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Elastic N.V. (ESTC) Stock Analysis

Elastic N.V. (ESTC) stock analysis covering valuation, fundamentals, technical indicators, risk, AIQ Momentum, analyst catalysts, dividends, and the current AIQ Score.

ESTC Stock Analysis Summary

Elastic N.V. (ESTC) currently has an AIQ Score of 65/100, indicating a neutral setup. Quality is the strongest factor at 95/100. Value is the weakest current factor at 49/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Sep 11, 2026 · Market-close data

ESTC at a Glance

Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close stock snapshot.

MetricCurrent
Price$83.39
AIQ Score65/100
Overall ViewNeutral
Technical Analysis ConsensusNeutral
Market Cap$9.6B
P/E Ratio35.81
Forward P/E
EPS-$0.16
Revenue TTM$478.11M
Dividend Yield0.00%
Beta0.97
Volume2.35M
52-week range$42.05-$108.00
RSI 1447.76
50-Day SMA$74.10
200-Day SMA$63.91
Analyst Price Target$80.81
Next EarningsNov 19, 2026
As of Sep 11, 2026 · Market close

ESTC

Overview
Elastic N.V.
Technology· Software - Application
AIQ Score
NeutralAIQ Edge 10/10
Leader
Sector Leader
Score data as of Sep 11, 2026
Last price
$83.39
-$0.09 (-0.11%)
Latest market quote
Momentum55
Value49
Quality95
Risk Resilience54
Sentiment66
View financial data

ESTC Stock Analysis Summary

Elastic N.V. (ESTC) currently has an AIQ Score of 65/100, indicating a neutral setup. Quality is the strongest factor at 95/100. Value is the weakest current factor at 49/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Sep 11, 2026 · Market-close data
AIQ Composite Posture: Mixed

In a neutral regime, ESTC has AIQ Score of 65/100 with Quality base of 95/100 and fading Value at 49/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.

Signal Conflict Detected

Quality (95/100) leads while Value (49/100) lags. This cross-factor spread creates entry timing uncertainty.

Technology · -0.11% stock move · ESTC classified in Software - Application.

Current Evidence

NeutralESTC is in a neutral AIQ regime; Quality is the strongest visible factor at 95/100.
Core coverage reflects visible evidence only

AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary

Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.

Is ESTC Bullish or Bearish Right Now?

ESTC currently has a neutral overall setup. Quality is the strongest factor at 95/100, while Value is weakest at 49/100. The current evidence suggests a mixed rather than strongly bullish or bearish setup.

Bull Case
  • - Quality is supportive at 95/100.
  • - Price is +12.53% above its 50-day SMA.
Bear Case
  • - Analyst target implies -3.09% downside from the latest quote.

Current Consensus

ESTC's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Neutral, with 21 buy, 3 neutral, and 21 sell votes. ESTC's 14-day RSI is 47.76, which places the stock in a neutral momentum range. ESTC's beta is 0.97, indicating market sensitivity broadly in line with the market.

Signal Confidence
Moderate agreement

What Changed in ESTC?

Recent score-change history is not available in the current snapshot. These are the latest market-close scores instead.

AIQ Score
65/100
Momentum
55/100
Quality
95/100
Risk
54/100

What Would Change the ESTC Outlook?

The current neutral outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, earnings revisions strengthen, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, analyst expectations deteriorate, or risk evidence worsens.

Bullish confirmation

AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive catalyst or estimate-revision evidence.

Bearish deterioration

AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.

ESTC Decision Framework

Public evidence layers, setup checks, and risk context for Elastic N.V..

Elastic N.V. (ESTC) Stock Analysis

Elastic N.V. has an AIQ Score of 65/100 in a Neutral regime. Quality is strongest at 95/100. Beta is 0.97, close to market sensitivity. Review the supporting stock factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.

Evidence LayerPublic Evidence
Regime ContextESTC is in a Neutral AIQ regime with score 65/100.
Signal ConflictThe primary conflict is that quality leads at 95/100 while value lags at 49/100.
Factor EvidenceMomentum 55/100 · Value 49/100 · Quality 95/100 · Risk 54/100 · Sentiment 66/100
PersistenceCurrent snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro.

Current Setup Checklist

Factor strengthPass

Quality is the strongest factor at 95/100.

TimingWait

Momentum is 55/100 and RSI (14) is 47.8.

Regime fitPass

ESTC is in a Neutral regime at 65/100.

Risk controlWait

Risk factor is 54/100 with beta 0.97 and annual volatility 57.34%.

ConflictWait

Current conflict: quality leads at 95/100 while value lags at 49/100.

AIQ Score
65/100
Price
$83.39
Beta
0.97
RSI (14)
47.8

ESTC Research Cluster

Ticker-specific paths for valuation, technical analysis, catalysts, dividends, financials, risk, and news.

ESTC Fundamentals

ESTC valuation, profitability, growth, margins, balance-sheet strength, and free cash flow.

Revenue
$478.11M
Net income
-$16.73M
Free cash flow
$131.41M
View full ESTC fundamental analysis

ESTC Technical Analysis

ESTC technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.

