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The AES Corporation (AES) Stock Analysis

The AES Corporation (AES) stock analysis covering valuation, fundamentals, technical indicators, risk, AIQ Momentum, analyst catalysts, dividends, and the current AIQ Score.

AES Stock Analysis Summary

The AES Corporation (AES) currently has an AIQ Score of 66/100, indicating a neutral setup. Momentum is the strongest factor at 76/100. Quality is the weakest current factor at 47/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Oct 30, 2026 · Market-close data

AES at a Glance

Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close stock snapshot.

MetricCurrent
Price$14.83
AIQ Score66/100
Overall ViewNeutral
Technical Analysis ConsensusStrong Buy
Market Cap$10.53B
P/E Ratio (TTM)5.62
Forward P/E—
EPS (quarter ended 2026-06-30)$0.60
Revenue (quarter ended 2026-06-30)$3.42B
Dividend Yield (TTM)4.77%
Beta0.95
Volume9.14M
52-week range$13.21-$17.65
RSI 1467.74
50-Day SMA$14.87
200-Day SMA$14.77
Analyst Price Target$16.00
Next EarningsNov 3, 2026
As of Oct 30, 2026 · Market close

AESThe AES Corporation

Utilities / Diversified Utilities

Leader

Sector Leader

NeutralEdge 10/10
$14.83−$0.22 (−1.46%)

Latest quote

  • Momentum
    76
  • Value
    74
  • Quality
    47
  • Risk resilience
    71
  • Sentiment
    —
algovestiq.comScore data as of Oct 30, 2026

AES Stock Analysis Summary

The AES Corporation (AES) currently has an AIQ Score of 66/100, indicating a neutral setup. Momentum is the strongest factor at 76/100. Quality is the weakest current factor at 47/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Oct 30, 2026 · Market-close data
AIQ Composite Posture: Mixed

In a neutral regime, AES has AIQ Score of 66/100 with Momentum base of 76/100 and fading Quality at 47/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.

Signal Conflict Detected

Momentum (76/100) leads while Quality (47/100) lags. This cross-factor spread creates entry timing uncertainty.

Utilities · -1.46% stock move · AES classified in Diversified Utilities.

Current Evidence

NeutralAES is in a neutral AIQ regime; Momentum is the strongest visible factor at 76/100.
Core coverage reflects visible evidence only

AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary

Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.

Is AES Bullish or Bearish Right Now?

AES currently has a neutral overall setup. Momentum is the strongest factor at 76/100, while Quality is weakest at 47/100. The current evidence suggests a mixed rather than strongly bullish or bearish setup.

Bull Case
  • - Momentum is constructive at 76/100.
  • - Risk Resilience is supportive at 71/100.
  • - Price is +1.21% above its 50-day SMA.
  • - Analyst target implies +7.89% upside from the latest quote.
  • - Technical consensus has more buy votes than sell votes (35 vs 5).
Bear Case
  • - No strong bearish evidence is available in the current snapshot.

Current Consensus

AES's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Strong Buy, with 35 buy, 5 neutral, and 5 sell votes. AES's 14-day RSI is 67.74, which places the stock in a constructive momentum range. AES's beta is 0.95, indicating market sensitivity broadly in line with the market.

Signal Confidence
High agreement

What Changed in AES?

The largest recent change in AES is AIQ Score moving up by 0.0 points over the available 7-day comparison window. Momentum remains the strongest visible factor.

AIQ Score
+0.0
Momentum
+0.0
Quality
+0.0
Risk
+0.0

What Would Change the AES Outlook?

The current neutral outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, earnings revisions strengthen, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, analyst expectations deteriorate, or risk evidence worsens.

Bullish confirmation

AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive catalyst or estimate-revision evidence.

Bearish deterioration

AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.

AES Decision Framework

Public evidence layers, setup checks, and risk context for The AES Corporation.

The AES Corporation (AES) Stock Analysis

The AES Corporation has an AIQ Score of 66/100 in a Neutral regime. Momentum is strongest at 76/100. Beta is 0.95, close to market sensitivity. Review the supporting stock factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.

Evidence LayerPublic Evidence
Regime ContextAES is in a Neutral AIQ regime with score 66/100.
Signal ConflictThe primary conflict is that momentum leads at 76/100 while quality lags at 47/100.
Factor EvidenceMomentum 76/100 · Value 74/100 · Quality 47/100 · Risk 71/100
PersistenceCurrent snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro.

Current Setup Checklist

Factor strengthPass

Momentum is the strongest factor at 76/100.

TimingPass

Momentum is 76/100 and RSI (14) is 67.7.

Regime fitPass

AES is in a Neutral regime at 66/100.

Risk controlPass

Risk factor is 71/100 with beta 0.95 and annual volatility 26.19%.

ConflictWait

Current conflict: momentum leads at 76/100 while quality lags at 47/100.

AIQ Score
66/100
Price
$14.83
Beta
0.95
RSI (14)
67.7

AES Research Cluster

Ticker-specific paths for valuation, technical analysis, catalysts, dividends, financials, risk, and news.

