35 vs 9).

Current Consensus

XP's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Strong Sell, with 9 buy, 1 neutral, and 35 sell votes. XP's 14-day RSI is 15.71, which places the stock in an oversold momentum range. XP's beta is 1.1, indicating market sensitivity broadly in line with the market.

Signal Confidence
High agreement

What Changed in XP?

The largest recent change in XP is Momentum moving down by 59.0 points over the available 7-day comparison window. Value remains the strongest visible factor.

AIQ Score
-15.0
Momentum
-59.0
Quality
+0.0
Risk
-1.0

What Would Change the XP Outlook?

The current neutral outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, earnings revisions strengthen, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, analyst expectations deteriorate, or risk evidence worsens.

Bullish confirmation

AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive catalyst or estimate-revision evidence.

Bearish deterioration

AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.

XP Decision Framework

Public evidence layers, setup checks, and risk context for XP Inc..

XP Inc. (XP) Stock Analysis

XP Inc. has an AIQ Score of 43/100 in a Neutral regime. Value is strongest at 56/100. Beta is 1.03, close to market sensitivity. Review the supporting stock factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.

Evidence LayerPublic Evidence
Regime ContextXP is in a Neutral AIQ regime with score 43/100.
Signal ConflictThe primary conflict is that value leads at 56/100 while momentum lags at 19/100.
Factor EvidenceMomentum 19/100 · Value 56/100 · Quality 52/100 · Risk 38/100
PersistenceCurrent snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro.

Current Setup Checklist

Factor strengthWait

Value is the strongest factor at 56/100.

TimingFail

Momentum is 19/100 and RSI (14) is 15.7.

Regime fitWait

XP is in a Neutral regime at 43/100.

Risk controlFail

Risk factor is 38/100 with beta 1.03 and annual volatility 74.8%.

ConflictWait

Current conflict: value leads at 56/100 while momentum lags at 19/100.

AIQ Score
43/100
Price
$14.29
Beta
1.03
RSI (14)
15.7

XP Research Cluster

Ticker-specific paths for valuation, technical analysis, catalysts, dividends, financials, risk, and news.

XP Fundamentals

XP valuation, profitability, growth, margins, balance-sheet strength, and free cash flow.

Revenue
$4.99B
Net income
$1.42B
Free cash flow
$11.12B
View full XP fundamental analysis

XP Technical Analysis

XP technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.

Technical Analysis Consensus
Strong Sell
RSI 14
15.71
Price vs SMA-50
-32.92%
View full XP technical analysis

XP Stock Catalysts

Track XP earnings, analyst ratings, price targets, estimate revisions, stock news, and upcoming events.

Next earnings
Nov 16, 2026
Analyst target
$37.00
News items
0
View XP earnings and stock catalysts

XP Dividend Analysis

XP dividend yield, annual dividend, payout ratio, payment history, and income reliability context.

Dividend yield
12.32%
Annual dividend
$1.76
Payout ratio
19.04%
View XP dividend history and analysis

XP Financial Data

XP revenue, earnings, income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, valuation ratios, and stock metrics.

Quarter revenue
$4.99B
EPS
$2.79
Periods
4
View XP financials

XP Risk Analysis

XP volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.

Beta
1.1
Risk score
38/100
1Y volatility
74.80%
View XP risk analysis

XP Stock News

XP stock news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.

News items
0
Updated
—
Sentiment
—
Read XP stock news

XP vs Fintech & Payments Peers

Current peer cohort: XP · AFRM · CPAY · DAVE · ENVA. Compare AIQ, factor scores, Sharpe ratio and 1-year volatility in one indexable view.

PeerAIQValueMomentumRiskSharpe1Y VolatilityCompare
XP
Current stock
43/10056/10019/10038/1000.1374.80%Current
AFRM
Affirm
52/10041/10053/10028/1000.2859.38%XP vs AFRM
CPAY
Corpay
58/10065/10046/10059/1001.1736.13%XP vs CPAY
DAVE
Dave Inc
51/10052/10025/10031/1000.7570.06%XP vs DAVE
ENVA
Enova International
55/10061/10051/10045/1001.0345.94%XP vs ENVA
Pairwise Compare links: AFRM · CPAY · DAVE · ENVAXP vs AFRMXP vs CPAYXP vs DAVEXP vs ENVACompare cohort

Peer cohort is resolved dynamically from the AlgovestIQ universe taxonomy and Compare relationship graph. Data as of Oct 29, 2026.

About the AIQ Score

Methodology for the current stock evidence.

As of Oct 30, 2026 · Market close

The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of stock evidence, including momentum, valuation exposure, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.

View AIQ methodology

Factor Diagnostics

A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.

Calculator
Calculate a XP stock return scenario

Open the return calculator with stock context while purchase price, shares, dates and fees remain user inputs.

Calculate stock return

AIQ Component Profile

Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.

Catalyst preview

Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.

Open catalysts
Quarterly evidence

4 recent quarterly periods are available for review.

Checked Oct 31, 2026

AIQ Pro

Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.

Fundamentals Verdict

Current snapshot fields are separate from reported-quarter statement tables.

Current TTM P/E
9.39
As of Oct 29, 2026
Revenue growth
—
Gross margin
66.69%
Current debt / equity
3.74
Latest quarterly evidence

Latest period Jun 30, 2026.

Review fundamentals
Quarter revenue
$4.99B
Quarter net income
$1.42B
Quarter free cash flow
$11.12B

Market Confirmation

Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.

Trend
Mixed
Momentum
Bearish
RSI 14
15.71
MACD
-0.87

Risk Alignment

Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.

Resilience
38/100
Beta
1.03
Annual volatility
74.80%
Max drawdown
-53.83%

XP Stock FAQ

What is XP stock price today?

XP Inc.'s current stock price is $14.29. Use the live quote with AIQ Score, news, and risk context rather than treating price alone as a decision signal.

Is XP bullish or bearish right now?

XP's bullish or bearish read depends on the current AIQ Score, factor alignment, technical analysis consensus, valuation, risk, and catalyst evidence. A mixed setup should be treated differently from a broad confirmation across those signals.

What is XP's market cap?

XP's market cap is $9.79B based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. Use it with P/E ratio, revenue, and growth metrics to frame company size, valuation, and peer comparisons.

What is XP's current P/E ratio?

XP's current P/E ratio is 9.39 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. Read it with revenue growth, margins, EPS, cash flow, and peer valuation rather than using P/E alone.

What is XP's RSI?

XP's 14-day RSI is 15.71 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. RSI should be interpreted with MACD, moving averages, volume, volatility, and price trend.

Is XP above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?

XP is -32.92% from its 50-day SMA and -21.75% from its 200-day SMA based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. Moving-average position should be read with momentum and broader AIQ evidence.

When is XP's next earnings date?

XP's next earnings date is currently listed as Nov 16, 2026. Earnings can reset revenue, EPS, price target, analyst rating, and catalyst expectations.

Does XP pay a dividend?

XP's dividend yield is 2.03% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. Dividend yield should be read with payout ratio, free cash flow, growth, and balance-sheet strength.