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Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. (AAOI) Stock Analysis

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. (AAOI) stock analysis covering valuation, fundamentals, technical indicators, risk, AIQ Momentum, analyst catalysts, dividends, and the current AIQ Score.

AAOI Stock Analysis Summary

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. (AAOI) currently has an AIQ Score of 34/100, indicating a bearish setup. Quality is the strongest factor at 41/100. Momentum is the weakest current factor at 24/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Sep 4, 2026 · Market-close data

AAOI at a Glance

Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close stock snapshot.

MetricCurrent
Price$105.53
AIQ Score34/100
Overall ViewBearish
Technical Analysis ConsensusSell
Market Cap$8.3B
P/E Ratio-313.3
Forward P/E
EPS-$0.28
Revenue TTM$191.92M
Dividend Yield0.00%
Beta3.79
Volume6.84M
52-week range$18.50-$233.67
RSI 1422.16
50-Day SMA$117.63
200-Day SMA$101.51
Analyst Price Target$169.75
Next EarningsNov 5, 2026
As of Sep 4, 2026 · Market close

AAOI

Overview
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.
Technology· Communication Equipment
AIQ Score
BearishAIQ Edge 1/10
Low Priority
Relative Laggard
Score data as of Sep 4, 2026
Last price
$105.53
+$5.15 (+5.13%)
Latest market quote
Momentum24
Value35
Quality41
Risk Resilience38
Sentiment
View financial data

AAOI Stock Analysis Summary

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. (AAOI) currently has an AIQ Score of 34/100, indicating a bearish setup. Quality is the strongest factor at 41/100. Momentum is the weakest current factor at 24/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Sep 4, 2026 · Market-close data
AIQ Composite Posture: Weak

In a bearish regime, AAOI has AIQ Score of 34/100 with Quality base of 41/100 and fading Momentum at 24/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.

Technology · 5.13% stock move · AAOI classified in Communication Equipment.

Current Evidence

BearishAAOI is in a bearish AIQ regime; Quality is the strongest visible factor at 41/100.
Core coverage reflects visible evidence only

AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary

Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.

Is AAOI Bullish or Bearish Right Now?

AAOI currently has a bearish overall setup. Quality is the strongest factor at 41/100, while Momentum is weakest at 24/100. The current evidence suggests a defensive setup.

Bull Case
  • - Analyst target implies +60.85% upside from the latest quote.
Bear Case
  • - Value is the current constraint at 35/100.
  • - Momentum is weak at 24/100.
  • - Risk Resilience is weak at 38/100.
  • - Technical consensus has more sell votes than buy votes (31 vs 11).

Current Consensus

AAOI's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Sell, with 11 buy, 3 neutral, and 31 sell votes. AAOI's 14-day RSI is 22.16, which places the stock in an oversold momentum range. AAOI's beta is 3.79, indicating greater market sensitivity than the broad market.

Signal Confidence
High agreement

What Changed in AAOI?

Recent score-change history is not available in the current snapshot. These are the latest market-close scores instead.

AIQ Score
34/100
Momentum
24/100
Quality
41/100
Risk
38/100

What Would Change the AAOI Outlook?

The current bearish outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, earnings revisions strengthen, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, analyst expectations deteriorate, or risk evidence worsens.

Bullish confirmation

AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive catalyst or estimate-revision evidence.

Bearish deterioration

AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.

AAOI Decision Framework

Public evidence layers, setup checks, and risk context for Applied Optoelectronics, Inc..

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. (AAOI) Stock Analysis

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. has an AIQ Score of 34/100 in a Defensive regime. Quality is strongest at 41/100. Beta is 3.79, above market sensitivity. Review the supporting stock factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.

Evidence LayerPublic Evidence
Regime ContextAAOI is in a Defensive AIQ regime with score 34/100.
Signal ConflictThe primary conflict is that quality leads at 41/100 while momentum lags at 24/100.
Factor EvidenceMomentum 24/100 · Value 35/100 · Quality 41/100 · Risk 38/100
PersistenceCurrent snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro.

Current Setup Checklist

Factor strengthWait

Quality is the strongest factor at 41/100.

TimingFail

Momentum is 24/100 and RSI (14) is 22.2.

Regime fitFail

AAOI is in a Defensive regime at 34/100.

Risk controlFail

Risk factor is 38/100 with beta 3.79 and annual volatility 146.08%.

ConflictPass

Current conflict: quality leads at 41/100 while momentum lags at 24/100.

AIQ Score
34/100
Price
$105.53
Beta
3.79
RSI (14)
22.2

AAOI Research Cluster

Ticker-specific paths for valuation, technical analysis, catalysts, dividends, financials, risk, and news.

AAOI Fundamentals

AAOI valuation, profitability, growth, margins, balance-sheet strength, and free cash flow.

Revenue
$191.92M
Net income
-$22.78M
Free cash flow
-$265.34M
View full AAOI fundamental analysis

AAOI Technical Analysis

AAOI technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.

