ETF Analysis
Vanguard Mortgage-Backed Securities ETF (VMBS) ETF Analysis
Vanguard Mortgage-Backed Securities ETF (VMBS) ETF analysis covering performance, holdings context, risk, drawdowns, volatility, momentum, dividends, valuation exposure, and the current AlgovestIQ assessment.
Vanguard Mortgage-Backed Securities ETF (VMBS) currently has an AIQ Score of 57/100, indicating a neutral setup. Risk is the strongest factor at 89/100. Value is the weakest current factor at 36/100. Performance, momentum, risk, distribution, and exposure evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.
VMBS at a Glance
Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close ETF snapshot.
| Metric | Current |
|---|---|
| Price | $44.86 |
| AIQ Score | 57/100 |
| Overall View | Neutral |
| Technical Analysis Consensus | Neutral |
| Fund Size | $17.16B |
| Expense Ratio | 0.03% |
| Holdings Count | 5,191 |
| NAV | $44.82 |
| Asset Class | Government Bond |
| Primary Exposure | Cash & Others (100.00%) |
| Issuer | Vanguard |
| Domicile | US |
| Inception Date | Nov 19, 2009 |
| Distribution Yield | 4.39% |
| Beta | 1.12 |
| Average Volume | 1.76M |
| 52-week range | $43.95-$47.90 |
| RSI 14 | 67.52 |
| 50-Day SMA | $45.33 |
| 200-Day SMA | $46.48 |
| Risk Score | 89/100 |
| Momentum Score | 57/100 |
| Value Exposure Score | 36/100 |
VMBS Long-Horizon ETF Performance
Trailing returns, growth of $10,000, drawdown history, and calendar-year returns from available daily closes.
| Period | Total return | Annualized | Max drawdown | Start date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | -5.22% | -5.22% | -7.73% | Oct 20, 2025 |
| 3Y | 5.80% | 1.90% | -7.73% | Oct 20, 2023 |
| 5Y | -15.39% | -3.30% | -20.61% | Oct 25, 2021 |
| 10Y | -15.39% | -3.30% | -20.61% | Oct 25, 2021 |
Growth of $10,000
Indexed to the first available close in this history window.
Drawdown History
Peak-to-trough decline from each prior high over the available window.
Calendar-Year Returns
Full-year returns where available, with the current calendar year shown as YTD.
VMBSVanguard Mortgage-Backed Securities ETF
Financial Services / Asset Management - Bonds
Low Priority
Above Peers
Latest quote
- Momentum57
- Value36
- Quality63
- Risk resilience89
- Sentiment—
VMBS ETF Analysis Summary
Vanguard Mortgage-Backed Securities ETF (VMBS) currently has an AIQ Score of 57/100, indicating a neutral setup. Risk resilience is the strongest factor at 89/100. Value is the weakest current factor at 36/100. Performance, exposure, distribution, momentum, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.
In a neutral regime, VMBS has AIQ Score of 57/100 with Risk resilience base of 89/100 and fading Value at 36/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.
Risk resilience (89/100) leads while Value (36/100) lags. This cross-factor spread creates entry timing uncertainty.
Financial Services · -0.02% ETF move · VMBS classified in Asset Management - Bonds.
Current Evidence
AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary
Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.
Is VMBS Bullish or Bearish Right Now?
VMBS currently has a neutral overall setup. Risk Resilience is the strongest factor at 89/100, while Value is weakest at 36/100. The current evidence suggests a mixed rather than strongly bullish or bearish setup.
- - Quality is supportive at 63/100.
- - Risk Resilience is supportive at 89/100.
- - Technical consensus has more buy votes than sell votes (19 vs 14).
- - Value is the current constraint at 36/100.
- - Price is -3.49% below its 200-day SMA.
Current Consensus
VMBS's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Neutral, with 19 buy, 12 neutral, and 14 sell votes. VMBS's 14-day RSI is 67.52, which places the ETF in a constructive momentum range. VMBS's beta is 1.12, indicating market sensitivity broadly in line with the market.
What Changed in VMBS?
The largest recent change in VMBS is Momentum moving up by 15.0 points over the available 7-day comparison window. Risk Resilience remains the strongest visible factor.
What Would Change the VMBS Outlook?
The current neutral outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, risk resilience improves, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, distribution or liquidity context deteriorates, or risk evidence worsens.
AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive market-context evidence.
AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.
VMBS Decision Framework
Public evidence layers, setup checks, and risk context for Vanguard Mortgage-Backed Securities ETF.