Technical Analysis Consensus
Neutral
RSI 14
47.76
Price vs SMA-50
+12.53%
View full ESTC technical analysis

ESTC Stock Catalysts

Track ESTC earnings, analyst ratings, price targets, estimate revisions, stock news, and upcoming events.

Next earnings
Nov 19, 2026
Analyst target
$80.81
News items
4
View ESTC earnings and stock catalysts

ESTC Dividend Analysis

ESTC dividend yield, annual dividend, payout ratio, payment history, and income reliability context.

Dividend yield
0.00%
Annual dividend
Payout ratio
View ESTC dividend history and analysis

ESTC Financial Data

ESTC revenue, earnings, income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, valuation ratios, and stock metrics.

Quarter revenue
$478.11M
EPS
-$0.16
Periods
8
View ESTC financials

ESTC Risk Analysis

ESTC volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.

Beta
0.97
Risk score
54/100
1Y volatility
57.34%
View ESTC risk analysis

ESTC Stock News

ESTC stock news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.

News items
4
Updated
Sep 11, 2026
Sentiment
66/100
Read ESTC stock news

ESTC vs Software — Enterprise & Cloud Peers

Current peer cohort: ESTC · FROG · FSLY · GTLB · HUBS. Compare AIQ, factor scores, Sharpe ratio and 1-year volatility in one indexable view.

PeerAIQValueMomentumRiskSharpe1Y VolatilityCompare
ESTC
Current stock
65/10049/10055/10054/1000.0957.34%Current
FROG
JFrog
43/10024/10039/10052/1001.0872.72%ESTC vs FROG
FSLY
Fastly
49/10044/10055/10042/1001.47121.79%ESTC vs FSLY
GTLB
GitLab
57/10038/10074/10058/1000.1659.85%ESTC vs GTLB
HUBS
HubSpot
52/10064/10023/10046/100-0.7672.65%ESTC vs HUBS
Pairwise Compare links: FROG · FSLY · GTLB · HUBSESTC vs FROGESTC vs FSLYESTC vs GTLBESTC vs HUBSCompare cohort

Peer cohort is resolved dynamically from the AlgovestIQ universe taxonomy and Compare relationship graph. Data as of Sep 11, 2026.

About the AIQ Score

Methodology for the current stock evidence.

As of Sep 11, 2026 · Market close

The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of stock evidence, including momentum, valuation exposure, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.

View AIQ methodology

Factor Diagnostics

A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.

Calculator
Calculate a ESTC stock return scenario

Open the return calculator with stock context while purchase price, shares, dates and fees remain user inputs.

Calculate stock return

AIQ Component Profile

Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.

Catalyst preview

Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.

Open catalysts
Quarterly evidence

8 recent quarterly periods are available for review.

Checked Sep 11, 2026

AIQ Pro

Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.

Fundamentals Verdict

Current snapshot fields are separate from reported-quarter statement tables.

Current TTM P/E
25.56
As of Sep 11, 2026
Revenue growth
6.09%
Gross margin
75.50%
Current debt / equity
0.02
Latest quarterly evidence

Latest period Jul 31, 2026.

Review fundamentals
Quarter revenue
$478.11M
Quarter net income
-$16.73M
Quarter free cash flow
$131.41M

Market Confirmation

Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.

Trend
Bullish
Momentum
Mixed
RSI 14
47.76
MACD
3.61

Risk Alignment

Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.

Resilience
54/100
Beta
0.97
Annual volatility
57.34%
Max drawdown
-54.17%

ESTC Stock FAQ

What is ESTC stock price today?

Elastic N.V.'s current stock price is $83.39. Use the live quote with AIQ Score, news, and risk context rather than treating price alone as a decision signal.

Is ESTC bullish or bearish right now?

ESTC's bullish or bearish read depends on the current AIQ Score, factor alignment, technical analysis consensus, valuation, risk, and catalyst evidence. A mixed setup should be treated differently from a broad confirmation across those signals.

What is ESTC's market cap?

ESTC's market cap is $9.6B based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. Use it with P/E ratio, revenue, and growth metrics to frame company size, valuation, and peer comparisons.

What is ESTC's current P/E ratio?

ESTC's current P/E ratio is 35.81 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. Read it with revenue growth, margins, EPS, cash flow, and peer valuation rather than using P/E alone.

What is ESTC's RSI?

ESTC's 14-day RSI is 47.76 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. RSI should be interpreted with MACD, moving averages, volume, volatility, and price trend.

Is ESTC above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?

ESTC is 12.53% from its 50-day SMA and 30.48% from its 200-day SMA based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. Moving-average position should be read with momentum and broader AIQ evidence.

When is ESTC's next earnings date?

ESTC's next earnings date is currently listed as Nov 19, 2026. Earnings can reset revenue, EPS, price target, analyst rating, and catalyst expectations.

Does ESTC pay a dividend?

ESTC's dividend yield is 0.00% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. Dividend yield should be read with payout ratio, free cash flow, growth, and balance-sheet strength.