ETF Analysis
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) ETF Analysis
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) ETF analysis covering performance, holdings context, risk, drawdowns, volatility, momentum, dividends, valuation exposure, and the current AlgovestIQ assessment.
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) currently has an AIQ Score of 56/100, indicating a neutral setup. Quality is the strongest factor at 75/100. Sentiment is the weakest current factor at 44/100. Performance, momentum, risk, distribution, and exposure evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.
TLT at a Glance
Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close ETF snapshot.
| Metric | Current |
|---|---|
| Price | $82.21 |
| AIQ Score | 56/100 |
| Overall View | Neutral |
| Technical Analysis Consensus | Sell |
| Dividend Yield | 3.90% |
| Beta | 2.4 |
| Volume | 16.59M |
| 52-week range | $81.17-$92.19 |
| RSI 14 | 57.17 |
| 50-Day SMA | $83.41 |
| 200-Day SMA | $86.25 |
| Risk Score | 55/100 |
| Momentum Score | 48/100 |
| Value Exposure Score | 45/100 |
TLT
OverviewTLT ETF Analysis Summary
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) currently has an AIQ Score of 56/100, indicating a neutral setup. Quality is the strongest factor at 75/100. Sentiment is the weakest current factor at 44/100. Performance, exposure, distribution, momentum, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.
In a neutral regime, TLT has AIQ Score of 56/100 with Quality base of 75/100 and fading Sentiment at 44/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.
Quality (75/100) leads while Sentiment (44/100) lags. This cross-factor spread creates entry timing uncertainty.
Financial Services · 0.17% ETF move · TLT classified in Asset Management - Bonds.
Current Evidence
AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary
Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.
Is TLT Bullish or Bearish Right Now?
TLT currently has a neutral overall setup. Quality is the strongest factor at 75/100, while Sentiment is weakest at 44/100. The current evidence suggests a mixed rather than strongly bullish or bearish setup.
- - Quality is supportive at 75/100.
- - Price is -4.68% below its 200-day SMA.
- - Technical consensus has more sell votes than buy votes (28 vs 8).
Current Consensus
TLT's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Sell, with 8 buy, 9 neutral, and 28 sell votes. TLT's 14-day RSI is 57.17, which places the stock in a constructive momentum range. TLT's beta is 2.4, indicating greater market sensitivity than the broad market.
What Changed in TLT?
Recent score-change history is not available in the current snapshot. These are the latest market-close scores instead.
What Would Change the TLT Outlook?
The current neutral outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, earnings revisions strengthen, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, analyst expectations deteriorate, or risk evidence worsens.
AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive catalyst or estimate-revision evidence.
AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.
TLT Decision Framework
Public evidence layers, setup checks, and risk context for iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF.
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) ETF Analysis
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF has an AIQ Score of 56/100 in a Neutral regime. Quality is strongest at 75/100. Beta is 2.4, above market sensitivity. Review the supporting etf factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.
| Evidence Layer | Public Evidence |
|---|---|
| Regime Context | TLT is in a Neutral AIQ regime with score 56/100. |
| Signal Conflict | The primary conflict is that quality leads at 75/100 while sentiment lags at 44/100. |
| Factor Evidence | Momentum 48/100 · Value 45/100 · Quality 75/100 · Risk 55/100 · Sentiment 44/100 |
| Persistence | Current snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro. |
Current Setup Checklist
Quality is the strongest factor at 75/100.
Momentum is 48/100 and RSI (14) is 57.2.
TLT is in a Neutral regime at 56/100.
Risk factor is 55/100 with beta 2.4 and annual volatility 9.55%.
Current conflict: quality leads at 75/100 while sentiment lags at 44/100.
TLT Research Cluster
ETF-specific paths for performance, risk, distributions, market context, data, comparisons, and news.
TLT ETF Analytics
TLT holdings context, yield, risk, valuation exposure, momentum, and AIQ evidence.
TLT Technical Analysis
TLT technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.
TLT ETF Market Context
Track TLT market context, news pressure, trend changes, income events, and current allocation evidence.
TLT Distribution Analysis
TLT distribution yield, annualized distributions, payment history, and income context.
TLT ETF Data
TLT available fund data, market metrics, technical readings, risk measures, and AIQ evidence.
TLT Risk Analysis
TLT volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.
TLT ETF News
TLT ETF news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.
TLT vs Bond ETF Peers
Current peer cohort: TLT · AGG · GLD · BND · USFR. Compare AIQ, factor scores, Sharpe ratio and 1-year volatility in one indexable view.
| Peer | AIQ | Value | Momentum | Risk | Sharpe | 1Y Volatility | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TLT Current ETF | 56/100 | 45/100 | 48/100 | 55/100 | -0.99 | 9.55% | Current |
| AGG iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF | 59/100 | 45/100 | 38/100 | 95/100 | -1.63 | 4.00% | TLT vs AGG |
| GLD SPDR Gold Shares | 58/100 | — | 48/100 | 49/100 | 0.77 | 29.28% | TLT vs GLD |
| BND Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF | 57/100 | 36/100 | 38/100 | 95/100 | -1.69 | 3.88% | TLT vs BND |
| USFR WisdomTree Floating Rate Treasury Fund | 48/100 | 36/100 | 29/100 | 66/100 | -3.46 | 1.08% | TLT vs USFR |
Peer cohort is resolved dynamically from the AlgovestIQ universe taxonomy and Compare relationship graph. Data as of Sep 4, 2026.
About the AIQ Score
Methodology for the current ETF evidence.
The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of ETF evidence, including momentum, valuation exposure, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.
View AIQ methodologyFactor Diagnostics
A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.
Valuation exposure across the fund's holdings.
Quality context inferred from fund exposure and available evidence.
Trend, momentum, volume, and timing confirmation.
Resilience, volatility, beta, drawdown, and tail risk.
News and event pressure around the setup.
Open the return calculator with etf context while purchase price, shares, dates and fees remain user inputs.
AIQ Component Profile
Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.
Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.
Open catalystsNo quarterly financial rows in this snapshot.
Checked Sep 5, 2026
Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.
ETF Analytics Snapshot
Current ETF evidence uses fund analytics and available market-close fields.
Quarterly financial history appears when reported fields are present.
Market Confirmation
Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.
Risk Alignment
Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.
Continue Researching TLT
Open the detailed evidence pages and workflows behind the ETF overview read.
Premium Feature
Full AIQ Analysis
AIQ Intelligence
AIQ Pro for TLT
Scenario Analysis
AIQ Scenario Builder
Portfolio Implication
Related Links
TLT ETF FAQ
What is TLT ETF price today?
TLT is currently shown at $82.21. Use the live quote with the 52-week range and AIQ context before comparing funds.
What is TLT's 52-week high and low?
TLT's 52-week range is $81.17 to $92.19 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 4, 2026. A price near either extreme should be evaluated with volatility and trend evidence.
Does TLT pay a dividend?
TLT's current distribution yield is 3.90% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 4, 2026. For ETFs, dividend yield should be compared with expense ratio, holdings, and risk.
What should investors compare before buying TLT?
Compare TLT's price trend, expense profile, yield, holdings exposure, volatility, and AIQ signal. ETF decisions should focus on portfolio fit as much as current momentum.