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Catalysts

AA Stock Catalysts

Earnings · Growth Drivers · Events · AIQ Catalyst

Basic MaterialsAluminumScore data as of Sep 4, 2026

AA

Catalysts
Alcoa Corporation
Basic Materials· Aluminum
AIQ Score
NeutralAIQ Edge 7/10
Low Priority
Above Peers
Score data as of Sep 4, 2026
Last price
$49.97
-$1.08 (-2.12%)
Latest market quote
Momentum51
Value71
Quality53
Risk Resilience41
Sentiment57
View financial data

Stock Catalyst Board

Earnings timing, analyst expectations, news pressure, growth drivers, events, and AIQ Catalyst context.

Next earnings
Oct 21, 2026

Upcoming reporting date available for this company.

AIQ Catalyst
AIQ 56/100

Momentum 51/100 and sentiment 57/100 before the next covered event.

Recent coverage
2 articles

Updated Sep 6, 2026 · Sentiment 22.33%

Earnings History And Surprises

See whether reported EPS and revenue have consistently exceeded or missed analyst expectations.

Earnings Expectations And Results

Compare what analysts expected with what the company reported across recent quarters.

Momentum 51/100AIQ Edge 7/10 Above Peers
Beat rate
75%
6 of 8 reported periods
Average surprise
+36.7%
Across covered historical reports
Latest result
-9.0%
Jul 16, 2026
EPS estimate versus actual
Actual bars are colored by beat, inline result, or miss.
Earnings history
Report dateFiscal periodEPS estimateEPS actualEPS surpriseRevenue estimateRevenue actual
Jul 16, 2026$2.33$2.12-9.0%$3.99B$3.97B
Apr 16, 2026$1.53$1.40-8.5%$3.28B$3.19B
Jan 22, 2026$0.93$1.26+36.1%$3.28B$3.45B
Oct 22, 2025-$0.14-$0.02+85.8%$3.09B$3B
Jul 16, 2025$0.32$0.39+21.0%$2.91B$3.02B
Apr 16, 2025$1.68$2.15+28.0%$3.47B$3.37B
Jan 22, 2025$0.93$1.04+11.8%$3.46B$3.49B
Oct 16, 2024$0.25$0.57+128.6%$2.97B$2.9B

Analyst Forecast And Price Targets

Wall Street consensus, rating distribution, and the current 12-month target range.

Analyst ratings
Hold
8
Buy
4
Hold
1
Sell
12-month analyst target
$70.25
+40.58% versus current price
Based on 6 analyst observations. Targets are estimates, not predictions.
Low target
$53.00
+6.06% vs latest price
Average target
$70.25
+40.58% vs latest price
High target
$80.00
+60.10% vs latest price

Event Read

Catalysts should explain what can change the setup, when it might happen, and which AIQ component would move first.

Current event setup

Event dateOct 21, 2026

Next known earnings or reporting date.

EPS estimate$1.56

Current analyst expectation for the upcoming report.

Revenue estimate$3.85B

Current analyst expectation for the upcoming report.

Sentiment score57

News pressure around the setup.

Momentum score51

Where event reaction would show up first.

AIQ score56/100

Composite decision read before event confirmation.

Analyst context

Consensus
Hold
Analysts
6
Average target
$70.25
Target upside
40.58%
Target range
$53.00 - $80.00
90-day revisions
81

News And Sentiment

Recent company coverage, scored where source sentiment is available.

Positive
2
Neutral
0
Negative
0
gurufocus.com · Sep 1, 2026

AA Looks 50.7% Overvalued on GF Value™

On September 01, 2026, the U.S. Department of War announced a $174 million investment in Alcoa Corp. (NYSE: AA) to establish a gallium production facility at it

finance.yahoo.com · Aug 20, 2026

Structural Supply Tightening Drives Multi-Year Bull Case for Alcoa Corp. (AA)

Eagle Capital Management, an investment management company, released its second quarter 2026 investor letter. A copy of the letter can be downloaded here. In the quarter, Eagle Capital Management discussed how enthusiasm around AI capital spending has driven strong S&P 500 earnings growth while also increasing risks from elevated valuations, concentrated demand, and aggressive investment assumptions. […]

Open full news and sentiment

AA Catalysts FAQ

What are the next catalysts for AA stock?

AA's next stock catalysts can include earnings, guidance, analyst ratings, price-target changes, estimate revisions, product updates, regulatory events, contracts, or sector developments. Use this page to connect those events with AIQ and market context.

What upcoming events could move AA stock?

Upcoming events that could move AA include earnings reports, management commentary, estimate changes, major news, and market-wide sector catalysts.

How could AA's next earnings report affect the stock?

AA's next earnings report could affect the stock by changing revenue expectations, EPS estimates, guidance, analyst ratings, price targets, estimate revisions, and momentum.

What could drive AA stock higher?

AA could move higher if earnings, guidance, demand trends, analyst expectations, or AIQ momentum improve relative to what the market already expects.

What events could hurt AA stock?

AA could be hurt by weaker guidance, negative estimate revisions, margin pressure, adverse news, regulatory issues, or a sector-wide risk-off move.