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Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK) Stock Analysis

Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK) stock analysis covering valuation, fundamentals, technical indicators, risk, AIQ Momentum, analyst catalysts, dividends, and the current AIQ Score.

ALK Stock Analysis Summary

Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK) currently has an AIQ Score of 42/100, indicating a neutral setup. Value is the strongest factor at 60/100. Quality is the weakest current factor at 30/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Sep 4, 2026 · Market-close data

ALK at a Glance

Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close stock snapshot.

MetricCurrent
Price$42.04
AIQ Score42/100
Overall ViewNeutral
Technical Analysis ConsensusSell
Market Cap$4.53B
P/E Ratio25.75
Forward P/E
EPS-$0.70
Revenue TTM$4.07B
Dividend Yield0.00%
Beta1.3
Volume1.96M
52-week range$33.03-$65.88
RSI 1441.39
50-Day SMA$46.49
200-Day SMA$45.88
Analyst Price Target$58.57
Next EarningsOct 22, 2026
As of Sep 4, 2026 · Market close
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ALK

Overview
Alaska Air Group, Inc.
Industrials· Airlines, Airports & Air Services
AIQ Score
NeutralAIQ Edge 3/10
Low Priority
Relative Laggard
Score data as of Sep 4, 2026
Last price
$42.04
+$0.64 (+1.55%)
Latest market quote
Momentum35
Value60
Quality30
Risk Resilience39
Sentiment
View financial data

ALK Stock Analysis Summary

Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK) currently has an AIQ Score of 42/100, indicating a neutral setup. Value is the strongest factor at 60/100. Quality is the weakest current factor at 30/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Sep 4, 2026 · Market-close data
AIQ Composite Posture: Mixed

In a neutral regime, ALK has AIQ Score of 42/100 with Value base of 60/100 and fading Quality at 30/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.

Signal Conflict Detected

Value (60/100) leads while Quality (30/100) lags. This cross-factor spread creates entry timing uncertainty.

Industrials · 1.55% stock move · ALK classified in Airlines, Airports & Air Services.

Current Evidence

NeutralALK is in a neutral AIQ regime; Value is the strongest visible factor at 60/100.
Core coverage reflects visible evidence only

AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary

Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.

Is ALK Bullish or Bearish Right Now?

ALK currently has a neutral overall setup. Value is the strongest factor at 60/100, while Quality is weakest at 30/100. The current evidence suggests a mixed rather than strongly bullish or bearish setup.

Bull Case
  • - Analyst target implies +39.32% upside from the latest quote.
Bear Case
  • - Momentum is weak at 35/100.
  • - Risk Resilience is weak at 39/100.
  • - Price is -8.38% below its 200-day SMA.
  • - Technical consensus has more sell votes than buy votes (29 vs 8).

Current Consensus

ALK's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Sell, with 8 buy, 8 neutral, and 29 sell votes. ALK's 14-day RSI is 41.39, which places the stock in a weaker momentum range. ALK's beta is 1.3, indicating greater market sensitivity than the broad market.

Signal Confidence
High agreement

What Changed in ALK?

Recent score-change history is not available in the current snapshot. These are the latest market-close scores instead.

AIQ Score
42/100
Momentum
35/100
Quality
30/100
Risk
39/100

What Would Change the ALK Outlook?

The current neutral outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, earnings revisions strengthen, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, analyst expectations deteriorate, or risk evidence worsens.

Bullish confirmation

AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive catalyst or estimate-revision evidence.

Bearish deterioration

AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.

ALK Decision Framework

Public evidence layers, setup checks, and risk context for Alaska Air Group, Inc..

Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK) Stock Analysis

Alaska Air Group, Inc. has an AIQ Score of 42/100 in a Neutral regime. Value is strongest at 60/100. Beta is 1.3, above market sensitivity. Review the supporting stock factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.

Evidence LayerPublic Evidence
Regime ContextALK is in a Neutral AIQ regime with score 42/100.
Signal ConflictThe primary conflict is that value leads at 60/100 while quality lags at 30/100.
Factor EvidenceMomentum 35/100 · Value 60/100 · Quality 30/100 · Risk 39/100
PersistenceCurrent snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro.

Current Setup Checklist

Factor strengthWait

Value is the strongest factor at 60/100.

TimingFail

Momentum is 35/100 and RSI (14) is 41.4.

Regime fitWait

ALK is in a Neutral regime at 42/100.

Risk controlFail

Risk factor is 39/100 with beta 1.3 and annual volatility 51.72%.

ConflictWait

Current conflict: value leads at 60/100 while quality lags at 30/100.

AIQ Score
42/100
Price
$42.04
Beta
1.3
RSI (14)
41.4

ALK Research Cluster

Ticker-specific paths for valuation, technical analysis, catalysts, dividends, financials, risk, and news.

ALK Fundamentals

ALK valuation, profitability, growth, margins, balance-sheet strength, and free cash flow.

Revenue
$4.07B
Net income
-$76M
Free cash flow
$0
View full ALK fundamental analysis

ALK Technical Analysis

ALK technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.

