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The Carlyle Group Inc. (CG) Stock Analysis

The Carlyle Group Inc. (CG) stock analysis covering valuation, fundamentals, technical indicators, risk, AIQ Momentum, analyst catalysts, dividends, and the current AIQ Score.

CG Stock Analysis Summary

The Carlyle Group Inc. (CG) currently has an AIQ Score of 35/100, indicating a bearish setup. Value is the strongest factor at 46/100. Momentum is the weakest current factor at 22/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Sep 11, 2026 · Market-close data

CG at a Glance

Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close stock snapshot.

MetricCurrent
Price$42.34
AIQ Score35/100
Overall ViewBearish
Technical Analysis ConsensusStrong Sell
Market Cap$16.75B
P/E Ratio11.78
Forward P/E
EPS$0.38
Revenue TTM$1.15B
Dividend Yield0.01%
Beta1.83
Volume4.25M
52-week range$39.60-$69.85
RSI 1417.34
50-Day SMA$46.72
200-Day SMA$50.76
Analyst Price Target$56.67
Next EarningsNov 6, 2026
As of Sep 11, 2026 · Market close
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CG

Overview
The Carlyle Group Inc.
Financial Services· Asset Management
AIQ Score
BearishAIQ Edge 1/10
Low Priority
Relative Laggard
Score data as of Sep 11, 2026
Last price
$42.34
-$0.73 (-1.69%)
Latest market quote
Momentum22
Value46
Quality36
Risk Resilience31
Sentiment
View financial data

CG Stock Analysis Summary

The Carlyle Group Inc. (CG) currently has an AIQ Score of 35/100, indicating a bearish setup. Value is the strongest factor at 46/100. Momentum is the weakest current factor at 22/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Sep 11, 2026 · Market-close data
AIQ Composite Posture: Weak

In a bearish regime, CG has AIQ Score of 35/100 with Value base of 46/100 and fading Momentum at 22/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.

Signal Conflict Detected

Value (46/100) leads while Momentum (22/100) lags. This cross-factor spread creates entry timing uncertainty.

Financial Services · -1.69% stock move · CG classified in Asset Management.

Current Evidence

BearishCG is in a bearish AIQ regime; Value is the strongest visible factor at 46/100.
Core coverage reflects visible evidence only

AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary

Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.

Is CG Bullish or Bearish Right Now?

CG currently has a bearish overall setup. Value is the strongest factor at 46/100, while Momentum is weakest at 22/100. The current evidence suggests a defensive setup.

Bull Case
  • - Analyst target implies +33.85% upside from the latest quote.
Bear Case
  • - Momentum is weak at 22/100.
  • - Risk Resilience is weak at 31/100.
  • - Price is -16.59% below its 200-day SMA.
  • - Technical consensus has more sell votes than buy votes (37 vs 7).

Current Consensus

CG's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Strong Sell, with 7 buy, 1 neutral, and 37 sell votes. CG's 14-day RSI is 17.34, which places the stock in an oversold momentum range. CG's beta is 1.83, indicating greater market sensitivity than the broad market.

Signal Confidence
High agreement

What Changed in CG?

Recent score-change history is not available in the current snapshot. These are the latest market-close scores instead.

AIQ Score
35/100
Momentum
22/100
Quality
36/100
Risk
31/100

What Would Change the CG Outlook?

The current bearish outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, earnings revisions strengthen, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, analyst expectations deteriorate, or risk evidence worsens.

Bullish confirmation

AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive catalyst or estimate-revision evidence.

Bearish deterioration

AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.

CG Decision Framework

Public evidence layers, setup checks, and risk context for The Carlyle Group Inc..

The Carlyle Group Inc. (CG) Stock Analysis

The Carlyle Group Inc. has an AIQ Score of 35/100 in a Defensive regime. Value is strongest at 46/100. Beta is 1.83, above market sensitivity. Review the supporting stock factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.

Evidence LayerPublic Evidence
Regime ContextCG is in a Defensive AIQ regime with score 35/100.
Signal ConflictThe primary conflict is that value leads at 46/100 while momentum lags at 22/100.
Factor EvidenceMomentum 22/100 · Value 46/100 · Quality 36/100 · Risk 31/100
PersistenceCurrent snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro.

Current Setup Checklist

Factor strengthWait

Value is the strongest factor at 46/100.

TimingFail

Momentum is 22/100 and RSI (14) is 17.3.

Regime fitFail

CG is in a Defensive regime at 35/100.

Risk controlFail

Risk factor is 31/100 with beta 1.83 and annual volatility 37.62%.

ConflictWait

Current conflict: value leads at 46/100 while momentum lags at 22/100.

AIQ Score
35/100
Price
$42.34
Beta
1.83
RSI (14)
17.3

CG Research Cluster

Ticker-specific paths for valuation, technical analysis, catalysts, dividends, financials, risk, and news.

CG Fundamentals

CG valuation, profitability, growth, margins, balance-sheet strength, and free cash flow.

