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XP Inc. (XP) Stock Analysis

XP Inc. (XP) stock analysis covering valuation, fundamentals, technical indicators, risk, AIQ Momentum, analyst catalysts, dividends, and the current AIQ Score.

XP Stock Analysis Summary

XP Inc. (XP) currently has an AIQ Score of 59/100, indicating a neutral setup. Momentum is the strongest factor at 79/100. Risk is the weakest current factor at 43/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Sep 11, 2026 · Market-close data

XP at a Glance

Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close stock snapshot.

MetricCurrent
Price$19.86
AIQ Score59/100
Overall ViewNeutral
Technical Analysis ConsensusStrong Buy
Market Cap$9.79B
P/E Ratio9.8
Forward P/E
EPS$2.79
Revenue TTM$4.99B
Dividend Yield0.01%
Beta1.1
Volume8.04M
52-week range$14.80-$23.13
RSI 1476.52
50-Day SMA$17.13
200-Day SMA$18.07
Analyst Price Target$22.00
Next EarningsNov 16, 2026
As of Sep 11, 2026 · Market close

XP

Overview
XP Inc.
Financial Services· Financial - Capital Markets
AIQ Score
NeutralAIQ Edge 8/10
Relative Leader / Watch
Strong Relative Position
Score data as of Sep 11, 2026
Last price
$19.86
-$0.11 (-0.55%)
Latest market quote
Momentum79
Value57
Quality52
Risk Resilience43
Sentiment
View financial data

XP Stock Analysis Summary

XP Inc. (XP) currently has an AIQ Score of 59/100, indicating a neutral setup. Momentum is the strongest factor at 79/100. Risk resilience is the weakest current factor at 43/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Sep 11, 2026 · Market-close data
AIQ Composite Posture: Mixed

In a neutral regime, XP has AIQ Score of 59/100 with Momentum base of 79/100 and fading Risk resilience at 43/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.

Signal Conflict Detected

Momentum (79/100) leads while Risk resilience (43/100) lags. This cross-factor spread creates entry timing uncertainty.

Financial Services · -0.55% stock move · XP classified in Financial - Capital Markets.

Current Evidence

NeutralXP is in a neutral AIQ regime; Momentum is the strongest visible factor at 79/100.
Core coverage reflects visible evidence only

AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary

Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.

Is XP Bullish or Bearish Right Now?

XP currently has a neutral overall setup. Momentum is the strongest factor at 79/100, while Risk Resilience is weakest at 43/100. The current evidence suggests a mixed rather than strongly bullish or bearish setup.

Bull Case
  • - Momentum is constructive at 79/100.
  • - Price is +15.92% above its 50-day SMA.
  • - Analyst target implies +10.78% upside from the latest quote.
  • - Technical consensus has more buy votes than sell votes (36 vs 3).
Bear Case
  • - Risk Resilience is weak at 43/100.

Current Consensus

XP's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Strong Buy, with 36 buy, 6 neutral, and 3 sell votes. XP's 14-day RSI is 76.52, which places the stock in an overbought momentum range. XP's beta is 1.1, indicating market sensitivity broadly in line with the market.

Signal Confidence
High agreement

What Changed in XP?

Recent score-change history is not available in the current snapshot. These are the latest market-close scores instead.

AIQ Score
59/100
Momentum
79/100
Quality
52/100
Risk
43/100

What Would Change the XP Outlook?

The current neutral outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, earnings revisions strengthen, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, analyst expectations deteriorate, or risk evidence worsens.

Bullish confirmation

AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive catalyst or estimate-revision evidence.

Bearish deterioration

AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.

XP Decision Framework

Public evidence layers, setup checks, and risk context for XP Inc..

XP Inc. (XP) Stock Analysis

XP Inc. has an AIQ Score of 59/100 in a Neutral regime. Momentum is strongest at 79/100. Beta is 1.1, close to market sensitivity. Review the supporting stock factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.

Evidence LayerPublic Evidence
Regime ContextXP is in a Neutral AIQ regime with score 59/100.
Signal ConflictThe primary conflict is that momentum leads at 79/100 while risk lags at 43/100.
Factor EvidenceMomentum 79/100 · Value 57/100 · Quality 52/100 · Risk 43/100
PersistenceCurrent snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro.

Current Setup Checklist

Factor strengthPass

Momentum is the strongest factor at 79/100.

TimingPass

Momentum is 79/100 and RSI (14) is 76.5.

Regime fitWait

XP is in a Neutral regime at 59/100.

Risk controlWait

Risk factor is 43/100 with beta 1.1 and annual volatility 46.48%.

ConflictWait

Current conflict: momentum leads at 79/100 while risk lags at 43/100.

AIQ Score
59/100
Price
$19.86
Beta
1.1
RSI (14)
76.5

XP Research Cluster

Ticker-specific paths for valuation, technical analysis, catalysts, dividends, financials, risk, and news.

XP Fundamentals

XP valuation, profitability, growth, margins, balance-sheet strength, and free cash flow.

