Stock Analysis
AMERISAFE, Inc. (AMSF) Stock Analysis
AMERISAFE, Inc. (AMSF) stock analysis covering valuation, fundamentals, technical indicators, risk, AIQ Momentum, analyst catalysts, dividends, and the current AIQ Score.
AMERISAFE, Inc. (AMSF) currently has an AIQ Score of 49/100, indicating a neutral setup. Quality is the strongest factor at 60/100. Momentum is the weakest current factor at 33/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.
AMSF at a Glance
Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close stock snapshot.
| Metric | Current |
|---|---|
| Price | $20.91 |
| AIQ Score | 49/100 |
| Overall View | Neutral |
| Technical Analysis Consensus | Strong Sell |
| Market Cap | $485.18M |
| P/E Ratio (TTM) | 10.38 |
| Forward P/E | — |
| EPS (quarter ended 2026-06-30) | $0.79 |
| Revenue (quarter ended 2026-06-30) | $91.97M |
| Dividend Yield (TTM) | 10.02% |
| Beta | 0.28 |
| Volume | 689.08K |
| 52-week range | $22.35-$42.10 |
| RSI 14 | 39.52 |
| 50-Day SMA | $25.00 |
| 200-Day SMA | $30.99 |
| Analyst Price Target | $33.00 |
| Next Earnings | Feb 24, 2027 |
AMSFAMERISAFE, Inc.
Financial Services / Insurance - Specialty
Low Priority
In Line With Peers
Latest quote
- Momentum33
- Value57
- Quality60
- Risk resilience38
- Sentiment—
AMSF Stock Analysis Summary
AMERISAFE, Inc. (AMSF) currently has an AIQ Score of 49/100, indicating a neutral setup. Quality is the strongest factor at 60/100. Momentum is the weakest current factor at 33/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.
In a neutral regime, AMSF has AIQ Score of 49/100 with Quality base of 60/100 and fading Momentum at 33/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.
Quality (60/100) leads while Momentum (33/100) lags. This cross-factor spread creates entry timing uncertainty.
Financial Services · -9.44% stock move · AMSF classified in Insurance - Specialty.
Current Evidence
AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary
Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.
Is AMSF Bullish or Bearish Right Now?
AMSF currently has a neutral overall setup. Quality is the strongest factor at 60/100, while Momentum is weakest at 33/100. The current evidence suggests a mixed rather than strongly bullish or bearish setup.
- - Quality is supportive at 60/100.
- - Analyst target implies +57.82% upside from the latest quote.
- - Momentum is weak at 33/100.
- - Risk Resilience is weak at 38/100.
- - Price is -25.49% below its 200-day SMA.
- - Technical consensus has more sell votes than buy votes (34 vs 8).
Current Consensus
AMSF's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Strong Sell, with 8 buy, 3 neutral, and 34 sell votes. AMSF's 14-day RSI is 39.52, which places the stock in a weaker momentum range. AMSF's beta is 0.28, indicating lower market sensitivity than the broad market.
What Changed in AMSF?
The largest recent change in AMSF is Momentum moving down by 40.0 points over the available 7-day comparison window. Quality remains the strongest visible factor.
What Would Change the AMSF Outlook?
The current neutral outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, earnings revisions strengthen, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, analyst expectations deteriorate, or risk evidence worsens.
AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive catalyst or estimate-revision evidence.
AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.
AMSF Decision Framework
Public evidence layers, setup checks, and risk context for AMERISAFE, Inc..
AMERISAFE, Inc. (AMSF) Stock Analysis
AMERISAFE, Inc. has an AIQ Score of 49/100 in a Neutral regime. Quality is strongest at 60/100. Beta is 0.27, below market sensitivity. Review the supporting stock factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.
| Evidence Layer | Public Evidence |
|---|---|
| Regime Context | AMSF is in a Neutral AIQ regime with score 49/100. |
| Signal Conflict | The primary conflict is that quality leads at 60/100 while momentum lags at 33/100. |
| Factor Evidence | Momentum 33/100 · Value 57/100 · Quality 60/100 · Risk 38/100 |
| Persistence | Current snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro. |
Current Setup Checklist
Quality is the strongest factor at 60/100.
Momentum is 33/100 and RSI (14) is 39.5.
AMSF is in a Neutral regime at 49/100.
Risk factor is 38/100 with beta 0.27 and annual volatility 31.03%.