Revenue
$1.15B
Net income
$137.1M
Free cash flow
-$215.1M
View full CG fundamental analysis

CG Technical Analysis

CG technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.

Technical Analysis Consensus
Strong Sell
RSI 14
17.34
Price vs SMA-50
-9.37%
View full CG technical analysis

CG Stock Catalysts

Track CG earnings, analyst ratings, price targets, estimate revisions, stock news, and upcoming events.

Next earnings
Nov 6, 2026
Analyst target
$56.67
News items
3
View CG earnings and stock catalysts

CG Dividend Analysis

CG dividend yield, annual dividend, payout ratio, payment history, and income reliability context.

Dividend yield
3.31%
Annual dividend
$1.40
Payout ratio
View CG dividend history and analysis

CG Financial Data

CG revenue, earnings, income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, valuation ratios, and stock metrics.

Quarter revenue
$1.15B
EPS
$0.38
Periods
8
View CG financials

CG Risk Analysis

CG volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.

Beta
1.83
Risk score
31/100
1Y volatility
37.62%
View CG risk analysis

CG Stock News

CG stock news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.

News items
3
Updated
Sep 11, 2026
Sentiment
Read CG stock news

CG vs Asset Management / Exchanges Peers

Current peer cohort: CG · CME · EVR · FDS · FNF. Compare AIQ, factor scores, Sharpe ratio and 1-year volatility in one indexable view.

PeerAIQValueMomentumRiskSharpe1Y VolatilityCompare
CG
Current stock
35/10046/10022/10031/100-1.0837.62%Current
CME
CME Group
51/10026/10051/10056/1000.223.86%CG vs CME
EVR
Evercore
59/10048/10032/10062/100-0.3637.84%CG vs EVR
FDS
FactSet Research
40/10035/10015/10036/100-0.5447.80%CG vs FDS
FNF
Fidelity National Financial
56/10067/10024/10080/100-1.1127.11%CG vs FNF
Pairwise Compare links: CME · EVR · FDS · FNFCG vs CMECG vs EVRCG vs FDSCG vs FNFCompare cohort

Peer cohort is resolved dynamically from the AlgovestIQ universe taxonomy and Compare relationship graph. Data as of Sep 11, 2026.

About the AIQ Score

Methodology for the current stock evidence.

As of Sep 11, 2026 · Market close

The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of stock evidence, including momentum, valuation exposure, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.

View AIQ methodology

Factor Diagnostics

A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.

Calculator
Calculate a CG stock return scenario

Open the return calculator with stock context while purchase price, shares, dates and fees remain user inputs.

Calculate stock return

AIQ Component Profile

Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.

Catalyst preview

Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.

Open catalysts
Quarterly evidence

8 recent quarterly periods are available for review.

Checked Sep 12, 2026

AIQ Pro

Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.

Fundamentals Verdict

Current snapshot fields are separate from reported-quarter statement tables.

Current TTM P/E
45.97
As of Sep 11, 2026
Revenue growth
506.38%
Gross margin
70.67%
Current debt / equity
1.98
Latest quarterly evidence

Latest period Jun 30, 2026.

Review fundamentals
Quarter revenue
$1.15B
Quarter net income
$137.1M
Quarter free cash flow
-$215.1M

Market Confirmation

Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.

Trend
Bearish
Momentum
Bearish
RSI 14
17.34
MACD
-0.92

Risk Alignment

Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.

Resilience
31/100
Beta
1.83
Annual volatility
37.62%
Max drawdown
-41.57%

CG Stock FAQ

What is CG stock price today?

The Carlyle Group Inc.'s current stock price is $42.34. Use the live quote with AIQ Score, news, and risk context rather than treating price alone as a decision signal.

Is CG bullish or bearish right now?

CG's bullish or bearish read depends on the current AIQ Score, factor alignment, technical analysis consensus, valuation, risk, and catalyst evidence. A mixed setup should be treated differently from a broad confirmation across those signals.

What is CG's market cap?

CG's market cap is $16.75B based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. Use it with P/E ratio, revenue, and growth metrics to frame company size, valuation, and peer comparisons.

What is CG's current P/E ratio?

CG's current P/E ratio is 11.78 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. Read it with revenue growth, margins, EPS, cash flow, and peer valuation rather than using P/E alone.

What is CG's RSI?

CG's 14-day RSI is 17.34 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. RSI should be interpreted with MACD, moving averages, volume, volatility, and price trend.

Is CG above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?

CG is -9.37% from its 50-day SMA and -16.59% from its 200-day SMA based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. Moving-average position should be read with momentum and broader AIQ evidence.

When is CG's next earnings date?

CG's next earnings date is currently listed as Nov 6, 2026. Earnings can reset revenue, EPS, price target, analyst rating, and catalyst expectations.

Does CG pay a dividend?

CG's dividend yield is 0.01% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. Dividend yield should be read with payout ratio, free cash flow, growth, and balance-sheet strength.