Vanguard Mortgage-Backed Securities ETF (VMBS) ETF Analysis
Vanguard Mortgage-Backed Securities ETF has an AIQ Score of 57/100 in a Neutral regime. Risk is strongest at 89/100. Beta is 1.12, above market sensitivity. Review the supporting etf factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.
| Evidence Layer | Public Evidence |
|---|---|
| Regime Context | VMBS is in a Neutral AIQ regime with score 57/100. |
| Signal Conflict | The primary conflict is that risk leads at 89/100 while value lags at 36/100. |
| Factor Evidence | Momentum 57/100 · Value 36/100 · Quality 63/100 · Risk 89/100 |
| Persistence | Current snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro. |
Current Setup Checklist
Risk is the strongest factor at 89/100.
Momentum is 57/100 and RSI (14) is 67.5.
VMBS is in a Neutral regime at 57/100.
Risk factor is 89/100 with beta 1.12 and annual volatility 4.81%.
Current conflict: risk leads at 89/100 while value lags at 36/100.
VMBS Research Cluster
ETF-specific paths for performance, risk, distributions, market context, data, comparisons, and news.
VMBS ETF Analytics
VMBS holdings context, yield, risk, valuation exposure, momentum, and AIQ evidence.
VMBS Technical Analysis
VMBS technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.
VMBS ETF Market Context
Track VMBS market context, news pressure, trend changes, income events, and current allocation evidence.
VMBS Distribution Analysis
VMBS distribution yield, annualized distributions, payment history, and income context.
VMBS ETF Data
VMBS available fund data, market metrics, technical readings, risk measures, and AIQ evidence.
VMBS Risk Analysis
VMBS volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.
VMBS ETF News
VMBS ETF news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.
VMBS vs Fixed Income — Credit & Aggregate Peers
Current peer cohort: VMBS · VTEB · AGG · BINC · BIV. Compare AIQ, factor scores, Sharpe ratio and 1-year volatility in one indexable view.
| Peer | AIQ | Value | Momentum | Risk | Sharpe | 1Y Volatility | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VMBS Current ETF | 57/100 | 36/100 | 57/100 | 89/100 | -1.91 | 4.81% | Current |
| VTEB Vanguard Tax-Exempt Bond ETF | 60/100 | 36/100 | 55/100 | 90/100 | -2.51 | 3.59% | VMBS vs VTEB |
| AGG iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF | 65/100 | 45/100 | 59/100 | 94/100 | -2.33 | 4.21% | VMBS vs AGG |
| BINC BlackRock Flexible Income ETF | 55/100 | 36/100 | 52/100 | 81/100 | -2.94 | 3.04% | VMBS vs BINC |
| BIV Vanguard Intermediate-Term Bond ETF | 59/100 | 36/100 | 56/100 | 93/100 | -2.47 | 4.43% | VMBS vs BIV |
Peer cohort is resolved dynamically from the AlgovestIQ universe taxonomy and Compare relationship graph. Data as of Oct 21, 2026.
About the AIQ Score
Methodology for the current ETF evidence.
The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of ETF evidence, including momentum, valuation exposure, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.
View AIQ methodologyFactor Diagnostics
A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.
Valuation exposure across the fund's holdings.
Quality context inferred from fund exposure and available evidence.
Trend, momentum, volume, and timing confirmation.
Resilience, volatility, beta, drawdown, and tail risk.
News and event pressure around the setup.
Open the return calculator with ETF context while purchase price, shares, dates and fees remain user inputs.
AIQ Component Profile
Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.
Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.
Open catalystsNo quarterly financial rows in this snapshot.
Checked Oct 22, 2026
Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.
ETF Analytics Snapshot
Current ETF evidence uses fund profile, cost, size, distribution, momentum, and risk fields.
ETF pages use fund-native profile fields for cost, size, liquidity, holdings breadth, NAV, issuer, and launch date.
Market Confirmation
Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.
Risk Alignment
Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.
Continue Researching VMBS
Open the detailed evidence pages and workflows behind the stock overview read.
Premium Feature
Full AIQ Analysis
AIQ Intelligence
AIQ Pro for VMBS
Scenario Analysis
AIQ Scenario Builder
Portfolio Implication
Related Links
VMBS ETF FAQ
What is VMBS ETF price today?
VMBS is currently shown at $44.86. Use the live quote with the 52-week range and AIQ context before comparing funds.
What is VMBS's 52-week high and low?
VMBS's 52-week range is $43.95 to $47.90 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. A price near either extreme should be evaluated with volatility and trend evidence.
Does VMBS pay a dividend?
VMBS's current distribution yield is 4.39% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. For ETFs, dividend yield should be compared with expense ratio, holdings, and risk.
What should investors compare before buying VMBS?
Compare VMBS's price trend, expense profile, yield, holdings exposure, volatility, and AIQ signal. ETF decisions should focus on portfolio fit as much as current momentum.