Technical Analysis Consensus
Sell
RSI 14
41.39
Price vs SMA-50
-9.58%
View full ALK technical analysis

ALK Stock Catalysts

Track ALK earnings, analyst ratings, price targets, estimate revisions, stock news, and upcoming events.

Next earnings
Oct 22, 2026
Analyst target
$58.57
News items
4
View ALK earnings and stock catalysts

ALK Dividend Analysis

ALK dividend yield, annual dividend, payout ratio, payment history, and income reliability context.

Dividend yield
3.39%
Annual dividend
$1.42
Payout ratio
View ALK dividend history and analysis

ALK Financial Data

ALK revenue, earnings, income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, valuation ratios, and stock metrics.

Quarter revenue
$4.07B
EPS
-$0.70
Periods
8
View ALK financials

ALK Risk Analysis

ALK volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.

Beta
1.3
Risk score
39/100
1Y volatility
51.72%
View ALK risk analysis

ALK Stock News

ALK stock news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.

News items
4
Updated
Sep 6, 2026
Sentiment
Read ALK stock news

ALK vs Transportation & Logistics Peers

Current peer cohort: ALK · CHRW · CSX · DAL · DASH. Compare AIQ, factor scores, Sharpe ratio and 1-year volatility in one indexable view.

PeerAIQValueMomentumRiskSharpe1Y VolatilityCompare
ALK
Current stock
42/10060/10035/10039/100-0.651.72%Current
CHRW
C.H. Robinson
55/10059/10052/10061/1000.4644.36%ALK vs CHRW
CSX
CSX Corporation
48/10041/10039/10059/1001.822.34%ALK vs CSX
DAL
Delta Air Lines
51/10071/10031/10050/1000.8139.21%ALK vs DAL
DASH
DoorDash
44/10024/10053/10044/100-0.1947.34%ALK vs DASH
Pairwise Compare links: CHRW · CSX · DAL · DASHALK vs CHRWALK vs CSXALK vs DALALK vs DASHCompare cohort

Peer cohort is resolved dynamically from the AlgovestIQ universe taxonomy and Compare relationship graph. Data as of Sep 5, 2026.

About the AIQ Score

Methodology for the current stock evidence.

As of Sep 4, 2026 · Market close

The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of stock evidence, including momentum, valuation exposure, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.

View AIQ methodology

Factor Diagnostics

A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.

Calculator
Calculate a ALK stock return scenario

Open the return calculator with stock context while purchase price, shares, dates and fees remain user inputs.

Calculate stock return

AIQ Component Profile

Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.

Catalyst preview

Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.

Open catalysts
Quarterly evidence

8 recent quarterly periods are available for review.

Checked Sep 7, 2026

AIQ Pro

Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.

Fundamentals Verdict

Current snapshot fields are separate from reported-quarter statement tables.

Current TTM P/E
-25.75
As of Sep 4, 2026
Revenue growth
23.18%
Gross margin
94.63%
Current debt / equity
2.08
Latest quarterly evidence

Latest period Jun 30, 2026.

Review fundamentals
Quarter revenue
$4.07B
Quarter net income
-$76M
Quarter free cash flow
$0

Market Confirmation

Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.

Trend
Mixed
Momentum
Mixed
RSI 14
41.39
MACD
-1.5

Risk Alignment

Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.

Resilience
39/100
Beta
1.3
Annual volatility
51.72%
Max drawdown
-46.46%

ALK Stock FAQ

What is ALK stock price today?

Alaska Air Group, Inc.'s current stock price is $42.04. Use the live quote with AIQ Score, news, and risk context rather than treating price alone as a decision signal.

Is ALK bullish or bearish right now?

ALK's bullish or bearish read depends on the current AIQ Score, factor alignment, technical analysis consensus, valuation, risk, and catalyst evidence. A mixed setup should be treated differently from a broad confirmation across those signals.

What is ALK's market cap?

ALK's market cap is $4.53B based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 4, 2026. Use it with P/E ratio, revenue, and growth metrics to frame company size, valuation, and peer comparisons.

What is ALK's current P/E ratio?

ALK's current P/E ratio is 25.75 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 4, 2026. Read it with revenue growth, margins, EPS, cash flow, and peer valuation rather than using P/E alone.

What is ALK's RSI?

ALK's 14-day RSI is 41.39 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 4, 2026. RSI should be interpreted with MACD, moving averages, volume, volatility, and price trend.

Is ALK above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?

ALK is -9.58% from its 50-day SMA and -8.38% from its 200-day SMA based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 4, 2026. Moving-average position should be read with momentum and broader AIQ evidence.

When is ALK's next earnings date?

ALK's next earnings date is currently listed as Oct 22, 2026. Earnings can reset revenue, EPS, price target, analyst rating, and catalyst expectations.

Does ALK pay a dividend?

ALK's dividend yield is 0.00% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 4, 2026. Dividend yield should be read with payout ratio, free cash flow, growth, and balance-sheet strength.