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BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI) Stock Analysis

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI) stock analysis covering valuation, fundamentals, technical indicators, risk, AIQ Momentum, analyst catalysts, dividends, and the current AIQ Score.

BBAI Stock Analysis Summary

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI) currently has an AIQ Score of 37/100, indicating a bearish setup. Quality is the strongest factor at 42/100. Momentum is the weakest current factor at 27/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Sep 11, 2026 · Market-close data

BBAI at a Glance

Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close stock snapshot.

MetricCurrent
Price$2.87
AIQ Score37/100
Overall ViewBearish
Technical Analysis ConsensusStrong Sell
Market Cap$1.41B
P/E Ratio-4.28
Forward P/E
EPS-$0.05
Revenue TTM$36.75M
Dividend Yield0.00%
Beta3.18
Volume16.13M
52-week range$2.59-$9.39
RSI 1432.32
50-Day SMA$3.06
200-Day SMA$4.24
Analyst Price Target$4.00
Next EarningsNov 9, 2026
As of Sep 11, 2026 · Market close

BBAI

Overview
BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc.
Technology· Information Technology Services
AIQ Score
BearishAIQ Edge 2/10
Low Priority
Relative Laggard
Score data as of Sep 11, 2026
Last price
$2.87
+$0.05 (+1.77%)
Latest market quote
Momentum27
Value38
Quality42
Risk Resilience41
Sentiment
View financial data

BBAI Stock Analysis Summary

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI) currently has an AIQ Score of 37/100, indicating a bearish setup. Quality is the strongest factor at 42/100. Momentum is the weakest current factor at 27/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Sep 11, 2026 · Market-close data
AIQ Composite Posture: Weak

In a bearish regime, BBAI has AIQ Score of 37/100 with Quality base of 42/100 and fading Momentum at 27/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.

Technology · 1.77% stock move · BBAI classified in Information Technology Services.

Current Evidence

BearishBBAI is in a bearish AIQ regime; Quality is the strongest visible factor at 42/100.
Core coverage reflects visible evidence only

AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary

Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.

Is BBAI Bullish or Bearish Right Now?

BBAI currently has a bearish overall setup. Quality is the strongest factor at 42/100, while Momentum is weakest at 27/100. The current evidence suggests a defensive setup.

Bull Case
  • - Analyst target implies +39.37% upside from the latest quote.
Bear Case
  • - Value is the current constraint at 38/100.
  • - Momentum is weak at 27/100.
  • - Risk Resilience is weak at 41/100.
  • - Price is -32.27% below its 200-day SMA.
  • - Technical consensus has more sell votes than buy votes (36 vs 3).

Current Consensus

BBAI's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Strong Sell, with 3 buy, 6 neutral, and 36 sell votes. BBAI's 14-day RSI is 32.32, which places the stock in a weaker momentum range. BBAI's beta is 3.18, indicating greater market sensitivity than the broad market.

Signal Confidence
High agreement

What Changed in BBAI?

Recent score-change history is not available in the current snapshot. These are the latest market-close scores instead.

AIQ Score
37/100
Momentum
27/100
Quality
42/100
Risk
41/100

What Would Change the BBAI Outlook?

The current bearish outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, earnings revisions strengthen, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, analyst expectations deteriorate, or risk evidence worsens.

Bullish confirmation

AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive catalyst or estimate-revision evidence.

Bearish deterioration

AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.

BBAI Decision Framework

Public evidence layers, setup checks, and risk context for BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc..

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI) Stock Analysis

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. has an AIQ Score of 37/100 in a Defensive regime. Quality is strongest at 42/100. Beta is 3.18, above market sensitivity. Review the supporting stock factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.

Evidence LayerPublic Evidence
Regime ContextBBAI is in a Defensive AIQ regime with score 37/100.
Signal ConflictThe primary conflict is that quality leads at 42/100 while momentum lags at 27/100.
Factor EvidenceMomentum 27/100 · Value 38/100 · Quality 42/100 · Risk 41/100
PersistenceCurrent snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro.

Current Setup Checklist

Factor strengthWait

Quality is the strongest factor at 42/100.

TimingFail

Momentum is 27/100 and RSI (14) is 32.3.

Regime fitFail

BBAI is in a Defensive regime at 37/100.

Risk controlWait

Risk factor is 41/100 with beta 3.18 and annual volatility 85.18%.

ConflictPass

Current conflict: quality leads at 42/100 while momentum lags at 27/100.

AIQ Score
37/100
Price
$2.87
Beta
3.18
RSI (14)
32.3

BBAI Research Cluster

Ticker-specific paths for valuation, technical analysis, catalysts, dividends, financials, risk, and news.

BBAI Fundamentals

BBAI valuation, profitability, growth, margins, balance-sheet strength, and free cash flow.

Revenue
$36.75M
Net income
-$25.75M
Free cash flow
-$22.52M
View full BBAI fundamental analysis

BBAI Technical Analysis

BBAI technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.

