The Evidence Behind Factor Premiums
Factor investing traces to Fama and French's 1992 three-factor model, which extended CAPM by adding size (small stocks outperform large) and value (cheap stocks outperform expensive) factors to market beta. Subsequent research added momentum (Jegadeesh and Titman, 1993), quality/profitability (Novy-Marx, 2013), and low volatility (Frazzini and Pedersen, 2014). Each factor represents a systematic source of return that is distinct from general market exposure, has been documented in multiple asset classes and geographies, and has persisted (with variation) out of sample after publication.
The theoretical explanations for factor premiums fall into two camps: risk-based (factors carry an economic risk that investors require compensation to bear) and behavioral (factors persist because of systematic investor mistakes that create mispricings). Value stocks outperform because they are financially distressed and investors demand a higher return for that distress risk (risk-based) — or because investors extrapolate recent poor performance too far, making value stocks irrationally cheap (behavioral). Both explanations have supporting evidence; the pragmatic implication is the same: factor premiums are real, persistent, and accessible through disciplined systematic investment.