Current conflict: quality leads at 60/100 while momentum lags at 33/100.
AMSF Research Cluster
Ticker-specific paths for valuation, technical analysis, catalysts, dividends, financials, risk, and news.
AMSF Fundamentals
AMSF valuation, profitability, growth, margins, balance-sheet strength, and free cash flow.
AMSF Technical Analysis
AMSF technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.
AMSF Stock Catalysts
Track AMSF earnings, analyst ratings, price targets, estimate revisions, stock news, and upcoming events.
AMSF Dividend Analysis
AMSF dividend yield, annual dividend, payout ratio, payment history, and income reliability context.
AMSF Financial Data
AMSF revenue, earnings, income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, valuation ratios, and stock metrics.
AMSF Risk Analysis
AMSF volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.
AMSF Stock News
AMSF stock news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.
AMSF vs Misc / Verify Peers
Current peer cohort: AMSF · AMTM · BFC · BGCP · BUR. Compare AIQ, factor scores, Sharpe ratio and 1-year volatility in one indexable view.
| Peer | AIQ | Value | Momentum | Risk | Sharpe | 1Y Volatility | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMSF Current stock | 49/100 | 57/100 | 33/100 | 38/100 | -1.72 | 31.03% | Current |
| AMTM Anterix ⚠️ | 55/100 | 74/100 | 73/100 | 44/100 | 0.2 | 46.83% | AMSF vs AMTM |
| BFC Bank First ⚠️ | 56/100 | 33/100 | 72/100 | 48/100 | 0.78 | 23.30% | AMSF vs BFC |
| BGCP BGC Partners ⚠️ | 45/100 | 38/100 | — | 41/100 | — | — | AMSF vs BGCP |
| BUR Burford Capital | 38/100 | 69/100 | 39/100 | 47/100 | -1.15 | 69.86% | AMSF vs BUR |
Peer cohort is resolved dynamically from the AlgovestIQ universe taxonomy and Compare relationship graph. Data as of Oct 29, 2026.
About the AIQ Score
Methodology for the current stock evidence.
The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of stock evidence, including momentum, valuation exposure, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.
View AIQ methodologyFactor Diagnostics
A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.
Open the return calculator with stock context while purchase price, shares, dates and fees remain user inputs.
AIQ Component Profile
Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.
Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.
Open catalysts8 recent quarterly periods are available for review.
Checked Oct 31, 2026
Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.
Fundamentals Verdict
Current snapshot fields are separate from reported-quarter statement tables.
Latest period Jun 30, 2026.
Market Confirmation
Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.
Risk Alignment
Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.
Continue Researching AMSF
Open the detailed evidence pages and workflows behind the stock overview read.
Premium Feature
Full AIQ Analysis
AIQ Intelligence
AIQ Pro for AMSF
Scenario Analysis
AIQ Scenario Builder
Portfolio Implication
Related Links
AMSF Stock FAQ
What is AMSF stock price today?
AMERISAFE, Inc.'s current stock price is $20.91. Use the live quote with AIQ Score, news, and risk context rather than treating price alone as a decision signal.
Is AMSF bullish or bearish right now?
AMSF's bullish or bearish read depends on the current AIQ Score, factor alignment, technical analysis consensus, valuation, risk, and catalyst evidence. A mixed setup should be treated differently from a broad confirmation across those signals.
What is AMSF's market cap?
AMSF's market cap is $485.18M based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. Use it with P/E ratio, revenue, and growth metrics to frame company size, valuation, and peer comparisons.
What is AMSF's current P/E ratio?
AMSF's current P/E ratio is 10.38 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. Read it with revenue growth, margins, EPS, cash flow, and peer valuation rather than using P/E alone.
What is AMSF's RSI?
AMSF's 14-day RSI is 39.52 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. RSI should be interpreted with MACD, moving averages, volume, volatility, and price trend.
Is AMSF above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?
AMSF is -7.63% from its 50-day SMA and -25.49% from its 200-day SMA based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. Moving-average position should be read with momentum and broader AIQ evidence.
When is AMSF's next earnings date?
AMSF's next earnings date is currently listed as Feb 24, 2027. Earnings can reset revenue, EPS, price target, analyst rating, and catalyst expectations.
Does AMSF pay a dividend?
AMSF's dividend yield is 10.02% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. Dividend yield should be read with payout ratio, free cash flow, growth, and balance-sheet strength.