Technical Analysis Consensus
Strong Sell
RSI 14
32.32
Price vs SMA-50
-6.17%
View full BBAI technical analysis

BBAI Stock Catalysts

Track BBAI earnings, analyst ratings, price targets, estimate revisions, stock news, and upcoming events.

Next earnings
Nov 9, 2026
Analyst target
$4.00
News items
0
View BBAI earnings and stock catalysts

BBAI Dividend Analysis

BBAI dividend yield, annual dividend, payout ratio, payment history, and income reliability context.

Dividend yield
0.00%
Annual dividend
Payout ratio
View BBAI dividend history and analysis

BBAI Financial Data

BBAI revenue, earnings, income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, valuation ratios, and stock metrics.

Quarter revenue
$36.75M
EPS
-$0.05
Periods
8
View BBAI financials

BBAI Risk Analysis

BBAI volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.

Beta
3.18
Risk score
41/100
1Y volatility
85.18%
View BBAI risk analysis

BBAI Stock News

BBAI stock news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.

News items
0
Updated
Sentiment
Read BBAI stock news

BBAI vs AI / Data Infrastructure & Crypto Mining Peers

Current peer cohort: BBAI · BMNR · BTBT · BTC · BTDR. Compare AIQ, factor scores, Sharpe ratio and 1-year volatility in one indexable view.

PeerAIQValueMomentumRiskSharpe1Y VolatilityCompare
BBAI
Current stock
37/10038/10027/10041/100-0.2285.18%Current
BMNR
Bitmine Immersion Technologies
52/10034/10067/10049/100-0.2393.32%BBAI vs BMNR
BTBT
Bit Brother
39/10041/10058/10025/100-0.389.49%BBAI vs BTBT
BTC
Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust ETF
53/10062/10029/100-0.7345.05%BBAI vs BTC
BTDR
Bitdeer Technologies
37/10062/10059/10017/1000.38109.32%BBAI vs BTDR
Pairwise Compare links: BMNR · BTBT · BTC · BTDRBBAI vs BMNRBBAI vs BTBTBBAI vs BTCBBAI vs BTDRCompare cohort

Peer cohort is resolved dynamically from the AlgovestIQ universe taxonomy and Compare relationship graph. Data as of Sep 11, 2026.

About the AIQ Score

Methodology for the current stock evidence.

As of Sep 11, 2026 · Market close

The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of stock evidence, including momentum, valuation exposure, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.

View AIQ methodology

Factor Diagnostics

A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.

Calculator
Calculate a BBAI stock return scenario

Open the return calculator with stock context while purchase price, shares, dates and fees remain user inputs.

Calculate stock return

AIQ Component Profile

Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.

Catalyst preview

Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.

Open catalysts
Quarterly evidence

8 recent quarterly periods are available for review.

Checked Sep 12, 2026

AIQ Pro

Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.

Fundamentals Verdict

Current snapshot fields are separate from reported-quarter statement tables.

Current TTM P/E
-17.35
As of Sep 11, 2026
Revenue growth
6.72%
Gross margin
27.92%
Current debt / equity
0.03
Latest quarterly evidence

Latest period Jun 30, 2026.

Review fundamentals
Quarter revenue
$36.75M
Quarter net income
-$25.75M
Quarter free cash flow
-$22.52M

Market Confirmation

Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.

Trend
Bearish
Momentum
Bearish
RSI 14
32.32
MACD
-0.08

Risk Alignment

Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.

Resilience
41/100
Beta
3.18
Annual volatility
85.18%
Max drawdown
-70.93%

BBAI Stock FAQ

What is BBAI stock price today?

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc.'s current stock price is $2.87. Use the live quote with AIQ Score, news, and risk context rather than treating price alone as a decision signal.

Is BBAI bullish or bearish right now?

BBAI's bullish or bearish read depends on the current AIQ Score, factor alignment, technical analysis consensus, valuation, risk, and catalyst evidence. A mixed setup should be treated differently from a broad confirmation across those signals.

What is BBAI's market cap?

BBAI's market cap is $1.41B based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. Use it with P/E ratio, revenue, and growth metrics to frame company size, valuation, and peer comparisons.

What is BBAI's current P/E ratio?

BBAI's current P/E ratio is -4.28 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. Read it with revenue growth, margins, EPS, cash flow, and peer valuation rather than using P/E alone.

What is BBAI's RSI?

BBAI's 14-day RSI is 32.32 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. RSI should be interpreted with MACD, moving averages, volume, volatility, and price trend.

Is BBAI above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?

BBAI is -6.17% from its 50-day SMA and -32.27% from its 200-day SMA based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. Moving-average position should be read with momentum and broader AIQ evidence.

When is BBAI's next earnings date?

BBAI's next earnings date is currently listed as Nov 9, 2026. Earnings can reset revenue, EPS, price target, analyst rating, and catalyst expectations.

Does BBAI pay a dividend?

BBAI's dividend yield is 0.00% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. Dividend yield should be read with payout ratio, free cash flow, growth, and balance-sheet strength.