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AMERISAFE, Inc. (AMSF) Stock Analysis

AMERISAFE, Inc. (AMSF) stock analysis covering valuation, fundamentals, technical indicators, risk, AIQ Momentum, analyst catalysts, dividends, and the current AIQ Score.

AMSF Stock Analysis Summary

AMERISAFE, Inc. (AMSF) currently has an AIQ Score of 49/100, indicating a neutral setup. Quality is the strongest factor at 60/100. Momentum is the weakest current factor at 27/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Sep 11, 2026 · Market-close data

AMSF at a Glance

Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close stock snapshot.

MetricCurrent
Price$24.77
AIQ Score49/100
Overall ViewNeutral
Technical Analysis ConsensusStrong Sell
Market Cap$485.18M
P/E Ratio12.41
Forward P/E
EPS$0.79
Revenue TTM$91.97M
Dividend Yield0.01%
Beta0.28
Volume566.28K
52-week range$24.11-$45.71
RSI 1432.03
50-Day SMA$29.35
200-Day SMA$33.39
Analyst Price Target$33.00
Next EarningsOct 28, 2026
As of Sep 11, 2026 · Market close

AMSF

Overview
AMERISAFE, Inc.
Financial Services· Insurance - Specialty
AIQ Score
NeutralAIQ Edge 4/10
Low Priority
In Line With Peers
Score data as of Sep 11, 2026
Last price
$24.77
+$0.11 (+0.45%)
Latest market quote
Momentum27
Value58
Quality60
Risk Resilience47
Sentiment
View financial data

AMSF Stock Analysis Summary

AMERISAFE, Inc. (AMSF) currently has an AIQ Score of 49/100, indicating a neutral setup. Quality is the strongest factor at 60/100. Momentum is the weakest current factor at 27/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Sep 11, 2026 · Market-close data
AIQ Composite Posture: Mixed

In a neutral regime, AMSF has AIQ Score of 49/100 with Quality base of 60/100 and fading Momentum at 27/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.

Signal Conflict Detected

Quality (60/100) leads while Momentum (27/100) lags. This cross-factor spread creates entry timing uncertainty.

Financial Services · 0.45% stock move · AMSF classified in Insurance - Specialty.

Current Evidence

NeutralAMSF is in a neutral AIQ regime; Quality is the strongest visible factor at 60/100.
Core coverage reflects visible evidence only

AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary

Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.

Is AMSF Bullish or Bearish Right Now?

AMSF currently has a neutral overall setup. Quality is the strongest factor at 60/100, while Momentum is weakest at 27/100. The current evidence suggests a mixed rather than strongly bullish or bearish setup.

Bull Case
  • - Quality is supportive at 60/100.
  • - Analyst target implies +33.23% upside from the latest quote.
Bear Case
  • - Momentum is weak at 27/100.
  • - Price is -25.82% below its 200-day SMA.
  • - Technical consensus has more sell votes than buy votes (35 vs 6).

Current Consensus

AMSF's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Strong Sell, with 6 buy, 4 neutral, and 35 sell votes. AMSF's 14-day RSI is 32.03, which places the stock in a weaker momentum range. AMSF's beta is 0.28, indicating lower market sensitivity than the broad market.

Signal Confidence
High agreement

What Changed in AMSF?

Recent score-change history is not available in the current snapshot. These are the latest market-close scores instead.

AIQ Score
49/100
Momentum
27/100
Quality
60/100
Risk
47/100

What Would Change the AMSF Outlook?

The current neutral outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, earnings revisions strengthen, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, analyst expectations deteriorate, or risk evidence worsens.

Bullish confirmation

AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive catalyst or estimate-revision evidence.

Bearish deterioration

AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.

AMSF Decision Framework

Public evidence layers, setup checks, and risk context for AMERISAFE, Inc..

AMERISAFE, Inc. (AMSF) Stock Analysis

AMERISAFE, Inc. has an AIQ Score of 49/100 in a Neutral regime. Quality is strongest at 60/100. Beta is 0.28, below market sensitivity. Review the supporting stock factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.

Evidence LayerPublic Evidence
Regime ContextAMSF is in a Neutral AIQ regime with score 49/100.
Signal ConflictThe primary conflict is that quality leads at 60/100 while momentum lags at 27/100.
Factor EvidenceMomentum 27/100 · Value 58/100 · Quality 60/100 · Risk 47/100
PersistenceCurrent snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro.

Current Setup Checklist

Factor strengthWait

Quality is the strongest factor at 60/100.

TimingFail

Momentum is 27/100 and RSI (14) is 32.0.

Regime fitWait

AMSF is in a Neutral regime at 49/100.

Risk controlWait

Risk factor is 47/100 with beta 0.28 and annual volatility 29.76%.

ConflictWait

Current conflict: quality leads at 60/100 while momentum lags at 27/100.

AIQ Score
49/100
Price
$24.77
Beta
0.28
RSI (14)
32

AMSF Research Cluster

Ticker-specific paths for valuation, technical analysis, catalysts, dividends, financials, risk, and news.

AMSF Fundamentals

AMSF valuation, profitability, growth, margins, balance-sheet strength, and free cash flow.