Technical Analysis Consensus
Sell
RSI 14
22.16
Price vs SMA-50
-10.29%
View full AAOI technical analysis

AAOI Stock Catalysts

Track AAOI earnings, analyst ratings, price targets, estimate revisions, stock news, and upcoming events.

Next earnings
Nov 5, 2026
Analyst target
$169.75
News items
4
View AAOI earnings and stock catalysts

AAOI Dividend Analysis

AAOI dividend yield, annual dividend, payout ratio, payment history, and income reliability context.

Dividend yield
0.00%
Annual dividend
Payout ratio
View AAOI dividend history and analysis

AAOI Financial Data

AAOI revenue, earnings, income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, valuation ratios, and stock metrics.

Quarter revenue
$191.92M
EPS
-$0.28
Periods
8
View AAOI financials

AAOI Risk Analysis

AAOI volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.

Beta
3.79
Risk score
38/100
1Y volatility
146.08%
View AAOI risk analysis

AAOI Stock News

AAOI stock news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.

News items
4
Updated
Sep 6, 2026
Sentiment
Read AAOI stock news

AAOI vs Semiconductors — Mid Cap / Supply Chain Peers

Current peer cohort: AAOI · ACLS · ACMR · AEHR · ALAB. Compare AIQ, factor scores, Sharpe ratio and 1-year volatility in one indexable view.

PeerAIQValueMomentumRiskSharpe1Y VolatilityCompare
AAOI
Current stock
34/10035/10024/10038/1001.7146.08%Current
ACLS
Axcelis Technologies
48/10062/10021/10042/1000.8467.16%AAOI vs ACLS
ACMR
ACM Research
44/10044/10032/10038/1001.5687.10%AAOI vs ACMR
AEHR
Aehr Test Systems
32/10024/10020/10039/1001.53125.41%AAOI vs AEHR
ALAB
Astera Labs
51/10024/10051/10040/1000.9698.31%AAOI vs ALAB
Pairwise Compare links: ACLS · ACMR · AEHR · ALABAAOI vs ACLSAAOI vs ACMRAAOI vs AEHRAAOI vs ALABCompare cohort

Peer cohort is resolved dynamically from the AlgovestIQ universe taxonomy and Compare relationship graph. Data as of Sep 5, 2026.

About the AIQ Score

Methodology for the current stock evidence.

As of Sep 4, 2026 · Market close

The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of stock evidence, including momentum, valuation exposure, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.

View AIQ methodology

Factor Diagnostics

A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.

Calculator
Calculate a AAOI stock return scenario

Open the return calculator with stock context while purchase price, shares, dates and fees remain user inputs.

Calculate stock return

AIQ Component Profile

Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.

Catalyst preview

Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.

Open catalysts
Quarterly evidence

8 recent quarterly periods are available for review.

Checked Sep 7, 2026

AIQ Pro

Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.

Fundamentals Verdict

Current snapshot fields are separate from reported-quarter statement tables.

Current TTM P/E
-132.76
As of Sep 4, 2026
Revenue growth
26.98%
Gross margin
28.92%
Current debt / equity
0.16
Latest quarterly evidence

Latest period Jun 30, 2026.

Review fundamentals
Quarter revenue
$191.92M
Quarter net income
-$22.78M
Quarter free cash flow
-$265.34M

Market Confirmation

Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.

Trend
Mixed
Momentum
Bearish
RSI 14
22.16
MACD
-5.61

Risk Alignment

Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.

Resilience
38/100
Beta
3.79
Annual volatility
146.08%
Max drawdown
-65.70%

AAOI Stock FAQ

What is AAOI stock price today?

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.'s current stock price is $105.53. Use the live quote with AIQ Score, news, and risk context rather than treating price alone as a decision signal.

Is AAOI bullish or bearish right now?

AAOI's bullish or bearish read depends on the current AIQ Score, factor alignment, technical analysis consensus, valuation, risk, and catalyst evidence. A mixed setup should be treated differently from a broad confirmation across those signals.

What is AAOI's market cap?

AAOI's market cap is $8.3B based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 4, 2026. Use it with P/E ratio, revenue, and growth metrics to frame company size, valuation, and peer comparisons.

What is AAOI's current P/E ratio?

AAOI's current P/E ratio is -313.3 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 4, 2026. Read it with revenue growth, margins, EPS, cash flow, and peer valuation rather than using P/E alone.

What is AAOI's RSI?

AAOI's 14-day RSI is 22.16 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 4, 2026. RSI should be interpreted with MACD, moving averages, volume, volatility, and price trend.

Is AAOI above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?

AAOI is -10.29% from its 50-day SMA and 3.96% from its 200-day SMA based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 4, 2026. Moving-average position should be read with momentum and broader AIQ evidence.

When is AAOI's next earnings date?

AAOI's next earnings date is currently listed as Nov 5, 2026. Earnings can reset revenue, EPS, price target, analyst rating, and catalyst expectations.

Does AAOI pay a dividend?

AAOI's dividend yield is 0.00% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 4, 2026. Dividend yield should be read with payout ratio, free cash flow, growth, and balance-sheet strength.