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Casella Waste Systems, Inc. (CWST) Stock Analysis

Casella Waste Systems, Inc. (CWST) stock analysis covering valuation, fundamentals, technical indicators, risk, AIQ Momentum, analyst catalysts, dividends, and the current AIQ Score.

CWST Stock Analysis Summary

Casella Waste Systems, Inc. (CWST) currently has an AIQ Score of 44/100, indicating a neutral setup. Momentum is the strongest factor at 75/100. Quality is the weakest current factor at 28/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Oct 21, 2026 · Market-close data

CWST at a Glance

Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close stock snapshot.

MetricCurrent
Price$90.22
AIQ Score44/100
Overall ViewNeutral
Technical Analysis ConsensusStrong Buy
Market Cap$5.8B
P/E Ratio (TTM)994.1
Forward P/E—
EPS (quarter ended 2026-06-30)$0.06
Revenue (quarter ended 2026-06-30)$543.75M
Dividend Yield (TTM)0.00%
Beta0.74
Volume595.97K
52-week range$74.05-$107.96
RSI 1469.68
50-Day SMA$88.37
200-Day SMA$90.33
Analyst Price Target$108.50
Next EarningsNov 9, 2026
As of Oct 21, 2026 · Market close

CWSTCasella Waste Systems, Inc.

Industrials / Waste Management

Low Priority

In Line With Peers

NeutralEdge 4/10
$90.22−$2.85 (−3.06%)

Latest quote

  • Momentum
    75
  • Value
    35
  • Quality
    28
  • Risk resilience
    41
  • Sentiment
    50
algovestiq.comScore data as of Oct 21, 2026

CWST Stock Analysis Summary

Casella Waste Systems, Inc. (CWST) currently has an AIQ Score of 44/100, indicating a neutral setup. Momentum is the strongest factor at 75/100. Quality is the weakest current factor at 28/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Oct 21, 2026 · Market-close data
AIQ Composite Posture: Mixed

In a neutral regime, CWST has AIQ Score of 44/100 with Momentum base of 75/100 and fading Quality at 28/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.

Signal Conflict Detected

Momentum (75/100) leads while Quality (28/100) lags. This cross-factor spread creates entry timing uncertainty.

Industrials · -3.06% stock move · CWST classified in Waste Management.

Current Evidence

NeutralCWST is in a neutral AIQ regime; Momentum is the strongest visible factor at 75/100.
Core coverage reflects visible evidence only

AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary

Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.

Is CWST Bullish or Bearish Right Now?

CWST currently has a neutral overall setup. Momentum is the strongest factor at 75/100, while Quality is weakest at 28/100. The current evidence suggests a mixed rather than strongly bullish or bearish setup.

Bull Case
  • - Momentum is constructive at 75/100.
  • - Price is +2.10% above its 50-day SMA.
  • - Analyst target implies +20.26% upside from the latest quote.
  • - Technical consensus has more buy votes than sell votes (34 vs 5).
Bear Case
  • - Value is the current constraint at 35/100.
  • - Risk Resilience is weak at 41/100.
  • - Price is -0.12% below its 200-day SMA.

Current Consensus

CWST's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Strong Buy, with 34 buy, 6 neutral, and 5 sell votes. CWST's 14-day RSI is 69.68, which places the stock in a constructive momentum range. CWST's beta is 0.74, indicating lower market sensitivity than the broad market.

Signal Confidence
High agreement

What Changed in CWST?

The largest recent change in CWST is Momentum moving up by 36.0 points over the available 7-day comparison window. Momentum remains the strongest visible factor.

AIQ Score
+8.0
Momentum
+36.0
Quality
+0.0
Risk
-6.0

What Would Change the CWST Outlook?

The current neutral outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, earnings revisions strengthen, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, analyst expectations deteriorate, or risk evidence worsens.

Bullish confirmation

AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive catalyst or estimate-revision evidence.

Bearish deterioration

AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.

CWST Decision Framework

Public evidence layers, setup checks, and risk context for Casella Waste Systems, Inc..

Casella Waste Systems, Inc. (CWST) Stock Analysis

Casella Waste Systems, Inc. has an AIQ Score of 44/100 in a Neutral regime. Momentum is strongest at 75/100. Beta is 0.78, below market sensitivity. Review the supporting stock factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.

Evidence LayerPublic Evidence
Regime ContextCWST is in a Neutral AIQ regime with score 44/100.
Signal ConflictThe primary conflict is that momentum leads at 75/100 while quality lags at 28/100.
Factor EvidenceMomentum 75/100 · Value 35/100 · Quality 28/100 · Risk 41/100 · Sentiment 50/100
PersistenceCurrent snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro.

Current Setup Checklist

Factor strengthPass

Momentum is the strongest factor at 75/100.

TimingPass

Momentum is 75/100 and RSI (14) is 69.7.

Regime fitWait

CWST is in a Neutral regime at 44/100.

Risk controlWait

Risk factor is 41/100 with beta 0.78 and annual volatility 36.46%.

ConflictWait

Current conflict: momentum leads at 75/100 while quality lags at 28/100.