Revenue
$91.97M
Net income
$14.6M
Free cash flow
$1.79M
View full AMSF fundamental analysis

AMSF Technical Analysis

AMSF technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.

Technical Analysis Consensus
Strong Sell
RSI 14
32.03
Price vs SMA-50
-15.59%
View full AMSF technical analysis

AMSF Stock Catalysts

Track AMSF earnings, analyst ratings, price targets, estimate revisions, stock news, and upcoming events.

Next earnings
Oct 28, 2026
Analyst target
$33.00
News items
2
View AMSF earnings and stock catalysts

AMSF Dividend Analysis

AMSF dividend yield, annual dividend, payout ratio, payment history, and income reliability context.

Dividend yield
10.58%
Annual dividend
$2.62
Payout ratio
View AMSF dividend history and analysis

AMSF Financial Data

AMSF revenue, earnings, income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, valuation ratios, and stock metrics.

Quarter revenue
$91.97M
EPS
$0.79
Periods
8
View AMSF financials

AMSF Risk Analysis

AMSF volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.

Beta
0.28
Risk score
47/100
1Y volatility
29.76%
View AMSF risk analysis

AMSF Stock News

AMSF stock news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.

News items
2
Updated
Sep 11, 2026
Sentiment
Read AMSF stock news

AMSF vs Misc / Verify Peers

Current peer cohort: AMSF · AMTM · BFC · BGCP · BUR. Compare AIQ, factor scores, Sharpe ratio and 1-year volatility in one indexable view.

PeerAIQValueMomentumRiskSharpe1Y VolatilityCompare
AMSF
Current stock
49/10058/10027/10047/100-229.76%Current
AMTM
Anterix ⚠️
42/10074/10025/10041/100-0.2847.10%AMSF vs AMTM
BFC
Bank First ⚠️
55/10033/10065/10053/1000.6926.37%AMSF vs BFC
BGCP
BGC Partners ⚠️
46/10039/10041/100AMSF vs BGCP
BUR
Burford Capital
43/10069/10057/10056/100-1.2267.09%AMSF vs BUR
Pairwise Compare links: AMTM · BFC · BGCP · BURAMSF vs AMTMAMSF vs BFCAMSF vs BGCPAMSF vs BURCompare cohort

Peer cohort is resolved dynamically from the AlgovestIQ universe taxonomy and Compare relationship graph. Data as of Sep 11, 2026.

About the AIQ Score

Methodology for the current stock evidence.

As of Sep 11, 2026 · Market close

The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of stock evidence, including momentum, valuation exposure, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.

View AIQ methodology

Factor Diagnostics

A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.

Calculator
Calculate a AMSF stock return scenario

Open the return calculator with stock context while purchase price, shares, dates and fees remain user inputs.

Calculate stock return

AIQ Component Profile

Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.

Catalyst preview

Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.

Open catalysts
Quarterly evidence

8 recent quarterly periods are available for review.

Checked Sep 12, 2026

AIQ Pro

Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.

Fundamentals Verdict

Current snapshot fields are separate from reported-quarter statement tables.

Current TTM P/E
10.38
As of Sep 11, 2026
Revenue growth
14.83%
Gross margin
25.83%
Current debt / equity
0
Latest quarterly evidence

Latest period Jun 30, 2026.

Review fundamentals
Quarter revenue
$91.97M
Quarter net income
$14.6M
Quarter free cash flow
$1.79M

Market Confirmation

Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.

Trend
Bearish
Momentum
Mixed
RSI 14
32.03
MACD
-1.12

Risk Alignment

Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.

Resilience
47/100
Beta
0.28
Annual volatility
29.76%
Max drawdown
-45.67%

AMSF Stock FAQ

What is AMSF stock price today?

AMERISAFE, Inc.'s current stock price is $24.77. Use the live quote with AIQ Score, news, and risk context rather than treating price alone as a decision signal.

Is AMSF bullish or bearish right now?

AMSF's bullish or bearish read depends on the current AIQ Score, factor alignment, technical analysis consensus, valuation, risk, and catalyst evidence. A mixed setup should be treated differently from a broad confirmation across those signals.

What is AMSF's market cap?

AMSF's market cap is $485.18M based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. Use it with P/E ratio, revenue, and growth metrics to frame company size, valuation, and peer comparisons.

What is AMSF's current P/E ratio?

AMSF's current P/E ratio is 12.41 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. Read it with revenue growth, margins, EPS, cash flow, and peer valuation rather than using P/E alone.

What is AMSF's RSI?

AMSF's 14-day RSI is 32.03 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. RSI should be interpreted with MACD, moving averages, volume, volatility, and price trend.

Is AMSF above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?

AMSF is -15.59% from its 50-day SMA and -25.82% from its 200-day SMA based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. Moving-average position should be read with momentum and broader AIQ evidence.

When is AMSF's next earnings date?

AMSF's next earnings date is currently listed as Oct 28, 2026. Earnings can reset revenue, EPS, price target, analyst rating, and catalyst expectations.

Does AMSF pay a dividend?

AMSF's dividend yield is 0.01% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. Dividend yield should be read with payout ratio, free cash flow, growth, and balance-sheet strength.