AES Fundamentals

AES valuation, profitability, growth, margins, balance-sheet strength, and free cash flow.

Revenue
$3.42B
Net income
$465M
Free cash flow
-$597M
View full AES fundamental analysis

AES Technical Analysis

AES technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.

Technical Analysis Consensus
Strong Buy
RSI 14
67.74
Price vs SMA-50
+1.21%
View full AES technical analysis

AES Stock Catalysts

Track AES earnings, analyst ratings, price targets, estimate revisions, stock news, and upcoming events.

Next earnings
Nov 3, 2026
Analyst target
$16.00
News items
0
View AES earnings and stock catalysts

AES Dividend Analysis

AES dividend yield, annual dividend, payout ratio, payment history, and income reliability context.

Dividend yield
4.75%
Annual dividend
$0.70
Payout ratio
26.31%
View AES dividend history and analysis

AES Financial Data

AES revenue, earnings, income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, valuation ratios, and stock metrics.

Quarter revenue
$3.42B
EPS
$0.60
Periods
3
View AES financials

AES Risk Analysis

AES volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.

Beta
0.95
Risk score
71/100
1Y volatility
26.19%
View AES risk analysis

AES Stock News

AES stock news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.

News items
0
Updated
—
Sentiment
—
Read AES stock news

AES vs Utilities Peers

Current peer cohort: AES · AQN · ATO · AVA · AWK. Compare AIQ, factor scores, Sharpe ratio and 1-year volatility in one indexable view.

PeerAIQValueMomentumRiskSharpe1Y VolatilityCompare
AES
Current stock
66/10074/10076/10071/1000.1626.19%Current
AQN
Algonquin Power & Utilities
54/10059/10071/10061/100-0.1725.41%AES vs AQN
ATO
Atmos Energy
57/10041/10074/10058/100-0.1915.97%AES vs ATO
AVA
Avista
57/10064/10070/10053/100-0.2318.91%AES vs AVA
AWK
American Water Works
51/10036/10081/10048/1000.3422.48%AES vs AWK
Pairwise Compare links: AQN · ATO · AVA · AWKAES vs AQNAES vs ATOAES vs AVAAES vs AWKCompare cohort

Peer cohort is resolved dynamically from the AlgovestIQ universe taxonomy and Compare relationship graph. Data as of Oct 29, 2026.

About the AIQ Score

Methodology for the current stock evidence.

As of Oct 30, 2026 · Market close

The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of stock evidence, including momentum, valuation exposure, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.

View AIQ methodology

Factor Diagnostics

A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.

Calculator
Calculate a AES stock return scenario

Open the return calculator with stock context while purchase price, shares, dates and fees remain user inputs.

Calculate stock return

AIQ Component Profile

Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.

Catalyst preview

Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.

Open catalysts
Quarterly evidence

3 recent quarterly periods are available for review.

Checked Oct 31, 2026

AIQ Pro

Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.

Fundamentals Verdict

Current snapshot fields are separate from reported-quarter statement tables.

Current TTM P/E
5.62
As of Oct 29, 2026
Revenue growth
—
Gross margin
20.29%
Current debt / equity
6.5
Latest quarterly evidence

Latest period Jun 30, 2026.

Review fundamentals
Quarter revenue
$3.42B
Quarter net income
$465M
Quarter free cash flow
-$597M

Market Confirmation

Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.

Trend
Mixed
Momentum
Bullish
RSI 14
67.74
MACD
0.04

Risk Alignment

Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.

Resilience
71/100
Beta
0.95
Annual volatility
26.19%
Max drawdown
-18.98%

AES Stock FAQ

What is AES stock price today?

The AES Corporation's current stock price is $14.83. Use the live quote with AIQ Score, news, and risk context rather than treating price alone as a decision signal.

Is AES bullish or bearish right now?

AES's bullish or bearish read depends on the current AIQ Score, factor alignment, technical analysis consensus, valuation, risk, and catalyst evidence. A mixed setup should be treated differently from a broad confirmation across those signals.

What is AES's market cap?

AES's market cap is $10.53B based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. Use it with P/E ratio, revenue, and growth metrics to frame company size, valuation, and peer comparisons.

What is AES's current P/E ratio?

AES's current P/E ratio is 5.62 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. Read it with revenue growth, margins, EPS, cash flow, and peer valuation rather than using P/E alone.

What is AES's RSI?

AES's 14-day RSI is 67.74 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. RSI should be interpreted with MACD, moving averages, volume, volatility, and price trend.

Is AES above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?

AES is 1.21% from its 50-day SMA and 1.93% from its 200-day SMA based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. Moving-average position should be read with momentum and broader AIQ evidence.

When is AES's next earnings date?

AES's next earnings date is currently listed as Nov 3, 2026. Earnings can reset revenue, EPS, price target, analyst rating, and catalyst expectations.

Does AES pay a dividend?

AES's dividend yield is 4.77% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. Dividend yield should be read with payout ratio, free cash flow, growth, and balance-sheet strength.