Revenue
$4.99B
Net income
$1.42B
Free cash flow
$11.12B
View full XP fundamental analysis

XP Technical Analysis

XP technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.

Technical Analysis Consensus
Strong Buy
RSI 14
76.52
Price vs SMA-50
+15.92%
View full XP technical analysis

XP Stock Catalysts

Track XP earnings, analyst ratings, price targets, estimate revisions, stock news, and upcoming events.

Next earnings
Nov 16, 2026
Analyst target
$22.00
News items
5
View XP earnings and stock catalysts

XP Dividend Analysis

XP dividend yield, annual dividend, payout ratio, payment history, and income reliability context.

Dividend yield
8.86%
Annual dividend
$1.76
Payout ratio
View XP dividend history and analysis

XP Financial Data

XP revenue, earnings, income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, valuation ratios, and stock metrics.

Quarter revenue
$4.99B
EPS
$2.79
Periods
7
View XP financials

XP Risk Analysis

XP volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.

Beta
1.1
Risk score
43/100
1Y volatility
46.48%
View XP risk analysis

XP Stock News

XP stock news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.

News items
5
Updated
Sep 11, 2026
Sentiment
Read XP stock news

XP vs Fintech & Payments Peers

Current peer cohort: XP · AFRM · CPAY · DAVE · ENVA. Compare AIQ, factor scores, Sharpe ratio and 1-year volatility in one indexable view.

PeerAIQValueMomentumRiskSharpe1Y VolatilityCompare
XP
Current stock
59/10057/10079/10043/1000.2846.48%Current
AFRM
Affirm
48/10042/10037/10028/100-0.0560.08%XP vs AFRM
CPAY
Corpay
58/10065/10048/10060/1000.8737.07%XP vs CPAY
DAVE
Dave Inc
57/10052/10048/10031/100170.05%XP vs DAVE
ENVA
Enova International
48/10052/10030/10053/1001.7440.62%XP vs ENVA
Pairwise Compare links: AFRM · CPAY · DAVE · ENVAXP vs AFRMXP vs CPAYXP vs DAVEXP vs ENVACompare cohort

Peer cohort is resolved dynamically from the AlgovestIQ universe taxonomy and Compare relationship graph. Data as of Sep 11, 2026.

About the AIQ Score

Methodology for the current stock evidence.

As of Sep 11, 2026 · Market close

The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of stock evidence, including momentum, valuation exposure, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.

View AIQ methodology

Factor Diagnostics

A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.

Calculator
Calculate a XP stock return scenario

Open the return calculator with stock context while purchase price, shares, dates and fees remain user inputs.

Calculate stock return

AIQ Component Profile

Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.

Catalyst preview

Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.

Open catalysts
Quarterly evidence

7 recent quarterly periods are available for review.

Checked Sep 12, 2026

AIQ Pro

Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.

Fundamentals Verdict

Current snapshot fields are separate from reported-quarter statement tables.

Current TTM P/E
9.39
As of Sep 11, 2026
Revenue growth
8.21%
Gross margin
66.69%
Current debt / equity
3.74
Latest quarterly evidence

Latest period Jun 30, 2026.

Review fundamentals
Quarter revenue
$4.99B
Quarter net income
$1.42B
Quarter free cash flow
$11.12B

Market Confirmation

Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.

Trend
Mixed
Momentum
Bullish
RSI 14
76.52
MACD
0.9

Risk Alignment

Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.

Resilience
43/100
Beta
1.1
Annual volatility
46.48%
Max drawdown
-34.90%

XP Stock FAQ

What is XP stock price today?

XP Inc.'s current stock price is $19.86. Use the live quote with AIQ Score, news, and risk context rather than treating price alone as a decision signal.

Is XP bullish or bearish right now?

XP's bullish or bearish read depends on the current AIQ Score, factor alignment, technical analysis consensus, valuation, risk, and catalyst evidence. A mixed setup should be treated differently from a broad confirmation across those signals.

What is XP's market cap?

XP's market cap is $9.79B based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. Use it with P/E ratio, revenue, and growth metrics to frame company size, valuation, and peer comparisons.

What is XP's current P/E ratio?

XP's current P/E ratio is 9.8 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. Read it with revenue growth, margins, EPS, cash flow, and peer valuation rather than using P/E alone.

What is XP's RSI?

XP's 14-day RSI is 76.52 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. RSI should be interpreted with MACD, moving averages, volume, volatility, and price trend.

Is XP above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?

XP is 15.92% from its 50-day SMA and 9.89% from its 200-day SMA based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. Moving-average position should be read with momentum and broader AIQ evidence.

When is XP's next earnings date?

XP's next earnings date is currently listed as Nov 16, 2026. Earnings can reset revenue, EPS, price target, analyst rating, and catalyst expectations.

Does XP pay a dividend?

XP's dividend yield is 0.01% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. Dividend yield should be read with payout ratio, free cash flow, growth, and balance-sheet strength.