AIQ Score
44/100
Price
$90.22
Beta
0.78
RSI (14)
69.7

CWST Research Cluster

Ticker-specific paths for valuation, technical analysis, catalysts, dividends, financials, risk, and news.

CWST Fundamentals

CWST valuation, profitability, growth, margins, balance-sheet strength, and free cash flow.

Revenue
$543.75M
Net income
$3.77M
Free cash flow
$26.46M
View full CWST fundamental analysis

CWST Technical Analysis

CWST technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.

Technical Analysis Consensus
Strong Buy
RSI 14
69.68
Price vs SMA-50
+2.10%
View full CWST technical analysis

CWST Stock Catalysts

Track CWST earnings, analyst ratings, price targets, estimate revisions, stock news, and upcoming events.

Next earnings
Nov 9, 2026
Analyst target
$108.50
News items
0
View CWST earnings and stock catalysts

CWST Dividend Analysis

CWST dividend yield, annual dividend, payout ratio, payment history, and income reliability context.

Dividend yield
0.00%
Annual dividend
—
Payout ratio
0.00%
View CWST dividend history and analysis

CWST Financial Data

CWST revenue, earnings, income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, valuation ratios, and stock metrics.

Quarter revenue
$543.75M
EPS
$0.06
Periods
8
View CWST financials

CWST Risk Analysis

CWST volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.

Beta
0.74
Risk score
41/100
1Y volatility
36.46%
View CWST risk analysis

CWST Stock News

CWST stock news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.

News items
0
Updated
—
Sentiment
50/100
Read CWST stock news

CWST vs Waste & Environmental Peers

Current peer cohort: CWST · RSG · WCN · WM. Compare AIQ, factor scores, Sharpe ratio and 1-year volatility in one indexable view.

PeerAIQValueMomentumRiskSharpe1Y VolatilityCompare
CWST
Current stock
44/10035/10075/10041/1000.2136.46%Current
RSG
Republic Services
56/10042/10085/10051/1000.1319.53%CWST vs RSG
WCN
Waste Connections
54/10042/10085/10047/100-0.1923.77%CWST vs WCN
WM
Waste Management
58/10048/10088/10051/1000.2220.87%CWST vs WM
Pairwise Compare links: RSG · WCN · WMCWST vs RSGCWST vs WCNCWST vs WMCompare cohort

Peer cohort is resolved dynamically from the AlgovestIQ universe taxonomy and Compare relationship graph. Data as of Oct 21, 2026.

About the AIQ Score

Methodology for the current stock evidence.

As of Oct 21, 2026 · Market close

The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of stock evidence, including momentum, valuation exposure, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.

View AIQ methodology

Factor Diagnostics

A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.

Calculator
Calculate a CWST stock return scenario

Open the return calculator with stock context while purchase price, shares, dates and fees remain user inputs.

Calculate stock return

AIQ Component Profile

Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.

Catalyst preview

Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.

Open catalysts
Quarterly evidence

8 recent quarterly periods are available for review.

Checked Oct 22, 2026

AIQ Pro

Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.

Fundamentals Verdict

Current snapshot fields are separate from reported-quarter statement tables.

Current TTM P/E
994.1
As of Oct 21, 2026
Revenue growth
16.85%
Gross margin
25.36%
Current debt / equity
0.91
Latest quarterly evidence

Latest period Jun 30, 2026.

Review fundamentals
Quarter revenue
$543.75M
Quarter net income
$3.77M
Quarter free cash flow
$26.46M

Market Confirmation

Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.

Trend
Mixed
Momentum
Bullish
RSI 14
69.68
MACD
0.41

Risk Alignment

Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.

Resilience
41/100
Beta
0.78
Annual volatility
36.46%
Max drawdown
-30.16%

CWST Stock FAQ

What is CWST stock price today?

Casella Waste Systems, Inc.'s current stock price is $90.22. Use the live quote with AIQ Score, news, and risk context rather than treating price alone as a decision signal.

Is CWST bullish or bearish right now?

CWST's bullish or bearish read depends on the current AIQ Score, factor alignment, technical analysis consensus, valuation, risk, and catalyst evidence. A mixed setup should be treated differently from a broad confirmation across those signals.

What is CWST's market cap?

CWST's market cap is $5.8B based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Use it with P/E ratio, revenue, and growth metrics to frame company size, valuation, and peer comparisons.

What is CWST's current P/E ratio?

CWST's current P/E ratio is 994.1 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Read it with revenue growth, margins, EPS, cash flow, and peer valuation rather than using P/E alone.

What is CWST's RSI?

CWST's 14-day RSI is 69.68 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. RSI should be interpreted with MACD, moving averages, volume, volatility, and price trend.

Is CWST above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?

CWST is 2.10% from its 50-day SMA and -0.12% from its 200-day SMA based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Moving-average position should be read with momentum and broader AIQ evidence.

When is CWST's next earnings date?

CWST's next earnings date is currently listed as Nov 9, 2026. Earnings can reset revenue, EPS, price target, analyst rating, and catalyst expectations.

Does CWST pay a dividend?

CWST's dividend yield is 0.00% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Dividend yield should be read with payout ratio, free cash flow, growth, and balance-sheet strength.